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Ab be outsourced. It also ensures that both management team tackle these issues.
a bank, and potential outsourcing part- We hope you, too, find it valuable.
Research
become vital criteria for success, that Figure 3: Consolidation pressure on two fronts
banks must earn the cost of their capital
and that they must consistently apply Growing pressure
the principles of return-based capital on margins
allocation when deciding which busi- Growing pressure
nesses to operate in. These two trends to rationalize Industrialization
Deluge of banking of the banking
are the primary forces determining the industry...
regulations
direction and momentum of the restruc- High investment
turing process in the banking sector requirement
(see Figure 3). Ever-greater exper-
tise required/pres-
sure for innovation and ... as the driving
An overview of the European
force for
banking landscape consolidation
Decline in state Increasing
In order to ascertain the strength of the guarantees and importance of
pressure to consolidate within a given subsidies bank ratings
banking system, we can study both Bank strategies
geared to value
market structure data and profitability and capital
Banks’ increasing Banks increasingly
indicators based on data for the period dependence on focused on inves- markets ...
1992 to 2001. In this instance, the capital markets tor expectations
structural data include bank concentra-
tion figures, the G5 coefficient (i.e. the Industrialization, together with the banks’ sharper strategic focus on value and capital
aggregate market share of the five markets, is driving consolidation.
biggest institutions), the bank density
ratio per million inhabitants, the density
of the branch network (number of ing industry is Germany. Here, the five ket, with 103 banks per million inhabi-
branches for every 10,000 inhabitants) biggest banks have a combined market tants. At the other end of the spectrum
and the average number of branches per share (in terms of total assets) of just is the UK (8), which has managed to
bank. It is important to note that – for 20%. Top of the table are the Scandina- slash the number of banks drastically.
systemic reasons – the G5 coefficient will vian countries, with G5 values in excess
be higher for smaller countries although of 77%. The main reason for this high
the absolute figures for the banks in level of consolidation is the serious Industrialization and the
question will tend to be lower. There banking crisis of the early 1990s. sharper focus by modern
will also be country-specific anomalies.
The bank density ratio also varies from bank managements on
At the bottom of the league table when
it comes to concentration in the bank-
country to country. Front-runner here is
the clearly “overbanked” Austrian mar-
value and the capital
markets are the primary
Figure 2: Consolidation among small and medium-sized banks
forces determining the
direction and momen-
Number
2,256
● Credit co-operative in Germany
◆ Savings banks in Germany tum of the restructuring
2,500 ● 2,035
n Regional banks and savings banks in Switzerland process in the banking
1,792
industry.
2,100 ●
● 1,619
1,700 1,489
● 1,393 1,378
●
1,300 ● ●
594
As far as the density of the branch
–39%
578 network is concerned, the mid-range
600 ◆ 562
◆ ◆ 537
520 values are much closer together. Ex-
550 ◆ ◆ 491 486 tremes are shown with the UK, Sweden
500 ◆ ◆ and Finland with between 2.1 and 2.4
450 –18%
108 106
branches per 10,000 inhabitants and
103 Spain with 9.5. These major disparities
110 n n n 94
100 88 can be attributed to strategic differences
n 83
90 n n –36%
in the distribution systems of the various
80 69
70 n countries, but – in this case – have no
60 real impact on efficiency.
1998 1999 200 2001 2002 2003 June 2004
Source: zeb/rolfes.schierenbeck.associates
Finally, the average number of branches
Due to current legal strictures, mergers among small and medium-sized banks have tended to per bank is a further key structural in-
occur within the same sector. dicator. Here, Finland (3) and Austria (5)
have extremely low values indeed. This assets and the cost/income ratio, and structures actually encourage competi-
is due to the prevalence of savings banks market capitalization, as expressed by tion and, at the same time, have a posi-
and co-operative banks in particular. At the price-to-book ratio. As in the case tive impact on banks’ performance.
the other end of the spectrum is Spain, of the structural data, distinct clusters
with almost ten times more branches per can be identified, which can again be With this proviso, the following rule
bank than Germany (15), for instance. divided into three groups. In group 1 applies: successful banking systems tend
If one compares the country-specific we find Switzerland, Spain and the UK. to exhibit a relatively low bank density, a
structural data, certain clusters emerge. Group 2 is made up of Denmark, high number of branches per bank and
With the exception of certain ambigui- Sweden, Belgium, the Netherlands, a relatively high degree of concentration
ties, we can identify three distinct groups. Germany and Italy. Group 3 comprises (G5). And vice versa.
In the first group we find Switzerland, France, Finland and Austria.
Denmark and Sweden. The second On the other hand, the density of the
group is made up of the UK, Belgium On this basis, we can state that success- branch network per se is apparently
and the Netherlands, Finland and ful banking systems are characterized by only of minor importance. In other
France. The third and final group com- above-average profitability, as measured words, it gives more of an indication of
prises Spain, Italy, Germany and Austria. in terms of return on assets, a high how well the population is provided
cost/income ratio and high market capi- with financial services than the degree
talization in terms of price-to-book ratio. of consolidation of the banking market
Successful banking When it comes to attempting to link the (see Figure 4).
systems tend to exhibit performance indicators with the market
structure data, it is important to be Cross-border mergers
a relatively low bank aware that there can be no simple, Outside of the “bulge bracket” seg-
density, a high number monocausal explanations. There is sim- ment, too, the consolidation of the big
ply too much divergence in the strate- banks looks set to continue apace. In
of branches per bank gies pursued by the various European other words, in the European big bank
and a relatively high banks in their respective business seg-
ments and the “perceived psychological
sector – now that the opportunities for
consolidation at the national level have
degree of concentration stress” in the event of poor perfor- been exhausted in many places – we are
(G5). And vice versa. mance. There are examples of extremely
successful specialist and full-service
likely to see a growing trend towards
cross-border mergers and thus the
banks in Europe, as well as highly prof- emergence of pan-European banks.
In addition to structural data, banks’ per- itable bancassurance companies. Spain,
formance indicators are also analyzed in particular, is convincing proof that a Such a development looks probable for
on a country-by-country basis. The crite- relatively high market concentration and a number of reasons. Firstly, this is the
ria used for comparison purposes are intense competition need not be mutu- only way to achieve any kind of a coun-
profitability, measured by return on ally incompatible. Here, oligopolistic terbalance to the might of the big
American banks such as Citigroup in
particular. The EU – with its regulatory
Figure 4: Regional differences in consolidation pressure framework geared to integration, partic-
ularly in relation to the financial services
market, its common currency in the form
low
Group 1
UK SE
regulations (Basel II Accord) – looks set
to dismantle the barriers to cross-border
mergers. Running counter to this is the
strong desire in certain European coun-
Performance Structural
Consolidation pressure
Group 2
Group 3
AT IT
AT Given the limited number of potential
high
At the same time, those first movers will will be greatest in the two key strategic to increase a company’s market share
increase the consolidation pressure on areas of retail & commercial banking and and the number of potential customers
other banks (see Figure 5). wealth & asset management (private in its particular businesses, they can also
banking). Of late, there has been a optimize the earning potential of these
If a retail bank is to growing consensus of opinion that retail
banking is in a position to generate re-
businesses.
succeed, it must have an spectable, stable margins provided that In asset management – which is often
the business is run properly and with a an integral part of wealth management
outstanding sales cul- sizeable customer base. Combining pri- – many banks and insurance companies
ture, a strong distribu- vate clients and (medium-sized) corpo- massively increased their capacity during
rate clients in an integrated business the boom period in order to benefit from
tion model, rigorous cost model can also be an additional contrib- the expected growth in the industry. In
control and highly so- utor to success. But above all, if a retail
bank is to succeed, it must have an out-
the meantime, they have had to lower
their expectations considerably. Accord-
phisticated risk manage- standing sales culture, a strong distribu- ing to a study by Oliver, Wyman & Co.
ment procedures. tion model, rigorous cost control – with
intense exploitation of economies of
the volume of assets under manage-
ment in Europe will only grow by 7.4%
scale in processing and transaction- per annum up to 2006 compared with
Strong pressure to consolidate based operations, in particular – and 20% in the 1990s. At the same time,
There may be immense pressure to con- highly sophisticated risk management annual earnings growth is set to halve
solidate, but not all banks or business procedures. Moreover, the greater its to just 7%.
areas will be affected in the same way. market clout and the larger its customer
Looking at the various banks and the re- base, the better placed a bank is to Much like traditional on-balance-sheet
spective core businesses individually, one boost its earning potential still further. business, the asset management and
can say that the pressure to consolidate Thus, to the extent that mergers serve private banking markets are highly frag-
mented. With more than a thousand ri-
val players in the field, the five biggest
Figure 5: Prospective merger candidates asset managers in the European bank-
ing scene have a total market share of
Market capitalization in EUR billion, as of July 31, 2004 just 16.5%. In private banking, the top
five global players account for a mere
Commerzbank 8.490 6.5% of the assets of high net worth
Hypo-Vereinsbank 9.842 individuals. As such, we can also expect
Svenska Handelsbank 10.059 to see a massive process of consolidation
Banco Popular Español 10.173 in both these businesses in the future.
Abbey National 12.632
Danske Bank 12.681 Henner Schierenbeck
San Paolo IMI 13.764 Professor at the Department of Bank Management
KBC Group 14.575 & Controlling, Institute of Economics,
Dexia 15.768 University of Basel
Standard Chartered 15.888 henner.schierenbeck@unibas.ch
Nordea 16.491
Gruppo Intesa 18.220
Fortis 23.264
Bibliography
Unicredito Italiano 25.053
ABN Amro 28.638 KPMG: “Hungry for more? Acquisition appetite
and strategy in the global private banking and
Crédit Agricole 28.881 wealth management industry”, Zurich, 2004.
Société Générale 30.257 Krabichler, T. / Krauss, I.: Konsolidierung im
Deutsche Bank 31.282 europäischen Bankenmarkt, Regensburg, 2003.
Credit Suisse 31.864 Lahusen, R.: “Bankenerfolg in Europa:
Lloyds TSB 34.842 Grosse Fortschritte durch Konsolidierung – mit
Ausnahme Deutschlands”, in: EU-Monitor,
BBVA 37.503
Frankfurt am Main, 2004.
Grupo Santander 37.670
Oliver, Wyman & Co./ UBS: “The Future of Asset
HBOS 41.839 Management in Europe”, September 2002.
BNP Paribas 42.802 The 2004 Global 500 annual ranking of the
Barclays 44.751 world’s largest corporations, in: Fortune, Vol.
UBS 65.785 150, pp. F16 – F22.
Royal Bank of Scotland 73.261 Paul, S.: “Zwingt das Internet-Zeitalter Banken
zu internationalen Fusionen?”, in:
HSBC 135.107
Internationalisierungsstrategien von Kredit-
Source: Datastream
instituten, Stuttgart, 2002.
There are 28 banks which are candidates for a pan-European merger.
The private banking industry has undergone fundamental changes over the last few years. Both strategic and structural changes have been
accelerated by the recent bear market.
made investment solutions. In this way, party products or using external trading Last but not least, by clearly illustrating
the bank will be able to devote far more platforms, for instance, would involve the processes involved, the generic bank
time to its clients and dramatically im- any risk to a bank’s reputation and, if model allows the costs of carrying out
prove the quality of the contact it has so, how that risk can be limited. specific sub-processes within the bank
with them. to be identified. Only when these pre-
Once the areas to be outsourced have cise costs are known is it possible to
been decided, the next step is to clearly make any meaningful comparison with
The Reference Bank define the interfaces with the partner what a prospective outsourcer is offer-
Model replicates every organization. Here, the challenge lies in ing. In some cases, the outsourcer will
the detail. Take the decision to out- not only be more cost-effective, but also
single value creating, source the processing of securities trans- more flexible and more responsive.
management and actions, for example. It might sound
straightforward. But in practice the
support process. entire process – from submission of the Markus Bühler
order through to confirmation of execu- UBS Investment Bank,
tion – has to be broken down into its Regional Distribution Channel Management
Identifying risks and defining the constituent parts so that the relevant markus.buehler@ubs.com
interfaces activities can be outsourced without
The potential risks of outsourcing causing disruptions in the process as a
particular activities can be identified at whole (see diagram on page 8). As a
an early stage with the aid of the Refer- rule, this will also involve seamlessly
ence Bank Model. Thus it is possible to integrating different IT platforms at the
ascertain early on whether selling third- various interfaces.
The Reference Bank Model shows all the products, functions and processes of a bank at the generic level. With the aid of this model, a bank
can identify its core competencies and business strategy. At the same time, the model also illustrates which activities a bank could theoretically
outsource.
The Reference Bank Model can be used to break down a process into its component parts. The flowchart for a sub-process of securities trading
shows which aspects are suitable for outsourcing and which should definitely remain in-house. It shows all supporting elements, as there are
systems, human skills and tools required for each individual activity. In addition the model enables the calculation of production /service
creation costs. The entire model can also be seen as a glossary explaining and defining terminology being used in the financial industry. It there-
fore makes communication across different companies much easier.
Multi-dimensional decision-making
Andreas Urwyler
Sutter: For small and medium-sized You developed an Outsourcing Decision- smoothly. It should help in recognizing
companies outsourcing means primarily Making Model for your final thesis and managing the potential risks; thus
IT outsourcing. In this respect they are at the University of St. Gallen. Why ? the model can also be used as a control-
not that different from large banks. If ling instrument. It is also a good tool
the infrastructure is not state-of-the-art, Sutter: In the period following the for an outsourcing service provider to
then you have to go outside the firm to merger, we at UBS were confronted assess potential clients. Outsourcing
get it. But the picture is different for with the topic of outsourcing for certain means making a contractual commit-
business processes. I would draw a line sectors. I noticed that the discussions ment over a long period. The model can
between client-facing and back-office with management concentrated on help the outsourcing service providers
processes. Basically, a bank should out- those aspects that were at that time estimate whether they are dealing with
source those processes that do not give perceived as costs. But there was not a short-term opportunity or a long-term
it differentiation in the market. There enough clarity about how new costs relationship and thus manage risks
are of course services that a bank must could arise during the outsourcing. At accordingly.
provide due to regulatory requirements. the same time I was also scouring the
relevant literature for a model that dealt
with the various aspects of outsourcing.
It is crucial that everyone
The model brings a cer- There was no model out there, however. involved agrees to the
tain level of objectivity So I took the initiative and found some
decision-making process
capable and competent colleagues to
into the assessment of help me develop it. itself, before the results
outsourcing projects. Portmann: I had a similar experience in of that process are on the
Claudius Sutter my job as controller. Attention is com- table.
pletely focused on costs. There was no
Müller: Small and medium-sized busi- pragmatic model that one could use to Andreas Urwyler
nesses, compared with banks, have find out whether the outsourcing of an
clearly defined core competencies. Thus activity was even practicable. The thesis The model covers eight dimensions. The
for these companies it often makes gave me the opportunity to work to- purpose is to make the outsourcing de-
sense to outsource their non-core areas. gether on developing such a model. The cision-making process more transparent.
The core competencies for banks are model not only takes into account the How important is that ?
less clearly defined. Regional banks are many aspects of outsourcing, it also
not best in class in any area. They may shows where potential trouble spots and Müller: A big problem in making deci-
be able to stand out in the market by opportunities could arise if the decision sions – and not only with outsourcing –
advertising that they provide more per- to outsource is made. is the one-dimensional focus on num-
sonal service; but as long as the global bers. It’s as though the numbers prima-
players put pressure on prices, this ad- Urwyler: The model makes it possible rily serve later as the (only) justification
vantage does not bring much. Clients to find out where you stand. But it can for the decision taken. Marketability,
want more than personal service; they also show a company what it can and implications for processes and the envi-
want low prices above all. must do to ensure the outsourcing goes ronment – in other words soft factors –
Marcel Müller
are sometimes also considered, but of- The model could help me determine, for It is relevant both for the outsourcer and
ten not analyzed and documented in a example, that the resources that I could for the provider to know how many em-
structured way. save with outsourcing cannot even be ployees and which employees will be
reduced, whether due to regulatory fac- taken over. This is not only a question of
Sutter: In the evaluation phase the po- tors or possible damage to the com- people’s lives and livelihood, but also
tential success of outsourcing an activity pany’s reputation. This would be a po- one of ensuring know-how and quality
is measured using net present value. At tential cost factor. The management is in the company after the outsourcing
this point in time it does not matter open to these types of arguments, as it takes place.
whether the project will be successful or understands that there are risk factors
not. Often there is one lead person that only later start to impact the num- Have you been able to use the model ?
promoting outsourcing for specific and bers.
sometimes very personal reasons. Thus Sutter: We have used it several times.
the model can help bring some objectiv- Urwyler: It is crucial that everyone in- We have learned that the model helps
ity to the assessment of outsourcing volved agrees to the decision-making you to focus on details that you may not
process itself, before the results of that
projects, despite all the subjectivity that have paid much attention to otherwise.
the model also allows for. The model process are on the table. This means With the model you can also demand
can help management make a con- that the persons responsible for the pro- proof, as sometime in the marketing
scious decision about how subjective cess that leads to the decision must ap- effort solutions are proffered that look
the final decision should be. prove the process, regardless of the re- rosier on paper than they are in reality.
sulting final decision. Otherwise, the re- We have not entered into certain part-
Costs are just one of eight dimensions in sult could be questioned by stating that nerships because either we have discov-
your model. Is it not expecting a bit too the process leading up to it was deficient. ered details that we were not happy
much for something other than costs to about or because after applying the
come up in discussions with the man- model we discovered that the risks asso-
agement ? A frequent problem ciated with the outsourcing were greater
than the benefits.
Portmann: The model makes it possible in the decision-making
to weigh individual aspects subjectively. process is the one- Portmann: I have used the model to
If management sees costs as the most look into the sale of a business unit.
important element, the model can give dimensional focus I had to leave out certain aspects such
a stronger weighting to costs over other on numbers. as the outsourcing partner or substitute
aspects. The weighting of the factors some aspects such as the size of the
makes the model dynamic and takes Marcel Müller buyer. Using the model helped me to
into consideration the various points of include all the key points in the decision-
departure a company may find itself in. making process and not focus merely on
Müller: There is no doubt that costs costs.
Sutter: It is possible to argue versus drive outsourcing. But when discussing
management that all dimensions are ex- outsourcing with company management Interview
pressed in terms of costs sooner or later. personnel issues are also a key element. Monika Baumgartner
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