NOAA/NWS Binghamton, NY

Hazards briefing for Severe Weather and Flash

Flood Potential Today through Thursday
6:00 a.m. July 2nd , 2014
Meteorologists: Ted Champney and Mark Pellerito
FOR CENTRAL NY
This area includes but is
not limited to cities such
as Syracuse, Utica,
Ithaca, Elmira,
Binghamton, and
Oneonta.
FOR NORTHEAST PA
This area includes but
is not limited to cities
such as Towanda,
Montrose, Scranton,
and Wilkes-Barre.
This Briefing applies to
the NWS Binghamton
Service Area only:
Hazards Summary
A few severe thunderstorms occurred
Tuesday with sporadic wind damage
reports (mainly Central NY). However,
the ingredients for severe weather are
better today areawide, compared to Tuesday.
TODAY: Primary threats are for damaging winds
and some large hail. Localized Flash Flooding, and
even an isolated tornado, cannot be ruled out.
Main Timing: Late Morning through Afternoon.
THURSDAY: A front will stall out in our vicinity,
while interacting with an indirect feed of moisture
from what is now Tropical Storm Arthur. Some
potential for Thunderstorms with Flash Flooding
Thursday depending on how things evolve,
especially (but not limited to) Poconos-Catskills.
Storm Reports
Severe Risk Today/Tonight
**THIS STORM PREDICTION
CENTER OUTLOOK
AS OF 6:00 AM ON 7/2/14.**

A slowly moving cold front,
running into a very warm
and unstable air mass, is
expected produce scattered
strong to severe
thunderstorms across much
of the Appalachian Region.

Specific Threat Probabilities:
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM RISK
DAMAGING WINDS LARGE HAIL TORNADOES
15%
5%
5%
15%
5%
2%

Arthur will not track over our region, but tropical moisture
from this system will interact with a stalling front in our
vicinity Thursday.

Thunderstorms with heavy rainfall may occur Thursday for
parts of Northeast PA/Central NY (especially Poconos-
Catskills), but there is still uncertainty for which specific area
will be impacted. There is some potential for Flash Flooding.

If confidence in this threat increases, a Flash Flood Watch
could be issued for the most vulnerable locations, so monitor
the forecast closely. Areas that get heavy rainfall today will
be especially sensitive to additional rains Thursday.
TROPICAL
STORM
ARTHUR:
INDIRECT
IMPACTS
THURSDAY
Monitor Conditions!
Continuous updates: http://weather.gov/bgm
Storm Prediction Center: http://www.spc.noaa.gov

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