Contact: Tom Swiss

(773) 485-9477
February 19, 2015

1st Ward: Moreno with Big Lead

Moreno statistically close to the 50%+1 mark
CHICAGO, IL - Ogden & Fry, conducted a 1-Question Poll for Aldertrack on Thursday, February 19, 2015
for 1st Ward Alderman with 308 respondents.
Respondents were selected by random sampling of likely voters.
Proco Joe Moreno
Anne Shaw
Ronda Locke
Andrew Hamilton

159
79
51

51.6%
25.6%
16.6%

19

6.2%

Margin of Error +/- 5.70% at 95% Confidence Interval

ANALYSIS
The incumbent Proco Joe Moreno is close to avoiding a runoff. The poll results and relative
percentages is directly proportional to the amount of money each candidate has spent.
Since most activity in Municipal Elections occurs in the last 2 weeks, there is still room for further
development in this race.

METHODOLOGY

Ogden & Fry, LLC - 1054 W. Fry St. - Chicago - 60642 - (312) 942-9161

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Ogden & Fry strives to increase the accuracy of political polling by measuring voters most likely to vote
based on voter history. Voting is a socialized behavior with predictable reliability and consistency.
Ogden & Fry maintains a database with 20 years of voting history. For Chicago Aldermanic elections,
likely voters are randomly selected from voters who voted in at least 1 of the last 3 elections.

CROSSTABS
Respondents by Gender
Male
Female

167
141

54.2%
45.8%

Respondents by Age
Age 18 30
Age 31 - 45
Age 46 - 64
Age 65 plus

25
158
82
43

8.1%
51.3%
26.6%
14.0%

Respondents by Zipcode
60612 Count
60622 Count
60642 Count
60647 Count

12
152
11
133

Ogden & Fry, LLC - 1054 W. Fry St. - Chicago - 60642 - (312) 942-9161

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