Gay Marriage as an Economic Development Plan?

By Maggie Gallagher, Chairman, National Organization for Marriage

Published March 21

, 2011. Available online athttp://nomblog.com/6419/ The headline in the March 16, 2011 Columbus, Indiana

Republic

said “Cummins: Gay MarriageBan Bad for Business.”

Cummins, Inc. which makes engines and emissions control systems and mobile energy units forthe Army, and stuff like that, is headquartered in Columbus, Indiana. During state senatehearings over the Indiana state marriage amendment Jill Cook, the vice president of humanresources, testified that the marriage amendment would harm Cummins’ business and make thecompany reluctant to create jobs in Indiana.“This resolution sends a powerful message that Indiana is not a place that welcomespeople of all backgrounds, and it jeopardizes our ability to be competitive in globalmarkets,” Ms. Cook testified.I hope not under oath, or with her hand on a Bible, because that’s an amazing whopper we arehearing more and more often.In Rhode Island, newly-elected Gov. Lincoln Chafee actually touted gay marriage as a seriousand important part of his economic development plan for Rhode Island.In his inaugural address he claimed passing gay marriage would do “more for economic growthin our state than any economic-development loan.” He’s taken to running around Providencebrandishing a copy of the 2007 book “The Flight of the Creative Class” by Prof. Richard Florida,to try to prove his point.“In January,” notes Providence Journal columnist Edward Fitzpatrick

,“Chafee talkedabout Florida’s book when he chaired the state Economic Development CorporationBoard for the first time. And during the February 6 edition of WJAR’s ‘10 NewsConference,’ Chafee cited the book in making the case for legalizing same-sex marriage.”On “10 News Conference,” Jim Taricani noted that in his inaugural speech, Chafee said,“Mark my words, those two actions will do more for economic growth in our state thanany economic development loan.”

http://www.therepublic.com/view/local_story/Cummins_Gay_marriage_ban_bad_f_1300328368/

http://www.projo.com/news/efitzpatrick/edward_fitzpatrick_13_02-13-11_87MD4Q3_v65.178a1bb.html

Taricani asked, “Do you have a factual basis for saying that? Has that been the case inother states?”“Sure,” Chafee said. “Look at Silicon Valley. Look at Cambridge.” Taricani asked,“What did that have to do with gay marriage or illegal immigration?”[Particularly since they don’t have gay marriage in Silicon Valley.]But undaunted Chafee persisted in digging his hole: “These are areas where innovationprospers. And there is a book out by Richard Florida people are talking about, and he’smaking that exact point.”Taricani asked, “What?”“That you can look at economic growth where there is tolerance,” Chafee said.Clearly a new meme has been launched. The people who launched it must be counting on theidea that nobody will bother to point out how ludicrously unsupported by the facts it is.Whether or not “tolerance” is associated with economic growth, gay marriage is clearly not.The Bureau of Economic Analysis publishes yearly and trend data on economic growth,including the year’s increase in personal income per capita.Take a look at this chart: eight of the top ten states with the fasted growth in per capital personalincome from 1999-2009 have state marriage amendments. None have gay marriage.

1999-2009 average annual growth rate of PCPI

(Per capita personal income)State PCPI increase Marriage amendment?Wyoming 5.9%North Dakota 5.7% YesLouisiana 5.3% YesMontana 4.7% YesOklahoma 4.6% YesSouth Dakota 4.4% YesHawaii 4.4% YesWest Virginia 4.3%Arkansas 4.2% Yes

http://www.bea.gov/regional/bearfacts/statebf.cfm

Alaska 4.2% YesOr consider another potential measure of a state’s business climate: What do CEO’s think? Chief Executive magazine annually surveys 543 CEOs to identify which states are the best and theworst for job growth and business

. In 2009, the top five states were: Texas, North Carolina,Florida, Georgia and Tennessee. Four out of five have marriage amendments, and none have gaymarriage.(The worst? California, New York, Michigan, New Jersey, and yes, Massachusetts.)The U.S. Chamber of Commerce also compiles a list of states that are the top "overall growthperformers" a measure which combines job growth rate since 2000, and since 2007, gross stateproduct (GSP), real GSP growth since 2000, GSO per job 2008, and growth in GSP per job.

Thetop five states in overall growth performance (in descending order):

North Dakota, Virginia,South Dakota, Maryland and Wyoming

. The top three all have state marriage amendments, nonehave gay marriage (Indeed the Maryland legislature in a surprise move rejected a gay marriagebill this month after a powerful public outpouring of objections, including from black churches).Perhaps my favorite data point comes from this same recent U.S. Chamber of Commerce survey(“Enterprising States”

) which includes a ranking for what it called “middle-class job growth.”These are presumably the good jobs that the creative class seeks or fosters or whatever.What are the top five states for growing middle-class jobs between 2002 and 2009? Utah,Wyoming, Nevada, Hawaii and Texas.True of these five states one—Wyoming—does not have a marriage amendment—yet. It almostpassed one, this year however. If it did, perhaps its middle class job growth will come plungingto a halt, but somehow I doubt it.The tiny number of liberal northeastern states that have embraced gay marriage tend to have highper capita incomes, because they are much older, supporting fewer children, and much whiter,and better educated than average. They are older in part because with so little job growth, youngadults with families move elsewhere,

most likely to a southern state with a marriage amendmentthat enjoys more robust economic growth.Why would a representative from Cummins, Inc. make such a ludicrous claim that we would say

http://www.chiefexecutive.net/ME2/Audiences/dirmod.asp?sid=&nm=&type=Publishing&mod=Publications::Article&mid=8F3A7027421841978F18BE895F87F791&tier=4&id=D8BB1C4F12AE46EF9B7647E09E3253A6&AudID=F242408EE36A4B18AABCEB1289960A07

http://ncf.uschamber.com/enterprising-states/

http://ncf.uschamber.com/wp-content/uploads/final-report-Enterprising-States-email.pdf

http://www.masslive.com/news/index.ssf/2008/07/young_adults_planning_to_leave.html