ALBERTA - VOTING INTENTION SURVEY

Table 13

QE3. As you likely know, Premier Ed Stelmach has announced his resignation from politics and there is currently a contest underway to replace him
as leader of the Alberta Progressive Conservative party. There are currently six candidates in the race in the PC leadership race. If you
were to vote, which one of these candidates would you vote for?
BASE: Total respondents
WEIGHT: Regional weights applied

TOTAL
==a==
Total: Unweighted
==========
Weighted
========
Gary Mar

EDUCATION
LOCATION
GENDER
AGE
=================================
======================= =============== =============================== HS Or
Coll/
Post
Calgary
Edm
Other
Male
Female
18-24
25-44
45-64
65+
Less
Some Univ Univ
Grad
==b==
==c==
==d==
==e==
==f==
==g==
==h==
==i==
==j==
==k==
===l===
==m==
==n==

900

300

300

300

450

450

130

359

296

115

253

374

192

71

900

295

284

321

450

450

130

359

297

115

255

373

192

70

109
12.1%

40
13.7%

30
10.7%

39
12.0%

56
12.5%

53
11.7%

6
4.5%

44
12.2%G

38
12.7%G

22
19.0%G

32
12.7%

47
12.6%

23
12.1%

7
9.6%

12
4.3%

22
7.0%

58
12.9%F

14
3.1%

9
6.9%

28
7.8%

23
7.8%

12
10.5%

24
9.4%

21
5.7%

17
8.8%

10
14.2%L

Ted Morton

72
8.0%

Alison Redford

54
6.0%

21
7.0%

17
6.0%

16
5.0%

17
3.7%

37
8.2%E

8
6.2%j

26
7.3%J

19
6.3%j

1
0.9%

7
2.7%

23
6.2%k

18
9.4%K

6
8.2%k

Rick Orman

43
4.7%

27
9.0%CD

9
3.0%

7
2.3%

30
6.7%F

12
2.7%

8
6.1%

14
3.8%

12
4.0%

9
7.8%

15
6.0%L

8
2.1%

14
7.1%L

2
2.7%

Doug Horner

42
4.7%

2
0.7%

21
7.3%B

19
6.0%B

24
5.3%

18
4.0%

1
0.7%

10
2.7%

24
8.2%GH

7
6.1%G

12
4.7%

17
4.5%

6
3.1%

7
10.1%m

Doug Griffiths

13
1.5%

2
0.7%

4
1.3%

7
2.3%

8
1.8%

5
1.2%

1
0.8%

6
1.8%

6
2.0%

5
2.0%

4
1.0%

3
1.6%

1
1.5%

Another candidate

10
1.1%

3
1.0%

3
1.0%

4
1.3%

8
1.8%f

2
0.4%

1
0.7%

4
1.2%

4
1.3%

1
0.9%

1
0.4%

6
1.6%

2
1.1%

1
1.3%

Won't vote

65
7.2%

17
5.7%

27
9.7%

20
6.3%

32
7.2%

32
7.2%

11
8.4%

18
4.9%

26
8.8%h

10
8.6%

23
9.0%

23
6.0%

9
4.8%

8
11.4%

Refused to answer

13
1.5%

2
0.7%

5
1.7%

6
2.0%

3
0.7%

10
2.3%e

1
0.7%

4
1.2%

4
1.3%

4
3.6%

4
1.6%

5
1.4%

1
0.6%

2
2.7%

479
53.3%

145
49.0%

156
55.0%

179
55.7%

213
47.4%

266
59.2%E

84
205
141
64.9%IJ 57.2%IJ 47.6%

49
42.6%

132
51.5%n

219
58.8%N

99
51.5%

27
38.1%

Don't know/not
applicable

37
12.7%CD

Jul 26 2011
T-test A-Z=.98 a-z=.95 columns tested= bcd ef ghij klmn
Z-test A-Z=.98 a-z=.95 columns tested= bcd ef ghij klmn

Page 13

ALBERTA - VOTING INTENTION SURVEY

Table 14

QE3. As you likely know, Premier Ed Stelmach has announced his resignation from politics and there is currently a contest underway to replace him
as leader of the Alberta Progressive Conservative party. There are currently six candidates in the race in the PC leadership race. If you
were to vote, which one of these candidates would you vote for?
BASE: Total respondents
WEIGHT: Regional weights applied

TOTAL
==a==
Total: Unweighted
==========

EMPLOYMENT
==========================================================
FullPartStay At
time
time
Unemp
Home
Student
Retired
==b==
==c==
==d==
==e==
==f==
==g==

INCOME
HAVE
MARITAL STATUS
=======================
CHILDREN
=======================
$60K===============
Single Married Other
<$60K
$100K
$100K+
Yes
No
==h==
==i==
==j==
==k==
==l==
==m==
==n==
==o==

900

493

96

39

47

26

192

111

632

155

285

211

189

306

592

900

492

98

39

47

25

192

110

633

155

287

211

189

307

591

109
12.1%

50
10.1%

15
15.5%

2
5.5%

3
6.6%

2
7.6%

14
12.4%

69
11.0%

Ted Morton

72
8.0%

43
8.7%

11
11.3%

2
4.9%

2
4.2%

2
8.6%

12
6.4%

12
10.9%

Alison Redford

54
6.0%

31
6.3%

2
2.1%

2
5.3%

2
4.3%

2
7.7%

14
7.2%

Rick Orman

43
4.7%

30
6.2%

Doug Horner

42
4.7%

22
4.5%

Doug Griffiths

13
1.5%

Another candidate

Weighted
========
Gary Mar

26
16.8%i

45
15.7%l

19
9.0%

21
11.1%

27
8.8%

82
13.9%n

46
7.3%

14
9.0%

17
5.8%

15
7.2%

19
10.0%

17
5.6%

54
9.2%

5
4.6%

46
7.2%J

3
2.0%

20
6.9%

9
4.3%

14
7.3%

17
5.5%

37
6.2%

4
10.3%

8
4.2%

5
4.6%

28
4.5%

9
5.8%

10
3.5%

16
7.5%k

15
7.8%k

15
4.8%

28
4.7%

4
4.1%

2
5.2%

14
7.3%

3
2.8%

35
5.6%

4
2.4%

10
3.4%

16
7.6%k

10
5.4%

6
1.9%

36
6.1%N

8
1.6%

3
6.8%BG

2
1.0%

1
1.0%

11
1.8%

1
0.7%

3
1.1%

4
1.9%

5
2.7%

8
2.6%o

5
0.9%

10
1.1%

6
1.2%

2
2.1%

1
3.8%

1
0.5%

3
2.8%

6
0.9%

1
0.7%

4
1.5%

2
0.9%

1
0.6%

1
0.3%

9
1.5%

Won't vote

65
7.2%

32
6.5%

5
5.1%

4
10.0%

2
7.6%

17
8.8%

9
7.9%

43
6.8%

13
8.3%

19
6.6%

12
5.6%

11
5.9%

17
5.5%

48
8.0%

Refused to answer

13
1.5%

6
1.2%

1
1.1%

1
2.8%

9
1.4%

4
2.6%

6
2.1%

5
2.4%

4
1.3%

9
1.5%

479
53.3%

264
53.7%G

57
58.8%G

22
56.0%

33
69.7%bG

339
53.6%

80
51.7%

153
53.4%

113
53.7%

195
63.6%O

283
47.9%

Don't know/not
applicable

37
19.4%Bde

Jul 26 2011
T-test A-Z=.98 a-z=.95 columns tested= bcdefg hij klm no
Z-test A-Z=.98 a-z=.95 columns tested= bcdefg hij klm no

4
8.5%

16
64.7%

5
2.6%
82
42.6%

58
53.0%

93
49.3%

Page 14

ALBERTA - VOTING INTENTION SURVEY

Table 15

QE3. As you likely know, Premier Ed Stelmach has announced his resignation from politics and there is currently a contest underway to replace him
as leader of the Alberta Progressive Conservative party. There are currently six candidates in the race in the PC leadership race. If you
were to vote, which one of these candidates would you vote for?
BASE: Total respondents
WEIGHT: Regional weights applied

TOTAL
==a==
Total: Unweighted
==========

VOTING INTENTION
=====================================================
PC
Liberal
NPD
Wildrose Alberta
Other
==b==
==c==
==d==
==e===
==f==
==g==

900

390

99

98

118

15

900

390

98

98

118

15

109
12.1%

59
15.1%

18
18.2%d

8
8.4%

11
9.3%

1
6.3%

1
12.0%

Ted Morton

72
8.0%

32
8.2%

3
3.2%

3
3.2%

24
2
20.3%BCD 14.2%

1
12.0%

Alison Redford

54
6.0%

21
5.3%

Rick Orman

43
4.7%

25
6.3%c

1
1.1%

3
3.0%

11
9.2%C

Doug Horner

42
4.7%

24
6.2%d

6
6.1%

1
1.1%

6
5.0%

Doug Griffiths

13
1.5%

7
1.8%

2
2.1%

Another candidate

10
1.1%

5
1.3%

2
2.0%

Won't vote

65
7.2%

5
1.2%

Refused to answer

13
1.5%
479
53.3%

Weighted
========
Gary Mar

Don't know/not
applicable

11
11.2%be

11
11.5%bE

1
6.3%
1
6.3%

1
13.1%
-

2
1.7%

2
2.1%

1
0.9%

7
7.1%B

11
10.9%B

13
11.1%B

3
0.8%

1
1.1%

4
4.1%B

210
53.8%E

47
47.9%

55
55.7%E

Jul 26 2011
T-test A-Z=.98 a-z=.95 columns tested= bcdefg
Z-test A-Z=.98 a-z=.95 columns tested= bcdefg

4
3.2%

46
39.1%

10
67.0%

5
62.9%

Page 15

ALBERTA - VOTING INTENTION SURVEY

Table 16

QE4. As you likely know, Alberta Liberal Party leader David Swann is also leaving politics and there are five candidates in the race to replace him.
If you were to vote, which one of these candidates would you vote for?
BASE: Total respondents
WEIGHT: Regional weights applied

TOTAL
==a==
Total: Unweighted
==========
Weighted
========

EDUCATION
LOCATION
GENDER
AGE
=================================
======================= =============== =============================== HS Or
Coll/
Post
Calgary
Edm
Other
Male
Female
18-24
25-44
45-64
65+
Less
Some Univ Univ
Grad
==b==
==c==
==d==
==e==
==f==
==g==
==h==
==i==
==j==
==k==
===l===
==m==
==n==

900

300

300

300

450

450

130

359

296

115

253

374

192

71

900

295

284

321

450

450

130

359

297

115

255

373

192

70

18
5.7%

37
8.3%

43
9.7%

9
6.8%

32
9.0%

31
10.3%

9
7.9%

24
9.4%

30
7.9%

18
9.2%

10
13.9%
14
20.2%KLM

Raj Sherman

81
9.0%

31
10.7%d

Laurie Blakeman

59
6.5%

7
2.3%

21
7.3%B

31
9.7%B

33
7.4%

25
5.6%

8
6.3%

28
7.9%

17
5.7%

5
4.5%

15
6.0%

17
4.6%

11
5.8%

Hugh MacDonald

48
5.4%

10
3.3%

24
8.3%B

15
4.7%

21
4.6%

28
6.1%

7
5.3%

15
4.1%

20
6.7%

7
5.9%

11
4.3%

20
5.3%

15
7.7%

3
4.0%

Bill Harvey

24
2.6%

4
1.3%

4
1.3%

16
5.0%BC

14
3.2%

9
2.1%

3
2.4%

7
2.0%

9
3.1%

4
3.7%

9
3.6%

5
1.4%

7
3.7%

2
3.0%

Bruce Payne

19
2.1%

8
2.7%

7
2.3%

4
1.3%

15
3.3%F

4
0.9%

5
3.7%

8
2.2%

5
1.6%

1
0.9%

7
2.8%

6
1.6%

4
2.0%

2
2.7%

Another candidate

9
1.0%

2
0.7%

5
1.7%

2
0.7%

7
1.5%

2
0.4%

1
0.7%

3
0.8%

2
0.7%

3
2.5%

3
1.1%

6
1.6%

117
13.0%

33
11.3%

39
13.7%

45
14.0%

68
15.2%

49
10.9%

10
7.7%

35
9.7%

47
12.6%m

12
6.3%

7
9.8%

14
1.5%

4
1.3%

6
2.0%

4
1.3%

4
0.8%

10
2.2%

1
0.7%

7
2.0%

5
1.3%

1
0.6%

1
1.3%

196
149
66.3%Cd 52.3%

185
57.7%

250
55.6%

279
62.1%e

Won't vote
Refused to answer
Don't know/not
applicable

529
58.8%

31
11.0%D

Jul 26 2011
T-test A-Z=.98 a-z=.95 columns tested= bcd ef ghij klmn
Z-test A-Z=.98 a-z=.95 columns tested= bcd ef ghij klmn

86
223
66.3%Ij 62.1%i

50
23
48
16.7%GH 19.9%GH 19.0%lM
3
1.0%

3
2.6%

6
2.4%

161
54.1%

60
52.1%

131
51.4%

237
63.7%KN

124
32
64.7%KN 45.0%

Page 16

ALBERTA - VOTING INTENTION SURVEY

Table 17

QE4. As you likely know, Alberta Liberal Party leader David Swann is also leaving politics and there are five candidates in the race to replace him.
If you were to vote, which one of these candidates would you vote for?
BASE: Total respondents
WEIGHT: Regional weights applied

TOTAL
==a==
Total: Unweighted
==========

EMPLOYMENT
==========================================================
FullPartStay At
time
time
Unemp
Home
Student
Retired
==b==
==c==
==d==
==e==
==f==
==g==

INCOME
HAVE
MARITAL STATUS
=======================
CHILDREN
=======================
$60K===============
Single Married Other
<$60K
$100K
$100K+
Yes
No
==h==
==i==
==j==
==k==
==l==
==m==
==n==
==o==

900

493

96

39

47

26

192

111

632

155

285

211

189

306

592

900

492

98

39

47

25

192

110

633

155

287

211

189

307

591

Raj Sherman

81
9.0%

43
8.6%

2
4.2%

1
3.8%

18
9.3%

7
6.3%

64
10.1%

10
6.5%

17
5.8%

17
8.0%

21
10.9%k

23
7.4%

57
9.7%

Laurie Blakeman

59
6.5%

42
8.6%g

3
3.2%

2
5.5%

2
4.3%

2
7.6%

7
3.8%

6
5.5%

47
7.4%

6
3.8%

22
7.6%

13
6.1%

18
9.6%

22
7.3%

36
6.2%

Hugh MacDonald

48
5.4%

21
4.2%

4
4.4%

2
5.2%

2
4.3%

3
11.5%

17
8.7%B

7
6.3%

32
5.0%

10
6.4%

17
5.9%

12
5.7%

11
5.7%

11
3.5%

38
6.4%

Bill Harvey

24
2.6%

11
2.3%

2
2.1%

1
2.5%

2
4.5%

7
3.8%

5
4.5%

16
2.5%

3
2.1%

9
3.2%

3
1.5%

7
3.9%

6
2.0%

18
3.0%

Bruce Payne

19
2.1%

13
2.6%

2
5.1%

1
2.0%

3
12.4%

6
5.4%I

11
1.7%

2
1.3%

11
3.9%lm

2
0.9%

1
0.5%

5
1.6%

14
2.3%

Another candidate

9
1.0%

3
0.6%

1
1.1%

1
2.3%

1
3.8%

3
1.5%

1
0.9%

6
0.9%

2
1.2%

4
1.4%

2
0.9%

1
0.6%

2
0.6%

7
1.2%

117
13.0%

52
10.6%

13
13.7%

5
10.8%

1
3.8%

35
18.1%B

14
12.7%

75
11.8%

29
18.5%i

38
13.3%M

28
13.3%M

9
4.6%

22
7.2%

95
16.1%N

14
1.5%

8
1.6%

1
1.1%

5
2.6%

10
1.6%

4
2.5%

4
1.4%

5
2.4%

3
1.5%

4
1.3%

10
1.7%

529
58.8%

300
60.9%g

55
56.5%

373
59.0%

90
57.8%

165
57.5%

129
61.2%

118
62.7%

212
69.1%O

317
53.5%

Weighted
========

Won't vote
Refused to answer
Don't know/not
applicable

18
18.0%Beg

10
25.9%B
22
55.8%

Jul 26 2011
T-test A-Z=.98 a-z=.95 columns tested= bcdefg hij klm no
Z-test A-Z=.98 a-z=.95 columns tested= bcdefg hij klm no

32
67.7%

14
57.2%

100
52.2%

64
58.5%

Page 17

ALBERTA - VOTING INTENTION SURVEY

Table 18

QE4. As you likely know, Alberta Liberal Party leader David Swann is also leaving politics and there are five candidates in the race to replace him.
If you were to vote, which one of these candidates would you vote for?
BASE: Total respondents
WEIGHT: Regional weights applied

TOTAL
==a==
Total: Unweighted
==========

VOTING INTENTION
=====================================================
PC
Liberal
NPD
Wildrose Alberta
Other
==b==
==c==
==d==
==e===
==f==
==g==

900

390

99

98

118

15

900

390

98

98

118

15

Raj Sherman

81
9.0%

17
4.4%

23
23.1%Be

14
14.1%B

15
12.5%B

1
6.3%

2
25.1%

Laurie Blakeman

59
6.5%

17
4.3%

17
17.4%BE

8
8.4%

8
6.9%

2
14.2%

1
13.1%

Hugh MacDonald

48
5.4%

16
4.1%

12
12.0%Be

Bill Harvey

24
2.6%

11
2.9%

8
8.3%BD

1
1.1%

Bruce Payne

19
2.1%

11
2.7%

2
1.9%

2
2.0%

Another candidate

9
1.0%

6
1.5%

117
13.0%

46
11.8%C

14
1.5%

4
1.0%

Weighted
========

Won't vote
Refused to answer
Don't know/not
applicable

529
58.8%

12
12.5%Be

5
4.1%

3
2.7%

1
12.0%

1
1.0%

1
0.9%

1
1.1%

13
13.2%C

19
16.2%C

3
2.9%

1
1.1%

262
33
67.2%CDe 33.3%

46
46.7%

67
56.8%C

Jul 26 2011
T-test A-Z=.98 a-z=.95 columns tested= bcdefg
Z-test A-Z=.98 a-z=.95 columns tested= bcdefg

12
79.5%

4
49.8%

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