fields, but outside of these fully explored areas the scientist is just asreluctant to admit ignorance as his counterparts in other disciplines, and justas prone to present his opinion or that of the “authorities” in his field aspositive knowledge. There is, in fact, a very general tendency to elevatecurrently popular scientific theories and assumptions to the status of incontestable articles of faith whose validity must not be questioned, and thepath of the innovator who dares to take issue with these cherished doctrinesis thorny indeed.The most serious aspect of this policy is that it tends to perpetuate basicerrors when they are once made. Inevitably the theorists will take a wrongturn sooner or later, and present practice sets up an almost impassibleroadblock in the way of getting back on the right track. This situation isgreatly aggravated by what some observers have called the “epicyclical”character of much of present-day physical theory. When a theory encountersdifficulties of a serious nature, it is no longer fashionable to abandon it, aswould have been done in an earlier era. The present practice is to “save” thetheory by adding the equivalent of one of the epicycles of Ptolemaicastronomy. Then when further trouble develops another epicycle is added,and so on. Each addition not only buries the errors of the original theory thatmuch deeper and makes them that much harder to deal with, but also putsthe originator of a new and better theory in a position where he cannotisolate the primary issue and meet it squarely; he must contend with all of the epicycles at the same time, however irrelevant they may actually be.One of the most “epicyclical” of all physical theories is the nuclear theory of the atom. I am continually coming into conflict with this theory in my work,and while it has not been difficult to demonstrate the shortcomings of thistheory in the particular applications with which I have been concerned, thetheory and its coterie of epicycles are so firmly embedded in so much of present-day scientific thought that even the most glaring deficiencies makelittle impression on the general standing of the theory as long as they areexposed one by one in their separate areas. The usual reaction to ademonstration of the failure of the theory in any specific application is quitereminiscent of the attitude of the author of the economics textbook. “PerhapsI will have to admit that the theory gives the wrong answers in the particularcase under consideration,” the physicist says, “but it must be correct as ageneral proposition anyway, because everyone who knows anything aboutscience accepts it.” In view of this prevailing attitude which makes itimpossible to deal with the situation on an item by item basis, it has seemed
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