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Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008

11 – 22 September 2008

Q3/2008 Peninsula Malaysia


Voter Opinion Poll

11 – 22 September 2008

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Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008
11 – 22 September 2008

Methodology

• 1002 randomly selected registered voters aged 21+ were interviewed via
telephone for the survey

• Respondents were selected via random stratified sampling method along the
lines of state of residence, ethnicity, gender and age

• Survey was carried out between 11th to 22nd September 2008

• Survey margin of error estimated at ±3.10%

• Important Events: Survey was concluded during “impending” September


16th crossover

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Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008
11 – 22 September 2008

Respondent Profile
Ethnicity Gender
60% Male Female
55%

40% 36%

50% 50%
20%
9%

0%
Malay Chinese Indian
Age
21-31 32-43 44-55 56-63 Above 63
Setting
Urban Rural 10%
19%

16%

48%
51%

26%

29% 3
Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008
11 – 22 September 2008

Respondent Profile
Occupation Region

40% Northern Central Southern Eastern


19% 19%
30% 25%
22%
20%
14%
12% 12%
10% 8%
4%
2%
24%
0%
Employed - Employed - Own Business Self employed Unemployed Student Homemaker Retired
Private Govt
38%

Total of household income Level of education


No formal schooling Primary school
< RM 1500 per month RM 1501 - RM 3000 per month
Secondary school/ LCE/ SRP/ PMR MCE/ SPM
RM 3001 - RM 5000 per month > RM 1500 per month HSC/ STPM College (diploma)
Don't know 13% University (degree & above)
11% 2%

19%
35% 10%
12%

5%

18%
14%

4
35%
26%
Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008
11 – 22 September 2008

Top issues

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Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008
11 – 22 September 2008

What in your view, is the most important problem affecting Malaysia today?
Price hike/ inflation/ rising cost of living 35%
Fuel hike 8%
Unemployment 1%
50% concerned over
Unfavourable economic condition in general 6% economic issues
Crime and public safety in general 4%
Social problems among youth 3%
Racial inequality 3%
Lack of unity among Malaysians 1%
Worse ethnic relations 2%
Lack of job/ business opportunities for own race 1%
Lack of education opportunities for own race/ quota system 1%
Corruption in general 1%
Corruption among government officials 1%
Corruption among politicians 1%
Quality of nalt leadership 1%
Political instability in general 18%
Controversy of racist statements by Ahmad Ismail 2% Aggregated 21% concern
September 16 1% over political issues
Others 4%
None 2%
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Don't know 3%
Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008
11 – 22 September 2008

What in your view, is the most important problem affecting Malaysia today?

Economic issues Crime & public safety Social problems


Corruption & power abuse Racial issues Political issues
60%
55%
59%
50%
48%
50%
45%

40%
40% 36% 37%
34%

30% 27% 25%


25% 25%
23%
21%
20%
13%
10%
10%
3%
1%
0%
Oct 06 Nov 06 Apr 07 Jun 07 Sept 07 Dec 07 9-19 Feb 23-27 5-7 Mar 14-21 30 Apr - 5 4-14 Jul 15 -23 11 - 22
08 Feb 08 08 Mar 08 May 08 08 Aug 08 Sept 08

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Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008
11 – 22 September 2008

How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the federal government's performance on that issue?
Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied
Very dissatisfied Don't know No response

Price hike/ inflation/ rising


cost of living
1% 17% 39% 40% 1%

Political instability in general 2% 20% 40% 36% 2%

Fuel hike 2% 26% 37% 32% 2%

Unfavourable economic
condition in general
2% 17% 36% 41% 3%

Crime and public safety in


general
2% 29% 43% 26%
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Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008
11 – 22 September 2008

Are you aware of the 2009 Budget tabled by the Prime Minister several weeks ago?

Aware Unaware/ Don't know

21%

79%

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Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008
11 – 22 September 2008

How strongly do you feel that the 2009 Budget will benefit you and your family?

Strongly beneficial Somewhat beneficial Somewhat unbeneficial


Not beneficial at all Don't know
3%
4%

28%
42%

23%

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Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008
11 – 22 September 2008

Top issues

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Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008
11 – 22 September 2008

Now, I am going to read two statements to you. After you hear each one, please tell me which
one is closer to your opinion. If Pakatan Rakyat, which consists of PKR, DAP and PAS,
attempt to form federal government is successful…

Strongly agree Somewhat agree Strongly agree Somewhat agree

22%

16%

32%

17%

The Malay will lose political power The Malay political power remains & only UMNO loses power
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Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008
11 – 22 September 2008

Approval Rating of the PM


How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with Abdullah Ahmad Badawi's performance as Prime
Minister?
Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied
Very dissatisfied Don't know No response
1%
3%
16% 11%

32%

37%

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Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008
11 – 22 September 2008

Approval Rating of the PM


How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with Abdullah Ahmad Badawi's performance as Prime
Minister?
Peninsula M'sia Malay Chinese Indian
100%

90% 84%
80%
78%
80% 79% 76% 76%

71%
67%
70%
71% 61% 62%
59% 58% 57%
60% 57%
54% 51% 51%
58% 48% 49%
50% 47% 45% 53%
42% 52% 42% 43%
40%
47%
40% 36%
38% 39%
38% 29% 30%
30% 33%
32%
30%
27%
20%
Oct 07 Dec 07 9-19 Feb 08 23-27 Feb 08 29 Feb - 4 Mar 14-21 Mar 08 * 30 Apr - 5 May 4-14 Jul 08 15 - 23 Aug 08 11 - 22 Sept 08
08 08

Note: “Very satisfied” and “Somewhat satisfied” aggregated


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Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008
11 – 22 September 2008

Approval Rating of the DPM


In your view, how strongly do you agree or disagree that Najib Tun Razak would make a good
prime minister?
Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree
Strongly disagree Don't know No response
1%

16% 13%

24% 26%

20%

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Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008
11 – 22 September 2008

Approval Rating of the DPM


In your view, how strongly do you agree or disagree that Najib Tun Razak would make a good
prime minister?
Peninsula Msia Malay Chinese Indian

80%
71%
70% 66%
65% 60%
60% 55%
52%
47% 48%
50% 45% 46%
51% 40%
40% 34% 34%
31%
30% 25%
19% 28% 29%
20% 16%
21% 14% 10%
10% 15%

0%
Oct 06 Apr 07 23-27 Feb 08 14-21 Mar 08 4-14 Jul 08 11 - 22 Sept 08

Note: “Strongly agree” and “Somewhat agree” aggregated


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Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008
11 – 22 September 2008

Comparison
Between Najib Tun Razak and Anwar Ibrahim, who do you think makes a better prime
minister?
Najib T un Razak Anwar Ibrahim None Don't know No response
1%

14%
34%
11%

40%

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Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008
11 – 22 September 2008

Racial Remarks Controversy


Ahmad Ismail, UMNO division chief for Bukit Bendera, Penang had a made a statement in the
recent Permatang Pauh by-election that Chinese were "immigrants" and did not deserve equal
treatment in this country. Do you think the comments by Ahmad Ismail were appropriate or not
appropriate?
Very appropriate Somewhat appropriate Somewhat inappropriate
Very inappropriate Don't know1% No response

5% 12%

13%

13%
56%

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Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008
11 – 22 September 2008

Racial Remarks Controversy


Ahmad Ismail, UMNO division chief for Bukit Bendera, Penang had a made a statement in the
recent Permatang Pauh by-election that Chinese were "immigrants" and did not deserve equal
treatment in this country. Do you think the comments by Ahmad Ismail were appropriate or not
appropriate?
Very appropriate Somewhat appropriate Somewhat inappropriate
Very inappropriate Don't know No response
100%
5% 6% 6%

80%

43%
55%
60%
79% 97%
40% 15%
13%
19%
20%
13%
12% 17% 11%
1% 3%
0% 3%
T otal Malay Chinese Indian 19
Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008
11 – 22 September 2008

Racial Remarks Controversy


Now, I am going to read two statements to you. After you hear each one, please tell me which
one is closer to your opinion. Do you think that statements like those made by Ahmad Ismail
are …
Malay exclusive question
Strongly agree Somewhat agree Strongly agree Somewhat agree

55%
41%

19%
15%

26% 26%

Borne out of concern for the Malay community Borne out of his own political interest

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Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008
11 – 22 September 2008

Perceptions of Anwar Ibrahim

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Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008
11 – 22 September 2008

Perceptions towards Anwar


Do you believe or do not believe in the allegations of sexual misconduct against Anwar
Ibrahim?
Strongly believe Somewhat believe Somewhat disbelieve
Strongly disbelieve Don't know 1% No response

6%
17% 9%

23%

44%

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Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008
11 – 22 September 2008

How strongly do you agree or disagree that, Anwar is an agent for Americans/ Jews?
Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree
Strongly disagree Don't know/ Unable to access No response
100%
3% 8% 11%
23%
80%
27%
38%

60%
38%
38% 72%
40% 26%
10%
12%
20% 16% 15%
13%
10% 13%
8% 12%
0% 2% 4%
T otal Malay Chinese Indian
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Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008
11 – 22 September 2008

How strongly do you agree or disagree that, Anwar is a sexual criminal?


Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree
Strongly disagree Don't know/ Unable to access No response
100% 1% 3%
13%
29% 33% 26%
80%

60%

44% 39% 45% 76%


40%

20% 12% 10%


18%
8% 10%
5% 7% 5% 10%
0% 3% 1%
Total Malay Chinese Indian
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Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008
11 – 22 September 2008

How strongly do you agree or disagree that, Anwar is a competent manager of the economy?
Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree
Strongly disagree Don't know/ Unable to access No response
100%
12% 8%
14%
19% 5%
2%
80%
21% 26% 23%
16%
60%
14% 14%
16%
40%
30%
28% 35% 62%
20%

21% 18% 14%


0%
Total Malay Chinese Indian
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Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008
11 – 22 September 2008

How strongly do you agree or disagree that, Anwar is a strong and visionary leader?
Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree
Strongly disagree Don't know/ Unable to access No response
100%
11% 8% 6%
18% 3%
1%
80%
24% 32% 31%
16%
60%
13% 17%
13%
40%
30%
29% 32% 59%
20%

21% 18% 15%


0%
T otal Malay Chinese Indian
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Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008
11 – 22 September 2008

MCA Party Elections

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Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008
11 – 22 September 2008

MCA Party Election


Are you aware of party elections that are to be held by MCA in October?

Aware Unaware/ Don't know

48%
52%

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Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008
11 – 22 September 2008

MCA Party Election


Are you aware of party elections that are to be held by MCA in October?
Aware Unaware/ Don't know No response

100%

30%
80%
44%
51%
59%
60%

40%
70%
55%
48%
20% 41%

0%
T otal Malay Chinese Indian
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Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008
11 – 22 September 2008

MCA Party Election


How strongly do you agree or disagree that is it alright for a politician who was tainted with
sexual scandal to hold senior post in a political party and government?

Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree


Strongly disagree Don't know

5% 6%
13%

20%
56%

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Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008
11 – 22 September 2008

MCA Party Election


How strongly do you agree or disagree that is it alright for a politician who was tainted with
sexual scandal to hold senior post in a political party and government?

Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree


Strongly disagree Don't know No response
100%
5% 3% 7% 11%

80%
36% 22%
57%
60% 74%
18%
40%
57%
20% 26%
20%
13%
14%
6% 13% 10%
0% 6% 2%
Total Malay Chinese Indian
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Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008
11 – 22 September 2008

MCA Party Election


How strongly do you agree or disagree that an apology from a politician tainted with sexual
scandal is enough grounds for him/ her to be accepted as a leader again?
Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree
Strongly disagree Don't know

6% 8%

22%

42%

22%

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Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008
11 – 22 September 2008

MCA Party Election


How strongly do you agree or disagree that an apology from a politician tainted with sexual
scandal is enough grounds for him/ her to be accepted as a leader again?
Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree
Strongly disagree Don't know No response
100%
6% 4% 7% 11%

80%
28% 25%
41% 51%
60%
16%

40% 22% 52%


21% 32%
20% 22%
19%
16% 11%
8% 5%
0% 1%
Total Malay Chinese Indian
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Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008
11 – 22 September 2008

MCA Party Election


How strongly do you agree or disagree that someone who retired from active politics 4 years
ago will be able to meet the MCA's challenges in Malaysia's new political landscape?
Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree
Strongly disagree Don't know No response
2%

8%
14%

28%
24%

24%

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Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008
11 – 22 September 2008

MCA Party Election


How strongly do you agree or disagree that someone who retired from active politics 4 years
ago will be able to meet the MCA's challenges in Malaysia's new political landscape?
Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree
Strongly disagree Don't know No response
100%

14% 12% 12%


18%
80% 12%
24% 30% 17%
60%
15%
24% 22%
40% 64%
34%
20% 28% 27%

8% 7% 13% 11%
0%
Total Malay Chinese Indian 35
Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008
11 – 22 September 2008

MCA Party Election


What are the two most important qualities leaders of BN component parties other than UMNO
should have?

Outspoken Courage to say “no” to UMNO Walking the talk


Clean, free from corruption Efficient Others
None Don't know No response
34% 33%

28%
27%
24%

14%
11%

7%
4% 4% 4%
11% 1%
3%
1% 1% 1%

1st quality 2nd quality

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Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008
11 – 22 September 2008

MCA Party Election


What are the most important qualitiy leaders of BN component parties other than UMNO
should have?
Outspoken Courage to say “no” to UMNO Walking the talk
Clean, free from corruption Efficient Others
None Don't know No response

Chinese 33% 12% 26% 19% 3% 5%

Indian 43% 19% 37% 1%

Malay 23% 9% 26% 30% 6% 4%

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Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008
11 – 22 September 2008
MCA Party Election
Chinese exclusive question

What is your impression of the following political personalities?

Very positive Somewhat positive Somewhat negative Very negative


Don’t know the personality Unable to assess No response
1% 2% 2% 1% 1%
100%
8% 12% 8% 11%
14%
4% 8%
80% 13% 1% 8%
14% 16% 6% 5%
3% 4% 8%
60% 11% 27% 10%
46%
40% 51%
49% 49%
38%
20%
30%
16%
8% 8% 7%
0%
Chua Jui Meng Chua Soi Lek Dr. Fong Chan Onn Ong T ee Keat Dr. Ng Yen Yen

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Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008
11 – 22 September 2008
MCA Party Election
Chinese exclusive question

Who do you think is most qualified to lead MCA?

Chua Jui Meng 6%

Chua Soi Lek 9%

Dr. Fong Chan Onn 5%

Ong T ee Keat 40%

Dr. Ng Yen Yen 12%

Others 2%

None 4%

Don't know 20%

No response 2%

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Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008
11 – 22 September 2008

MCA Party Elections

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Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008
11 – 22 September 2008

The American presidential election is coming soon. If given the chance, who would you vote
for as president of the USA?
John McCain
Barack Obama
Don't know/ Aware of US presidential election but don’t know who to vote for
No response

7% 6%

44% 43%

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