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Europe @ Risk

Europe @ Risk

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Published by: World Economic Forum on Sep 30, 2008
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World Economic ForumNovember 2006
Europe@Risk
 A Report by the Global Risk Network
COMMITTED TOIMPROVING THE STATEOF THE WORLD
 
 This work was prepared by the Global Risk Network of the World Economic Forum.
World Economic Forum
91-93 route de la CapiteCH-1223 Cologny/GenevaSwitzerland Tel.: +41 (0)22 869 1212Fax: +41 (0)22 786 2744E-mail: charles.emmerson@weforum.orgwww.weforum.org© 2006 World Economic Forum All rights reserved.No part of this publication may be reproduced or transmittedin any form or by any means, including photocopying and recording, or by anyinformation storage and retrieval system.
REF: 161106
 
Introduction
4
Managing Global Risk: The Global Risk Network
6
 Turkey: Risk or Risk Mitigator?
7
European Perceptions of Risk
8
Perception of Turkey as a Source of Risk
9
 Three Possible Risk Mitigation Roles for Turkey
11
I. Global Risk: “Oil Price Shock/Energy Interruptions”
11
II. Global Risk: “Coming Fiscal Crises Caused by Demographic Shift”
12
III. Global Risk: “Interstate and Civil War”
12
Europe@Risk Matrix
13
Europe’s Dilemma: Values vs Interests and Protectionism vs Leadership
18
Risk Mitigation: Conditions and Prospects for Turkey’s Potential Role
21
 Turkey’s Role in Mitigating Europe’s Social Risks
23
From Risk to Opportunity: How Multilateralization Has Changed Greek Attitudes to Turkey
25
Dealing with Risk: If Turkey and Europe Break Up…
27
Footnotes
29
List of Participants
31
Contents
3

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