Envisioning A Low Carbon Clean Energy g gy In New York: The Role of Smart Growth

Geoffrey Anderson President and CEO Smart Growth America

Hazard Busing

Land Use is the First Step in Predicting Transportation

Land Use and Transportation

Richard Drudl

Photo: Michael Tobis University of Chicago

What is smart growth?

Smart growth is development that revitalizes neighborhoods, h d l h l hb h d protects farmland and open space, keeps housing affordable, and provides more transportation choices. p p It is development that is good for the economy, community, and the environment. environment

Smart Growth Principles

Mix land uses. Take advantage of compact building design. Create a range of housing opportunities and choices. Create walkable neighborhoods. Foster distinctive, attractive communities with a strong sense of place. Preserve open space, farmland, natural beauty, beauty and critical environmental areas. Strengthen and direct development g towards existing communities. Provide P id a variety of transportation i f i choices. Make development decisions predictable, fair predictable fair, and cost effective. cost-effective Encourage community and stakeholder collaboration in development decisions.

Arlington, VA-- Smart growth at the corridor level

M M

Lower Density Zoning

Lower Density Zoning y g

M M

Smart growth encourages development around transit stations

Land Use With Transportation Choice at the Neighborhood Level

Status Quo

Land Use With Trans Choice

Development Patterns Supporting Transportation Ch i at the Street L l T t ti Choice t th St t Level

High Density Development Street Trees

Belowground utilities Mixed-Use (Residential and Commercial) dC i l)

Pedestrian-friendly area

TOD District

Median for light rail Bike Lanes

Source: www.urban-advantage.com

Existing Conditions

Low Density Development

Above ground utilities

Single use district

No parking in rear

Auto-oriented development

Narrow Sidewalks

WIDE STREETS

Source: www.urban-advantage.com

25% Less VMT with Compact Development D l t

Disaggregate Travel Studies

Fairview Village (20% Lower)

Southern Village (40% lower)

Metro Square (50% lower) Sq are lo er)

1/3 Savings Due to Regional Accessibility

600000 500000 400000 300000 200000 100000 0 Daily VMT Atlantic Ste Sandy Sprin y p Cobb/Fulto Henry Coun

20-40% VMT Reduction for Each Increment of Compact Development

Smart growth strategies improve fiscal outcomes

Brookings Institute: More compact development patterns promise savings for governments nationwide:
11 percent, or $110 billion, from 25-year road 25 year building costs 6 percent, or $12.6 billion, from 25-year water and sewer costs; t and roughly 3 percent, or $4 billion, for annual operations and service delivery.

Muro, Peuntes. Investing in A Better Future. Brookings Institute. March 2004.

Arlington County, VA:

Smart growth strategies bolster economic outcomes

30 million sq. ft of development on sq 2 sq. miles of land. Same amount of development on g q fringe = 14 square miles 33% of the Countys real estate tax revenue on 7.6% of land area. 58K trips to Metro by foot (73%) and 47.2 % of residents in this d f d h corridor use transit to get to work.

From Dennis Leach, www.reconnectingamerica.org. 2003

Transportation costs
Better development p strategies can reduce p household transportation costs.
Transportation costs account for 18 % of all household expenses Most families spend more on driving than on health care, education, or food.

Portland Transportation Costs

2 million people drive four miles per day less than average American. g p $1 billion in savings on transportation. $1.5 billion savings in time. The long term price of carbon is estimated at about $20 to $50 per ton, making the value of annual carbon savings worth between $28 and $70 million annually. annually

Transportation costs
In the Rosslyn-Ballston Corridor: Rosslyn Ballston
over 15% of the residents dont own vehicles, 58% only have one vehicle

In the District of Columbia:

37% no car, and 43.5% have one car

C Compare with the rest of the region h h f h

Fairfax County, only 4% of residents dont own cars and 29% own just one car Loundon County, 2.5% no cars, 23% one car

Gregg Logan, Managing Director, Robert Charles Lesser & Co., LLC The Market for Smart Growth, January 2007

People Turning 65 in Year Thou usands 1,000 1,500 2,000 500

0 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Year

People Turning 65 Annually 1996-2025 1996 2025

Decline in Households with Kids

Household With Children Without Children Single 1960 48% 52% 13% 2000 33% 67% 26% 2025 28% 72% 28%

Source: Census for 1960 and 2000, 2025 adapted from Martha Farnsworth Riche, How Changes in the Nations Age and Household Riche Nation s Structure Will Reshape Housing Demand in the 21st Century, HUD (2003).

Attached
60,000 60 000 50,000

Small Lot

Large Lot

The Market Is Changing Dramatically

H o u sin g U n its in 1000s s

40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 10 000 0 2003 Supply -10,000 2025 Demand Net New Units Needed

Thank Y Th k You