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QUINNYPREZPOLL0312

QUINNYPREZPOLL0312

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Published by jmicek
New Quinnipiac University PA Presidential poll.
New Quinnipiac University PA Presidential poll.

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Published by: jmicek on Mar 14, 2012
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03/14/2012

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FOR RELEASE: MARCH 14, 2012
FAVORITE SON SANTORUM THUMPS ROMNEY IN PENNSYLVANIA,QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS;SANTORUM TIES OBAMA IN FALL MATCHUP
Pennsylvania Republicans are going for favorite son Rick Santorum big time, giving the formerU.S. Senator a 36
 – 
22 percent lead over former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney in the
Keystone State’s presidential primary, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.
Texas U.S. Rep. Ron Paul has 12 percent, with 8 percent for former House Speaker NewtGingrich.In a head-to-head matchup, Santorum tops Romney 52
 – 
32 percent among Republicanvoters, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds.If Santorum gets to November, he gets 44 percent of Pennsylvania voters, to 45 percentfor President Barack Obama
 – 
too close to call. In other possible November matchups:
 
President Obama tops Romney 46
 – 
40 percent;
 
Obama beats Gingrich 50
 – 
37 percent;
 
The president leads Paul 45
 – 
40 percent.In the four-person Republican contest, Santorum leads Romney 41
 – 
18 percent amongwomen and 30
 – 
27 percent among men, 50
 – 
21 percent among Tea Party members, 44
 – 
20percent among self-described conservatives and 46
 – 
17 percent among white evangelicalChristians. Romney leads 29
 – 
20 percent among self-described moderates.
Pennsylvania Republicans are turning to their native son, former Sen. Rick Santorum.The last time we surveyed the Keystone State, during the Gingrich boomlet in December, theformer House Speaker led the GOP pack with 31 percent, followed by Gov. Mitt Romney with
17 percent and Santorum with 9 percent,” said Tim Malloy, assistant directo
r of the QuinnipiacUniversity Polling Institute.
“Pennsylvania Republican women like Santorum over Romney more than men.”
 
-more-
 
Tim Malloy, Assistant Director,Quinnipiac University Polling Institute(203) 645-8043Rubenstein Associates, Inc.Public RelationsContact: Pat Smith (212) 843-8026
 
 
2
Quinnipiac University Poll/March 14, 2012
 – 
page 2
“Santorum’
s lead among conservatives, Tea Party members and white evangelicalChristians is what w
e have found in other states,” Malloy added.
 
“What we’ve also seen in other states is that Romney comes fro
m behind, riding a tidal
wave of negative advertising. Whether attack ads work against a native son remains to be seen.”
 Among all Pennsylvania voters, President Obama gets a split 47
 – 
49 percent jobapproval rating, his best score in months, and a split 47
 – 
47 percent favorability rating.Favorability ratings for GOP presidential contenders all are negative:
 
Santorum: 39
 – 
44 percent;
 
Romney: 33
 – 
43 percent;
 
Gingrich: 25
 – 
55 percent;
 
Paul: 30
 – 
 
31 percent, with 37 percent who don’t know enough about
him.Pennsylvania voters are divided 47
 – 
49 percent on whether Obama deserves to bereelected.
“President Barack Obama has lackluster approval, favorability and reelection numbers in
Pennsylvania, but this is his highest approval rating in a year and his best performance in monthsrunning against Mitt Romney
,” Malloy said.
 
“Romney’s favorability drops from a positive 34 – 
30 percent in December to a negative33
 – 
 
43 percent today.”
 
U.S. Senate Race
Voters give Sen. Robert Casey Jr. a 46
 – 
27 percent approval rating and say 48
 – 
30percent he deserves to be reelected. Casey tops an unnamed Republican challenger 46
 – 
34percent.Voters approve 42
 – 
28 percent of the job U.S. Sen. Pat Toomey is doing.
Senator Robert Casey, who is up for reelection, has a 12-point margin over an unnamedRepublican challenger. But he probably would sleep better if he could break 50 percent on his job approval and reelection numbers,
Malloy said.From March 7
 – 
12, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,256 registered voters with amargin of error of +/- 2.8 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.The survey includes 508 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 4.4 percentage points.The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts publicopinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginiaand the nation as a public service and for research.
For more data or RSS feed
 – 
 http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml,call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter. 
 
3
1. (If Registered Republican) If the Republican primary for President were being heldtoday, and the candidates were: Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, and Ron Paul,for whom would you vote?REGISTERED REPUBLICANS....................................WhtBrnAgnEv TEA PARTYTot Men Wom Con Mod Yes No Yes NoGingrich 8% 9% 7% 9% 7% 6% 9% 11% 7%Romney 22 27 18 20 29 17 26 21 23Santorum 36 30 41 44 20 46 27 50 31Paul 12 17 7 9 19 7 15 11 12SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 1 - 4 1 2 - 2WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 2 1 5 2 4 - 3DK/NA 18 12 24 17 16 21 18 8 21COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS.......Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-49 50-64 65+Gingrich 9% 7% 8% 10% 8% 6% 7% 7% 11%Romney 41 15 14 18 19 38 20 24 24Santorum 26 40 49 37 35 27 36 35 34Paul 9 13 6 16 13 13 18 10 6SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 2 - - 1 1 1 4WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 2 2 3 3 2 4 2DK/NA 10 21 18 17 22 12 18 18 19MOST IMPORTANT QUALITY Q27Knowldg Moral Defeat MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE Q26Exprnc Leader Char Obama EconomyGingrich 10% 8% 2% 14% 8%Romney 24 19 10 38 23Santorum 22 36 55 30 39Paul 17 15 10 4 11SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 3 1 1 2WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 3 1 - 4DK/NA 20 16 21 12 13TREND: (If Registered Republican)If the Republican primary for President were being heldtoday, and the candidates were: Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, and Ron Paul,for whom would you vote? (na=not asked/2011 wording referenced "2012 election")REGISTERED REPUBLICANS........................Mar 14 Dec 08 Nov 10 Sep 28 Aug 02 Jun 152012 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011Gingrich 8 31 13 4 4 5Romney 22 17 17 18 21 21Santorum 36 9 13 12 14 16Paul 12 7 5 5 5 6Bachmann na 3 2 6 11 5Cain na 3 17 5 4 8Huntsman na 3 2 2 1 1Johnson na na na na na -McCotter na na na na - naPalin na na na 8 12 11Pawlenty na na na na 2 4Perry na 3 5 16 8 naSMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 2 2 3 2WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 4 2 2 2 3DK/NA 18 18 21 19 14 17

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