Tim Malloy, Assistant Director, Quinnipiac University Polling Institute (203) 645-8043 Rubenstein Associates, Inc.

Public Relations Contact: Pat Smith (212) 843-8026

FOR RELEASE: MARCH 14, 2012

FAVORITE SON SANTORUM THUMPS ROMNEY IN PENNSYLVANIA, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS; SANTORUM TIES OBAMA IN FALL MATCHUP
Pennsylvania Republicans are going for favorite son Rick Santorum big time, giving the former U.S. Senator a 36 22 percent lead over former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney in the Keystone States presidential primary, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Texas U.S. Rep. Ron Paul has 12 percent, with 8 percent for former House Speaker Newt Gingrich. In a head-to-head matchup, Santorum tops Romney 52 32 percent among Republican voters, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds. If Santorum gets to November, he gets 44 percent of Pennsylvania voters, to 45 percent for President Barack Obama too close to call. In other possible November matchups: President Obama tops Romney 46 40 percent; Obama beats Gingrich 50 37 percent; The president leads Paul 45 40 percent. In the four-person Republican contest, Santorum leads Romney 41 18 percent among women and 30 27 percent among men, 50 21 percent among Tea Party members, 44 20 percent among self-described conservatives and 46 17 percent among white evangelical Christians. Romney leads 29 20 percent among self-described moderates. Pennsylvania Republicans are turning to their native son, former Sen. Rick Santorum. The last time we surveyed the Keystone State, during the Gingrich boomlet in December, the former House Speaker led the GOP pack with 31 percent, followed by Gov. Mitt Romney with 17 percent and Santorum with 9 percent, said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. Pennsylvania Republican women like Santorum over Romney more than men. -more-

Quinnipiac University Poll/March 14, 2012 page 2 Santorums lead among conservatives, Tea Party members and white evangelical Christians is what we have found in other states, Malloy added. What weve also seen in other states is that Romney comes from behind, riding a tidal wave of negative advertising. Whether attack ads work against a native son remains to be seen. Among all Pennsylvania voters, President Obama gets a split 47 49 percent job approval rating, his best score in months, and a split 47 47 percent favorability rating. Favorability ratings for GOP presidential contenders all are negative: Santorum: 39 44 percent; Romney: 33 43 percent; Gingrich: 25 55 percent; Paul: 30 31 percent, with 37 percent who dont know enough about him. Pennsylvania voters are divided 47 49 percent on whether Obama deserves to be reelected. President Barack Obama has lackluster approval, favorability and reelection numbers in Pennsylvania, but this is his highest approval rating in a year and his best performance in months running against Mitt Romney, Malloy said. Romneys favorability drops from a positive 34 30 percent in December to a negative 33 43 percent today. U.S. Senate Race Voters give Sen. Robert Casey Jr. a 46 27 percent approval rating and say 48 30 percent he deserves to be reelected. Casey tops an unnamed Republican challenger 46 34 percent. Voters approve 42 28 percent of the job U.S. Sen. Pat Toomey is doing. Senator Robert Casey, who is up for reelection, has a 12-point margin over an unnamed Republican challenger. But he probably would sleep better if he could break 50 percent on his job approval and reelection numbers, Malloy said. From March 7 12, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,256 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.8 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The survey includes 508 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 4.4 percentage points. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

1. (If Registered Republican) If the Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were: Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, and Ron Paul, for whom would you vote? REGISTERED REPUBLICANS.................................... WhtBrnAgnEv TEA PARTY Tot Men Wom Con Mod Yes No Yes No Gingrich Romney Santorum Paul SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 8% 22 36 12 2 3 18 9% 27 30 17 2 3 12 7% 18 41 7 1 2 24 9% 20 44 9 1 17 7% 29 20 19 4 5 16 6% 17 46 7 1 2 21 9% 26 27 15 2 4 18 11% 21 50 11 8 7% 23 31 12 2 3 21

COLLEGE DEG Yes No Gingrich Romney Santorum Paul SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 9% 41 26 9 1 3 10 7% 15 40 13 2 2 21

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 8% 14 49 6 2 2 18 10% 18 37 16 2 17 8% 19 35 13 3 22 6% 38 27 13 1 3 12

AGE IN YRS....... 18-49 50-64 65+ 7% 20 36 18 1 2 18 7% 24 35 10 1 4 18 11% 24 34 6 4 2 19

MOST IMPORTANT QUALITY Q27 Knowldg Moral Defeat MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE Q26 Exprnc Leader Char Obama Economy Gingrich Romney Santorum Paul SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 10% 24 22 17 1 5 20 8% 19 36 15 3 3 16 2% 10 55 10 1 1 21 14% 38 30 4 1 12 8% 23 39 11 2 4 13

TREND: (If Registered Republican)If the Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were: Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, and Ron Paul, for whom would you vote? (na=not asked/2011 wording referenced "2012 election") REGISTERED REPUBLICANS........................ Mar 14 Dec 08 Nov 10 Sep 28 Aug 02 Jun 15 2012 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 Gingrich Romney Santorum Paul Bachmann Cain Huntsman Johnson McCotter Palin Pawlenty Perry SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 8 22 36 12 na na na na na na na na 2 3 18 31 17 9 7 3 3 3 na na na na 3 2 4 18 13 17 13 5 2 17 2 na na na na 5 2 2 21 4 18 12 5 6 5 2 na na 8 na 16 2 2 19 4 21 14 5 11 4 1 na 12 2 8 3 2 14 5 21 16 6 5 8 1 na 11 4 na 2 3 17

2. (If Registered Republican) Suppose the primary came down to a choice between Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum, for whom would you vote? REGISTERED REPUBLICANS.................................... WhtBrnAgnEv TEA PARTY Tot Men Wom Con Mod Yes No Yes No Romney Santorum DK/NA 32% 52 16 38% 48 14 28% 55 17 25% 61 13 50% 31 19 24% 60 16 40% 45 15 24% 67 9 36% 46 18

COLLEGE DEG Yes No Romney Santorum DK/NA 52% 35 13 25% 58 17

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 21% 67 12 27% 59 13 28% 49 23 55% 39 7

AGE IN YRS....... 18-49 50-64 65+ 34% 50 17 31% 54 15 33% 52 15

MOST IMPORTANT QUALITY Q27 Knowldg Moral Defeat MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE Q26 Exprnc Leader Char Obama Economy Romney Santorum DK/NA 37% 44 19 33% 49 18 14% 70 17 49% 44 7 34% 51 15

3. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and - Rick Santorum the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Obama Santorum SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 45% 44 1 4 6 Rep 8% 85 2 4 Dem 82% 10 2 5 Ind 42% 42 1 8 6 Men 46% 46 1 3 4 Wom 45% 43 1 4 7 Military HsHlds 42% 51 1 1 5 AGE IN YRS....... 18-49 50-64 65+ 47% 44 1 3 5 47% 43 1 3 5 42% 47 1 4 6

WHITE................................ COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Yes No Prot Cath Yes No Obama Santorum SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 55% 38 2 5 35% 53 2 4 6 30% 60 1 4 6 39% 50 1 3 8 16% 76 3 4 45% 44 1 3 7

COLLEGE DEG Yes No Obama Santorum SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 57% 36 2 5 40% 48 1 5 6

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 44% 43 6 7 43% 48 2 3 4 49% 43 1 3 5 49% 43 1 1 5

TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Rick Santorum the Republican, for whom would you vote? (2011 wording referenced "2012 election") Mar 14 2012 Obama Santorum SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 45 44 1 4 6 Sep 28 2011 45 42 2 3 8 Aug 02 2011 45 43 3 3 7 Jun 15 2011 49 38 3 4 7

4. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and - Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Obama Romney SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 46% 40 2 4 8 Rep 8% 80 2 5 6 Dem 86% 4 1 2 7 Ind 41% 41 2 8 8 Men 47% 41 2 4 7 Wom 46% 38 1 5 9 Military HsHlds 42% 49 1 2 6 AGE IN YRS....... 18-49 50-64 65+ 46% 41 1 5 7 50% 35 3 4 8 44% 44 1 4 8

WHITE................................ COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Yes No Prot Cath Yes No Obama Romney SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 52% 39 3 6 37% 46 3 6 9 31% 54 1 6 8 40% 46 2 4 9 17% 66 1 7 9 45% 42 1 4 8

COLLEGE DEG Yes No Obama Romney SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 55% 37 2 6 42% 41 2 5 9

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 49% 35 1 7 8 44% 41 2 4 8 49% 41 1 2 7 44% 45 1 3 6

TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote? (2011 wording referenced "2012 election") Mar 14 2012 Obama Romney SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 46 40 2 4 8 Dec 08 2011 46 43 2 3 6 Nov 10 2011 44 43 2 3 8 Sep 28 2011 45 43 2 2 8 Aug 02 2011 42 44 3 3 8 Jun 15 2011 47 40 3 4 6

5. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and - Newt Gingrich the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Obama Gingrich SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 50% 37 2 5 6 Rep 12% 77 2 5 5 Dem 89% 4 2 4 Ind 47% 36 3 9 6 Men 49% 41 2 4 5 Wom 52% 33 1 6 7 Military HsHlds 46% 43 6 4 AGE IN YRS....... 18-49 50-64 65+ 51% 38 2 5 4 54% 34 2 4 6 47% 39 2 5 7

WHITE................................ COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Yes No Prot Cath Yes No Obama Gingrich SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 59% 32 1 4 4 40% 45 3 6 7 33% 52 2 5 7 48% 39 1 5 7 22% 64 1 6 7 51% 37 2 5 6

COLLEGE DEG Yes No Obama Gingrich SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 61% 31 1 4 4 46% 40 2 6 7

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 52% 32 2 8 6 51% 39 3 3 4 51% 40 3 5 51% 40 2 3 4

TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Newt Gingrich the Republican, for whom would you vote? (2011 wording referenced "2012 election") Mar 14 2012 Obama Gingrich SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 50 37 2 5 6 Dec 08 2011 48 40 2 4 6 Nov 10 2011 48 38 2 4 8

6. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and - Ron Paul the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Obama Paul SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 45% 40 1 6 8 Rep 11% 71 2 10 7 Dem 82% 9 2 7 Ind 39% 43 2 8 8 Men 43% 44 2 4 7 Wom 47% 36 1 7 9

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6. (contd) If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and - Ron Paul the Republican, for whom would you vote? WHITE................................ COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Yes No Prot Cath Yes No Obama Paul SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 55% 35 1 5 5 34% 48 2 7 9 29% 53 2 7 8 46% 39 1 7 6 17% 63 2 7 10 46% 39 2 6 7 Military HsHlds 40% 47 2 6 5 AGE IN YRS....... 18-49 50-64 65+ 42% 45 1 4 7 50% 37 2 5 7 47% 34 2 9 9

COLLEGE DEG Yes No Obama Paul SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 57% 32 1 5 5 40% 43 2 6 9

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 47% 34 1 9 9 43% 45 1 5 7 46% 42 1 5 6 46% 42 1 4 7

7. Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of enthusiasm about voting in this year's presidential election; are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as usual? Tot More Less About the same DK/NA 29% 29 42 1 Rep 37% 26 35 2 Dem 26% 25 49 1 Ind 23% 39 37 1 Men 31% 27 41 1 Wom 26% 30 42 1 Military HsHlds 35% 27 37 1 AGE IN YRS....... 18-49 50-64 65+ 24% 27 47 1 31% 31 37 1 33% 26 38 2

WHITE................................ COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Yes No Prot Cath Yes No More Less About the same DK/NA 27% 30 42 1 26% 31 41 1 26% 32 41 1 29% 28 41 1 31% 28 40 1 26% 33 41 1

COLLEGE DEG Yes No More Less About the same DK/NA 31% 28 40 1 27% 29 42 1

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 26% 29 43 2 32% 28 39 1 28% 27 44 1 32% 31 36 1

TREND: Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of enthusiasm about voting in this year's presidential election; are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as usual? (2011 wording referenced "2012 election") Mar 14 2012 More Less About the same DK/NA 29 29 42 1 Dec 08 2011 27 26 46 1 Nov 10 2011 25 28 46 1 Sep 28 2011 31 23 46 1

8. Is your opinion of - Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 47% 47 3 3 9% 84 5 3 84% 11 2 2 46% 51 2 1 46% 49 3 2 48% 45 3 3

TREND: Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? FAVORABLE..... High Low Mar 14 Dec 08 Nov 10 Sep 28 May 22 May 22 Feb 08 2012 2011 2011 2011 2008 2008 2007 Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 47 47 3 3 46 47 3 4 47 49 2 3 45 49 2 3 50 34 13 3 50 34 13 3 39 15 45 1

9. Is your opinion of - Rick Santorum favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 39% 44 16 2 66% 14 19 2 17% 68 12 2 36% 48 14 2 37% 48 13 1 40% 40 18 2

TREND: Is your opinion of Rick Santorum favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Mar 14 Sep 28 2012 2011 Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 39 44 16 2 33 37 29 1

10. Is your opinion of - Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 33% 43 21 3 Rep 55% 22 21 3 Dem 15% 63 19 3 Ind 34% 42 22 2 Men 38% 42 18 2 Wom 28% 45 24 3

TREND: Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? FAVORABLE..... High Low Mar 14 Dec 08 Nov 10 Sep 28 Dec 05 Nov 10 Feb 08 2012 2011 2011 2011 2007 2011 2007 Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 33 43 21 3 34 30 33 3 36 30 32 2 32 28 37 2 23 23 53 1 36 30 32 2 12 11 76 1

11. Is your opinion of - Newt Gingrich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 25% 55 19 1 Rep 46% 30 22 1 Dem 4% 77 17 2 Ind 28% 57 15 1 Men 28% 57 13 2 Wom 21% 53 25 1

TREND: Is your opinion of Newt Gingrich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Mar 14 Dec 08 Nov 10 Feb 08 2012 2011 2011 2007 Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 25 55 19 1 30 44 24 2 28 42 29 2 30 48 21 2

12. Is your opinion of - Ron Paul favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 30% 31 37 2 Rep 34% 28 37 2 Dem 22% 41 36 2 Ind 37% 21 39 3 Men 36% 32 30 2 Wom 24% 29 44 2

13. How would you rate the job Rick Santorum did as a United States Senator; excellent, good, not so good, or poor? Tot Excellent Good Not so good Poor DK/NA 7% 42 18 21 12 Rep 15% 61 11 3 9 Dem 2% 25 26 36 11 Ind 6% 43 14 24 13 Men 7% 41 18 24 10 Wom 8% 43 17 18 14

16. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bob Casey Jr. is handling his job as United States Senator? Tot Approve Disapprove DK/NA 46% 27 26 Rep 31% 38 31 Dem 63% 18 19 Ind 43% 27 30 Men 46% 31 23 Wom 46% 24 30

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bob Casey Jr. is handling his job as United States Senator? APPROVE....... High Low Mar 14 Sep 28 Aug 02 Jun 15 Apr 28 May 28 Dec 16 2012 2011 2011 2011 2011 2009 2010 Approve Disapprove DK/NA 46 27 26 46 30 24 48 29 23 47 26 27 44 26 30 56 21 23 39 29 32

17. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Pat Toomey is handling his job as United States Senator? Tot Approve Disapprove DK/NA 42% 28 31 Rep 62% 13 24 Dem 25% 41 35 Ind 39% 31 31 Men 48% 30 22 Wom 36% 26 38

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Pat Toomey is handling his job as United States Senator? Mar 14 2012 Approve Disapprove DK/NA 42 28 31 Sep 29 2011 43 32 26 Aug 02 2011 44 31 25 Jun 15 2011 45 28 27 Apr 28 2011 43 25 31 Feb 17 2011 41 21 39

18. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? Tot Approve Disapprove DK/NA 47% 49 4 Rep 12% 86 3 Dem 86% 13 2 Ind 40% 55 5 Men 45% 51 3 Wom 49% 48 4 Military HsHlds 41% 57 2 AGE IN YRS....... 18-49 50-64 65+ 49% 48 3 49% 49 2 45% 51 4

WHITE................................ COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Yes No Prot Cath Yes No Approve Disapprove DK/NA 53% 44 3 38% 58 4 31% 65 4 43% 53 4 21% 76 3 46% 50 5

COLLEGE DEG Yes No Approve Disapprove DK/NA 56% 41 3 43% 53 4

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 48% 46 6 48% 49 2 50% 50 1 46% 52 3

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? APPROVE....... High Low May 04 Apr 28 2009 2011 66 29 5 42 53 5

Mar 14 2012 Approve Disapprove DK/NA 47 49 4

Dec 08 2011 43 52 5

Nov 10 2011 44 52 5

Sep 28 2011 43 54 3

Aug 02 2011 43 54 3

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20. Do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected? Tot Yes/Deserves No/Does not DK/NA 47% 49 5 Rep 9% 88 3 Dem 84% 12 4 Ind 43% 50 7 Men 47% 50 3 Wom 47% 47 6 Military HsHlds 42% 56 3 AGE IN YRS....... 18-49 50-64 65+ 48% 48 5 50% 48 2 43% 50 7

WHITE................................ COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Yes No Prot Cath Yes No Yes/Deserves No/Does not DK/NA 51% 46 4 38% 57 5 31% 63 6 40% 55 5 19% 75 6 45% 50 5

COLLEGE DEG Yes No Yes/Deserves No/Does not DK/NA 54% 43 3 44% 51 5

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 48% 47 5 47% 48 5 49% 48 3 44% 52 4

TREND: Do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected? (*High also 48% Feb 2011, **Low also 42% Apr 2011, Jul 2010) YES/DESERVES.. High Low Jun 15 Aug 02 2011* 2011** 48 46 6 42 52 6

Mar 14 2012 Yes/deserves No/does not DK/NA 47 49 5

Dec 08 2011 47 49 4

Nov 10 2011 46 50 4

Sep 28 2011 44 51 5

Aug 02 2011 42 52 6

21. If the election for United States Senator were being held today, do you think you would vote for Bob Casey Jr. the Democratic candidate, or for the Republican candidate? Tot Casey 46% Republican 34 DEPENDS ON CAND(VOL) 8 DK/NA 12 Rep 8% 72 12 8 Dem 82% 5 3 10 Ind 44% 29 10 17 Men 45% 36 7 13 Wom 48% 32 8 12

TREND: If the election for United States Senator were being held today, do you think you would vote for Bob Casey Jr. the Democratic candidate, or for the Republican candidate? (2011 wording referenced "2012 election") Mar 14 2012 Casey 46 Republican 34 DEPENDS ON CAND(VOL) 8 DK/NA 12 Sep 28 2011 50 31 9 10 Aug 02 2011 47 35 8 10 Jun 15 2011 47 32 10 11 Apr 28 2011 46 34 9 11 Feb 17 2011 45 35 9 11 Dec 16 2010 43 35 11 11

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22. Do you feel that Bob Casey Jr. deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected? Tot Yes/Deserves No/Does not DK/NA 48% 30 21 Rep 21% 53 26 Dem 75% 10 15 Ind 46% 32 22 Men 46% 35 19 Wom 50% 26 24

TREND: Do you feel that Bob Casey Jr. deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected? Mar 14 2012 Yes/Deserves No/Does not DK/NA 48 30 21 Sep 28 2011 48 31 20 Aug 02 2011 47 33 19 Jun 15 2011 47 31 21 Apr 28 2011 48 31 21 Feb 17 2011 46 28 26 Dec 16 2010 40 33 27

23. Would you describe the state of the nation's economy these days as excellent, good, not so good, or poor? Tot Excellent Good Not so good Poor DK/NA 13 46 40 1 Rep 5 37 56 1 Dem 23 53 24 Ind 10 48 41 2 Men 16 46 37 1 Wom 10 46 43 1 AGE IN YRS....... 18-49 50-64 65+ 13 49 37 1 13 42 44 1 1% 13 47 38 2

COLLEGE DEG Yes No Excellent Good Not so good Poor DK/NA 20 43 36 1 10 47 42 1

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 13 44 43 8 52 37 2 14 45 41 16 45 39 1

TREND: Would you describe the state of the nation's economy these days as excellent, good, not so good, or poor? (*Low also 4% Feb 2009) EXLNT+GOOD.... High Low Jul 14 Mar 25 2004 2009* 3 37 41 18 1 4 39 56 1

Mar 14 2012 Excellent Good Not so good Poor DK/NA 13 46 40 1

Mar 25 2009 4 39 56 1

Feb 12 2009 4 30 66 -

Feb 27 2008 1 19 44 35 1

Sep 28 2004 2 34 39 23 1

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24. Do you think the nation's economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same? Tot Better Worse The same DK/NA 34% 28 37 1 Rep 15% 41 43 1 Dem 54% 14 31 1 Ind 34% 28 35 3 Men 41% 25 33 1 Wom 28% 30 40 2 AGE IN YRS....... 18-49 50-64 65+ 34% 24 39 2 37% 32 29 1 34% 26 40 1

COLLEGE DEG Yes No Better Worse The same DK/NA 47% 20 32 1 29% 31 39 2

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 30% 33 35 2 34% 24 40 2 39% 30 31 43% 22 34 1

TREND: Do you think the nation's economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same? Mar 14 2012 Better Worse The same DK/NA 34 28 37 1 Mar 25 2009 19 36 42 3

25. Would you say that you are better off or worse off financially than you were a year ago? Tot Better off Worse off SAME(VOL) DK/NA 32% 44 22 2 Rep 20% 57 21 2 Dem 45% 29 25 1 Ind 32% 45 21 1 Men 37% 41 22 1 Wom 28% 48 22 3 AGE IN YRS....... 18-49 50-64 65+ 44% 37 16 3 28% 51 21 19% 47 33 1

COLLEGE DEG Yes No Better off Worse off SAME(VOL) DK/NA 44% 37 18 1 27% 47 24 2

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 24% 53 21 2 31% 44 22 3 36% 41 21 1 46% 36 18 -

TREND: Would you say that you are better off or worse off financially than you were a year ago? (*Low also 23% Nov 2008) BETTER OFF.... High Low Jul 13 Feb 12 2004 2009 39 35 24 1 23 54 22 1

Mar 14 2012 Better off Worse off SAME(VOL) DK/NA 32 44 22 2

Feb 12 2009 23 54 22 1

Nov 26 2008 23 54 22 1

Jul 13 2004 39 35 24 1

Apr 22 2004 38 38 24 1

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26. (If Registered Republican) Which of the following will be the single most important issue in your vote in the Republican primary for President; the economy, health care, immigration issues, terrorism, the federal budget deficit, taxes, foreign policy, abortion or something else? REGISTERED REPUBLICANS.................................... WhtBrnAgnEv TEA PARTY Tot Men Wom Con Mod Yes No Yes No The economy Health care Immigration issues Terrorism The deficit Taxes Foreign policy Abortion Something else DK/NA 43% 11 3 3 16 6 3 6 6 3 43% 8 6 2 19 7 6 2 4 4 42% 13 1 4 12 6 1 10 7 3 42% 10 4 3 17 5 3 8 4 4 45% 10 3 5 15 10 3 2 6 1 38% 11 2 7 14 4 3 10 7 4 46% 11 6 1 16 7 4 4 4 2 39% 16 4 1 15 9 3 6 3 3 43% 9 3 4 17 5 3 6 7 3

COLLEGE DEG Yes No The economy Health care Immigration issues Terrorism The deficit Taxes Foreign policy Abortion Something else DK/NA 46% 9 1 1 14 9 4 6 6 4 41% 11 4 4 16 5 3 6 5 3

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 39% 18 7 2 6 7 4 6 4 7 42% 6 5 3 11 7 4 8 11 2 40% 8 2 4 23 5 3 5 7 3 46% 9 1 3 20 10 3 6 1 -

AGE IN YRS....... 18-49 50-64 65+ 40% 11 3 5 17 8 3 5 7 2 51% 3 1 18 6 3 9 5 4 37% 18 6 3 12 5 4 5 3 4

MOST IMPORTANT QUALITY Q27 Knowldg Moral Defeat Exprnc Leader Char Obama The economy Health care Immigration issues Terrorism The deficit Taxes Foreign policy Abortion Something else DK/NA 44% 12 4 4 16 7 4 2 5 2 54% 14 1 1 15 4 2 3 6 34% 5 4 3 22 2 4 17 6 4 41% 12 4 6 9 13 1 7 6

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TREND: (If Registered Republican) Which of the following will be the single most important issue in your vote in the Republican primary for President: the economy, health care, immigration issues, terrorism, the federal budget deficit, taxes, foreign policy, abortion or something else? REGISTERED REPUBLICANS Mar 14 Dec 08 2012 2011 The economy Health care Immigration issues Terrorism The deficit Taxes Foreign policy Abortion Something else DK/NA 43 11 3 3 16 6 3 6 6 3 43 9 2 1 25 6 1 5 5 3

27. (If Registered Republican) When you decide who to vote for in the Republican primary for President, which of the following is the single most important quality you look for in a candidate; knowledgeable and experienced, strong leader, strong moral character, likable, or ability to defeat Barack Obama? REGISTERED REPUBLICANS.................................... WhtBrnAgnEv TEA PARTY Tot Men Wom Con Mod Yes No Yes No Knowledge/Experience Leader Moral character Likable Defeat Obama DK/NA 27% 23 27 1 20 2 26% 25 22 1 25 2 28% 21 32 1 16 2 25% 19 31 1 21 3 30% 31 21 1 17 23% 23 34 1 16 2 30% 22 24 1 21 2 24% 24 23 26 3 27% 23 29 2 18 1

COLLEGE DEG Yes No Knowledge/Experience Leader Moral character Likable Defeat Obama DK/NA 22% 24 26 1 25 2 29% 23 28 1 18 2

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 23% 18 32 1 24 2 29% 25 33 1 10 2 29% 23 26 1 18 2 28% 26 20 2 24 -

AGE IN YRS....... 18-49 50-64 65+ 33% 16 33 2 15 18% 33 24 1 22 2 26% 25 20 1 24 4

MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE Q26 Economy Knowledge/Experience Leader Moral character Likable Defeat Obama DK/NA 28% 29 22 1 19 1

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TREND: (If Registered Republican) When you decide who to vote for in the Republican primary for President, which of the following is the single most important quality you look for in a candidate: knowledgeable and experienced, strong leader, strong moral character, likable, or ability to defeat Barack Obama? REGISTERED REPUBLICANS Mar 14 Dec 08 2012 2011 Knowledge/Experience Leader Moral Character Likable Defeat Obama DK/NA 27 23 27 1 20 2 37 25 18 1 15 3

28. Would you say that - Barack Obama cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Tot Yes No DK/NA 54% 43 3 Rep 22% 76 2 Dem 85% 13 2 Ind 50% 44 6 Men 52% 45 3 Wom 55% 41 4 Military HsHlds 48% 51 1 AGE IN YRS....... 18-49 50-64 65+ 55% 42 3 56% 41 3 50% 45 5

WHITE................................ COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Yes No Prot Cath Yes No Yes No DK/NA 58% 39 3 46% 50 4 43% 53 4 49% 48 3 35% 61 4 54% 44 3

COLLEGE DEG Yes No Yes No DK/NA 61% 37 3 51% 46 4

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 56% 40 4 50% 48 3 56% 41 3 55% 43 2

TREND: Would you say that Barack Obama cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Mar 14 2012 Yes No DK/NA 54 43 3 May 01 2008 66 26 8

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29. Would you say that - Mitt Romney cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Tot Yes No DK/NA 31% 55 13 Rep 53% 32 15 Dem 14% 75 11 Ind 32% 57 11 Men 33% 57 10 Wom 30% 54 16 Military HsHlds 35% 55 10 AGE IN YRS....... 18-49 50-64 65+ 31% 56 13 30% 59 11 35% 49 16

WHITE................................ COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Yes No Prot Cath Yes No Yes No DK/NA 37% 55 8 33% 54 14 37% 48 15 39% 50 11 45% 39 16 34% 55 11

COLLEGE DEG Yes No Yes No DK/NA 36% 57 7 30% 55 16

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 25% 60 15 31% 54 15 34% 58 8 41% 49 10

30. Would you say that - Rick Santorum cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Tot Yes No DK/NA 48% 44 8 Rep 78% 15 7 Dem 27% 65 8 Ind 40% 52 7 Men 48% 46 7 Wom 48% 42 10 Military HsHlds 53% 39 8 AGE IN YRS....... 18-49 50-64 65+ 45% 46 9 50% 44 6 50% 39 11

WHITE................................ COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Yes No Prot Cath Yes No Yes No DK/NA 46% 49 5 54% 39 7 57% 35 8 56% 38 7 69% 23 8 50% 44 6

COLLEGE DEG Yes No Yes No DK/NA 44% 51 5 49% 41 10

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 45% 45 10 48% 44 8 49% 46 5 48% 45 7

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31. Would you say that - Newt Gingrich cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Tot Yes No DK/NA 29% 60 11 Rep 56% 32 12 Dem 8% 83 9 Ind 29% 62 9 Men 30% 61 9 Wom 29% 59 13 Military HsHlds 34% 59 7 AGE IN YRS....... 18-49 50-64 65+ 28% 61 11 29% 62 9 31% 56 13

WHITE................................ COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Yes No Prot Cath Yes No Yes No DK/NA 30% 65 6 33% 56 11 37% 50 13 33% 58 8 46% 40 14 30% 61 9

COLLEGE DEG Yes No Yes No DK/NA 28% 66 5 30% 57 13

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 25% 61 15 30% 62 8 31% 61 8 31% 64 6

32. Would you say that - Ron Paul cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Tot Yes No DK/NA 50% 30 20 Rep 57% 23 20 Dem 39% 42 19 Ind 59% 24 17 Men 54% 31 15 Wom 46% 29 24 Military HsHlds 57% 30 14 AGE IN YRS....... 18-49 50-64 65+ 55% 28 17 50% 33 16 40% 32 27

WHITE................................ COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Yes No Prot Cath Yes No Yes No DK/NA 55% 29 16 53% 27 20 52% 28 21 52% 28 20 54% 23 22 53% 29 19

COLLEGE DEG Yes No Yes No DK/NA 54% 31 15 48% 30 22

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 40% 35 25 52% 28 21 55% 33 12 62% 23 15

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