Strategic Planning Success in Indonesian Government
Strategic Planning Success in Indonesian Government
By:
ELVIN Sinaga
51218641
September 2020
i
Table of Contents
Table of Contents...................................................................................................................... ii
Certification Page .................................................................................................................... iii
Acknowledgement ................................................................................................................... iv
Summary .................................................................................................................................. v
List of Tables .......................................................................................................................... vii
List of Figures........................................................................................................................ viii
List of Abbreviations ............................................................................................................... ix
CHAPTER I. INTRODUCTION............................................................................................... 1
1.1 Background ................................................................................................................... 1
1.2 Research Question and Objective ................................................................................... 2
1.3 Research Significance .................................................................................................... 2
CHAPTER II. STRATEGIC PLANNING AND IMPLEMENTATION IN PUBLIC
ADMINISTRATION THEORY..................................................................................... 4
2.1 The root of Strategic Planning in New Public Management ............................................ 4
2.2 Strategic Management, Strategic Planning, and Implementation ..................................... 7
2.3 Strategic Planning: Definition, Purposes, Process, and Types ......................................... 8
2.4 Strategy Implementation .............................................................................................. 11
CHAPTER III. FACTORS AFFECTING IMPLEMENTATION SUCCESS OF STRATEGIC
PLANNING................................................................................................................. 13
3.1 Strategic Planning: Rational and Incremental ............................................................... 13
3.2 Organizational Aspects ................................................................................................ 13
3.3 Environment Aspects ................................................................................................... 16
3.4 Linking Formal Strategic Planning and Strategy Implementation .................................. 19
3.5 Research model............................................................................................................ 20
CHAPTER IV. RESEARCH SITE .......................................................................................... 23
4.1 Batu Bara District ........................................................................................................ 23
4.2 Indonesia Strategic Planning System ............................................................................ 25
CHAPTER V. METHOD........................................................................................................ 32
5.1 Data collection and sample........................................................................................... 32
5.2 Variable and Indicator .................................................................................................. 32
5.3 Data Analysis Method .................................................................................................. 35
CHAPTER VI. RESULT ........................................................................................................ 42
6.1 Descriptive Statistic ..................................................................................................... 42
6.2 Confirmatory Factor Analysis ...................................................................................... 43
6.3 Hypothesis Testing....................................................................................................... 45
6.4 Other factors ................................................................................................................ 49
CHAPTER VII. DISCUSSION ............................................................................................... 52
7.1 Contribution to Research .............................................................................................. 52
7.2 Implications to the Practice of Batu Bara District ......................................................... 55
CHAPTER VIII. CONCLUSION............................................................................................ 59
REFERENCE ......................................................................................................................... 60
APPENDIX ............................................................................................................................ 66
Questionnaire ...................................................................................................................... 66
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Certification Page
I, Elvin Sinaga (Student ID 51218641) hereby declare that the contents of this
Master Thesis are original and true and have not been submitted at any other university
or educational institution for the award of degree or diploma. All the information derived
from other published or unpublished sources has been cited and acknowledged
appropriately.
Elvin Sinaga
2020/07/10
iii
Acknowledgement
First and foremost, I thank God Almighty for giving me direction, strength, and
allowing me to encounter numerous helping people. Without His grace and blessing, this
Asia Pacific Studies, Ritsumeikan Asia Pacific University for accepting me when nobody
did and for not giving up on me when the road got tough. Without her persistent and
continuous guidance, help, and encouragement, this thesis would not have been realized.
I would also like to thank Bambang Supriyono, Prof. Dr., MS and Firda Hidayati, S.Sos,
both universities' staff for supports during my years of study. My gratitude also for JICA
I want to thank Tika and Mia for the invaluable assistance during the data
Jondan, and Pandu for precious and memorable moments throughout our study and
Genggesss, to keep cheering from afar and Dilli, for listing me in your weekly prayer
Finally, thanks to my parents and siblings: Melva, Lambok, Renny, and Duma for
their prayer and unwavering support. Without them, this achievement would not have
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Summary
For more than two decades following its adoption in the public sector, strategic
planning has become standard practice in most government agencies. However, studies
have found that that many plans are not being executed or successful. In order to provide
a method for governments to systematically examine the causes, this thesis applied and
improved previous research to study the factors affecting the implementation success of
performance. Furthermore, this research seeks to identify the issues of the examined
the planning itself, this study also examined the mediating role of managerial
data were gathered through structured direct questionnaires to three levels of managers
Squares (SEM-PLS) was used for analysis. Data analysis comprise of confirmatory
complement the results' explanations. Further analysis was undertaken to find the effect
The findings shown that formal strategic planning in a single government entity
is beneficial and that formal strategic planning, regardless of context, posits a positive
impact on the success of the strategy implementation. This result indicates the public
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practices is proven to be worth doing and reference to the debate between formal and
incremental plan. The results also confirmed the mediating effects of managerial
involvement and the moderating effects of stakeholder uncertainty and found that the
perception of stakeholder uncertainty, resources and expertise are main problems in the
use their expertise to build a clear strategy so that changes can be minimized, rather than
strategic planning, and provided policy recommendations for the further improvement
Indonesia
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List of Tables
vii
List of Figures
viii
List of Abbreviations
ix
CHAPTER I. INTRODUCTION
1.1 Background
strategic direction and resources to attain strategic goals (Bryson et al., 2017). For more
than two decades, most public organizations across the world have adopted strategic planning
(Poister, 2010b) and now it has become standard practice in most government agencies
(Poister, 2010a; Bryson et al., 2017). Like other private sector management methods,
strategic planning is intended to improve the functioning of the public sector (Kapucu,
2006) and make public organizations as efficient and effective as those in the private
sector.
Many research have examined the effectiveness of strategic planning (Pasha et al.,
2018; Hinţea et al., 2015; Salkić, 2014; Poister et al., 2013; Andrews et al., 2009; Boyne
et al., 2004 and Hendrik, 2003). The findings were varied; however, they generally
some studies suggest that public organizations are not very successful in implementing
their strategic plans. Nutt (1999) argues that only fifty percent of plans are executed.
Moreover, local government agencies create many plans but not many are implemented
(Nurmandi & Purnomo, 2011). Although public agencies are progressively utilizing
strategic management frameworks and strategies, they are not learning and are merely
1
As reviewed in the next section, several studies have analyzed the factors affecting
studies assessed individual aspects, and few analyzed the factors in an interrelated
manner. As an application and improvement of the research of Elbanna et al. (2016) and
Afandi et al. (2018), this study aims to analyze mediating and moderating roles of
managerial involvement and stakeholder uncertainty along with other factors affecting
Batu Bara, a newly-formed organization which has been evaluated by the national
This study is expected to investigate the question: “What are the factors affecting
research seeks to examine the factors affecting the successful implementation of the
find the problem of examined government, and derive policy recommendations for
further improvement.
2016; Afandi et al., 2018). However, there have been limited studies dedicated to
investigating the same relationship in one level organization to make the result more
specific. Moreover, in a developing country like Indonesia, the new-formed region can
be one of the most prominent contexts considering the limited studies have been done.
2
The researcher chose Batu Bara District, representing one sub-sample of government
organization and the new autonomous region as the context of research. This study
provided a comprehensive analytic method for analyzing factors that affect the successful
other factors and applies in both developed and developing countries to all governments.
People may use the model to analyze whether their strategic plan implementation is
successful or failed.
3
CHAPTER II. STRATEGIC PLANNING AND
philosophy for reforming the public sector, based on the implementation of private sector
concepts, strategies, and techniques. Garson and Overman described NPM at the
political resources" (Taylor et al., 2011). Pollit (1994) stated, "NPM has variously been
Over the years, the public sector has gradually followed models, tools, and
mechanisms in the private sector, as NPM suggests (Williams & Lewis, 2008). Since the
1980s, NPM has been substantially influencing reforms in various countries. NPM and
its reforms are comprehended as deliberate policies and action initiatives that modify
for an efficient and reliable public sector (Kapucu, 2006). T The term NPM comprises
various techniques and perspectives, aiming to overcome the inefficiencies that adhere to
the old public administration model (Pfiffner, 2004). Several countries worldwide have
implemented public administration reforms on the basis of the NPM tenets, not only
developed nations, for example, the UK, Australia, New Zealand, but have extended into
Latin America, Asia, Africa and to include emerging and transnational corporations
4
The NPM has provided public organizations with new economic insights and
general management theories. It can be seen from the doctrines advocated by NPM. Hood
(1991) defines seven doctrines of NPM theories that mostly occurred based on the
because it emphasizes the management practices of the private sector to manage public
areas. NPM advocates that the private sector's application management methods will
enhance the public sector's functioning (Kapucu, 2006; Danneels & Viaene, 2015).
Table 1
New Public Management Doctrinal Elements
5
No. Doctrine Meaning Typical
Justification
franchise
agreements
5. Shift to greater Shift to term contracts and Rivalry is the way to
competition in public tenders cost savings and
public sector improved standards
Strategic planning, one of the private sector methods adopted by the public sector,
Gathering most of the stressing points of NPM, Gruening (2001) divided them into two
groups. The first is undisputed features that academic observers almost always list,
whereas the second is debatable characteristics that some but not all observers mention.
Table 2
New Public Management’s Characteristics
and eventually, the evaluation stage. Joyce (2014) maintains that “strategic management
of the goals, mission, and visions of an organization, taking into account strategically
the interests of the company and its stakeholders”. While strategic planning is concerned
with generating fundamental decisions and action and guiding what an organization
should do and how to do it, then implementation is a continuous endeavor to realize the
7
Source: Poister et al. (2010)
based on the mission or purpose that is the duty of an organization with the emphasis on
the environment and its changes. Scholars propose at least two strategic planning
purposes, the first is preserving the organization's favorable long-term balance with its
environment (Eadie, in Poister & Streib, 2005) and the second is enhancing clarity and
8
a. Fostering strategy thought, behavior and learning (for example, recognizing the
context, clarifying the task, selecting the best approaches, negotiating success
sector boundaries, to deal with significant public issues) of more extensive social
networks;
Initially, from the private sector, there are several processes of a strategic planning
application. Bryson & Roering (1987; 2004) created a strategic planning framework for
1. Decision-makers start the process with an initial agreement among them, the support
9
4. Two simultaneous steps: identify internal strengths and weaknesses of the organization
problems;
7. Description of the potential future of the institution containing the mission of the
There are two primary methods of how organizations formulated their strategies.
First, rational planning, also known as root method is proposed by Eadie; Denhardt;
Kaufman & Jacobs; Nutt & Backoff; Pindur; Gibson; Bryson (as cited in T. Poister et
al., 2013). Second, logical incrementalism or stated as the branch method is proposed
by Quinn, 1982; Behn, 1988; Mintzberg, 1994. The advocates of rational planning base
their claims that the desired future should be established by a series of comprehensive
and systematic processes that consider the organization's external and internal aspects
to make a set of strategies, allocate resources, and the time to achieve goals. The rational
method is reflected in formal strategic planning that viewed to be the most sophisticated
form of planning, which involves explicit, systematic procedures for obtaining the
et al., 1995). Walker et al. suggested that formal strategic planning relies on a rigorous
and comprehensive analytical framework (as cited in T. Poister et al., 2013). Capon et
al. (1987) maintained that formality refers to the degree to which goals are explicitly
stated and the strategies stated in a written document, stipulated processes, planned
process steps, and progress are regularly monitored against the resulting timetable.
10
Meanwhile, supporters of incrementalism argue that planning is seldom strategic,
and strategy making emerges as a yield of strategic thinking. Mintzberg states that
strategies cannot always be formulated and precisely planned in a timetable. They must
be free of any position, usually informal learning through disorderly procedures (T.
Poister et al., 2013). According to Bryson et al., (2018) both methods can be used in
public entities with several adaptations. The rational planning model, for example,
emphasizes the side that planning is likely technical, should pay attention to wider
stakeholders and political realities in their environment. On the other hand, logical
incrementalism applies to public organizations, if overall strategic aims that the strategy
Implementation is concerned with putting the plans into reality and eventually
Håkonsson et al. (2012), implementation refers to strategy realization and what the
which policies, programs, and action plans are implemented within the organization (as
cited in Andrews et al., 2011). As a part of strategic management, Bryson (2010) defines
public interest.
11
performance management to fulfill mandates; achieving determined mission, goals,
success and utilizing assessment to evaluate to what extent success has been obtained
(Bryson et al., 2010). Vinzant & Vinzant (1996) divided the levels of implementation
success into four consisting of: level 1 is the fulfillment of all elements explained in
strategic planning process ; level 2 is the fulfillment of the process of strategic planning
and the establishment of a strategic planning document; level 3 is the compound of level
assessment processes that supply input to the implementation of the strategic plan
elements.
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CHAPTER III. FACTORS AFFECTING IMPLEMENTATION
(Friedman; Van Gunsteren, in Boyne, 2001). It uses a robust and deliberative process with
an emphasis on analysis, goal setting, formulating strategies and assessment (Eadie; Nutt
& Backoff in Poister et al., 2013; Bryson, 2004). Meanwhile, for others, planning is more
likely to be incremental. Quinn (1980) suggests that the strategic plans of effective
organizations arise from incremental rather than logical processes and that most significant
strategic decisions tend to be taken beyond the formal planning system. Mintzberg (1994)
declared that 'strategic planning' is an oxymoron and that strategy is something that cannot
results. The planning process can weaken an organization by generating uncertainty and
disagreement, which in turn lowers employee motivation and engagement (Boyne, 2001).
This study focuses on formal strategic planning because the Indonesian government has
implementation. In addition to how well the plan is made, certain organizational and
13
environmental aspects need to be considered. Joyce (2000) proposed some environmental
determinants, including the political background, the policy environment it deals with,
the demands of the constituent groups and policy stakeholders, and the dynamics of the
staff, rewards or controls are prime requisites for effective implementation. In a study of
Welsh local governments, Boyne et al. (2004) found that the strategic planning effort is
substantially influenced by resources. Bradley et al. (2011) and Elbanna (2012) reported
Poister and Streib (1994) and Titus et al. (2011) found that organizational size and
(2010) claimed that public agencies with independent planning units in their
organizational structure are more prone to participate in strategic planning activities than
those without such units. Expertise in strategic planning is also posited as an integral
engagement. While Poister (1994) argued that bureaucrats are more likely to exercise
strategic planning than elected officials, the findings of Boyne et al. (2004) in Welsh local
strategic planning processes in Flemish municipalities by George et al. (2017) found that
strategic goals derived from strategic plans were closely correlated with politicians'
spending preferences.
14
Involvement is required from strategy formulation to implementation. It starts
from the planning process in terms of giving input, analysing, and finally making an
strategies reflects the commitment of top management to the plans to be formulated (Said
Elbanna et al., 2016). Barringer & Bluedorn defined involvement in a broader scope as
the level of participation from the plan, action, decision-making, and implementation
process by the organization’s members (as cited in Afandi et al., 2018). Poister et al.
(2010) maintained that strong executive engagement and the involvement of employees
are notable predictors of program formulation and implementation. Smith et al. (2001)
revealed that inadequate support from senior officials and a lack of workers’ cooperation
First, strengthen vision, research exhibits that if people are involved in strategic decisions,
rational across a wider spectrum of organization leaders. Collier et al., (2004) maintain
that broader involvement elevates the quantity and variation of information integrated
the better quality of strategic choices, better comprehension of the planned strategy,
15
Involvement posits a role in the effective strategy implementation. Managers’
active participation in plan formulation is considered essential for ensuring that strategic
decisions work (Elbanna et al., 2014; Wooldridge et al., 2008), and the correlation of
participation by making the process more rational (Collier et al., 2004). Strategic planning
does not perform itself and early involvement from plan formulation will create a sense
of ownership and commitment to implement it. George et al. (2018) found that members
of the planning team who view strategic planning as a vital mechanism for enhancing
municipal efficiency seem to be more willing to implement it. Ham Brick & Cannella and
Sandy found that an extensive and substantial range of organizational officials' initial
(Noble, 1999). Dess noted that middle managers are responsible for implementing
strategy, and involvement increases the execution of strategies by creating incentives for
Wooldridge & Floyd, 1990). With the commitment of the people who implement it, the
background, the policy environment it deals with, demands of constituent groups and
policy stakeholders, and the dynamics in the practical sector it works. The other
the organizational decision to conduct strategic planning. For instance, the institutional
2007) and to which that entity operates in a highly networked governance process is a
of stakeholders and why it can be uncertain. Organizations need to pay attention to the
who have the resources needed by the organization. Based on contingency theory, Dess
turbulence) (O’Toole & Meier, 2015; Hendrick, 2003). Those dimensions of the
environment require the public sector to cope with varying demands and interests of
over that. Environmental munificence refers to the relative effect of external social,
market resources for its finances and institutional legitimacy (Bozeman, 1987).
mainly to serve heterogeneous and frequently diverse classes of service users. The
17
demands of the various external actor, including citizens, regulators, and media also
need to be balanced.
believe that public sector organizational environments are highly dynamic (Ginter,
(Bryson & Roering, 1987). For Nutt and Backoff, stakeholder is “all parties who will
be affected by or will affect the organization’s strategy” (1992). The stakeholder is,
therefore, part of the organization's internal and external environment, which can
includes citizens, taxpayers, beneficiaries of the programs, the regulatory body, workers,
associations, interest groups, the media, political parties, the financial sector, and other
governments.
as the success and survival of these organizations depends on their ability to create value
for their key stakeholders (Bryson, 2004). Public-sector organizations are complicated
due to the large number of different stakeholders involved. Governments have to deal
with the complexity of their stakeholders such as elected, appointed and career officials,
voters, regulators, media and so forth (Bryson et al., 2018; Boyne, 2010). They need to
meet unpredictable demands for public services (Hinţea & Ţiclău, 2015) and encounter
various constraints with more control by external entities (Bozeman & Bretschnieder;
18
Nutt & Backoff, in Hendrick, 2003). Public organizations, to some extent, depend on
external party support for legitimacy and financial approval (O’Toole & Meier, 2015).
For this reason, public organizations should analyze these uncertainties and come up with
stakeholder support (Pfeffer & Salancik, in Elbanna et al., 2016), which can be a better
way to use managerial influence over a challenging environment rather than making ad
Some strategic planning studies have been conducted in the public sector linking
(Boyne & Gould-Williams, 2003; Andrews et al., 2009; Poister et al., 2013; Salkić,
2014; Hinţea & Ţiclău, 2015 and Johnsen, 2016). The findings of Poister et al. (2013)
show that establishing formal strategic planning, whether alone or incorporated with
thereby minimizing the possibility that managers allocate resources based on their
pressures. Hinţea (2015) found that in the case of Romania, 87% of local public
authorities used strategic planning as a managerial tool, with the main benefits of the
planning process being coherence in local development actions and increased quality of
local governance. Johnsen (2016) revealed that formal strategy planning increases
19
While the purpose of strategic planning is to generate fundamental decisions and
actions and provide guidance on what an organization should do and how to do it,
implementation is an ongoing effort to put the plan into action. Strategy implementation
is concerned with turning the plans into reality and eventually achieving the intended
adoption, and enactment of strategic plans' (Noble, 1999). Håkonsson et al. (2012) stated
that implementation is 'the realization of strategy' and what the company is doing. These
definitions are in line with Bryson’s (2010) notion that strategic planning and
implementation are both action-oriented and influence each other. Hence, the process
of strategic planning and the actual execution of the decisions generated from that
process are directly linked. The traditional strategic planning approach suggests that
concurrent practices are the formulation and execution of plans. According to public
sector proponents of strategic planning, when goals are clearly defined, approaches are
systematic model (Figure 2) to explain the correlation between formal strategic planning
H1: there will be a positive relationship between formal strategic planning and the
20
H2: the relationship between formal strategic planning and the successful
H3: uncertainty among stakeholders will reinforce the relationship between formal
The model incorporated four control variables including resource slack, strategic
planning expertise and organizational size. Following Dean and Sharfman (1996),
environmental favorability was also used as a control variable, referring to the degree to
Elbanna et al. (2016) tested and accepted all three hypotheses. Their research was
conducted in the Canadian public sector across various government levels. However,
the model has not been widely followed by further studies to test whether it can be
utilized in other contexts. Specifically, there have been limited studies dedicated to
investigating one organization. For the Indonesian context, Afandi et al. (2018) added
stakeholder involvement as the mediating variable but stakeholder uncertainty was not
21
study attempts to test the same hypotheses to examine the relationship among variables
in a newly formed region in Indonesia, namely Batu Bara District, and further
investigates whether the model can be utilized to reveal the problems of strategic
other factors which may affect strategy implementation success (Figure 3). This
research is expected to provide expanded insights and an analytical method for assessing
22
CHAPTER IV. RESEARCH SITE
The context of the study is Batu Bara District North Sumatera Province, Indonesia.
Batu Bara District was established in 2007 as one of the new autonomous regions
separated from Asahan District. Regional expansion became a new trend in the structure
of the regional government in Indonesia after the enactment of Law No. 22 of 1999 that
was substituted with the issuance of Law No. 32 of 2004. In 1999 Indonesia consisted
of 28 provinces, 234 districts, and 50 cities. From 1999 to 2014, the number of provinces
As of April 2020, Batu Bara has 369,212 population. Located between 2°030’00”
- 3°30’30” north latitude and 99°01”00” - 100°00” east longitude, Batu Bara covers the
area of 904.96 km2, mostly situated on the mainland of Sumatra and a small portion on
Pandan and Salah Nama Island. The altitudes of the land surface of Batu Bara District
vary between one (1) until 50 meters above sea level. Based on its geographic position,
Batu Bara District has the following boundaries: Serdang Bedagai District and Malacca
Strait (North); Asahan Districts and Simalungun District (South); Simalungun District,
Tebing Tinggi District, and Serdang Bedagai District (West); and Malacca Strait and
Table 3. All 38 agencies have specific structural lines to take care of their specialized
duties. The Government and Welfare division consists of 22 agencies mainly related to
basic services for citizens, such as education, health, social, population and civil
registration, and sub-district offices. The Economy and Development division conducts
23
its duties in regional economy and planning; for instance, public works, housing and
Administration division mainly takes care of the financial sector and services for the
government agencies have less than 50 employees, and only five agencies have more
than 50 employees. From the duration of the strategic planning process practice, the
agencies are classified into two categories. The first group includes 35 agencies which
were established in 2013 and before, while the second group consists of three agencies
established in 2016.
Table 3
Batu Bara Agencies’ profile
Number of employees
1. Less than 25 14
2. 25 – 50 19 36.84
3. 51 – 75 2 50.00
4. 76 - 100 2 5.26
5. More than 100 1 5.26
Total 38 2.64
Engagement to strategic
planning
1. Less than 5 years 3
2. 5 – 10 years 35 7.89
Total 38 92.11
Source: Research data, processed (2020)
24
4.2 Indonesia Strategic Planning System
out over ten years of strategic planning. The regulation mandates a planning system at
the local Government. The same also is applied both for province and regency
years. The planning document is macro, which contains the vision, mission, and
RPJPD, the province refers to the national development direction stipulated in the
within 5 (five) years, according to the tenure of the elected regional head. The
RPJMD is prepared based on the vision, mission, and program of the regional
head. Programs and activities that are planned according to government affairs
the RPJMD according to the duties and functions of each Agency according to the
area of affairs that is the regional authority. The Agency's strategic plan is
25
indicative and prepared by referring to the RPJMD and Minimum Service
Government Affairs following the Agency's duties and the function. Each Agency
development goals.
4. The Agency work plan (Rencana Kerja-PD) is a document for each Agency's
development plan with a period of 1 (one) year. Agency Work Plan contains
policies, programs, and activities following the tasks and functions of the Agency
based on the functions that are the authority of the region, the targets (indicators),
results, and measurable output, along with the details of the funding (National
and various stakeholder involvement. Previously the stages, procedure, and the
2017 of Home Affairs Minister concerning Procedures for Planning, Control and
Development Plan, Procedures for Changing Long Term Development Plan, Middle
Term Development Plan, and Work Plan of Local Government. While the latest
regulation regulates several matters to complete the previous rule, the main points
regarding the strategic planning preparation are not much different. The most striking
26
planning at the agency level is described in Figure 4. The following list consists of the
and indicative funding for 5 (five) years, including the location of activities.
(Kajian Lingkungan Hidup Strategis) following the duties and functions of the
agency. This analysis aims to ensure that sustainable development has become the
9. The draft of the Agency Strategic Plan is discussed with all work units within the
Agency and next to be discussed together with stakeholders following the needs
input in the context of sharpening the target performance, programs and activities,
location, and target groups arranged in the design Regional Strategic Plan.
10. The draft Agency Strategic Plan is then submitted to the Regional Development
27
improving the draft Agency Strategic Plan become the final draft of the Agency
Strategic Plan.
11. Completion of the Agency Strategic Plan aims to ensure the strategy, policy
Regulation of RPJMD.
12. Final verification following the completion stage must be able to guarantee the
activities with the RPJMD and integration with the final draft of the other Agency
Figure 4 Flowchart chart and stages of the agency strategic plan formulation (Ministry of Home Affairs, 2018,
modified)
28
The above stages and flowchart indicate that various aspects of being considered
for local government in establishing strategic planning. Not only agencies deal with their
duties and function but also external factors such as province and ministries strategic
identifying and selecting priorities for community development. It intends for the
goals between government, NGO stakeholders, and local communities (United Nations
Development Programme, 2017). All the results of these inputs will be analyzed and
Plan's formulation is carried out by a team led by the Head of Agency. The composition
of team membership comes from officials and staff who are competent in planning and
budgeting and master the substance of the functions and duties of the Agency. The
following the required competencies. The composition of the strategic planning team
Secretary / other officials of Agency; Work Group: the composition is adjusted to the
needs, chaired by the head of the work unit with members of the officials/staff of the
Evaluation of the strategic plan is conducted both internally and externally. For
internal evaluation, Agency Head controls and evaluates the Agency's strategic plan
29
implementation. Control over strategic plan implementation includes the Agency's
performance indicators, program plans, activities, indicative target groups, and funding,
as well as the goals and objectives of the Agency's Strategic Plan. In terms of evaluating
the results of monitoring and supervision found that there are discrepancies/deviations,
the Head of the Agency takes corrective / refinement actions. The Head of the Agency
reports the assessment results of the Agency's Strategic Plan to the Regent.
The external evaluation comprises of regional and national level. At the local
year and in the fifth year. A more comprehensive assessment is held at the national level
System. The scope of evaluation includes the assessment of strategic plan; assessment
and activities, and evaluation of the policies of the relevant agency/work unit. Table 4
(very good) the score is 75 -85, CC (quite good) with a score of 50 - 65, C (somewhat
less) with a score of 30-50, and the value of D (less) with a score of 0 - 30.
30
Table 4
Government Agency Performance Accountability Evaluation
31
CHAPTER V. METHOD
conducted with some wording changes were made to reflect the context of local
officers including the head, section head, and sub-section head of all 38 agencies.
114 questionnaires, 109 were returned with 107 complete answers. The total valid
response was rated at 93 per cent and was used for subsequent data processing. The
composition of the responses based on manager level is: Top Manager/Agency Head
(34). All Batu Bara local government agencies were represented in the valid
questionnaires. Most of the agencies gave complete responses from all manager levels.
(hypothesized as moderating) and control variables. Solihin & Ratmono (2017) stated that
in order to obtain good internal validity, researchers should control other variables that
32
Therefore, some factors were included as control variables in depicting the association
between formal strategic planning and strategy implementation. The definitions of the
concepts in this research follow the conceptualization in Elbanna et al. (2016). Tables 5
variables and indicators (the questions used in the survey) including abbreviations used
in this research. The list of the questions is shown in the Appendix section.
Table 5
Criterion, predictor, mediating, and moderating variables
33
Variable Definition Indicator
(Mediating) involvement in MI2: The level of section head
the participation to strategic plan
planning development
process of top, MI3: The level of sub-section head
middle and participation to strategic plan
operations development
managers
Stakeholder The level and SU1: The easiness of forecasting
uncertainty - SU unpredictabilit stakeholders’ preferences (reverse
(Moderating) y of change of coded)
stakeholder SU2: The easiness of predicting actions of
our stakeholders (reverse coded)
SU3: The frequency of changing services
and practices an organization has to
make to keep up with stakeholders’
expectations
Source: Elbanna et al. (2016), modified
34
5.3 Data Analysis Method
This study utilized the Structural Equation Model-Partial Least Square (SEM-
PLS) with software named Warp-PLS version 6.0 for analyzing the relationship among
variables. In a broad range of fields, Structural Equation Model (SEMs) that employ a
Partially Least Squares (PLS) or PLS-based SEM approach have been and continue to
be widely applied (Kock, 2019). There are several reasons for using SEM-PLS as an
analysis tool, one of which when the structural model is complex and involves many
constructs, indicators, and/or model relationships (Hair, 2019). For this research, SEM-
PLS was chosen because it involves several constructs/latent variables and the variety
appropriate statistical method to explain the relationships when the sample size is small
(Leguina, 2015), which can be utilized with data 30-100 (Yamin & Kurniawan, 2009).
quality (Hair et al., 2020), which includes outer and inner model evaluations. PLS is
known to be one of the SEM emerging after covariance-based SEM (CM-SEM). PLS is
endogenous constructs. Fornell and Bookstein stated that SEM-PLS works more like a
multiple regression analysis (as cited in Hair et al., 2014) involving a multi-stages
process with three prominent parts: model specification, outer model evaluation; and
inner model evaluation. The model specification step is the establishment of the inner
and outer models (Figure 5). The inner model, or structural model, shows the
connections between the constructs being tested. The outer models, also regarded as the
35
measurement models, are used to determine the connections between the indicator
Outer model evaluation is the following stage after the model establishment. The
PLS-SEM algorithm will perform the calculation, and the results demonstrate the
reliability and validity of the construct measures in the outer models. By evaluating the
outer models, the researcher should trust that the structures are correctly calculated and
interpreted as the basis for evaluating the internal model relations (Hair et al., 2014).
The outer model evaluation for indicators will be different depends on indicators treated
as reflective or formative. All indicators of this study are reflective indicators; therefore,
the further explanation will describe the reflective indicator’s validity and reliability.
value of the correlation coefficient between the reflexive indicator score and the latent
variable score. In the analysis factor, it is shown by the factor loading value; the value
36
of the factor loading ≥ 0.5 - 0.6 is considered adequate (Solimun, 2017). Discriminant
Validity is measured on the basis of cross-load measurements and the square root of the
average variance extracted (AVE); the loading of each indicator must be higher for its
designated construct than for other constructs and the AVE root value must be higher
than the correlation value between constructs (Fornel & Lacker, 1981 in Yamin, 2009).
Composite reliability indicates a good quality questionnaire when the value is ≥ 0.70.
examine the internal quality reliability of the construct measures rather than Cronbach's
α.
relationship which exists between the latent variables and their assumptions. It is shown
by Goodness of Fit indices. Model Fitness and Quality Indices have many requirements,
but the model is still acceptable if only one or two criteria are met (Solimun and
Nurjannah, 2017).
In summary, the SEM-PLS algorithm employs the empirical data of indicators and
iteratively calculates the construct scores, path coefficient, indicators' loads and weights,
and additional statistics such as R2. After evaluating the values for each construct, the
algorithm determines all other connections in the PLS path model. First, the algorithm
provides the product of the measuring model, which are the relations between the
constructs and their indicators. Then the algorithm evaluates the relations among
constructs. PLS's advantages are its ability to explain both recursive and non-recursive
37
Source: Solimun and Nurjannah, 2017
Once the research model fulfils both outer and inner model criteria, then
hypothesis testing can be applied to examine the relationship among variables. The
results can be assessed by path coefficients, coefficient of determination (R2), the effect
size (f2), and cross-validated redundancy (Q2) (Hair et al., 2014). The programs to
This study used the latest software in further analysis. Warp-PLS provides users a wide
variety of features, many of which do not come from other SEM applications. For
instance, explicitly identify non-linear functions linking sets of latent variables in SEM
are modeled on lines with their first and second derivatives covering various noncyclical
38
and monocyclic functions. This program also supplies classic PLS algorithms with
Mediation
Mediation happens when a third variable mediator is intervening with two other
associated constructs (Hair et al., 2017). A shift in the exogenous construct induces a
shift of mediator component resulting in a shift in the endogenous construct in the PLS
Examining the moderating impact in the PLS analysis is by applying the mediation
regression. Figure 7 demonstrates the details of testing the mediating effect among
variables.
39
Source: Solimun and Nurjannah, 2017
Figure 7a. Direct relationship without mediating variable Figure 7b. Relationship involves mediating
variables
Figure 7. Moderating effect analysis
1. The results of p1 (in the first model) path coefficient analysis must be significant;
variable;
3. If p3 and p4 are significant, and p2 is also significant, where the path coefficient p2 is
4. If p3 and p4 are significant, and p2 is also significant, where the path coefficient p2 is
Moderation
is not fixed but relies on the scores of a third variable, named moderator variable. The
moderator variable switches strength or, indeed, the direction between two constructs
p1 which connects Y1 to Y2 shows the moderating effect (p3). Also, there is a direct
40
relationship (p2) between the moderator and the criterion construct, while considering
the moderating effect in a PLS path model. Y1's impact on Y2 relies not only on the
intensity of p1 but also the product of M and p3. The model equation moderation
In order to understand other factors that may affect the implementation success,
researcher further added control variables to predictors and conducted SEM-PLS again.
The impact of each variable is evaluated by effect sizes, which are actual values of the
of latent criterion variable (Kock, 2014), indicated by the path coefficients suggested by
Cohen: small (0.02), medium (0.15) or large (0.35) (Chen et al., 2010).
41
CHAPTER VI. RESULT
the development of certain indices from the raw data in the form of the minimum,
maximum, average value, and standard deviation of each variable in the research (Kothari,
2004). Table 7 presents the general descriptive statistics of each indicator of latent
variables.
Table 7
Descriptive Statistics
42
6.2 Confirmatory Factor Analysis
To test the validity and reliability of the research measurement, the analysis
started with convergent validity for direct relationships among all indicators of formal
strategic planning, strategy implementation success, and four control variables. The
indicators SIS3, RS2 and RS6 had factor loadings below 0.5, and therefore, were
removed. In the further test for the complete research model involving mediating and
moderating links, indicators FSP7 and SU3 were removed due to loading and cross-
loading problems. After the problematic indicators were removed, all AVEs, as shown
in Table 8, were not below the suggested value of 0.5 (Hair et al., 2014) and therefore,
Table 8
Average variances extracted
each indicator to its latent variable and other variables and the square root AVE. The
combined loadings and cross-loadings results showed that the cross-loading of each
indicator is lower than its factor loading to its latent variable and the AVE root value is
higher than the correlation value between variables (Table 9). Therefore, discriminant
validity is fulfilled.
43
Table 9
Correlations among latent variable and square roots of AVEs
Third, the coefficient value of the composite reliability of all variables is above
0.70 (Table 10), therefore, the questionnaire is reliable for this research.
Table 10
Composite reliability coefficients
The summary of the model fit and quality indices excerpt from the results is
shown in Table 11, which demonstrates that the model is considered good enough to
explain the relationships between the latent variables and the expected role in the
hypothesized connection.
44
Table 11
Model fit and quality indices
Following the confirmatory analysis, the next step was to examine the
hypothesized model using regression analysis. First, the regression of formal strategic
planning (FSP) on strategy implementation success (SIS). As seen in Figure 9, the first
hypothesis was confirmed by the resulting path coefficient β = 0.50 and p < 0.01. The
value of R2 = 0.47 shows that formal strategic planning and control variables explain 47
per cent of the variance of strategy implementation success. Therefore, formal strategic
45
Source: Research data, processed (2020)
Figure 9 Direct relationship of formal strategic Figure 10 Mediation and moderation regression
planning and strategy implementation success
between FSP and SIS significantly. The first condition for the mediating relationship
has been fulfilled by the positive and significant relationship between predictor and
criterion variables (β = 0.50 and p < 0.01) as explained above (Figure 9). The regression
of managerial involvement (MI) as a mediating variable (Figure 10) revealed that FSP
significantly influences MI at R2 0.52, β = 0.72, and p < 0.01. Next, when FSP and MI
were combined, the p values of FSP to MI and MI to SIS are both significant. Moreover,
the indirect relationship exhibited R2 0.58, p < 0.01, which means that managerial
involvement increased the R2 by 0.11 points (from 0.47 in Figure 9 to 0.58 in Figure 10).
Therefore, managerial involvement held the role as a partial mediator because the path
coefficient of direct relationship between FSP and SIS (0.50 in Figure 9) is higher than
the path coefficient after including MI as the mediating variable (0.34 in Figure 10).
The last hypothesis is whether stakeholder uncertainty (SU) will strengthen the
link between formal strategic planning and strategy implementation success. The result
46
obtained shows the value of β = 0.03 and p = 0.38, which means that stakeholder
uncertainty into two: SU1 and SU2, which are about the easiness to predict stakeholder
preferences and actions which reflects what the respondents think of uncertainty, and
SU3, which reflects the frequency of uncertainty that the respondents react to in reality.
The answers were divided into two groups, where the first group had answer
values of 1 and 2, which indicates that respondents feel they can easily predict
stakeholder preferences and actions, and the second group had answer values of 3, 4 and
5 which indicates that respondents think stakeholder preferences and actions are more
unpredictable.
preferences and actions (Figure 11b) demonstrates the positive and significant
toward SIS. The R2 went up to 0.71 which means success will be achieved better with
all variables involved, especially when formal strategic planning has considered high
effect was not found among the other group who reported that stakeholder preferences
47
Source: Research data, processed (2020)
2) Moderating effect using the frequency of service and practice changes (SU3)
Indicator SU3 reflects the reality of changes taken by agencies to keep up with
stakeholder expectations. Following the above process, the responses were also
separated into two groups. The first group's responses had answer values of 1, 2 and 3
(less changes) and the second group had answer values of 4 and 5 (more changes).
Figure 12a shows that the moderating effect is positive and significant among the 'less
changes' group and the R2 of the research model increased up to 0.67 per cent. This may
indicate that when formal strategic planning has been conducted properly to
less significant for the second group in which changes in services and practices are
frequently conducted (Figure 12b). R2 went down to 0.48, which means the strength of
the overall model to explain the implementation success has been reduced and the
48
usefulness of formal strategic planning becomes lower. Frequent changes to keep up
service and practice have not been analyzed and incorporated properly into formal
strategic planning.
Figure 12a. Group of less changes in service and Figure 12b. Group of frequent changes in service and
practice practice
Figure 12. Comparison of moderating effect of stakeholder uncertainty 2
Researcher conducted further analysis of how control variables while they treated
mentioned four cases used in stakeholder uncertainty assessment. Resource slack (RS),
Organizational size (OS) together with Formal Strategic planning (FSP) were regressed
on implementation success (SIS). Effect sizes are calculated to find the absolute values
49
The comparisons of the effects in four cases are depicted in Figure 13 and 14
respectively. The results show various path coefficients and p values in each circumstance.
FSP serves the greater p value and significance when uncertainty is properly considered
and when plan is rarely changed. RS also shows similar pattern in those two conditions
Figure 14a. Group of less changes in service and Figure 14b. Group of frequent changes in service
practice and practice
Figure 14. Comparison of the effects all factors 2
50
Table 12
Effect sizes for each variable
Meanwhile in term of effect size the table shows that in all cases, formal strategic
planning itself appeared to be the most critical factor for implementation success by
rendering medium and large effect sizes. Organization size and environmental
Interestingly, in both the unpredictable and less changes groups, effect sizes
exhibited in a similar manner, in which resource slack had a higher impact. As analyzed
in the previous section, these two groups both prepared for stakeholder uncertainty and
higher resource slack here, perhaps we can infer that these two groups have more
On the other hand, the other two groups also have similar effect sizes for each
variable, but the more changes group have a higher demand for strategic planning
51
CHAPTER VII. DISCUSSION
both developed and developing countries. People can use the model to examine the
The findings have revealed the importance of formal strategic planning within a
single-state organization. This is in accordance with the results from Elbanna et al.
(2016) for a multi-level government structure in Canada as well as Afandi et al. (2018)
for an Indonesian established region, which implies that regardless of context, formal
empirical result is also aligned with the study of George et al. (2017) which indicates
proven to be worth doing. Our result is not intended to validate NPM as a whole, but
still, we can see that as part of NPM principles, strategic planning is valuable for public
This result also serves as a reference to the debate between formal and incremental
strategic planning. The findings show that formal strategic planning is beneficial for
studying developed countries (e.g. Walker et al., 2010; Andrews et al., 2012; Poister,
2013; Elbanna et al., 2016; Johnsen, 2016). Formality refers to the extent to which
52
objectives are explicitly stated and strategies declared in a written document (Boyne,
agency’s mission, duty and timetable. In the case of Indonesia, formal planning is
supported by a national planning system and has been applied in all national and regional
agencies. Procedure, control and evaluation are also stipulated in Ministry Regulations.
This formality demands greater commitment and focus to ensure the implementation of
pressure.
whole process to ensure the success of strategy implementation, from the formulation
of the plan up to the implementation phase, which is reflected by the mediating effect
involvement is also aligned with the studies of Elbanna et al. (2016) and Afandi et al.
(2018). Following Collier et al. (2004), the findings indicate that managers’ involvement
involve people to activate the process. Collier at al. (2004) highlighted that managers'
participation makes the process more rational as various alternatives and judgements
may arise. Moreover, the actual involvement will form a sense of ownership and
formulation stage but should also include implementation, especially for middle and
53
operational managers as they are involved in daily strategy implementation. This is
consistent with the findings of Struyk (2007) which state that people's
The overall result in this study shows that stakeholder uncertainty strengthens the
significant in this studied government, which is not exactly same result as in the previous
study of Elbanna et al. (2016). However, more precise results were obtained after the
data were divided according to the managers' perceptions of stakeholder uncertainty and
the reality of changes taken to keep up with stakeholder expectations. When managers
consider stakeholder preferences and actions as unpredictable, the same hypothesis was
confirmed true as shown in the previous studies. In contrast, when managers think it is
easy to predict stakeholder preferences and actions, they may oversimplify the
analyzed and included in the planning process. Similarly, those who had less changes in
process. These facts may imply that in developing countries, because of the
stakeholder management into their strategic planning processes due to the need to satisfy
the demands of key stakeholders such as elected leaders, service users, taxpayers, and
54
require managers to identify what is valuable to their stakeholders. Therefore, managers
need to put more effort into managing the uncertainty through rigorous analysis to come
factors such as resource slack and strategic planning expertise also appeared to be salient
in the newly formed local government. The importance of resources has been widely
recognized (Bryson, 2004; Boyne et al., 2004; George, 2020). Our results indicate that
unpredictable preferences and actions. In the studied government, the role of expertise
becomes more important when an agency’s strategic plan needs many changes during
the implementation stage due to the lack of analysis of stakeholder expectations. This is
because they need to apply strategic planning knowledge to adjust the measures of the
previous plan and the reallocation of resources to keep up with stakeholder expectations.
bodies, and local government performance accountability. The evaluations are based on
and activities, and evaluation of the policies of the relevant agency/work unit. The latest
55
results for Batu Bara District regarding strategic planning and performance are
Table 13
Batu Bara District’s Accountability Performance (Excerption)
The table indicates that Batu Bara District gained a score of C in the latest
Akuntabilitas Kinerja Pemerintah-LAKIP) of 2018 and 2019, which means the District
is struggling to formulate strategic planning and to implement it from the view of the
screening panels. However, from the survey results, it is found that internally, the local
government considered they had conducted the strategic planning process in a proper
high, while less than 10% of respondents rated their efforts as low. Similarly, in terms
of satisfaction with the implementation of their strategic plan, data showed that 70% of
respondents were satisfied while only 3% showed low satisfaction. With this divergence
of internal and external assessments, we suggest that managers’ capacity in the studied
56
government should be enhanced, and capacity improvement should cover both the
the connection between formal strategic planning and implementation success. This also
means that by improving the capacity of managerial involvement, it is possible for the
government to gain a higher national evaluation grade for strategic planning and
implementation.
environment to be better prepared for these uncertainties. Our data shows that managers
who believe that stakeholder preferences and actions are easy to predict make immense
changes during the implementation stage. For instance, among the respondents who
regard stakeholder preferences (SU1) and actions (SU2) as easy to predict, 31% and
38% respectively made frequent changes in their services and practice to keep up with
stakeholder expectations (SU3), while only 18% and 19% respectively did not make
considerable changes.
Further analysis of this study particular case revealed other factors affecting the
essential aspect in all cases. Resource slack showed considerable contribution in cases
where managers perceived and prepared for stakeholder uncertainty. This possibly
means that resource slack provides a greater opportunity for managers to incorporate
strategy implementation success. Therefore, the local government can identify these
agencies and make the adjustments for other agencies encountering tight resource
57
The results also show that in a situation where changes are frequently happening,
implementation success would rely more on strategic planning expertise to adjust to the
many alterations to the plan. Therefore, the authors suggest that rather than using the
in formulating a good plan so that the changes can be minimized during implementation.
58
CHAPTER VIII. CONCLUSION
Strategic planning is a useful NPM practice. However, some plans are not being
the causes, researcher applied and improved previous research to study the factors
government called Batu Bara, a newly formed organization assessed by the national
method for analyzing the implementation success of formal strategic planning and
government. The method proposed in this research can be applied to other local or
national governments.
The findings shown that the are several prominent factors affecting a success
involvement and stakeholder uncertainty appeared to determine the success. The results
indicate that strategic planning positively influence the implementation, which means a
good strategic planning will bring the success of implementation. The results also
revealed the mediating effects of managerial involvement and the moderating effects of
policy is crucial in strategic planning and implementation by making the process more
rational and build a sense of ownership, which eventually increases the willingness to
59
factors including resource slack and expertise were revealed to be salient, especially to
From the results it was found that the perception of stakeholder uncertainty,
resources and expertise are main problems in the studied government. Hence, for
stakeholder uncertainty be better taken into account when preparing strategies. Besides,
clear strategy so that changes can be minimized, rather than enforce expertise in
insights for policy may be gained by including the views of staff under the managers’
supervision. Future research may also investigate other factors of effective strategy
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APPENDIX
Questionnaire
Agency : Age :
Structural Please
: choose one from the list Years of :
Position below: service
Rank/Group : Gender M : F
Strategic Planning
Item 1 to 6 use: Very low (1); Low (2); Moderate (3); High (4); Very high (5)
1. Rate the effort of agency in the strategic planning process to determining the agency’s
mission.
2. Rate the effort of agency in the strategic planning process to developing major long-
term objectives.
3. Rate the effort of agency in assessing the external environment in the strategic planning
process.
4. Rate the effort of agency in assessing the internal environment in the strategic planning
process.
5. Rate the effort of agency in generating strategic options in the strategic planning
process.
6. Rate the effort of agency in evaluating strategic options in the strategic planning
process.
7. To what extent the agency emphasis of gaining commitment to the strategic plan?
Minimal emphasis (1); Low (2); Moderate (3); High (4); Great emphasis (5)
66
Managerial Involvement
Highly ineffective (1); Ineffective (2); Average (3); Effective (4); Highly effective (5)
1. How do you classify the Head of Agency involvement in the development of your
strategic plan?
2. How do you classify the Heads of Section involvement in the development of your
strategic plan?
3. How do you classify the Head of Section involvement in the development of your
strategic plan?
Stakeholder Uncertainty
Strongly disagree (1); Disagree (2); No opinion (3); Agree (4); Strongly agree (5)
1. Preferences of our stakeholders are quite predictable (reverse coded)
2. Actions of our stakeholders are quite predictable (reverse coded)
3. Our agency frequently needs to change its services and practice to meet the
expectations of stakeholders.
Resource Slack
Strongly disagree (1); Disagree (2); No opinion (3); Agree (4); Strongly agree (5)
1. Approval of a project worthwhile is very difficult to obtain (reverse coded)
2. The condition of our agency is tight as regards the availability of funds. (reverse coded)
3. It is difficult for our agency to obtain enough funds to provide its services. (reverse
coded)
4. It is difficult for our agency to obtain enough money to offer new services (reverse
coded)
5. Our agency is struggling to implement its strategic plan due to the shortage of resources
needed (reverse coded)
6. Resources for development and improvement are easy to access by our agency
Environmental Favorability
We experienced poor unforeseen environmental factors which hindered the success in
implementing our strategic plan (reverse coded)
Strongly disagree (1); Disagree (2); No opinion (3); Agree (4); Strongly agree (5)
Organization size
The number of full-time staff informed by the survey participants
67