VSA STRATEGY

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Peace be upon you, and welcome to The Forex Guide.
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I am Ahmad Bar Akhtar. As you know,
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our...
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If your strategy works, if your claim is strong and genuine, then
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you don’t need to ask anyone for subscribers,
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or ask anyone to like your video.
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People will subscribe to your channel and like your content
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without you asking. They’ll give you respect and love as well.
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But if your claims are false,
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if your strategy doesn’t work,
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or if you just speak whatever comes to your mind and call it a strategy,
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then no matter how many likes or subscribers you gather,
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eventually those same people
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will start criticizing and blaming you.
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But today, consider this: I am breaking my own rule,
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and I’m asking you for two things.
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First, I ask that you watch this video till the end.
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There’s a reason for that:
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you will benefit greatly from it, God willing.
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I promise you—if you watch this entire video
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and follow the two or three rules I’ve shared,
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you will benefit a lot.
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Your losses will stop,
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and you’ll grow your account very quickly.
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Secondly, we need to protect ourselves and others from scammers.
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After watching this video,
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you will understand the true spirit of CSA—its essence.
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I want you to grasp its soul.
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Just as you will protect yourself from scams,
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others who watch this because of your sharing
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will also benefit.
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These days, CSA is in demand. Everyone is learning and teaching VSA (Volume Spread Analysis).
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Often, students send me clips,
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and I hold my head in frustration because
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some people are teaching disastrous perspectives
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and such strategies
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that simply don’t work.
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Even if you study them or backtest them, they will fail.
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That’s why I want to show you the real and true form of CSA/VSA.
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If you share it, others will benefit as well, God willing.
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Now let’s move on to the strategy.
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First, let me introduce you a little to it.
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This is a CSA-based strategy.
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We’ll use one basic rule of CSA in this.
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We won’t use any indicators.
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It’s easy to understand.
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Even a child who has just started Forex trading,
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and only knows how to read market structure—
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like what’s happening on the H1 structure,
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what the main trend is—
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even a child can see if the trend is bullish or bearish.
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If you understand just this much,
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you can benefit a lot from this strategy.
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You can make good money from it.
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It has high-accuracy trade setups.
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Now we’ll use just a small portion of CSA—
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a very simple and effective one.
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I'm including this in the category of "childish stuff",

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Yet people criticize our setup for being high-accuracy.
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They claim it has 95% accuracy, which it doesn’t.
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There are some people who quote names of old, deceased traders—
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the poor guys passed away long ago.
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They remember the names of those old "white traders"
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who were around in 1760, 1865, or 1840.
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Even they didn’t have such accuracy.
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Despite making a lot of money, their accuracy was just 60% or 65%.
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So where did your 95% accuracy come from?
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Here’s a simple question for you:
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If someone tells me they traveled from Islamabad to Karachi in 2 hours,
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obviously they went by plane.
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And if I argue, “No way you can reach Karachi in two hours—
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back in 1470, there was a traveler who toured the world,
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even came to Pakistan, roamed around these regions—
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and it took him 3 months to reach Karachi from Islamabad!”
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Then obviously, it’s a nonsense argument.
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So use common sense.
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Today, we have access to data and tools that those people didn’t have.
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Secondly, this inferiority complex—
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that just because a white trader said 60–70% is the limit,
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we can’t go beyond it—is baseless.
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You’re limiting yourself.
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You just spread what you heard without thinking.
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I believe we should get rid of this mindset.
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Work hard, study the charts—whatever field you're in,
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there's always room for improvement.
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If someone achieved 60%, and now they’ve passed away,
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don’t just stop there.
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Don’t limit everyone else to that same point.
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Work harder, do better.
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InshaAllah (God willing), whether it’s 80%, 90%—why not?
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No strategy has a fixed ceiling.
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If you want to stay at 60%,
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then you might as well toss a coin 100 times—
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you’ll still get 60 buys out of 100.
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Even if you take 100 buy trades,
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60 of them will hit TP (Take Profit) anyway.
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There’s no strategy involved in that—it’s just chance.
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Anyway, we’re getting off-topic.
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Let’s come back to our strategy—
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where you’ll get high-accuracy setups.
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You’ll soon see everything will become crystal clear.
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Now, why am I backtesting the latest week?
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Because I’ve already done a lot of backtesting—
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but I’ll only show the last week.
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Why? Because when I pick a specific point from a chart,
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people often say, “You only picked that specific part to show your trades.”
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So to avoid that, I now always show backtesting from the most recent 10 days,
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the last working week or month.
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So people can see this setup works in real-time,
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and you can test it yourself moving forward.
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Now let’s move on to the rules—just two or three small ones you must remember:
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Rule 1: Set the time frame to 5 minutes.
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We use 5-minute time frame because it provides good confirmation in intraday trading.
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People like us who trade daily—
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for us, 5 minutes in gold is excellent.
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I personally also use 1 minute,
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but not everyone is comfortable with that.
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Among my viewers, there are both beginners and advanced traders.
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So 5-minute suits everyone—
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that’s why I chose it.
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Rule 2: Follow the 1-hour trend for trade direction.
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If your 1-hour trend is bullish,
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then you’ll only take buy entries on the 5-minute chart.
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Ignore sell trades completely.
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The small structure is 5-min, the bigger one is 1H.
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If 1H is bullish, only take buys.
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If 1H becomes bearish,
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then only take sell entries in 5-minute and ignore buys.
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This is very important.
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This is my principle—
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you all know that during Ramadan, when price was highly bullish,
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many were losing money—
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but our community was consistently in profit.
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Why? Because we followed the trend.
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We didn’t try to guess tops—
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“Oh now it’s high, it’ll fall.”
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No. If the structure is bullish, keep buying.
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There’s nothing to be afraid of.
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We still trade like this today.
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Rule 3: Focus on low-volume breakouts.
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Many people are now teaching that you should follow high-volume breakouts.
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But that’s a totally wrong concept.
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That kind of thinking only triggers your stop-losses.
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Always give preference to low-volume breakouts.
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I’ll show this on the chart with examples.
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You’ll understand how flawed the “high-volume breakout” concept is.
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So that was the introduction.
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Now from September 9 to 13 (today is the 15th),
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I’ll show backtesting of those last five working days.
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I already explained the three rules:
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1. Use 5-minute time frame.

2. Follow the 1H trend for trade direction.
3. Prefer low-volume breakouts.
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Now let’s go to the charts.
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You can see the date here—
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It’s September 9, Monday, around 10–11 a.m.
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This is the time we wake up and start analysis.
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So we start the trades from here.
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What to do next?
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When the price gives a retracement,
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(What is a retracement? That’s often misunderstood)
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Retracement happens when price makes an impulse wave—
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for example, if price breaks structure, that move is the impulse wave.
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When the low of the last bullish candle breaks,
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retracement has started.
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Now during retracement, mark the highest volume candle.
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Let’s find the highest volume—this one.
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Now mark its high (wick if present, otherwise body).
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Draw a line at that point.
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Now we need a breakout above that level
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with a momentum candle.
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Momentum candle = no large upper wick (small is okay).
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Also check volume of the breakout candle.
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It should be less than the highest volume candle you marked.
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If breakout candle’s volume is lower,
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the breakout is valid.
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Now you’ll enter a buy trade from that point.
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Target: a 1:2 risk-reward.
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Stop-loss should be just below the last low (by a few pips).
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Many people ask where to place stop-loss—
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you already know: below the most recent swing low.
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The good thing about CSA (the method being taught)
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is it only gives trades after confirmation.
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So once the entry is confirmed,
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place your stop-loss just under the recent low.

There will be a loss, and you'll set your take profit at 1:2.
The strategy worked out, yes, we entered one trade.
Let’s see the result of this trade—it hit TP (take profit).
Maybe it hit the next day since TP was large, obviously.

Alright, one more thing—remember in the beginning, if your stop loss is becoming large...
How many pips is the stop loss here? For example, the first trade had a stop loss of 73 pips on
the 5-minute chart.
No problem—go ahead with the trade. You are aiming for 140 pips profit after all.
The reward is large too—around 140 or 150 pips. That’s easily achievable.

But remember one thing—never take unnecessary risks.

Don’t randomly take a trade from anywhere.
What you should do is reduce your lot size if your stop loss is large.
Keep your risk between 1%, 2%, 2.5%, or 1.5%.
Doesn't matter how big or small the stop loss is—just manage the risk in percentage terms.
Even if the stop loss is large, still take risk as a percentage.
Just manage your lot size accordingly.

After that, the trades we will backtest next will have smaller stop losses.
Look how small these stop losses are—some are small, some slightly bigger.
But when you're managing your risk properly, Inshallah, there won't be any issues.

Again, a retracement is coming.

Which candle has the highest volume in this retracement? Let’s zoom in.
Here, the retracement is occurring.
The low of the last buy candle broke, and the price started falling.
The highest volume appeared in this candle.
We marked its high. As soon as that high broke, check the volume.
Breakout candle has small volume, while the sell candle had high volume.
What do we do? Immediately take a buy trade from here.
We also got a momentum candle.
Place your stop loss below the low. Set TP to 2x.
This will give you a target eventually.

You must take the full 2x reward.

You may manage it however you like—break-even, etc.—but target must be taken.
Yes, another trade formed here again. Another retracement occurred.
In this retracement, the highest volume came in this candle—see it?
There may be some buy volume in between, doesn't matter.
Look for the highest sell volume in the whole wave.
This candle had that. We marked its high.
When it broke out, volume was again low.
When breakout volume is low, and there's no significant wick, enter here.
Stop loss below the low, TP at 2x.

You can see all types of trades forming—some with small stop losses, some with large ones.
And you’ll get all kinds of profits—big and small.
Price drops again—see, another retracement.
The low of the last buy candle broke.
Which candle had the high volume? This one.
We marked its high, breakout occurred.
Again, it's a low-volume breakout.
This is why I say: the concepts being taught nowadays—like VS (Volume Spread Analysis)—
are completely wrong.
They won’t work and may actually cause you losses.
So please share this video as much as possible and watch till the end.

I’ll talk more.

Some people have concerns: they say don’t trade during news events.
They claim it causes mental stress or losses.
But we often place trades before news because volume confirms the move.
Even last week, we took two trades just before news.
What’s the logic behind avoiding news?
Whether news is coming or not, it doesn't matter.
Use proper risk management—2x TP—and trade.
If volume confirms, everything is in your favor.
You're following trend and volume, so you won’t panic or get emotional.
Our trading remains consistent.

Another retracement—what's the high-volume candle? This one.

We marked the high—this was the trade we took.
We placed it on the 3-minute chart; it gave a good setup.
After marking the high, it broke out.
Check the breakout volume—very low.
Look at the previous volume—it was big.
The smaller the breakout volume, the stronger the setup.

That was your entry point.

Stop loss might be big—so reduce your lot size.
Risk should still be 1% per trade.
If stop loss is large, your TP will be big too.
All the trades we’ve taken so far have hit TP—see, this one did, that one too.
No stop loss hit yet.
You have to hold till 2x reward.

That trade started running again.

Another retracement happened.
Which candle had the big volume? This one.
Let me show just 5 setups—after that, I’ll speed up the testing.
Here’s the large volume—mark the high.
It broke here—prefer the one without the upper wick.
So you enter from there.
Place your stop loss below.
A 20-25 pip stop loss gives you a 30-35 pip TP easily.
I don’t close at 2x; I let it run.
You may take profit at 2x—it’s up to you.
I let the trade run further—whatever portion is left after profit-taking (10%-20%),
I let it run to 1:10 or 1:12 risk-reward.

I’ll show you at the end how strong the overall RR becomes.
Again, retracement comes—mark the high volume candle.
This one looks big, but another larger one came after price broke the last buy candle’s low.
Mark the most recent one, and wait for the breakout with momentum.
That’s your entry.
I want you to also see one or two losing trades before we move on quickly...

This one gave TP at 2x easily.

Here’s an invalid setup—why is it invalid?
(Transcript ends here.)

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Heavy volume came in on this candle; you marked its high.
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A breakout even occurred with a momentum candle, but what’s the problem?
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The problem is that the breakout is happening on high volume. That’s exactly what I keep warning you
about—and it’s being promoted everywhere these days, even though it’s completely wrong.
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Yes, the breakout happened on big volume. Before that, selling volume was low, buying volume was
small; then big volume showed up and the breakout came. But we didn’t enter the trade, because in our
view this is an invalid setup. If we had taken it, we’d already be 25–40 pips in loss.
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Anyway, look at the next setup. Price comes down again; large selling volume appears, you mark the
high. Breakout happens on low volume, so you take the trade from this point, put your stop-loss just
below.
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Every strategy in the world contains the possibility of a stop-loss—however small the probability. That’s
why you must always manage your risk; I repeat this again and again.
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Moving on: another invalid setup. Notice this entire move is a full retracement wave. The biggest
volume of the wave shows up here; you marked its high. A breakout is occurring, but I told you the wick
must not be too long. A tiny 5-, 10- or even 20-pip wick is fine, but this candle is more than half wick. We
don’t play it—this is basically a liquidity grab.
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Price starts another retracement; again a large volume candle appears. In the whole falling wave, which
candle has the largest volume? This one. Mark its high. A two-volume breakout occurs, so you re-enter
here.
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That’s our entry point; stop-loss beneath. Aim for a 1-to-2 reward. The trade hits your take-profit neatly.
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During the same move an invalid setup appeared: big volume in retracement, but the breakout candle
itself also has big volume, so compare. If the breakout candle’s volume is larger, skip it; keep the
previous valid trade running—its TP gets hit.
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Price drops again. The biggest drop-wave volume appears; you might think “Great, here’s my big
volume.” But its high hasn’t been broken yet, and even larger volume has already appeared lower. So
mark the lower candle instead, wait for its breakout.
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Breakout comes; place entry, stop-loss below the low, run it for 1-to-2. Just set the trade and relax—
whether TP hits in two, four or six hours, it will. Eventually this one brings in 160-plus pips for a ~78-pip
stop-loss—and it kept going, so the final reward ratio is even better.
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Multiple entries keep forming. Another retracement: largest volume here, mark the high, breakout,
stop-loss, another 1-to-2 achieved. Again, big volume—breakout on low volume—valid; tiny stop-loss; 1-
to-2 reached.
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Now let me show a stop-loss. Price retraces, big volume comes in. After marking it, the breakout looks
valid—but later a candle with even larger volume appears, invalidating the setup. If you nevertheless
bought on that earlier candle, your SL would get hit, and we count that as a genuine stop-loss.
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Apart from that, no more stop-losses here; I’ve already back-tested. Entry from this point: biggest
volume in that candle, mark the high… breakout will be much higher, so leave it—no setup yet.
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More retracements: you get big volume but unless the high is broken you don’t enter. Finally the high
breaks on a clean momentum candle with small wick—entry, SL below, take 1-to-2.
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Count the week’s trades. From the earlier valid setups we took 24 trades over five trading days. Only 2
stop-losses, 22 take-profits, each with at least a 1-to-2 reward. Some runners gave 1-to-12 or even 1-to-
15.
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So is our setup accurate or not? I’d say yes. Don’t just trust some foreign “60 % rule” you heard—do the
work yourself. Times have changed.
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I’ve revealed this simple strategy so that people looking for one can benefit. It blends VSA (volume-
spread analysis) and market structure. Use it to protect yourself and others; understand the real spirit of
VSA: when price moves with low volume, that’s the genuine direction. Follow the trend and grow your
account.
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God willing, we’ll meet in the next video. Until then—Allah hafiz.