India-China Relations: Beyond Doklam and Galwan
IndiaChina Relations: Beyond Doklam and Galwan
I. INTRODUCTION: Civilizational Neighbours in a Strategic Standoff
India and Chinatwo ancient civilizations and emerging Asian powersshare a complex relationship marked by
competitive coexistence. From Panchsheel to Galwan, their dynamic oscillates between cooperation and
contestation.
India and China are civilizational states whose interests will intersect, diverge, and occasionally clash.
Shivshankar Menon
II. STRATEGIC COMPETITION & BORDER TENSIONS
A. LAC and Boundary Disputes
- 3,488 km undemarcated Line of Actual Control (LAC)
- Doklam (2017): India resisted Chinese road near Bhutan trijunction
- Galwan (2020): 20 Indian soldiers martyred; first fatalities in 45 years
B. Post-Galwan Developments
- 21 rounds of Corps Commander talks (till 2024); no full disengagement
- Indias BRO projects + Vibrant Villages (2023-24)
- Chinas Xiaokang model villages near LAC
III. INDIAS PUSHBACK
A. Belt & Road Initiative (BRI)
- India rejects BRI over sovereignty (CPEC in PoK)
- Advocated for IMEC corridor in G20 (2023)
B. Multilateral Forums
| Forum | Indias Role | Chinas Role |
|-------|--------------|--------------|
| SCO | Hosted 2023 virtual summit | China-Pak axis |
| BRICS | Reform advocate | China drives expansion |
| QUAD | Maritime cooperation | China dubs Asian NATO |
Indias multilateralism is instrumental in containing Chinas leverage. C. Raja Mohan
IV. ECONOMIC INTERDEPENDENCE & TRADE IMBALANCE
- 2023-24 bilateral trade: $136.2 bn (Exports: $16.7 bn, Imports: $119.5 bn)
- Trade deficit: ~$103 bn
Despite Galwan, trade remains upward a paradox of conflict and commerce. Harsh V. Pant
Indias Response:
- Banned 300+ Chinese apps
- PLI schemes for tech self-reliance
- Excluded Huawei from 5G trials
V. NON-TRADITIONAL CONTESTS
| Sector | Arena |
|--------|-------|
| Digital | Cyber ops, TikTok, Huawei |
| Space | Lunar missions, satellite race |
| Indian Ocean | SAGAR vs String of Pearls |
| South Asia | Nepal, Sri Lanka outreach |
| Global South | Competing for G77 leadership |
VI. KEY CHALLENGES
1. Chinas refusal to restore 2020 status quo at LAC
2. Strategic asymmetry (economy, military)
3. Distrust in multilateral forums
4. China-Pakistan strategic alignment
VII. INDIAS STRATEGIC TOOLKIT
- QUAD + I2U2 partnerships
- Defense diversification: France, Israel, Russia, US
- Digital diplomacy via India Stack
- Counter-BRI coalitions (IMEC)
VIII. CONCLUSION: Guarded Confrontation, Calibrated Engagement
India-China relations are unlikely to normalize quickly. India seeks strategic autonomy while balancing
sovereignty and engagement.
India must neither be intimidated by Chinas rise nor be drawn into confrontation by others. Shyam Saran