CHANGE IN ECONOMICALLY DISADVANTAGED POPULATION IN THE GROSSE POINTE PUBLIC SCHOOL SYSTEM (GPPSS) AND PEER DISTRICTS

An analysis prepared by Brendan Walsh

www.brendanwalsh.us

WHAT IS THE PURPOSE OF THIS PRESENTATION?

What it is: An effort to share data to spur dialog and encourage reflection on our interpretation and reliance on standardized tests A correlation of enrollment in Free and Reduced Lunch (FRLE) programs and rankings of schools that are predicated on standardized test scores A presentation of data to show the significant change in the Grosse Pointe Public School Systems FRLE from 1995 to 2011 What it is not: An argument that lower income status of students and families causes lower test scores An argument that all test scores do not matter An argument that by virtue of having an increasing lower income population that a district should lower its standards of excellence An argument that by virtue of having an increased lower income student population that a school district is in a state of demise

www.brendanwalsh.us

U.S. FEDERAL GOVERNMENT INCOME GUIDELINES FOR FREE AND REDUCED LUNCH PROGRAM ELIGIBILIT Y
Family Size 2 3 Federal Poverty Level Income $14,710 $18,530 Reduced Price Meal Income Level $27,214 $34,281 Free Meal Income Level $19,123 $24,089

4
5 6 7

$22,350
$26,170 $29,990 $33,810

$41,348
$48,415 $55,482 $62,549

$29,055
$34,021 $38,987 $43,953

In 2011, 48% of state of Michigan students were FRLE, up from 31% in 1995. According to the 2010 U.S. Census, the average household size of GPPSS communities is between 2.4 and 2.7.
www.brendanwalsh.us

MEAN AND MEDIAN HOUSEHOLD INCOME DATA FOR CITIES WITHIN THE GROSSE POINTE PUBLIC SCHOOL SYSTEM
City Grosse Pointe City Grosse Pointe Farms Grosse Pointe Park Grosse Pointe Shores Grosse Pointe Woods Harper Woods Mean Household Income $118,583 $153,250 $128,918 $230,874 $108,377 $57,718 Median Household Income $85,556 $106,118 $97,149 $150,250 $90,073 $48,729
Source: 2010 U.S. Census

The median household income of the GPPSS communities compared to a family of three who qualifies for Free Lunch ranges from 102% to 524% greater.
www.brendanwalsh.us

CORRELATION BETWEEN TEST SCORE BASED RANKING & FRLE IN THE GPPSS
120% 100%

80%

60%

40%

Ranking from Michigan Dept. of Education 2012 Top to Bottom Rankings

20%

0%

% Non FRLE

www.brendanwalsh.us

State Ranking

100%

120%

20%

40%

60%

80%

0% Mary D. Mitchell School Pittsfield School McGregor Elementary School Hampton Elementary School Hamlin Elementary School Tappan Middle School Logan Elementary School Meadow Brook Elementary School Village Oaks Elementary School Cornell Elementary School Forsythe Middle School Orchard Hills Elementary School Berkshire Middle School Bloomfield Hills Lahser H.S. Athens High School Northern Hills Middle School Hart Middle School Smith Middle School Uriah H. Lawton School Eastern Middle School Thurston Elementary School North Hill Elementary School Pine Ridge Elementary School Central Woodlands 5/6 School East Grand Rapids High School Central High School Novi High School Derby Middle School Ada Elementary School Bloomfield Hills Middle School Saline High School Meads Mill Middle School West Maple Elementary School Musson Elementary School Delta Kelly Elementary School Van Hoosen Middle School Pierce Elementary School Bemis Elementary School Quarton Elementary Novi Woods Elementary School Linear (State Ranking) State Ranking % Non FRLE

CORRELATION BET WEEN TEST SCORE BASED RANKING & FRLE IN GPPSS 12 PEER DISTRICT SCHOOLS

www.brendanwalsh.us
Linear (% Non FRLE)

FREE AND REDUCED LUNCH ENROLLMENT AMONG GPPSS PEER DISTRICTS FROM 1995 TO 2011
District Ann Arbor Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Bloomfield Hills School District East Grand Rapids Public Schools Forest Hills Public Schools Grosse Pointe Public Schools Northville Public Schools Novi Community School District Okemos Public Schools Rochester Community School District Saline Area Schools Troy School District State of Michigan
1995 Rank 2011 Rank FRLE % (Hi to Lo) FRLE % (Hi to Lo) 18% 1 23% 1 2% T-9 9% T-9 3% T-5 12% 6 2% T-9 8% 11 3% T-5 11% 7 2% T-9 15% T-3 3% T-5 7% 12 2% T-9 10% 8 7% 2 17% 2 4% 4 15% T-3 6% 3 9% T-9 3% T-5 13% 5 31% 48%

www.brendanwalsh.us

GRAPHICAL VIEW OF FRLE ENROLLMENT, CHANGE FROM 1995 TO 2011

25%

20%

15%

10%

5%

0% Ann Arbor Birmingham Bloomfield East Grand Forest Hills Grosse Northville Novi Public Public Hills School Rapids Public Pointe Public Public Community Schools Schools District Public Schools Schools Schools School Schools District 1995 FRLE % 2011 FRLE % Okemos Public Schools Rochester Saline Area Troy School Community Schools District School District

www.brendanwalsh.us

GPPSS PEER DISTRICT PERCENTAGE GROW TH IN FRLE ENROLLMENT FROM 1995 TO 2011
800% 700%

600%

500%

400%

300%

200%

100%

0% Ann Arbor Birmingham Bloomfield East Grand Forest Hills Public Public Hills School Rapids Public Schools Schools District Public Schools Schools Grosse Pointe Public Schools Northville Novi Okemos Rochester Saline Area Troy School State of Public Community Public Community Schools District Michigan Schools School Schools School District District

www.brendanwalsh.us

GPPSS FRLE ENROLLMENT BY SCHOOL

1995 Defer Elementary School Ferry Elementary School Kerby Elementary School Maire Elementary School Monteith Elementary School Poupard Elem. School Richard Elementary School Trombly Elementary School Mason Elementary School Brownell Middle School Parcells Middle School Pierce Middle School North High School South High School District Total 8.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 7.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 3.0% 2.0% 1.0% 2.0% 2006 15.0% 2.6% 0.8% 3.1% 3.9% 22.8% 0.2% 6.4% 6.2% 1.5% 8.9% 11.6% 6.7% 5.0% 6.4% 2009 14.2% 4.9% 3.6% 5.8% 5.8% 42.9% 1.3% 9.4% 21.3% 3.4% 15.9% 11.3% 13.0% 6.9% 10.5% 2010 20.6% 5.1% 4.4% 8.8% 6.8% 50.3% 3.5% 14.8% 20.9% 4.5% 18.2% 15.1% 16.0% 8.5% 13.2% 2011 23.4% 8.6% 5.2% 11.9% 9.1% 57.7% 4.5% 16.1% 22.1% 7.1% 24.2% 16.4% 18.2% 9.6% 15.5%

www.brendanwalsh.us

FRLE BY GPPSS SCHOOL

A COMPARISON FROM 1995 TO 2011
Fall 1995
60.0%

Fall 2011

50.0%

40.0%

30.0%

20.0%

10.0%

0.0% Defer ES Ferry ES Kerby ES Maire ES Mason ES Monteith Poupard Richard ES Trombly Brownell Parcells Pierce MS North HS South HS District ES ES ES MS MS Total

www.brendanwalsh.us

DATA AND REFERENCE SOURCES

State of Michigan, Department of Education 2012 Top to Bottom rankings,
http://www.michigan.gov/mde/0,4615,7-140-22709_56562---,00.html

State of Michigan, Department o Education, Free and Reduced Lunch Counts

http://www.michigan.gov/cepi/0,1607,7 -113-21423_30451_36965---,00.html

Grosse Pointe Pubic School System, Peer District Project Introduction and Update
http://www.gpschools.org

U.S. Dept. of Agriculture, Child Nutrition Program Income Eligibility Guidelines for 2011 -12
http://www.fns.usda.gov/cnd/governance/notices/iegs/IEGs11 -12.pdf
www.brendanwalsh.us

STATE RANKING AND FREE AND REDUCED LUNCH ENROLLMENT CORRELATION AMONG OTHER METRO DETROIT SUBURBAN SCHOOL SYSTEMS

Appendix

www.brendanwalsh.us

C ORRE LATI ON BE T W EEN T E ST SC ORE BA SE D RA N KI NG & F RLE I N T H E A N N A RBOR P UBLI C SC H OOLS

120%

100%

80%

60%

40%

20%

0%

% Non FRLE

State Ranking

Linear (% Non FRLE)

Linear (State Ranking)

www.brendanwalsh.us

C ORRE LATI ON BE T W EEN T E ST SC ORE BA SE D RA N KI NG & F RLE I N T H E T ROY P UBLI C SC H OOLS

120%

100%

80%

60%

40%

20%

0%

% Non FRLE

State Ranking

Linear (% Non FRLE)

Linear (State Ranking)

www.brendanwalsh.us

C ORRE LATI ON BE T W EEN T E ST SC ORE BA SE D RA N KI NG & F RLE I N T H E N ORT H VI LLE P UBLI C SC H OOLS

120%

100%

80%

60%

40%

20%

0% Old Village School Silver Springs Meads Mill Moraine Hillside Middle Northville Elementary Middle School Elementary School High School School School % Non FRLE State Ranking Amerman Elementary School Winchester Elementary School Thornton Creek Elementary School Ridge Wood Elementary School

Linear (% Non FRLE)

Linear (State Ranking)

www.brendanwalsh.us

C ORRE LATI ON BE T W EEN T E ST SC ORE BA SE D RA N KI NG & F RLE I N T H E BI RM I N G HAM P UBLI C SC H OOLS

120% 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0%

% Non FRLE

State Ranking

Linear (% Non FRLE)

Linear (State Ranking)

www.brendanwalsh.us