HNG DN S DNG H THNG PRO SCANNING 2.

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(DNH CHO KHCH HNG VIP CA BloombergVN)

Giao din Nh u t c th sp c phiu theo cc nhm c phiu bng cch kch chut chn tn cc ct (%T+4, Signal T+2, Signal T+4, Score, UFO)

Gii thch cc k hiu TT 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Tn ct Ticker Date/Time Close Volume Change% % T+ 4 Signal T+2 Signal T+4 Score UFO (ch s i li) Gii thch Ct m trn 2 sn HOSE v HNX Ngy Scan th trng v c Gi hin ti ca c phiu Khi lng khp ca c phiu Thay i v gi ca c phiu tnh ti thi im scan trong ngy Thng k % bin ng gi ca c phiu 4 ngy lin trc

Tn hiu tng, gim c gi tt nht nhng c Risk Tn hiu trend sm nht

Thang im sc mnh c phiu hoc ch s

H s tin cy ca c phiu u c/tin cy ca t chc lead c phiu ny

Gii thch k hiu mu TT 1 2 3 Mu xanh Mu Mu tm Bng mu ngha Tn hiu mua sm nht Tn hiu bn sm nht Vn trong xu th gim, trong lch s giao dch trc c tn hiu bn (mt s phin trc ) Vn trong xu th tng, trong lch s giao dch trc c tn hiu mua (mt s phin trc )

Mu vng

Cch thc s dng cc tn hiu a ra cc quyt nh Bc 1: Nhn nh th trng chung

Tn hiu ca ch s VNIndex v HNXIndex phi m bo tt hn hoc bng trng thi sau: - Tn hiu sm nht: Signal T+2 xanh, T+4 mu tm, score >=-1 - Tn hiu an ton: Khi Signal T+2 hoc (v) T+4 vng, score >=3
V d: Xem v nh gi 2 ch s ngy bt k, 24/4

Nhn xt nhanh: - VNIndex c Signal T+4 vng, Score =3 xu th chung l Up - HNXIndex c Signal T+2 Buy, T+4 vng, th hin mnh hn VNindex Kt lun: Ch s nh trn p ng iu kin an ton => c php u t

B sung thm quan st v cc thng s: - %T+4 ca vnindex = -0.56%, %T+4 ca HNXIndex = -2.24% (nhn chung T+4 gn y nht th trng iu chnh nh) - Score = 3 cho thy ch s ang giai on mi bt u tng => Trend cn di - Ch s i li UFO VNIndex=6, HNXIndex =6 (s dng so snh vi UFO c phiu tng sn khi la chn c phiu u t) Bc 2: Quan st, phn tch v a ra cc quyt nh Tiu ch, yu cu khi la chn c phiu MUA

2.1. Buy T+2 thc hin ch mua v hoc mua mt phn nh trong danh mc. Buy T+4 l tn hiu Mua chc chn theo trend. y l tn hiu thc hin MUA, tuy nhin cn x l thng s Score v UFO trc khi quyt nh. Nguyn tc so snh l Score ca c phiu >= VNIndex, HNXIndex ti ngy quan st v c signal BUY T+2 hoc T+4 (ch score phi mc hp l khng qu cao, trng hp UFO >=9 xt ring theo im 2.7). Nn mua theo danh mc c phiu (ang dng ho danh mc), s t hiu qu cao hn. 2.2. Khi bt y c phiu c Score < VNIndex, HNXIndex phi i score c phiu >=-1 v t nht l c tn hiu buy T+2. 2.3 Khng c d on nh c phiu, m khi c phiu c signal T+2 mu ta quyt bn 1 phn hoc ton b (ph thuc vo xu th v tn hiu VNIndex, HNXIndex bc 1) 2.4 Khi Signal T+4 mu , T+4 mu tm v score <-3 l tn hiu ca c phiu dnh short-sell, tuyt i khng mua 2.5 Cc trng hp tuyt i thn trng gii ngn (TT thng xuyn xy ra cc tn hiu nhiu v yu): Th trng downtrend, ch s score <-3 (hoc c phiu T+2 tm, T+4 hoc tm v score < -3) 2.6 Sp xp ct score xem top 50 c phiu l Bluechip hay Penny hoc quan st yu t ngnh (Ngn hng, Chng khon, BS...)... nm c vn ng th trng chung. Cc c phiu thuc Top 50 nn c u tin trong danh mc la chn u t 2.7 Ch s i li UFO - 0: gi tr cn bng di hn. Mu xanh: xu hng ln. Mu : xu hng gim). Cc c phiu tt thng c UFO >= UFO (VNIndex, HNXindex). - Khi UFO <= -4 l cc c phiu rt yu, hoc c vn v thng tin

tiu cc (doanh nghip, ph sn, kin tng, gii chp): Tuyt i khng u t. - Khi UFO >= UFO (VNIndex, HNXindex). Cho php hold n khi c c phiu v index u xut hin sell T+2, hoc khi c phiu sell T+2 v sell T+4. - Lu : khi UFO qu cao (>=9) cc c phiu tng khng theo quy lut thng thng v phi xc nh ta ang 1 chuyn tu nguy him, khi gy trend th s ri t do mt thanh khon (high risk high return).
Tiu ch, yu cu khi quyt nh HOLD c phiu

- C phiu xut hin hin Tn hiu Buy T+4 trc v trng thi hin ti T+4 l vng.
- VNIndex, HNXIndex vn up (signal T+4 xanh/vng, Score >=3) th cc c phiu ring l c Signal T+4 , Score>=3 vn cho php gi li, v sau khi qu trnh gim kt thc, cc c phiu ny c th vn tip tc hi phc. Tuy nhin, vic gi li c phiu trong trng thi Sell T+4 nh nu trn mang tnh cht ch i s tng ca th trng chung h tr cho c phiu ny tng tr li. Tiu ch, yu cu khi quyt nh BN - Khi c phiu xut hin tn hiu Sell T+2, ch bn hoc bn mt phn. - Bn c phiu c tn hiu Sell T+4. y l tn hiu chc chn bn sau 1 Trend tng ca c phiu kt thc hoc kt thc mt chu k tng. Khng c qu nhiu c phiu nhanh chng o chiu tr li v vo mt chu k mi, xut hin tn hiu mua mi, y thng l c phiu c mc u c cao (UFO cao) v trong bi cnh th trng chung kho mnh, tuy nhin theo nguyn tc an ton vic bn cht li v mua li (c th cao hn 3-5%) cng c chp nhn v trc NT c mt khon li nhun rt ln. - Vic quyt nh bn ( mt s trng hp thp hn gi ngay sau 1 vi phin do c phiu tng tr li Nh u t cng nn coi l iu bnh thng), v NT hon ton c th xc nh mt im vo sau y i tip sng ca c phiu ny nu c y tn hiu mua mi li xy ra. Vic mua ny coi nh xut pht nh khi quyt nh mua, nhng mc chp nhn ri ro sau mi ln nh vy cng tng ln, c nhng trng hp tn hiu gi nn mc phi by phn phi x hng, tng ng vi ch s UFO qu cao (>9) v cn quan st thc t cc din bin chung ca th trng, khi lng giao dch ca c phiu, thng tin n v chnh thc .v.v

V d: La chn ngy giao dch 24/4 Sau khi phn tch nh gi VNIndex v HNXIndex nu trn, iu kin an ton u t, phi nh li cc thng s Score v UFO ca ch s nu bn trn, ngn gn li gm mt s : Nhn xt nhanh: - VNIndex c Signal T+4 vng, Score =3 xu th chung l Up - HNXIndex c Signal T+2 Buy, T+4 vng, th hin mnh hn VNindex Kt lun: Ch s nh trn p ng iu kin an ton => c php u t Sort ct score ton th trng

Quan st thy nhm Lead th trng hu ht l CP Penny trong c mt dy cc c phiu khong sn nh BKC, KSH, KSS, KSA, KTB, MAX.. Cc c phiu u c c ch s i li UFO>=6 tc l c phiu tt gm: VIX, BKC,BLF, CAP, KSH, KSS, MAX, PGC, SJC, VE3, DID, DQC, HBC, HDO, KSA, RIC, THT, FBT, HVG, VIP

Xem xt signal c phiu

Cc quyt nh Cc c phiu c Signal T+4 Buy, Score >=3 (chnh l = Score ca VNIndex/HNXIndex): Quyt nh mua DNY, DRC, GMD, HDG, HSG, POM, SAM Cc c phiu c php Hold (theo tiu chun HOLD nu trn): Bao gm cc c phiu CSC, CTN, DPM, HLG, KDC, KSD, PAC, PHT, PTC, PVD, VID, VNA, VNH (thanh khon mi t bin nn khng phi bn vi) v cc c phiu khng c tn hiu. Cc c phiu c tn hiu Sell T+4 v khng thuc nhm c cc thong s t tiu chun Hold nu trn thc hin Bn: BVH Lin h v h tr: Email: Administrator@bloombergvn.com Website: http://bloombergvn.com/

Th trng chng khon bin ng lin tc v phc tp, trong qu trnh vn ng cng c nhiu yu t c th pht sinh (cc thng tin t ngt xu/tt, cc giao dch ln ca cc t chc nm gi/NT ln). H thng cc tn hiu khi s c nhiu nht nh, tuy nhin qua qu trnh thc nghim, BLOOMBERGVNtng kt loi tr mt s trng hp sau NT c th loi tr khi la chn c hi u t, m bo hiu qu cao nht.

MIX

Sau y l mt s t trng hp (Trong qu trnh thc t, BLOOMBERGVNs cp nht b sung cc trng hp c th ny): Say No S96: D c tn hiu Buy T+4, Score tng i tt nhng UFO m thng s khng em li li nhun

Ngy 18/4/2012, Buy T+4. iu ny c l gii bi UFO th hin c phiu c dng tin cha tp trung, vic tngln xut pht vic c phiu tng t ngt v hay xy ra bull-trap, nn xut hin tn hiu gi. Believe CSC: Xut hin Sell T+4, nhng cha cn thit phi Sell

Ngy 24/4, Signal T+4 , Score 11>3 nn vn c th HOLD, UFO 2 >0 l c phiu trong nhm tim nng cn tng nu th trng chung n nh Good Bye PAC: Nhng du hin bt n khi ng thi xut hin 2 tn hiu

Ngy 24/4, Score 8 > 3 (= Score ca VNIndex/HNXIndex) nhng Signal T+2, T+4 u sell chng t c s bt n, kh nng T+2 sau thp hn hin ti, v T+4 sau cng thp hn hin ti => nn bn i mua c phiu khc

(Cn na)