Peter Brown, Assistant Director, Quinnipiac University Polling Institute (203) 535-6203 Rubenstein Associates, Inc.

Public Relations Contact: Pat Smith (212) 843- 2013 FOR RELEASE: FEBRUARY 20,

TWO-WAY VIRGINIA GOVERNORS RACE DEADLOCKED, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS; THREE WAY IS McAULIFFE 34, CUCCINELLI 31, BOLLING 13
Democrat Terry McAuliffe and Republican State Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli are in a 38 38 percent dead heat in their race to become Virginias next governor. Lt. Gov. Bill Bolling, running as an independent candidate, leaves the race a statistical tie, with McAuliffe at 34 percent, Cuccinelli at 31 percent and Bolling at 13 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Bolling, elected as a Republican, said he will make a major announcement next month, presumably about the governors race. Todays 38 38 percent horse race is almost identical to the findings from a January 9 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University, showing 40 percent for McAuliffe and 39 percent for Cuccinelli. In a three-way race measured January 9, McAuliffe and Cuccinelli had 34 percent each, with 13 percent for Bolling. Although the folks in Richmond are paying close attention to the political maneuvering around the governors race, most Virginians have not yet begun focusing on it, said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. When asked about the candidates, most voters dont know enough about Terry McAuliffe or Lt. Gov. Bill Bolling to have an opinion and barely half know enough about Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli to form an opinion. This despite the fact that Bolling and Cuccinelli have been elected to statewide office and McAuliffe ran for governor four years ago. Cuccinelli has a 30 25 percent favorability rating. McAuliffe gets a 23 16 percent score, with 60 percent who dont know enough about him to form an opinion. Bolling has an 18 10 percent favorability, with 72 percent who dont know enough about him. Click here to link to a downloadable video of Quinnipiac University Polling Institute Assistant Director Tim Malloy discussing the upcoming Virginia Governors race and Gov. McDonnell.

-moreQuinnipiac University Poll/February 20, 2013 page 2 Virginia voters give Bolling a 36 18 percent job approval, while Cuccinelli gets a 41 32 percent approval rating. Bolling probably has the greatest growth potential of the candidates but he also has the farthest to go to become a major contender. At this point although it certainly could change the data indicates that Bollings GOP critics who say he cant win as an independent but might tilt the result to McAuliffe could be on to something, said Brown. In a two-way race, McAuliffe wins Democrats 83 4 percent. Cuccinelli takes Republicans 87 2 percent. Independent voters go 33 percent for Cuccinelli and 29 percent for McAuliffe. Women go to the Democrat 42 33 percent, while men go Republican 44 34 percent. Cuccinelli wins white voters 47 31 percent, while black voters go to McAuliffe 64 11 percent. In a three-way race, Bolling gets 10 percent of Republicans, but just 5 percent of Democrats. Interestingly, voters are split evenly, 44 43 percent, on whether Cuccinelli should resign as attorney general while he runs for governor. These same voters say 48 36 percent that Bolling should remain lieutenant governor if he runs for governor. The difference between the public view of the two men stems from Democrats saying Bolling should remain in office even if he runs by 42 39 percent, but think Cuccinelli should resign by 55 30 percent. As he enters the fourth year of his term, Gov. Bob McDonnell remains popular with voters. He has a 53 28 percent job approval with voters, including 77 11 percent among Republicans and 55 22 percent among independent voters. Even his 47 32 percent disapproval among Democrats is better than many governors in the view of the opposition party. Virginia lawmakers, however, do not fare as well with voters. The State Legislature gets a 46 38 disapproval compared to a 43 39 percent approval in early January before the legislative session was in full swing. From February 14 18, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,112 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research. For more information or RSS feed, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, or call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

1. If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Terry McAuliffe the Democrat and Ken Cuccinelli the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot McAuliffe Cuccinelli SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 38% 38 1 2 21 Rep 2% 87 1 1 8 Dem 83% 4 1 1 11 Ind 29% 33 1 3 34 Men 34% 44 1 2 19 Wom 42% 33 1 2 22 Wht 31% 47 1 2 20 Blk 64% 11 1 3 21

WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No McAuliffe Cuccinelli SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 40% 45 1 2 13 25% 48 1 2 24 24% 51 1 1 23 30% 54 15 27% 54 2 1 16 34% 41 2 23 16% 63 21 34% 44 1 1 19

COLLEGE DEG Yes No McAuliffe Cuccinelli SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 46% 37 1 2 14 34% 39 1 2 24

ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K 39% 30 1 2 27 42% 42 2 14 36% 48 1 15

AGE IN YRS....... 18-34 35-54 55+ 37% 32 1 3 28 38% 45 1 2 14 40% 37 1 1 20

TREND: If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Terry McAuliffe the Democrat and Ken Cuccinelli the Republican, for whom would you vote? Feb 20 2013 McAuliffe Cuccinelli SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 38 38 1 2 21 Jan 09 2013 40 39 2 1 18 Nov 14 2012 41 37 1 1 21

2. If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Terry McAuliffe the Democrat, Ken Cuccinelli the Republican, and Bill Bolling running as an independent, for whom would you vote? Tot McAuliffe Cuccinelli Bolling SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 34% 31 13 1 21 Rep 1% 75 10 13 Dem 78% 2 5 1 15 Ind 21% 25 21 2 31 Men 30% 37 13 1 18 Wom 37% 25 13 1 23 Wht 26% 37 15 1 20 Blk 65% 8 6 1 2 19

WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No McAuliffe Cuccinelli Bolling SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 34% 37 14 16 21% 38 17 1 23 21% 43 14 22 24% 43 18 15 23% 44 17 1 15 29% 32 14 25 15% 50 14 20 27% 37 17 20

COLLEGE DEG Yes No McAuliffe Cuccinelli Bolling SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 40% 30 13 1 16 31% 31 14 1 24

ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K 37% 24 13 2 25 36% 34 15 1 15 32% 39 13 15

AGE IN YRS....... 18-34 35-54 55+ 33% 27 13 1 25 34% 33 15 1 17 36% 31 12 1 20

TREND: If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Terry McAuliffe the Democrat, Ken Cuccinelli the Republican, and Bill Bolling running as an independent, for whom would you vote? Feb 20 2013 McAuliffe Cuccinelli Bolling SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 34 31 13 1 21 Jan 09 2013 34 34 13 1 18

3. Is your opinion of Terry McAuliffe favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 23% 16 60 1 6% 28 64 1 43% 1 56 18% 19 61 2 24% 20 56 1 22% 13 64 1 20% 20 59 1 34% 1 64 -

WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 26% 24 49 1 17% 18 65 1 14% 22 64 1 24% 21 55 21% 24 54 1 20% 17 62 1 10% 26 64 22% 19 59 -

COLLEGE DEG Yes No Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 31% 21 48 1 18% 13 68 1

ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K 18% 8 74 29% 20 51 25% 23 51 1

AGE IN YRS....... 18-34 35-54 55+ 21% 8 69 1 23% 18 59 23% 19 57 1

TREND: Is your opinion of Terry McAuliffe favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Feb 20 2013 Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 23 16 60 1 Jan 09 2013 23 16 61 1 Nov 14 2012 17 13 68 1

4. Is your opinion of Ken Cuccinelli favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 30% 25 44 1 61% 4 35 6% 45 48 1 27% 25 46 2 32% 24 44 1 28% 27 44 1 36% 24 39 1 8% 32 59 1

WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 37% 37 25 1 35% 15 49 1 41% 18 40 1 43% 27 29 38% 24 37 1 34% 24 41 1 46% 10 43 1 37% 28 34 1

COLLEGE DEG Yes No Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 32% 40 28 1 28% 17 54 1

ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K 21% 21 58 1 34% 29 36 1 40% 26 33 1

AGE IN YRS....... 18-34 35-54 55+ 19% 21 58 2 35% 22 42 1 31% 31 37 1

TREND: Is your opinion of Ken Cuccinelli favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Feb 20 2013 Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 30 25 44 1 Jan 09 2013 33 25 41 2 Nov 14 2012 29 24 45 2

5. Is your opinion of Bill Bolling favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 18% 10 72 1 Rep 23% 10 65 2 Dem 10% 11 80 Ind 23% 7 69 1 Men 21% 11 68 Wom 16% 8 75 1 Wht 21% 9 69 1 Blk 12% 9 80 -

WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 25% 11 64 18% 8 72 1 24% 9 66 1 19% 11 68 2 25% 10 64 17% 8 73 1 28% 9 61 2 19% 9 71 1

COLLEGE DEG Yes No Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 21% 10 69 17% 9 73 1

ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K 15% 7 77 1 21% 9 70 21% 10 68 1

AGE IN YRS....... 18-34 35-54 55+ 10% 7 83 19% 9 71 1 22% 12 65 1

TREND: Is your opinion of Bill Bolling favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Feb 20 2013 Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 18 10 72 1 Jan 09 2013 18 9 72 1 Nov 14 2012 20 8 70 1

6. Is your opinion of Bob McDonnell favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 41% 24 33 3 Rep 59% 7 31 3 Dem 21% 40 36 3 Ind 45% 21 32 2 Men 47% 20 31 3 Wom 35% 27 35 3 Wht 45% 22 30 2 Blk 23% 32 43 1

WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 47% 29 21 3 44% 18 37 2 51% 18 29 2 48% 15 34 3 52% 18 28 2 39% 26 33 2 56% 12 30 2 47% 21 30 2

COLLEGE DEG Yes No Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 44% 32 22 3 38% 19 40 3

ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K 28% 23 47 2 49% 28 22 1 53% 21 24 3

AGE IN YRS....... 18-34 35-54 55+ 31% 23 46 1 43% 21 34 2 44% 28 25 3

TREND: Is your opinion of Bob McDonnell favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Feb 20 2013 Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 41 24 33 3 Jan 09 2013 45 23 30 2 Nov 15 2012 42 22 34 2 Jun 07 2012 39 25 35 2

7. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bob McDonnell is handling his job as Governor? Tot Approve Disapprove DK/NA 53% 28 19 Rep 77% 11 11 Dem 32% 47 21 Ind 55% 22 23 Men 56% 26 18 Wom 50% 29 21 Wht 57% 26 17 Blk 37% 42 21

WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No Approve Disapprove DK/NA 56% 31 12 57% 22 20 63% 22 15 70% 21 9 62% 25 14 53% 26 20 69% 19 12 60% 23 17

COLLEGE DEG Yes No Approve Disapprove DK/NA 53% 34 13 52% 24 24

ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K 45% 27 28 55% 30 15 61% 29 10

AGE IN YRS....... 18-34 35-54 55+ 47% 25 28 55% 27 18 53% 32 15

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bob McDonnell is handling his job as Governor? (*Low also 53% Mar 2012, Jun 2012, Nov 2012) APPROVE....... High Low Oct 12 Feb 20 2011 2013* 62 22 16 53 28 19

Feb 20 2013 Approve Disapprove DK/NA 53 28 19

Jan 09 2013 54 27 19

Nov 15 2012 53 26 20

Jul 18 2012 55 29 17

Jun 06 2012 53 30 17

8. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job? Tot Approve Disapprove DK/NA 38% 46 16 Rep 59% 25 16 Dem 28% 58 14 Ind 36% 47 18 Men 43% 43 13 Wom 34% 48 18 Wht 40% 43 17 Blk 34% 57 10

WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No Approve Disapprove DK/NA 44% 44 12 38% 42 20 42% 40 17 56% 35 9 45% 40 14 36% 45 19 44% 36 20 42% 44 14

COLLEGE DEG Yes No Approve Disapprove DK/NA 40% 48 12 37% 45 18

ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K 36% 47 18 39% 49 12 46% 41 13

AGE IN YRS....... 18-34 35-54 55+ 40% 42 17 46% 42 12 32% 52 16

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job? (*High also 48% Jun 2011, **Low also 38% Mar 2012) APPROVE....... High Low Sep 14 Feb 20 2011* 2013** 48 34 18 38 46 16

Feb 20 2013 Approve Disapprove DK/NA 38 46 16

Jan 09 2013 43 39 19

Nov 15 2012 44 35 21

Jul 18 2012 41 41 18

Jun 06 2012 41 44 16

12. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill Bolling is handling his job as Lieutenant Governor? Tot Approve Disapprove DK/NA 36% 18 45 Rep 45% 17 38 Dem 32% 19 49 Ind 34% 16 50 Men 42% 18 40 Wom 32% 18 50 Wht 37% 18 45 Blk 39% 21 39

WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No Approve Disapprove DK/NA 40% 16 43 35% 18 47 40% 19 41 41% 18 41 44% 16 40 31% 19 49 46% 16 38 37% 18 45

COLLEGE DEG Yes No Approve Disapprove DK/NA 38% 17 45 36% 18 46

ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K 36% 12 51 39% 22 39 38% 18 44

AGE IN YRS....... 18-34 35-54 55+ 33% 19 48 39% 20 41 37% 16 47

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill Bolling is handling his job as Lieutenant Governor? (*Low also 35% Oct 2011) APPROVE....... High Low Jan 09 Dec 22 2013 2011* 40 16 44 35 18 46

Feb 20 2013 Approve Disapprove DK/NA 36 18 45

Jan 09 2013 40 16 44

Nov 14 2012 38 15 47

Jul 18 2012 36 19 45

Jun 06 2012 36 21 44

13. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ken Cuccinelli is handling his job as Virginia Attorney General? Tot Approve Disapprove DK/NA 41% 32 26 Rep 77% 6 17 Dem 16% 54 31 Ind 38% 33 29 Men 49% 28 23 Wom 35% 36 29 Wht 47% 30 23 Blk 23% 40 37

WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No Approve Disapprove DK/NA 43% 40 16 49% 24 27 53% 23 23 53% 31 16 55% 27 18 40% 33 27 61% 17 22 46% 32 23

COLLEGE DEG Yes No Approve Disapprove DK/NA 39% 44 17 43% 25 32

ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K 38% 28 34 45% 36 19 47% 33 20

AGE IN YRS....... 18-34 35-54 55+ 34% 29 37 48% 30 22 41% 37 22

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ken Cuccinelli is handling his job as Virginia Attorney General? APPROVE....... High Low Jun 29 Feb 20 2011 2013 49 31 20 41 32 26

Feb 20 2013 Approve Disapprove DK/NA 41 32 26

Jan 09 2013 48 27 25

Nov 14 2012 43 29 28

Jul 18 2012 44 31 25

Jun 06 2012 46 29 25

14. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Virginia today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied? Tot Very satisfied Smwht satisfied Smwht dissatisfied Very dissatisfied DK/NA 8% 50 29 12 1 Rep 11% 56 23 10 Dem 5% 49 32 13 1 Ind 9% 50 28 11 1 Men 9% 52 27 11 1 Wom 7% 48 31 12 1 Wht 9% 51 28 12 Blk 8% 41 37 13 1

WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No Very satisfied Smwht satisfied Smwht dissatisfied Very dissatisfied DK/NA 10% 53 27 10 8% 50 29 12 1 10% 51 27 12 10% 59 23 8 10% 54 26 11 8% 49 30 12 1 14% 48 29 9 7% 56 25 12 -

COLLEGE DEG Yes No Very satisfied Smwht satisfied Smwht dissatisfied Very dissatisfied DK/NA 8% 55 25 11 1 8% 47 32 12 1

ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K 6% 47 31 14 1 6% 54 29 11 10% 54 25 11 -

AGE IN YRS....... 18-34 35-54 55+ 2% 53 33 12 9% 53 27 10 1 11% 44 30 13 1

TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Virginia today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied? (*High also 68% Jun 2011) VERY+SMWHT SAT High Low Sep 14 Feb 20 2011* 2013 13 55 24 7 1 8 50 29 12 1

Feb 20 2013 Very satisfied Smwht satisfied Smwht dissatisfied Very dissatisfied DK/NA 8 50 29 12 1

Jan 10 2013 8 57 24 10 1

Nov 15 2012 10 57 22 11 1

Feb 09 2012 11 55 25 9 1

Dec 22 2011 11 53 23 11 2

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15. As you may know Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli is running for governor. Which comes closer to your point of view; he should stay in office as Attorney General because he can still serve effectively while running for governor, or he should resign from his job as Attorney General because he cannot serve effectively while running for governor? Tot Stay in office Resign DK/NA 43% 44 13 Rep 61% 27 11 Dem 30% 55 15 Ind 43% 46 11 Men 46% 45 9 Wom 41% 44 16 Wht 47% 42 11 Blk 38% 52 10

WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No Stay in office Resign DK/NA 46% 46 8 47% 40 13 49% 40 12 53% 42 6 53% 40 7 42% 44 14 53% 37 10 47% 44 9

COLLEGE DEG Yes No Stay in office Resign DK/NA 43% 50 7 43% 41 16

ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K 40% 43 16 42% 46 12 52% 42 6

AGE IN YRS....... 18-34 35-54 55+ 43% 45 12 45% 44 10 43% 44 13

16. As you may know Lieutenant Governor Bill Bolling might run for governor. Which comes closer to your point of view; he should stay in office as Lieutenant Governor because he can still serve effectively while running for governor, or he should resign from his job as Lieutenant Governor because he cannot serve effectively while running for governor? Tot Stay in office Resign DK/NA 48% 36 16 Rep 55% 32 12 Dem 42% 39 20 Ind 48% 37 15 Men 53% 36 11 Wom 43% 36 21 Wht 51% 34 15 Blk 45% 44 11

WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No Stay in office Resign DK/NA 57% 31 12 46% 36 17 50% 33 17 52% 32 15 58% 31 10 44% 36 20 45% 40 15 55% 30 15

COLLEGE DEG Yes No Stay in office Resign DK/NA 54% 35 11 43% 37 20

ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K 43% 37 19 48% 36 15 56% 35 10

AGE IN YRS....... 18-34 35-54 55+ 47% 37 16 49% 37 14 48% 34 18

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