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Jawaharlal Nehru, the first prime minister along with the statistician
Prasanta Chandra, carried on by Indira Gandhi formulated and oversaw
economic policy. They expected favorable outcomes from this strategy,
because it involved both public and private sectors and was based on
direct and indirect state intervention, rather than the more extreme Soviet
style central command system. The policy of concentrating simultaneously
on capital- and technology-intensive heavy industry and subsidising
manual, low-skill cottage industries was criticized by economist
Milton Friedman, who thought it would waste capital and labour, and retard
the development of small manufacturers.
India's low average growth rate from was derisively referred to as the
Hindu rate of growth, because of the unfavorable comparison with growth
rates in other Asian countries, especially the “East Asian Tigers”
After the economic policy
change of 1991…….
In the late 80s, the government led by Rajiv Gandhi eased
restrictions, removed price controls and reduced corporate taxes.
While this increased the rate of growth, it also led to high fiscal
deficits and a worsening current account. The collapse of the Soviet
Union, which was India's major trading partner, and the first Gulf
War, which caused a spike in oil prices, caused a major balance-of-
payments crisis for India, which found itself facing the prospect of
defaulting on its loans. In response, Prime Minister Narasimha Rao
along with his finance minister ______________ initiated the
economic liberalization of 1991.
The reforms did away with the License Raj (investment, industrial
and import licensing) and ended many public monopolies, allowing
automatic approval of FDI in many sectors. Since then, the overall
direction of liberalization has remained the same, irrespective of the
ruling party, although no party has tried to take on powerful lobbies
such as the trade unions and farmers, or contentious issues such
as reforming labour laws and reducing agricultural subsidies.
Since 1990 India has emerged as one of the wealthiest
economies in the developing world; during this period, the
economy has grown constantly, but with a few major setbacks.
This has been accompanied by increases in life expectancy,
literacy rates and food security.
While the credit rating of India was hit by its nuclear tests in
1998, it has been raised to investment level in 2007. In 2003,
Goldman Sachs predicted that India's GDP in current prices will
overtake France and Italy by 2020, Germany, UK and Russia by
2025 and Japan by 2035. By 2035, it was projected to be the
third largest economy of the world, behind US and China.
International trade trends
India whose share was 2.2% of world exports during independence
currently stands at 0.7%. This means that Indian exports have not kept
pace with other countries.
The world economy expanded by 3.3 per cent, slightly faster than the
decade average. Only Europe’s economy continued to record low GDP
growth.