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Takeshi Uchiyamada
Executive Vice PresidentToyota Motor CorporationDecember 14, 2009
Takeshi Uchiyamada
Executive Vice PresidentToyota Motor CorporationDecember 14, 2009
Toyota’s R&D Activitiesfor Realizing Sustainable MobilityToyota’s R&D Activitiesfor Realizing Sustainable Mobility
Demand foralternative fuels
Oil demand
O i l d e m a n d & s u p p l y ( M i l l i o n b / d )
Synthetic-fuel
（
GTL/CTL
）
Super heavy oil
TMC estimate
CNGElectricity/Hydrogen
A l t e r n a t i v e e n e r g y s u p p l y p o t e n t i a l ( M i l l i o n b / d )
Gap between oil demand and supply will expand gradually in near future Alternative fuels will be desirable
Bio-fuelOil supply
Demand & Supply Potential for Alternative FuelsDemand & Supply Potential for Alternative FuelsDemand & Supply Potential for Alternative Fuels
CoalCoalBiomassBiomassNuclear energyNuclear energy
NaturalgasNaturalgas
2010201020302030
Technology improvement of gasoline vehicles and diesel vehicles
OilOil
ICE
Internalcombustionengine
ICE
Internalcombustionengine
EVEVFCHVFCHV
Gasoline and Diesel Gasoline and Diesel
(from conventional oil fields)(from conventional oil fields)
Gasoline and Diesel Gasoline and Diesel
(from deep (from deep - - sea oil fields, oil sea oil fields, oil shales, etc.)shales, etc.)
Hydro,Solar,GeothermalenergyHydro,Solar,Geothermalenergy
E l e c t r i c i t y E l e c t r i c i t y g e n e r a t i o n g e n e r a t i o n
H y d r o g e n H y d r o g e n p r o d u c t i o n p r o d u c t i o n
Gas Gas Synthetic fuels Synthetic fuels
(GTL/CTL/BTL)(GTL/CTL/BTL)
Bioethanol/biodiesel Bioethanol/biodiesel Electricity Electricity Hydrogen Hydrogen
Drilling and refiningtechnology and costBuild infrastructureGas storage technologyCO
2
reduction technology(during production of fuel)Gasification/synthetic technology /costStabilize supplyObtain desired propertiesTechnologyutilizing celluloseCO
2
reduction technology(thermal power station)Electrical storagetechnology for EVElectrical storagetechnology for PHVs and EVsInfrastructuredevelopmentCO
2
reductiontechnology (duringhydrogen production)Hydrogen storagetechnology / costInfrastructuredevelopment
Each alternative fuel has several issues, meaning oil will remainmain fuel for some time, with liquid fuels and non-liquid fuels coexisting
Future Fuel Issues
＠
2009
Scenarios for Response to Environmental and Energy IssuesScenarios for Response to Environmental and Energy Issues
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