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Since the inception of the ESPN Cy Young Predictor in 2002, it has "predicted" the winner with 62.5% accuracy. In that
same time span, Pitcher Rating has a 81% correlation to the actual voting.
The two formulas are in agreement that last year's AL winner should have been Felix Hernandez, as well as Mariano
Rivera in '05 and Eric Gagne in '04.
The egregious difference between the two formulas comes in 2003, where the Cy Young Predictor rewarded one closer
too much and another not enough.
A Cy Young Award winner should at least pass the eye test. Keith Foulke and Mark Prior? Seriously? Foulke finished
seventh in the vote, Prior taking third.
The unbelievable story is Felix Hernandez in Seattle. The perennial Cy Young candidate, and his team, got off to a terrible
start of the season. However, King Felix has brought his record back up to .500 to accompany his high strikeout total.