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Pitcher Rating - Stats as of August 25, 2010

NAME LEAGUE W L SV HLD BSV SO RS WHIP ERA PR ∆


1 Roy Halladay NL 16 8 180 4.78 1.03 2.16 51.84 3
2 Adam Wainwright NL 17 8 171 6.24 1.00 2.18 50.48 1
3 Ubaldo Jimenez NL 17 4 156 6.80 1.10 2.66 49.85 2
4 CC Sabathia AL 17 5 151 7.39 1.22 3.02 45.56 5
5 Heath Bell NL 5 0 37 3 69 0.00 1.23 1.84 44.73 4
6 Chris Carpenter NL 14 4 143 6.42 1.15 2.85 40.90 8
7 Mat Latos NL 13 5 144 6.06 0.98 2.33 40.47 9
8 David Price AL 15 5 146 7.19 1.26 2.97 40.39 6
9 Rafael Soriano AL 2 1 38 2 44 0.00 0.81 1.79 39.28 11
10 Brian Wilson NL 3 1 35 3 75 0.00 1.29 1.94 37.85 16
11 Josh Johnson NL 11 5 166 6.03 1.08 2.36 37.48 14
12 Tim Hudson NL 14 5 96 6.13 1.10 2.28 37.17 10
13 Trevor Cahill AL 14 5 88 5.67 1.00 2.43 37.15 22
14 Felix Hernandez AL 10 10 192 3.92 1.11 2.47 36.64 29
15 Clay Buchholz AL 15 5 96 7.49 1.20 2.26 36.61 17
16 Billy Wagner NL 7 2 30 7 77 0.00 0.88 1.68 36.50 19
17 Jon Lester AL 13 8 166 6.35 1.18 3.26 35.74 7
18 Justin Verlander AL 14 8 160 6.60 1.24 3.65 35.67 21
19 C.J. Wilson AL 13 5 134 6.75 1.21 3.02 34.99 35
20 Jered Weaver AL 11 9 189 5.33 1.11 3.21 34.77 12
21 Carl Pavano AL 15 9 105 5.74 1.16 3.56 33.37 13
22 Clayton Kershaw NL 11 8 174 5.81 1.25 3.07 33.00 20
23 Ricky Nolasco NL 14 8 147 6.42 1.23 4.22 32.91 18
24 Joakim Soria AL 0 2 36 2 57 0.00 1.13 1.83 32.32 27
25 Cliff Lee AL 10 7 151 4.84 0.98 3.09 31.91 15
26 Brian Duensing AL 7 2 9 53 2.89 1.04 2.19 31.63 23
27 Ryan Dempster NL 12 8 168 7.19 1.25 3.42 31.03 41
28 Matt Garza AL 13 7 1 127 7.13 1.18 3.62 30.77 33
29 Johan Santana NL 10 8 137 3.99 1.18 2.94 30.70 24
30 John Danks AL 12 8 130 5.72 1.15 3.31 30.47 26
31 Clayton Richard NL 12 5 126 6.37 1.40 3.55 30.01 34
32 Neftali Feliz AL 3 3 32 3 3 58 0.00 0.98 3.44 29.95 32
33 Bronson Arroyo NL 14 7 91 6.20 1.17 3.82 29.57 37
34 Francisco Liriano AL 11 7 165 7.14 1.28 3.45 29.08 28
35 Mariano Rivera AL 3 2 25 2 38 0.00 0.72 1.18 28.80 31
36 John Garland NL 13 8 104 6.11 1.33 3.25 28.77 36
37 John Axford NL 7 1 19 2 2 54 0.00 1.24 2.64 28.62 39
38 Tim Lincecum NL 11 8 173 6.89 1.35 3.72 28.38 30
39 Gio Gonzalez AL 11 8 134 5.87 1.27 3.24 27.85 NR
40 Yovani Gallardo NL 11 5 155 8.03 1.35 3.50 27.76 25
41 Phil Hughes AL 15 6 122 10.04 1.25 4.12 27.62 40
42 Ervin Santana AL 13 9 137 6.89 1.35 4.13 27.15 42
43 Ricky Romero AL 10 7 144 5.73 1.27 3.48 27.02 38
44 Jaime Garcia NL 11 6 111 7.39 1.25 2.42 26.79 NR
45 Matt Cain NL 10 10 137 5.16 1.14 3.07 26.13 NR
Pitcher Rating - Stats as of August 25, 2010

DROPPED FROM RANKINGS:


43 Johnny Cueto
44 Andy Pettitte
45 Colby Lewis

ESPN Cy Young Predictor Ross Clites Pitcher Rating


AL NL AL NL
2002 Barry Zito Randy Johnson Barry Zito Randy Johnson
2003 Keith Foulke Mark Prior Roy Halladay Eric Gagne
2004 Johan Santana Eric Gagne Johan Santana Eric Gagne
2005 Mariano Rivera Chris Carpenter Mariano Rivera Chris Carpenter
2006 Johan Santana Brandon Webb Johan Santana Brandon Webb
2007 CC Sabathia Jake Peavy CC Sabathia Jake Peavy
2008 Cliff Lee Tim Lincecum Cliff Lee Tim Lincecum
2009 Felix Hernandez Adam Wainwright Felix Hernandez Tim Lincecum

Since the inception of the ESPN Cy Young Predictor in 2002, it has "predicted" the winner with 62.5% accuracy. In that
same time span, Pitcher Rating has a 81% correlation to the actual voting.

The two formulas are in agreement that last year's AL winner should have been Felix Hernandez, as well as Mariano
Rivera in '05 and Eric Gagne in '04.

The egregious difference between the two formulas comes in 2003, where the Cy Young Predictor rewarded one closer
too much and another not enough.

A Cy Young Award winner should at least pass the eye test. Keith Foulke and Mark Prior? Seriously? Foulke finished
seventh in the vote, Prior taking third.

The unbelievable story is Felix Hernandez in Seattle. The perennial Cy Young candidate, and his team, got off to a terrible
start of the season. However, King Felix has brought his record back up to .500 to accompany his high strikeout total.

2010 ESPN Cy Young Predictor 2010 Ross Clites Pitcher Rating


AL NL AL NL
1ST CC Sabathia Adam Wainwright CC Sabathia Roy Halladay
2ND David Price Roy Halladay David Price Adam Wainwright
3RD Clay Buchholz Heath Bell Rafael Soriano Ubaldo Jimenez
4TH Rafael Soriano Ubaldo Jimenez Trevor Cahill Heath Bell
5TH Trevor Cahill Billy Wagner Felix Hernandez Chris Carpenter
6TH C.J. Wilson Tim Hudson Clay Buchholz Mat Latos
7TH Jonathan Papelbon Chris Carpenter Jon Lester Brian Wilson

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