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2018 MARKET OVERVIEW

January 2019
The Network is pleased to issue our twelfth edition of The Network Market Overview report. This report will
provide a general synopsis of overall sales activity observed within the City of Edmonton during 2018, with a 5
year summary also being presented to assist in gauging activity in 2018 in relation to the preceding 4 years. The
Market Overview will key on overall sales activity and trends within the City of Edmonton as well as an analysis
of a number of sub-sectors.

TOTAL SALES VOLUME


2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
LAND
Total $ Value $794,202,701 $487,595,957 $310,898,742 $324,815,122 $519,591,723
No. of
Transactions 207 159 137 130 172
BUILDINGS
Total $ Value $1,516,702,021 $1,017,133,005 $1,755,548,149 $1,875,575,046 $2,353,014,943
No. of
Transactions 422 345 424 422 452
Total
Total $ Value $2,310,904,722 $1,504,728,962 $2,067,046,891 $2,200,390,168 $2,872,606,666
No. of
Transactions 629 504 561 552 624

2018 Sales Distribution


Total $ Value & No. of Transactions

$3,500 700
Industrial
Millions

17% $3,000 600


Land
28% $2,500 500
No. of Transactions
Yearly Totals

Mul9-Family $2,000 400


10%
$1,500 300

$1,000 200

$500 100
Retail
16% Condos $0 0
23% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Office 6%
Total $ Value No. of Transactions

10129-161 STREET TELEPHONE: (780) 425 - 3939


EDMONTON, ALBERTA T5P 3H9 EMAIL: thenet@gettelnet.ca WWW.GETTELNETWORK.COM
2018 Market Overview Page 2

2018 represented the second year of economic recovery within the Province of Alberta and City of Edmonton.
The economic recovery has exerted a positive influence on the city’s real estate market. The overall dollar value
of sales citywide was up approximately 30% as compared to 2017 The total number of sales was up 13% from
2017 and this represents the largest total of overall sales since 2012-2014.

Following 2014 a steep decline in land sales dollar volume was observed, dropping 59% between 2014-2017.
The land market has rebounded with a 60% increase over the past 12 months. The total number of sales also
increased 32%.

Total Land $ Volume & No. of Transactions 2018 Land Sales Distribu$on

$900 250
Yearly Totals Millions

$800 Mul$ Family


Industrial

No. of Transactions
$700 200 26%
21%
$600
150
$500
$400
100 Misc.
$300 .05%
$200 50
$100
Urban Dev. Commercial
$0 0 30%
23%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Total $ Value No. of Transactions

The total number of building sales is up slightly from 2017. The overall volume of sales on a dollar basis was up
approximately 25% and represented the highest numbers seen since 2007 ($2,983,722,556). These numbers were
achieved due to a series of large dollar sales in 2018.

2018 Building Sales Distribu6on


Total Building $ Volume & No. of Transactions
Office
Condos $2,500 500
8%
32%
Yearly Totals Millions

450
No. of Transactions

$2,000 400
350
$1,500 300
250
Retail $1,000 200
22% 150
$500 100
50
$0 0
Industrial
24% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Mul6-Family
Total $ Value No. of Transactions
14%
2018 Market Overview Page 3

MULTI-FAMILY MARKET

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018


WALK-UP APTS
Sales Volume $215,324,500 $220,609,830 $339,899,031 $211,764,401 $121,715,380
Average $/Suite $126,341 $131,862 $125,160 $115,665 $120,967
Average Cap Rate 5.92 5.87 5.84 5.62 5.47
No. of Sales 61 49 56 38 46

OTHER APTS
HIGH RISE
High Rise $ Value $52,751,800 $60,750,000 $85,000,000 $203,000,000 $331,516,000
No. of Sales 2 3 3 2 9
ROW HOUSE
Row House $ Value $22,241,200 $10,140,000 $45,000,000 $5,000,000 $0
No. of Sales 3 2 2 1 0
WALK-UP/RETAIL
Walk-up/Retail $ Value $39,100,216 $5,833,387 $3,300,000 $30,015,000 $32,015,000
No. of Sales 4 2 2 2 6
MISC.
Misc. $ Value $890,000 $32,422,275 $0 $332,000 $210,309,000
No. of Sales 1 2 0 1 3
Sub-Total Other
Total Other $ Value: $114,983,216 $109,145,662 $133,300,000 $238,347,000 $573,840,000
Total No. of Sales: 10 9 7 6 18

TOTAL
Overall Total $ Value: $330,307,716 $329,755,492 $473,199,031 $450,111,401 $695,555,380
Total No. of Sales: 71 58 63 44 64

Total Multi-Family $ Volume vs No. of Transactions

$800,000 80
Thousands

$700,000 70

$600,000 60
No. of Transactions

$500,000 50
Yearly Totals

$400,000 40

$300,000 30

$200,000 20

$100,000 10

$- 0
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Total $ Value No. of Sales


2018 Market Overview Page 4

Walk-Up Multi-Family Capitalization Rate


Average $/Suite vs No. of Transactions
9.00
$135 70
Yearly Totals Thousands

8.00
$130 60
7.00

No. of Transactions
50 6.00
$125
40 5.00
$120
30 4.00
$115 3.00
20

$110 2.00
10
1.00
$105 0
0.00
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Average $/Suite No. of Sales 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

The multi-family market in 2018 saw a series of nine High-Rise Apartments sales totaling $331,516,000. These
sales resulted in the overall dollar value of sales surpassing previous years totals. Activity in walk-up apartments
however dropped off sharply. CMHC’s 2018 survey confirmed a vacancy level of 5.3% for the Edmonton
CMA, well below the 7% from 2017. Average rents increased in 2018 by 1.2%. Capitalization rates have
continued to decline year over year dropping to an average of 5.47%. The average sale price per suite has
rebounded back, up 5% from 2017 and on par with previous years.

The following will summarize some of the notable sales which took place during the year:

ADDRESS SALE PRICE NUMBER OF SUITES $ PER SUITE


9733-111 St $96,100,000 260 suite high-rise $369,615
10125-121 St $67,250,000 249 suite high-rise $270,080

10620-116 St $47,000,000 176 suite high-rise $267,045


9939-115 St $25,366,000 113 suite high-rise $224,478
9915-115 St $25,100,000 91 suite high-rise $275,824
11610-100 Ave $21,350,000 92 suite high-rise $232,065
9810-105 St $19,400,000 91 suite high-rise $213,187
2018 Market Overview Page 5

INDUSTRIAL MARKET

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018


MULTI-BAY
Sales Volume $143,245,314 $83,139,000 $133,956,860 $50,865,000 $279,128,034
Average $/Sq Ft $134.02 $152.76 $145.39 $129.14 $126.01
Average Cap
Rate 7.01 5.94 6.30 7.38 6.99
No. of Sales 26 18 15 12 24

SINGLE TENANT
Sales Volume $45,669,775 $53,935,180 $107,148,445 $70,750,000 $15,000,000
Average $/Sq Ft $208.75 $319.18 $173.19 $249.80 $176.08
Average Cap
Rate 6.65 6.49 6.64 5.98 6.69
No. of Sales 10 6 11 9 4

MISC. -MINI STORAGE


Sales Volume $3,413,480 $0 $18,900,000 $0 $6,550,000
Average $/Sq Ft $70.52 $0 $198.63 0 67.58
Average Cap
Rate 0 0 6.48 0 0
No. of Sales 1 0 2 0 2

WAREHOUSE (OWNER USER)


Sales Volume $172,243,691 $172,282,663 $191,225,000 $213,769,808 $232,758,180
Average $/Sq Ft $224.38 $193.95 $189.69 $211.85 $178.91
No. of Sales 59 64 60 69 78

TOTAL OVERALL SALES


Sales Volume $364,572,260 $309,356,843 $451,230,000 $335,384,808 $533,436,214
No. of Sales 96 88 88 90 108

Total Industrial $ Value & No. of Transactions

$600 120
Yearly Totals Millions

$500 100
No. of Transactions

$400 80

$300 60

$200 40

$100 20

$- 0
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Total $ Value No. of Sales
2018 Market Overview Page 6

Industrial Owner User Unit Price & No. Of Industrial Capitaliza/on Rates
Transactions
$250 90 8
80
$200 70

No. of Transactions
7
Yearly Totals

60
$150
50
40
$100 6
30

$50 20
10
5
$0 0
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Average $/Sq Ft No. of Sales Mul--Bay Single Tenant

The industrial market in 2018 was again led by a very active owner/user warehouse category. An increase in the
multi-bay investment category was also evident. The total number of sales in the multi-bay sector doubled and
the average capitalization rate decreased from 7.38% in 2017 to 6.99% in 2018. The owner/user warehouse
category saw increases in both dollar sales volume and total number of sales but decreased 16% in terms of the
average price per sq.ft. from 2017. Activity levels were also down once again in the single tenant category and
the average capitalization rate increased to 6.69% in line with levels from 2013-2016. Of note is that the total
dollar volume for industrial buildings increased by 59% in 2018 and total sales increased slightly.

Notable sales for the year include the following:

ADDRESS SALE PRICE PROPERTY TYPE


6510 20 St $61,421,200 4 property portfolio across
Alberta
9303-28 Ave $25,000,000 Parsons Business Centre
16311-117 Ave $21,600,000 3 building portfolio
4103 84 Ave $16,320,000 O/U warehouse complex
13072 Yellowhead Tr $13,750,000 O/U warehouse complex
18131-118 Ave $13,300,000 O/U warehouse complex
4304-76 Ave $13,200,000 3 building portfolio
15803-114 Ave $11,910,000 3 building portfolio
2018 Market Overview Page 7

COMMERCIAL MARKET

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018


INVESTMENT
Sales Volume $555,368,009 $162,387,238 $504,711,689 $731,795,866 $863,138,382
No. of Sales 51 27 55 72 69

OWNER/USER
Sales Volume $117,072,671 $74,566,000 $217,050,627 $232,821,862 $168,784,579
No. of Sales 36 33 55 57 65

TOTAL OVERALL SALES


Overall Total $ $672,440,680 $236,953,238 $721,762,316 $964,617,728 $1,031,922,961
No. of Sales 87 60 110 129 134

Total Commercial $ Value & No. Of Transactions

$1,200 160
Millions

140
$1,000
120

No. of Transactions
$800
100
$600 80
Yearly Totals

60
$400
40
$200
20
$0 0
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Total $ Value No. Of Transactions

2018 Office Sales Distribu>on 2018 Retail Sales Distribu?on


34 Total Sales - ! 21% 100 Total Sales - !16%
$513,401,579 Total $ Volume - "85% $518,521,382 Total $ Volume -" 24%

High-Rise
Office
11%

General Retail
Shopping 61%
Downtown Centres 22%
Suburban
Office
Office 78%
11%

Misc. 17%
2018 Market Overview Page 8

Total Investment Commercial Sale & No. Of


Total Owner User $ Value Sale & No. Of
Transactions
$1,000 80 Transactions
Millions

$250 70

Millions
$900 70 60
$800 $200
60 50

No. of Transactions
$700

No. of Transactions
$600 50 $150 40
$500 40
$100 30

Yearly Totals
Yearly Totals

$400 30
$300 20
20 $50
$200 10
$100 10
$0 0
$0 0
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Total $ Value No. Of Transactions
Total Sale $ No. Of Transactions

The commercial market was very active again in 2018 and led the market in general comprising 44% of all
building sales. The total number of sales was up 4% and the total dollar value was up 7%. The total dollar
volume however was influenced heavily by the sale of The Edmonton Tower for $400,000,000. That sale alone
contributed a 41% increase in office sales dollar volume from 2017. The downtown office market wasn’t as busy
as the previous year with only three transactions which included the Enbridge Tower and as mentioned
Edmonton Tower being the most significant. 22 shopping centre sales occurred in 2018, averaging a 6.10%
capitalization rate, again highlighting the strength of this market in recent years.

The following will highlight some of the notable transactions which occurred during the year:

ADDRESS SALE PRICE PROPERTY TYPE NOTES


10111-104 Ave $400,000,000 Downtown Office High-Rise Edmonton Tower
2303-111 St $41,825,000 Shopping Centre Century Park
18304-100 Ave $33,802,050 Hotel Hampton Inn & Courtyard Marriot
4903-184 St $29,200,000 Shopping Centre Hawkstone Plaza
906-111 St $28,726,705 Service Station 10 Service stations across Alberta
10201 Jasper Ave $22,000,000 Downtown Office High-Rise Enbridge Tower
2803 Millwoods Road $18,850,000 Shopping Centre Kameyosek Shopping Centre
10345-107 St $17,200,000 Downtown Office High-Rise The Edge Office Building
16320-95 Ave $17,200,000 Shopping Centre Westgate Shopping Centre
4440 Gateway Blvd $16,500,000 Hotel Raddison Hotel
14403 Miller Crossing $13,800,000 Shopping Centre Miller Crossing
2018 Market Overview Page 9

INDUSTRIAL/COMMERCIAL CONDOMINIUM MARKET

Industrial and commercial (office and retail) condominiums have become a significant component of the
market, and this has been particularly true over the past 5 years. Recent trends in this sector are outlined in the
following graphs:

Condo No. of Transac.ons


140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Office Condos 43 47 71 60 40
Retail Condos 23 18 24 31 33
Industrial Condos 90 70 67 65 73
Total 156 135 162 156 146

Condo Average Unit Price


$450
$400
$350
$300
$250
$200
$150
$100
$50
$0
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Office Condos $278.65 $388.60 $367.92 $351.05 $335.61
Retail Condos $320.67 $264.29 $339.64 $353.54 $396.33
Industrial Condos $203.80 $223.23 $220.09 $215.17 $219.49

Overall activity in the condominium sector for 2018 was essentially on par with the previous year. The only
noticeable change was the decline in the number of office condominium sales which were down 33% and the
average price per sq.ft. dropped 5% from 2017. Retail had a slight increase for total sales and a 12% increase for
average price per sq.ft. which was inflated by a sale for $1,597/sq.ft. along Jasper Avenue. The industrial sector
has been stable over the last 3 years.
2018 Market Overview Page 10

INDUSTRIAL LAND

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018


Total $ Value $167,628,020 $74,970,000 $24,819,999 $36,080,150 $87,198,650
Average $/Acre $ 691,581 $ 689,683 $ 539,014 $ 667,046 $ 679,474
No. of Transactions 55 36 21 30 36

Industrial Average $/Acre Industrial Land $ Value vs No. Of Transactions


$800,000
$180 60
$700,000 $160
50
$600,000 $140
$500,000 $120 40

$400,000 Millions $100


30
$80
$300,000
$60 20
$200,000
$40
$100,000 10
$20
$- $0 0
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Average $/Acre Total $ Value No. of Transactions

We have seen rises in all categories this year for the industrial land market, with the total dollar value increasing
by over 140%. The total number of sales was up slightly and the average sale price per acre was also up slightly
by 2% from 2017. Sales during the year included a 61.53 Acre site purchased in the Golden West Business Park
for future development of the 140 Avenue Business Park ($28,000,000).

The following will highlight some of the notable transactions which occurred during the year:

ADDRESS SALE PRICE PROPERTY SIZE NOTES


1410-164 St $28,000,000 61.53 Acres Future development
12380-121 St $5,500,000 4.82 Acres No servicing/Exposure to Yelowhead Tr.
4803 Roper Road $5,228,000 6.05 Acres Services to property line
10504-184 St $5,000,000 7.14 Acres Frontage to 118th Street.
2018 Market Overview Page 11

URBAN DEVELOPMENT LAND MARKET

This market sector involves raw, unserviced land typically situated within peripheral areas of the city. Lands of
this type can be allocated for residential, industrial or commercial use. This does represent a significant aspect of
the market and the following will highlight activity in this sector:

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Total $ Value $357,474,784 $170,662,224 $89,895,775 $107,588,888 $150,831,593


Average $/Acre $228,941 $189,728 $211,811 $184,951 $164,404
No. of Transactions 53 34 30 28 40

Urban Land $ Value vs No. Of Transactions

$400 60

$350
50
$300
40
$250
Millions

$200 30

$150
20
$100
10
$50

$0 0
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Total $ Value No. of Transactions

Activity within the urban land market was influenced by three major sales from Walton Developments totaling
$72,476,721 in dollar volume and contributed to the 2018 total dollar volume increasing 40% from 2017. The
price per acre decreased 11% from 2017 and 22% from 2016. The number of sales has increased 43%.
2018 Market Overview Page 12

COMMERCIAL LAND MARKET

The following will highlight the total number of sales over the past 5 years as well as the total dollar volume of
sales:

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018


Total $ Value $97,808,385 $123,395,003 $78,160,409 $95,682,374 $140,091,989
No. of Transactions 28 44 38 35 51

Commercial Land $ Value vs No. Of Transactions

$160 60

$140
50
$120
40
$100
Millions

$80 30

$60
20
$40
10
$20

$0 0
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Total $ Value No. of Transactions

The commercial land market was very active during the year. There were a series of six sales by Delcon in new
developments in the southwest area of Chappelle and the northwest area of Mistatim contributing $31,025,600
to the overall dollar volume.

The following will highlight some of the notable transactions which occurred during the year:

ADDRESS SALE PRICE PROPERTY SIZE NOTES


3920 Heritage Valley Tr $15,169,000 13.79 Acres Delcon sold to Loblaws
10085-100 St $12,000,000 41,511 SF Adjoins Hotel MaDonald
18104-100 Ave $9,368,400 8.91 Acres Frontage to 100th Avenue
2018 Market Overview Page 13

MULTI-FAMILY LAND MARKET

The following will highlight the total number of sales as well as the dollar volume of sales over the past 5 years:
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Total $ Value $109,459,459 $108,745,143 $108,745,143 $76,060,233 $136,355,991
No. of Transactions 37 43 43 32 44

* 1 institutional land sale totaling $5,113,500

Multi-Family Land $ Value vs No. Of Transactions

$180 80
$160 70
$140 60
$120
50
Millions

$100
40
$80
30
$60
$40 20

$20 10

$0 0
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Total $ Value No. of Transactions

Activity in the multi-family land market has rebounded after a decline in 2017. The total dollar value increased
by 79% and the number of sales also increased by 38%. The total dollar volume is significant, with the numbers
being on par with years 2013-2014 before the steep decline in years 2015-2017. 9 transactions occurred in and
around Downtown with 7 occuring in the Oliver area. Of note 10142/56 Clifton Place sold twice in 2018
($9,000,000 & $10,015,715).

The following will highlight some of the notable transactions which occurred during the year:

ADDRESS SALE PRICE PROPERTY SIZE NOTES


12010 Jasper Avenue $11,233,120 28,800 SF High density site with a max of 400 units.
10039-115 St $11,000,000 61,950 SF Former Edmonton Motors Site
12010 Jasper Ave $8,424,840 28,800 SF Canadian National Institute For The Blind
17420 110 St $6,000,000 6.20 Acres Future development site
2018 Market Overview Page 14

SUMMARY
The Network, in our year end forecast for 2018 had projected a growth year. The Network forecast generally
proved to be accurate for both land and buildings. For 2019, a review of economic forecasts would indicate that
economic recovery and growth will be sustained but at a moderate level. Most forecasters are projecting growth
of 1.5% to 2% for the province but higher rates of 2.3% - 2.6% projected for the city of Edmonton. 2019
overall is forecasted to be relatively stable and we may see a decline in overall sales volumes.

The Network is pleased to also announce the release of a new website feature, Network Analytics. Along with a
property purchaser breakdown and asset class disection, a multi function analysis/breakdown for sales statistics
of various cateegories used by real estate professionals can also be found. Below is a breakdown of 2018 multi
family high-rise apartments showing, the number of sales, total dollar volume, average sale price, average cap
rates, average unit price, etc.

The Network:
All opinions, estimates, data and statistics is believed to be reliable, however, The Network makes no guarantees, representations or warranties
of any kind, expressed or implied, regarding the information including, but not limited to, warranties of content, accuracy and reliability. Any
interested party should undertake their own inquiries as to the accuracy of the information. The Network excludes unequivocally all inferred or
implied terms, conditions and warranties arising out of this document and excludes all liability for loss and damages arising there from.
Possession of this report or copies thereof does not carry with it the right of publication.
2018 Market Overview Page 15

Nathan Gettel, President


Brian Gettel, B.Comm., AACI,

SUBSCRIPTION:
Send Email to: thenet@gettelnet.ca
www.gettelnetwork.com

THE NETWORK
10129 – 161 Street NW
Edmonton, AB T5P 3H9
Ph: (780) 425-3939

All opinions, estimates, data and statistics is believed to be reliable, however, The Network makes no guarantees, representations or warranties
of any kind, expressed or implied, regarding the information including, but not limited to, warranties of content, accuracy and reliability. Any
interested party should undertake their own inquiries as to the accuracy of the information. The Network excludes unequivocally all inferred or
implied terms, conditions and warranties arising out of this document and excludes all liability for loss and damages arising there from.
Possession of this report or copies thereof does not carry with it the right of publication.

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