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1

urB m h o G i f w l j zpf p Of - Globalization- &J Πaumif ; arG / qd k ; arG

'Dae@urBm}uD;[m tjyeftvSef ul;vl;qufqHr_awG[m


ordkif;rSm b,fwHk;ueJ@rS rwlavmufatmifudk rsm;jym;vmw,f euf
±_id ;f vmw,f? tifwmeufu urBm}uD;xJuvlawG udyk ck ek ;f jcif;wdu k rf d
atmifxad y;vdu k w
f ,f? 1930 ckepfwek ;f uvnf; pawmhaps;uGuf ysuf
&mupvdkufwJh pD;yGm;ysufuyf[m om,m0wDe,frSm v,form;
olykefxr_}uD; bmvkd@jzpfcJhwmygvJ?
q&mpHu olpawmhcf&S,f&mawG aps;usukefvkd@ a'goxGuf
+yD;awmfveS af &; vkycf w hJ mr[kwb f ;l ? bma=umifv h nf;qkad wmh pyg;aps;
usoGm;w,f? v,form;awG o\ar”tcGef (Tax) udk ray;edif=u
awmhb;l ? 'gutdru f akd umufwhJ vlO;D a&ud=k unf+h yD; tcGeaf umufw,f?
v,form;u v,fysuw f ,f? pyg;aps;uusw,f? 'Dawmh tcGerf ay;
edifawmhbl? tusKd;qufu v,fodrf;cH&w,f?
olwdk@[m e,l;a,mufòrdŒrSm pawmh&S,f&mwefzdk;awG
pum;csD ; usqif;aewmudkod=urSm r[kwfygbl; 'gayrJh urBmpD;yGm;ysufuyf
qdkufr_u jrefrmv,form;ykefuefr_}uD;udk jzpfapcJhw,fvkd@ usaemf
atmufwdkbm 13 &ufae@u OD;armifarmifoef; ( bDbDpD) eJ@ OD;armfoef; wdk@ordkif;rSm oifcJh&w,f?
(t+id r f ; pm;ygarmuQ pD ; yG m ;a&;wuU o d k v f / &ef u k e f w uU o d k v f ) wk d @ pma&;q&m}uD; *|epf wde;f bufuf (John Steinbeck) &JŒ “the
tifwmAsL;udk usaemf em;axmif&ygw,f/ OD;armifarmifoef;u urBmh Grapes of Wrath” [m b¾ma&;t=uyf q d k u f r _ a =umif h urB m h
aiGa=u;*,uf[m jrefrmjynf udkb,fvdkoufa&mufr_&dSrvJ qdkwJh pD ; yG m ;a&;ysuf u d k jzpf a y:apcJ h w J h tajcaeud k a emuf c H x m;+yD ;
tar;udk OD;armfoef;u yxrydkif;rSm xdawmh xdr,f? odyfrxdEkdifbl;vdk@ OuUvm[dk;rm;u v,ftodrf;cH&wJh tar&duef v,form;awG&JŒ
qdw k ,f? 'kw, d ar;cGe;f rSmawmh jrefrmjynfukd odyrf xdeid b f ;l ol@bmom b0udk az: jycJhygw,f?
jzpfaewJh jy\emawGa=umifhom jrefrmhpD;yGm;a&;udk xdcdkufr,fvkd@ qdkyg tvm;wlyJ 'D*,ufu *smr%DrSm [pfwvmudk tm%m&
w,f? olb,fvdk pOf;pm;vJawmh rodbl;? usaemfawmh t}uD;tus,f apcJh+yD;? pydefrSmjynfwGif;ppfrD;udk awmufavmifapcJhwm urBmhpD;yGm;
pdk;&drfrdygw,f? ysufuyf&JŒ *,ufawGjzpfcJhw,f? tvm;wlyJ tm&SrSm w±kwfjynfrSm
usaemfhtjrifuawmh 'Dae@aiGa=u;t=uyfqdkufr_[m tm&SeJ@ &duQmjywfawmufr_awGjzpf+yD; aemufqHk;rSm csefau&dSwf&JŒtrsdK;om;
jrefrmjynfudkvnf; xdcdkufedifr,fvdk/ jrifw,f/ rdk;òydtrsm; jzpfvmr,f/ tpdk;&eJ@ uGefjrLepfawG=um; jyif;xefvSwJhwdkufyGJawG[m pD;yGm;
a&$rdk;aiGrdk;&GmwHk;u udk,fubmrSmrcHpm;cJh&yJ rdk;òydvmrSudk,fcH&rJhudef; ysuu f yf&ŒJ tusK;d qufawGtjzpfe@J &vdu k w
f thJ arGq;kd awGjzpfcyhJ gw,f?
udkqdkufaevkd@yg?

ed ' gef ; ayguf y if b ma=umif h u d k i f ; &ovJ

“usaemfwoufrSm rñuHbl;wmudk ñuH&+yDayghAsm” aygvfc±kref; (2008 'Dae@b¾ma&; t=uyfqu kd rf }_ uD;jzpfapwJh ta=umif;&if;cH


ckepf / pD;yGm;a&;qdkif&mEdkb,fqk&Sif) awGeJ@ ywfoufvdk@ ynm&SifawGaxmufjywmuawmh
'Dae@ tar&duef pawmhaps;uGufysuf&maepvdkufwJh urBmvHk; (1)avmifpm"gwfqDaps;E_ef; wufvmw,f?
qdkif&m pD;yGm;ysufr_ (Global Recession) eJ@/ ywfoufvdk/ urBmhb%f (2)avmif p maps;E_ e f ; wuf v mwJ h t wG u f pm;ao=uf u k e f a wG
OuUÏa[mif;vnf;jzpf pD;yGm;a&;ynm&Sifvnf;jzpfwJh pD;yGm;a&qdkif&m aps;wufvm&w,f?
Edkb,fqk&Sif*sdK;ZufpwD;uvpfu tar&duefb%f t&if;&SifawGvkyf (3)aiGa=u;azgifyGr_jzpfvmw,f? (inflation)
wJhtjypf[m tif'dkeD;&Sm;pawmhaps;uGufuvlawGeJ/ bmrSrqdkifbl;? (4)aºuG;rSD t=uyf±kdufr_ (Credit Crisis) jzpfvmw,f?
ckawmhrqdkifwJh olawGygcH&+yDbDbDpDeJ/ ar;ajzcef; rSmrSwfcsufcsygw,f? (5)tdrf aºuG;jrD;t=uyfqdkufr_ (Mortgage Crisis)u b%fawGudk a'0g
'Dae@ urBmhpD;yGm;a&;ysufuyf (Global Recession) u edifiH vDcHr_jzpfay:vmapw,f? (&if;ESD;ðr‡yfESHr_ b%fwckjzpfwJh vDrif;nD
tm;vHk;udk xdcdkufvmr,fvkd@ usaemfajymcsifygw,f? jrefrmjynfvnf; tudkb%fpwifa'0gvDcHzdk@ a=unmvdkufwJhtcgrSm a&m*gpwifazguf
oufa&mufr_ &dSvmedifyg w,f? vmawmhw,f?) 1930 rSma&m 2008 ckESpfrSma&m b%ft&if;&Sif}uD;
2
awG&JΠZmwfwlom;pm;wJh (Dog РEat- Dog) vkyf&yfawGu 'Dtajc
tae udkoufa&mufapcJhw,f?
(6)tvkyfvufrJ hjy\em udkrajz&Sif;edifcJhbl;?
(7)tmzef*ef eJ@ tD&wfrSm tar&duefjzpfaewJhppfu ppfp&dwfaxmif;
vmw,f?
'D t csuf a wG u urB m vH k ; qd k u f & mpD ; yG m ;ysuf v k ( Global
Recession)udk OD;wnfvmygawmhw,f? 'Djy\emawG&ŒJ [d;k zuftvGe?f
pD;yGm;ysufuyf&JΠrl&if; pmrsufESmuawmh Income Inequality omjzpf
ygw,f? rm;pf&JΠpum;eJ@ajym&&ifawmh t&if;cGJa0yHkrnDr#r_? 'gutepf
om&?
1930 ckepf urBmhpD;yGm;ysufuyf (Great Depression)eJ@ 2008 ckepf
urBmhpD;yGm;ysufvk (Global Recession ) E_dif;,SOfcsuf
1930 ckepf urBmhpD;yGm;ysufuyfjzpf+yD; 79 epft=umrSm 2008
epf b¾ma&;t=uyfqdkufr_[m tHh=op&maumif;avmufatmif wdkuf
qdik af eygw,f touf 80 t&G,&f w Sd hJ tzd;k tzGm;awGq&kd if olw@kd b0rSm
'kwd,t}udrf urBmvHk;qdkif&m pD;yGm;ysufuyfudk xyfrHñuHawG&jcif;jzpf
ygw,f?
(1)1930 ck e pf pD ; yG m ;ysuf u yf / wd w d u susajym&if 1929ck e pf
atmufwdkbm 29 &uf (Black Thursday) uyJpwifw,f? ckvJ (1930 u tar&duefrSm awmiftiwfjy\emudk ñuHcJhw,f? vlawGu
atmufwdkbmvrSmyJ pwifvmyg w,f? vlrz_ v
l akH &;toif;awGu aºuG;arG;wmudk wef;pDw;kd pm; cJ&h w,f? tpd;k &u 1932 ckepf
(2)1930wHk;uvnf; tar&duefuyJpwifcJhw,f? 2008 ckepfrSmvnf; vlawGudk aºuG;arG;a&; tpDtpOfawGrvkyf edifao;bl;? Depression Cake
vkd@awmif ac:cJhw,f? udefrkef@rSm Edk@/ o=um;/ axmywf bmqdkbmrSrygbl;?)
tar&duefuyJ pwifaejcif;jzpfygw,f?
(3)pawmhaps; awGxkd;usoGm;&u pwifcJhw,f? ckvnf;pawmh aps;E_ef;
usoGm;cJhygw,f? vlawGu b%fawGu acs;xm;wJhtaºuG;awGudk (7)1930 pD;yGm;uysufuyfrSmtvkyfvufrJh 13 oef; &dScJhw,f?pufrl
jyefrqyfEikd =f ubl;? b%fawG u &if;ED;S ðr‡yEf w HS o
hJ al wGukd t&rf;uma&m xkwfukef 45 &mcdkifE_ef; oHk;epftwGif;usqif;cJhw,f? tdk;tdrfaqmuf
aiGacs;xm;w,f? ckvJ tvm;wlyJjzpfygw,f vkyfr_ 80 &mcdif;E_ef;cef@usqif;oGm;w,f? b%f 5000cef@ &yfqdkif;oGm;
(4)xdktcsdef tar&dueftpdk;&u pD;yGm;a&;ysufuyfudk q,fwifzkd@ w,f? 2008 ckepfudkawmh rod&ao;yg?
enf;vrf;wcktaeeJ@ Smoot- Hawly Tariff Act udk Oya'udkjyXmef;+yD;
oGif;ukefawGudk avsmhcscJhw,f? 'Dtcsufu pD;yGm;a&;udk ydkrdkysufqD; ukxHk;rsm; - Therapy
oGm;apcJhw,fvdk@qdkw,f? ayghapvdkvkd@ a=umif±kyfxdk; aq;twGuf 1930 uk x H k ; 1930 ck e pf u pD ; yG m ;ysuf u yf u d k orR w
av;jzpfcJhw,f?'DOya't& oGif;ukefawGudkuef@owfawmh wjcm;EkdifiH z&ifhuvif±kpyJu (New Deal Policy) ulnDajz&Sif;ay;cJhw,f? aygvpD
awGuvnf; wkef@jyefwJhtaeeJ@ tar&duefydk@ukefawGudk uef@owfr_eJ@ New Deal Policy &J ΠtES p f o m&ub%f a wG e J @ aiG a =u;qd k i f & m
&ifqdkif&w,f? 'Dae@ tar&dueftpdk;&awmh oGif;ukefawGtay:rSm ðyjyifajymif;vJr_awG vkyfcJhw,f? v,form;awG udkaiGacs;iSm;ulnDcJh
pnf;=uyf vmwmawGawmhrvkyfao;bl;? w,f? tvkyfvufrJhjy\emudk ajz&Sif;cJh&w,f? vlr_zlvHka&; tpDtpOf
(5)1930 pD;yGm;ysufuyfrjzpfrDrSm 1929 ckepfrSm tar&duef&JΠpdkufysdK; awGudk aqmif&GufcJh&w,f?
a&;rSmtm;xm;&wJh jynfe,fawGrSm rdk;acgifa&&Sm;r_}uD;jzpfr_a=umifh 'Dvdkaqmif&Gufr_awG tpGrf;ukefvkyfcJhayrJh pD;yGm;ysufuyfu
oD;ESHxGufE_ef;usqif;+yD; oD;ESHaps;awGw[kefxdk; xdk;wufvmcJhw,f? wjznf;jznf;csif;om evHxlEkdif cJhygw,f? pD;yGm;ysufuyfu 1930
2008 ckepfrSmvnf; tvm;wlyJ rESpfuwrBmvHk;rSm oD;ESHaps;awG ckepfuae 1940 ckepftxd q,fepf eD;yg;=um;cJhw,f? New Deal
xdk;wufvmw,f? qefaps;awG t}uD;tus,f wufw,f &moDOwk/ Policy a=umifh urBmph ;D yGm;a&;ysuu
f yfu jyefvnfacgi;f axmifvmw,f
ob0uyfab;eJ@ avmifpmtpm;xd;k oD;ESaH wGa=umifh aumufyo J ;D EHaS ps; qd k w mud k a wmh vuf r cH w J h o l a wG v nf ; &d S y gw,f ? 'D x J r S m
awG xdk;wufvmjcif;jzpfw,f? udef;ausmif;awmfom;awGtrsm;jym; yg0ifw,f pD;yGm;a&;ynm&Sif
(6)1930 pD;yGm;ysufuyfjzpf+yD; wepft=umrSm 0,fvdktm;usqif; *|efareyfudef;pf (John Maynard Keynes)* a,bl,s tvkyfoDtdk&D
vmwJhtwGuf aumufyJoD;ESHaps;awG w[kefxdk;usqif;vmjyefw,f? (The General Theory of Employment) qdkwmudkaz: xkwfygw,f?
tck aumufyo J ;D EHaS ps;awG jyefvnfusqif;aewmudk pd;k &drpf &mawG@vm oloDtdk&Du ±kd;pif;w,f? pD;yGm;a&usae csdefqdk&if tpdk;&u aºuG;+rDudk
&w,f? wm0ef,l/ vlawGudk tcsdefjynfhvkyfom zday;xm; (Full Employment)

* udef;u qdk&S,fvpfwa,mufawmhr[kwfbl;? t&if;&SifpepfudkajrjrKwfzdk@ olrpOf;pm;cJhygbl;? olu t&if;&Sifpepfudk u,fwifcJhwmyg?ol&J@ a,bk,stvkyf


oDtdk&D&J@tESpfom&uawmh aps;uGufpD;yGm;a&;pepfu tcsdefjynfh tvkyfay;r_udktmrcHbl;? tpdk;&taeeJ@ 0ifa&mufpGyfzuf oifh&ifpGyfzuf(tm'rf;prpf&J@ aps;uGufudkrudkif;eJ@
v$wfxm;qdkwJh oDtdk&Dudkolu tjynfht0vufrcHcJhwJhoabm)jzpfw,f? -pma&;ol-
3
yk * ~ v d u awG u d k omacguf x m;/'D t csd e f r S m b,f o l r S wH c g;acguf usaemf a wmh r xif b l ; vk d @ qd k w ,f ? tar&d u ef z,f ' &,f b %f O uU Ï
+yD ; aps;vmr0,f b l ; ? pD ; yG m ;a&;t&&if ; ES D ; ðr‡ y f E S H r _ t opf a wG u d k bifemauuawmh tpdk;&&JŒaqmif&Gufcsufa=umifh tar&duef aiGa=u;
rvkyf0Hhao;bl;? 'Dawmh vlxktusKd; ðy&if;ESD;r_awG (Socialize aps;uGuf[m jyefvnfemvHxvmr,f? pD;yGm;a&;wdk;wufvmr,fvdk@
Investment) ud k y d k v k y f v k d @ ol u t=uH a y;cJ h w ,f ? ±k p yJ tpd k ; &u tmrcHaomfjim;vnf; pepfuatmifjrifyghrvm;vdk@ r,Hkr&Jjzpfae
vk y f y gw,f ? 'gayrJ h rxd a &muf b l ; ? New Deal Policy rS m ygao;w,f?
b%f}uD;awGudk ydk+yD;toufqufay;cJhw,f? a&mrvltrsm;pku New bmjzpfvkd@vJ awmifa0S;vJawmh zdk;olawmfu xledifw,f?
Deal Policy &JŒokcudk cHpm;cJ& h yHrk &bl;? 'Dtcsuuf kd *|ef pwde;f bufu&f ŒJ zd;k olawmfv&J if b,fox l rl vJqw kd m ar;p&m&daS evdyk g? vlwa,mufu
Grape of Worth 0xWKvm eif;jym;v,form;}uD; wGef*ds'f wdk@rdom;pkvdk ta&;ay:aiGvdkaew,f? b%fu acs;edifw,f? b%fu aiGvdkvmw,f?
v,form;awGuawmh 'DaxmufyHr_awGudk r&cJhwJholawG euf±_dif;wJh tpdk;&uacs;w,f? tpdk;&awG&JŒt&HaiGawG jywfoGm;&ifb,foluae
ordkif;yHk&dyfawGtjzpf usef&pfapcJhvkd@ jzpfw,f? pdkufxkwfay;awmhrSmvJqdkwJh tajctae[m ra&mufvmedifbl;vkd@
b,f o l u tmrcH e d i f y grvJ ? z,f ' &,f b %f y g aiG j ywf & if a wmh
tar&dueft&if;&Sifpepf ed*Hk;csKyf+yDvdk@awmif ajymedifr,fxif&JŒ?

ol w d k @ tm;vH k ; &J Πuk x H k ; awG u d k = unf h & if

(1)aiGa=u;pepfudk ðyjyifr,f (Reform Monetary System)?


(2)b%fawGupkd nf;rsO;f topf (Structure Adjustment)awGjy Xmef;r,f?
(3)vdktyfwJhae&mawGrSm tpdk;&u pdkufxkwfr,f qdkwmawGjzpfygw,f?
(1930 epfu vlawGolwdk@tyfxm;wJh aiGawGtvum;ae&if wefzdk;us
(4)td r f z d k ; ray;ed i f w J h tar&d u ef j ynf o l a wG / taemuf e d i f i H
qif ; oG m ;wmud k ñuH & w,f ? a':vm 100 tyf x m;&if aemuf w ES p f r S m 65 aºuG ; ywf v nf 0 d k i f ; aewJ h jynf o l a wG u d k aºuG ; +rD ; awG a vsmh a y;a&;
a':vmjzpfomG ;ygw,f?) tpDtpOfawGu 'DxJrSm avoHwcsufav; udkrS acgif;aqmifawGu
r[=uao;bl;? vlawGudk ,Hk=unfr_topfawG wckrSmrygvmao;bl;?
OH K zG - vl v J w m r[k w f b l ; acG ; vJ w m od k @ r[k w f 'gawGudk tjrefajymzdk@ vdkae+yD?
2008 ta&;ay: ukxHk; (Intensive Care ) (5)'g[m urBmpD;yGm;a&;ysufuyfudk u,fwifedifygrvm; t&ifvdkyJ
b%ft&if;&Sif}uD;awG&JΠ(Dog РEat РDog Policy) udk jyefvnf
tifrwef}uD;rm;wJh aiGyrm%udk tpdk;&awGu yHka=omoGef; zgax;aewmvm; trsm;}uD; pOf;pm;p&mjzpfaeygw,f? tajctaeu
avmif;ae=uyHu k kd =unfjh cif;tm;jzifh urBmv
h el m}uD;[m b¾mt&if;&Sif bmeJ@wlaeovJqdk&if tdkZHk;vGmaygufoGm;w,f? ykef;nufeJ@ zgovdkjzpf
awG&JŒ vufcsufeJ@ao avmufwJha&m*gudk &aew,fqdkwmudk !¸ef;jy &if tajctaeqdk;0g;oGm;edifygw,f? rufudef;uawmh rJqG,fyGJawGrSm
aeygw,f tar&d u ef ua':vmaiG bD v D , H 700 t*F v ef u olomorwjzpfr,fqdk&if tcGefudkavsmhcsay;r,f? tvkyfudkifawGydk zef
aygifpwmvif bDvD,H 500( a':vmoef; bDvD,Haygif; 1000cef@)/ wD;ay;r,f? &if;EDS;ðr‡yfESHr_ topfvkyfwJholawGudk tcGefavsmhay;r,f?
Oa&my,leD,HwckvHk;taeeJ@ tpdk;&awGu 0ifa&mufulnDaiGaygif;[m taºuG;ray;ediw f o
hJ al wGqu D taºuG;awGukd tpd;k &u0,fay;r,f vk@d qkd
2'or 3 x&DvD,H (2300 bDvD,H) a':vm&dSygw,f? w,f? bm;&uftdkbm;rm;uawmh a&me,f&D*if vufxufuae
tar&dueftpd;k &&JŒaiGukd tar&duefb%f}uD; 9 cku trsm; bk&Sftpdk;& txd usifhoHk;vmwJh avqmzJay:vpDudk a0zefvdkufygw,f?
qHk;&&dSrSmyg? a&Gref;wifarmifjyZmwfxJu “[Jh a*gwrDwdk@a&m vSnf;OD; pD;yGm;a&;ay:vpDawG[m rGJjymykqdk;awGolu wcgvmvnf; vlcsrf;om
uygz&mh” qdo k vdk tar&duefb%f/ a*syaD rmf*if/ 0Jvzf g*/kd *dv
k 'f if;qmcs/f awGudkyJ tcGefavsmh pD;yGm;a&;jy\em}uD;wckvHk;udk OayuQmðyxm;
armf*efpwefav/ rm&D&,fvmcsfwdk@u a&SŒqHk;uae tpdk;&&JŒtulnDudk w,fvkd@ a0zefcJhw,f? olenf;uvnf; rufudef;eJ@odyfruGmvSygbl;?*
&&dSrSmjzpfygw,f? 'DukxHk;awGu pD;yGm;a&; t=uyfqdkufr_udk oufom aiGbDvD,H 700 udkulnDzkd@ uGefu&ufrSmaqG;aEG;=uawmh
aprSmvm;qdkwm óudb,folrS &J&J0Hh0hHtmrrcH=uao;ygbl;? &Dywfyvpf qDedwfwmawG[m tD&wfppfwHk;uvkd wdkufoifhrwdkufoifh tusKd;
uef t rwf *|ef a ygvf u awmh csuf j cif ; jyef v nf e mvH x l e d i f r ,f v k d @ qufu bmjzpfvmr,fqdkwm óudrcef@rSef;edif=uovdkyJ jzpfae=uw,f?

* http://www.independent.co.uk/new/race-for-whitehouse/obama-blames-financial-crisis-on-republican-policy-932002.html(Oct 13,2008)
4
ta&SŒtm&SpD;yGm;a&;wdk;wufr_[m ykHrSefob0 r[kwfbl;?
tuJ j zwf c suf
t&if ; rsm;vmw,f ? aps;ayg vk y f t m;awG a y: rl w nf a ew,f ?
tem*wfp;D yGm;a&; wd;k wufru _ kd xdcu kd ef id w
f ,fv@kd axmufjycJb h ;l w,f?
a&wdk - (Shot Run)
jref r mjynf u d k 1997ck e pf u wnf ; u tar&d u ef u
tpdk;&awG&JŒulnDr_awGa=umifh urBmhaiGa=u;t=uyf±kdufr_u ,m,D+idrf
ppftpd;k &&JΠvl@tcGit hf a&;csKd ;azgurf a_ wGa=umifh pD;yGm;a&;ydwq f @kd ta&;
usoGm;edifw,f? tm&SedifiHawGu 'dk@udkrxdbl;vkd@ rSm;,Gif;pGm,lq
,l aqmif&Gufr_awGðyvkyfcJhw,f? taemufedifiHu &if;ESD;ðr‡yfESHr_ topf
edifw,f? 2 epf 3 epfuawmh yGJ}uD;yJGaumif; jzpfvmr,f?
awGudk rvmawmhayrJh tdrfeD;csif;edifiHawGeJ@ &if;ESD;ðr‡yfESHr_awG vkyfvm
cJhw,f? txl;ojzifh w±kwf/ tdENd,/ ta&SŒtv,fydkif; EkdifiHrsm;eJ@
a&&Snf - (Long Run)
tmqD,HedifiHawGeJ@ &if;ESD;ðr‡yfESHr_awG &dSvmygw,f? wHcg;zGifhpD;yGm;a&;
aiGa=u;t=uyfqdkufr_[m pawmhaps;uGufwckxnf xdcdkuf
(Open Market Economy) zufudk OD;wnfvmw,fvkd@ qdkEkdifygw,f?
epfemr_ jzpfwmr[kwfbl;wjcm;pD;yGm;a&; vkyfief;awGudkyg xdcdkufEkdif
w,f?
(u)pawmhaps;usqif;?
(c)acs;aiGawG jyefrqyfedif? tdrfaps;us/ tdrftodrf;cH&/ vlr_a&;
jy\emrsm;
(*)taemufedifiHaps;uGufwckvHk; 0,fvdktm;usqif;vm/
(C)tm&SxGufukeftrsm;pk (pufr_/ pdkufysKd;a&;) wckvHk; usqif;vmEkdif?
(tar&d u ef e J @ taemuf e d i f i H a wG u k d 1989 ck e pf a emuf y d k i f ; up
t}uD;tus,frSDcdkvm&w,f taemufaps;uGufu 0,fvdktm;us
qif;r_udk tm&Su cHpm;vm&Ekdifw,f? )
(i)aiGa=u;t=uyf±kdufr_a=umifh pufr_vkyfief; (Industr_es )/ v,f,m
pdkufysdK;a&; (Farming )/ opfxkwfvkyfief; (Logging)/ ig;zrf;vkyfief;
(Fishing) awGxc du
kd Ef idk w
f ,f?
EkdifiHa&;rSm - tar&duefrSm vpfb&,fawGtm%m&vm&if
jy\em[m zgzgax;ax; xdrf;xdrf;odrf;odrf;jzpfvm+yD; uGefqmaA; pDymG ;a&;ynm&Sif aygvcf ±kref;
wpf awG (Neo-Con) wufvm&ifawmh tajcaeydkrdkqdk;vmedifw,f?
ppfyGJ}uD;wckudk OD;wnfvmedifw,f? ygupwefeJ@tdENd,[m ppfyGJjzpf
jrefrmjynfut"duEkdifiHjcm;udkwifydk haewmawGuawmh
vmEdkifw,f? tmz&durSm wdkufyGJawGjzpfvmr,f? ql'efu wdkufyGJykdjyif;
(1)obm0"gwfaiG@
vmr,f? xdkif;rSm edifiHa&;rwnfjidrfr_awGydkrsm;vmr,f? xdkif;eJ@ uarBm
(2)a&tm;v#yfppf
'D,m; wif;rmr_ydkvmr,f?
(3)aumufyJoD;ESH
(4)a&vkyfief;eJ@ opfxkwfvkyfr_
tm&S e J @ jref r mrS m jzpf v med i f w J h t vm;tvmrsm;
(5)tvkyform; (edifiHjcm;udkxGuf+yD;vkyfudkifr_rsm;)
refrdk&rfqif;acgif;aqmifwJh tdENd,tpdk;&u taemufedifiH
(6)c&D;oGm;vkyfief;
awGjzpfwJh b¾ma&;t=uyfqdkufr_u tdENd,taeeJ@ rpdk;&drfbl; vkd@qdkyg
'DtcsufawGu edifiHjcm;udkrSDcdkaewm óud!¸ef;qdkaewm
w,f? 'Dtcsuf[m 0g'jzef@csdr_zuf rsm;w,fvkd@ usaemfxifygw,f?
jzpfwthJ wGuf Ekid if w
H umpD;yGm;a&;jy\em óuda&SmifvrJG &ovdk jzpfvm
tdE, dN a&m w±kw[ f m qd&k , S v
f pfawGuvkd rf;a=umif;u cGx J u G +f yD; (Neo
ygw,f ydkrdkqdk;0g;vmapEkdifwJh tajctaeuawmh EkdifiHa&;jy\em
- Capitalism)udk OD;wnfae=uwJt h wGuf taemufeid if aH wG&ŒJ pD;yGm;a&;
udketz ppftpdk;&u ajz&Sif;Ekdifjcif; r&dSao;wmu t"dujy\em
*,ufxJ wdk;vkd@0ifa&mufaewJhtwGuf 'kuQa&mufEkdifw,f? pD;yGm;a&;
jzpfaeygw,f? pD;yGm;a&;taeeJ@uawmh etz&JΠwavsmufvHk; rSm;vm
wdk;wufr_u edifiHwumaps;uGufudk rSDcdk&vGef;w,f? xkwfukefeJ@ aps;ayg
wJhtrSm;u ao&mygtrSm;tjzpfeJ@ ob0"gwfaiG@eJ@ a&tm;v#yfppfudk
vkyt f m;awGayg tvH;k pHrk w l nfaew,f? 'gukd Edb k ,fq&k pD;yGm;a&;ynm
jynfwGif;zlvHka&;rSm toHk;ðyjcif;r&dSbJ edifiHjcm;udk a&mif;pm;cJhw,f? &
&Sif aygvfc±kref;u
"that the growth of economies in East Asia was not the
vmwJh tar&duef a':vmaiG 3 bDvD,Hcef@ aiGudkeJ@ jynfwGif;pufr_eJ@
result of new and original economic models, but rather increased pdkufysdK;a&;zGH@òzd;r_rSm roHk;pGJyJ aysmufqHk;aew,f? v,fawGudkodrf;wm/
capital and labor inputs, which did not result in an increase in total ajrvGwa f wG udk b*Fvm;a'h&efS id if u H kd iSm;&rf;zk@d vyk cf w
hJ ,f? em*pfrek wf ikd ;f
factor productivity. His prediction was that future economic growth
in East Asia would slow as it became more difficult to generate
a=umifh òydvJoGm;wJh v,fajrawGudk jyefvnfrxlaxmifEkdifao;wJh
economic growth from increasing inputs." * twGuf pdkufysdK;a&;vkyfief;[m bkef;bkef;vJoGm;w,f? tcufcJ=um;xJ

* http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paul_Krugman
5
u xGufvmwJhoD;ESH[mvnf; urBmaps;uGufrSm usqif;aer_eJ@ &ifqdkif& oGm;w,f? 'DtcgrSm &Sifoef&yfwnfa&;t& ypPnf;rJhawGx&yfvm+yD;
zG,f&dSw,f? jrefrmtvkyform;awG[m *syef/ puFyl/ rav;eJ@ xdkif;eJ@ blZGmacgif;aqmifr_udk òzdvJSvkdr_tpDtpOfopfwck aygufyGm; vm&awmh
tjcm;EkdifiHawG rSm pkpkaygif; 5 oef;ausmfcef@ xGufvkyfaew,f? rdom;pk w,f? awmfvSefa&;u aygufyGm;vmw,fvkd@ a[mudef;xkwfcJhygw,f?
tawmfrsm;rsm;[m jynfyutvkyfvkyfaewJh rdom;pk0ifwOD;&JΠ0ifaiG 'Dae@pD;yGm;a& jy\emtay:rSm pum;}uD;oHk;cGef; ajymcsifygw,f?
ay:rSmrSDaewJhtwGuf tvkyfvufrJhjy\emudk &ifqdkifvm&&if jynf
wGi;f rdom;pkawG[m tcufcaJ wGyñkd uHvm&ediyf gw,f? 'D=um;xJrmS El&m (1)EkdifiHwum yl;aygif;aqmif&Gufr_awGudk tjrefqHk;jr‡ifhwif?
0Jp/JG rG&J molc;kd axmif;qdo
k vdk Ekid if aH &;jy\em pD;yGm;a&;jy\em aygi;f pHu
k kd (2)aºuG;rSDawGudk avsmhayghjypf? tvkyfudkifopfawGudk zefwD;ay;? vlr_
&ifqdkifae&+yD;om; jrefrmjynfrSm 'dxufudkydkrdkqdk;0g;wJh jy\emawG u,fqufa&; tpDtpOffawG tjrefqHk;aqmif&Guf?
xyfavmif;ay:aygufvmedifygw,f? tm&Suawmh r[musqif;r_}uD;eJ@ (3)tar&duefaps;uGufudk rSDwJhpD;yGm;a&;u urBmvHk;qdkif&maps;uGuf
ñuH=u&vdrfhr,f? 'gawGuawmh opfudkzefwD;? udk,fhjynfwGif;aps;uGufawGudk oefrmatmif vkyf=uzkd@
vkdaew,fqdkwmygyJ?
(1)tm&Su pufr_xGufukefawG xkwfvkyfr_usqif;ukefedifw,f?
(2)ukefaps;E_ef;awGxdk;usvmedifw,f? pyg;aps;tygt0ifpdkufysdK;a&;
xGufukefawG aps;xdk;usvmedifw,f?
(3)vkyftm;cawG aps;usukefr,f?
(4)tdrfaps;awGxdk;usvmedifw,f? (tar&duefrSm tdrfaps;awGu 10
-20 &mcdik Ef e_ ;f txd usqif;vmediw f ,fv@dk *s;d ZufpwD;uvpfu ajymyg
w,f? tdrfaps;awGusayrJh twdk;ay;ae&wJhE_ef;u usqif;r,fvkd@b,f
olu rajymao;ygbl;?)
(5)tvk y f v uf r J h j y\emawG a y:vmed i f w ,f ? tar&d u ef u d k
xdkif;qefwifydk hr_ukefwifydk@r_awG usqif;vm&if jrefrmtvkyform;awG
tvkyfvufrJhjzpfukefedifw,f?
(6)c&D;oGm;vkyfief;awG usqif;vmedifygw,f?
(7)rl;,pfaq;0g;/ avmif;upm;eJ@ jynfwefqmvkyfief;rsm; ydkrdkrsm;vm
Ekdifw,f?
(8)jref r mtygt0if tm&S e d i f i H a wG r S m ed i f i H a &; rwnf + id r f r _ a wG
ykefuefr_awG jzpfay:vmedifygw,f? tdEN, - ygupwef/ xdkif; - uarBm
'D;,m;awG[m ppfyGJawGtoGif aqmifvmedifw,f?

um;vfrm;ufpf&JΠtjrif
um;vfrmhufpfuawmh 'Djy\emudk epfaygif;rsm;pGmuwnf;
um;vfrm;ufpf
u a[mudef;xkwfcJhygw,f? av;eufvSwJh ol&JŒoDtdk&DawGudk ckvdkem;
vnfvkd@&edifw,f? ol&JΠCapitalism rSm oluvkyftm;eJ@t&if;[m
t+rJwef;tm;òydifr_ &dSaew,f? tvkyform;u &Sifoefa&;twGuf
vkyt f m;udak &mif;csw,f? t&if;&Siu f vkyt f m;cudk aps;aygaygvckd si+f yD; ed*Hk;csKyf
ukeyf pPn;f udk aps;}uD;}uD;eJ@a&mif;csiw
f ,f? 'Dawmh t&if;&Siuf vkyt f m; 'Dae@urBm}uD;&JŒpD;yGm;a&;[m (Global Recession) udk0if
aps;ayg+yD; ukefypPnf;rsm;rsm; xkwfEkdifa&;jzpfvmw,f? oGm;yg+yD? 'g+yD;&if (Depression) jzpfvmedifygw,f? tar&duefeJ@
'Dawmh pufu&d,mtopftqef;awGudk wDxGifoavmuf Oa&myacgif;aqmifawGu Depression xJudk 0ifroGm;edifzkd@ twGuf
vkyftm;uawmh puf±Hku armif;xkwfcHvm&ygw,f? 'Dawmh t&if;&Sif tpGrf;ukef óud;yef;aew,f? olwdk@enf;vrf;awG[m enf;vrf;a[mif;
rSm aiGawGpkykHvmoavmuf tvGeftu|Hxkwfvkyfr_awG jzpfvmo awGomjzpfwJhtwGuf ,m,Dr#om oufomedifr,f? a&&Snf (2 - 3
avmuf tvkyo f rm;vufxrJ mS 0,fp&mr&djS zpfaew,f? 'Dawmh 0,fvkd ESpt
f wGi;f )rSmawmh xkwu f ek u
f sr,f? pduk yf sKd ;a&;udx
k cd u
kd rf ,f? tvkyf
tm;usvmw,f? 'DtcgrSm rcHEkdifwJh ukr`%Dtao;awG[m aps;uGuf vufrJhjy\emeJ@ &ifqdkif&r,f? 'D*,uf[m tm;vHk;udk ±dkufcwfvm
òydif qdkifrSm t±_H;eJ@xGufcGm? }uD;wJhukr`%DawGu i,fwJhukr`%Dudk 0g;òrd? rSmyg? urBmoGiw f jl zpfpOfrmS qufo, G af &;vsijf refvmwJh aumif;usK;d udk
aemufqHk;rSm }uD;wJhaumifawGomusef&pf+yD; pD;yGm;a&;wckvHk; òydus usaemfwdk@ cHpm;vm&ovdkyJ a&m*gul;quf r_[mvnf; tvsiftjref
6
ysEH @HS vmrSm rvGjJ zpfw,f? pD;yGm;a&;ysuu f yf[m arG;&myga&m*gwcktxd
wnf&dSaeygao;w,f? a&SmifvGJaysmufuif;edifwJh enf;vrf;r&dSao;bl;?
oufom&m oufoma=umif;awGyJ &dSaew,f?'Dvdkjzpf&wJhta=umif;
uawmh t&if;cGJa0yHkrnDr#r_/ 0ifaiGtcsKd;tpm; tvGeftrif; uGm[
vmr_awGa=umifh jzpfygw,f? 'Dxufy+kd yD; av;eufatmif ajym&&ifawmh
vlw@kd &ŒJ avmb[m pD;yGm;a&;rSm t"duarmif;ESit f m; jzpfaew,f? 'gukd
òydifqdkifr_vkd@ 0doñuHðy? pmemr_w&m;u pD;yGm;a&;rSm ajcwz0g;csp&m
ae&mr&dScJhaybl;? om"u aqmifyg&ap - ESpfaygif;rsm;pGm tvGeftrif;
pD;yGm;a&;uyf (Long Great Depression) qdkufaewJh tmz&du/ tm&S
(Long Great Depression) qd k u f a ewJ h tmz&d u / tm&S a wG r S m
pD;yGm;a&;zGH@òzd;r_tpDtpOfawGudk ukvor*~/ urBmhb%f/ tdkiftrftuf
(zf)awGrSm aumif;rGefwJhtpDtpOfawG r&Sdovdk tmz&dueJ@tm&S
tm%m& ediif aH &;orm;awG&ŒJ tusiyfh suv f mbfpm;r_awGu ordik ;f eJ@csD
ajz&Sif;r&jzpfaeao;vkd@ygyJ?
urBmh¾ma&;acwfrSm a&$rdk;}uD;aiGrdk;}uD; oGef;avmif;wkef;u
'dk@jrefrmawG ai;wdai;armf? csL;wjym;r&cJhbl;? rdk;òydvmawmhrS udk,fyg
cH&+yD? rd;k òydvm+yDqrkd S wHcg;=um;xJ0ifyek ;f aevk@d rvGwEf idk f rd;k óud;ypfwmudk
xef;vufeJ@umvdk@r&bl;vdk@ a&S;vl}uD;awGajymcJhwm 'grsm;vm;vkd@
usaemfwpfa,mufwnf; pOf;pm;aerdw,f?
jrefrmjynfolawG uHaumif;=uygap?

rdk;oD;ZGef
yifqJvfaA;eD;,m; jynfe,f?
atmufwdkbm 14 &uf/ 2008?

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