Tropical Depression Florence

HURRTRAK RM/Pro 2012 Summary Report for Leon County, FL

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08/06/2012 1100 EDT, Adv. # 11

Latest Position: 2957 mi. East (109 degrees) of Leon County, FL

Latitude Longitude Motion (mph) 278/16 Wind Speed (MPH) 35 Central 74 74 74 74 58 58 58 58 39 39 39 39 Eye Eye Pressure mph mph mph mph mph mph mph mph mph mph mph mph diam wall (mb) NE SE SW NW NE SE SW NW NE SE SW NW 1009 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

16.4

-40.2

Official Forecast
Hour Date (UTC) Time (UTC) 1500 0000 1200 0000 1200 1200 1200 Latitude Longitude Wind Speed (MPH) 35 35 29 29 29 29 29 74 74 74 74 58 58 58 58 39 39 30 39 mph mph mph mph mph mph mph mph mph mph mph mph NE SE SW NW NE SE SW NW NE SE SW NW

Initial 12 24 36 48 72 96

08/06/2012 08/07/2012 08/07/2012 08/08/2012 08/08/2012 08/09/2012 08/10/2012

16.4 16.5 16.9 17.6 18.5 21.1 24.2

-40.2 -42.6 -46.2 -50 -54 -60.7 -66.2

Strike Probabilities for Leon County, FL

TOTAL 0 Next 24 hours 0 24 - 36 hours 0 36- 48 hours 0 48-72 hours 0

Tropical Depression Florence

HURRTRAK RM/Pro 2012 Summary Report for Leon County, FL

Page 1
08/06/2012 1100 EDT, Adv. # 11

Tropical Depression Florence

HURRTRAK RM/Pro 2012 Summary Report for Leon County, FL

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08/06/2012 1100 EDT, Adv. # 11

NHC Public Advisory TCPAT1 BULLETIN POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE FLORENCE ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062012 1100 AM AST MON AUG 06 2012 ...FLORENCE BECOMES A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------LOCATION...16.4N 40.2W ABOUT 1515 MI...2440 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK -----------------------------AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE FLORENCE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 40.2 WEST. A WESTWARD OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN FURTHER DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------NONE

NEXT ADVISORY ------------THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

FORECASTER ROBERTS

Tropical Depression Florence

HURRTRAK RM/Pro 2012 Summary Report for Leon County, FL

Page 2
08/06/2012 1100 EDT, Adv. # 11

Tropical Depression Florence

HURRTRAK RM/Pro 2012 Summary Report for Leon County, FL

Page 3
08/06/2012 1100 EDT, Adv. # 11

NHC Forecast Advisory TCMAT1 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE FLORENCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062012 1500 UTC MON AUG 06 2012 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 40.2W AT 06/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 40.2W AT 06/1500Z AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 39.5W FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 16.5N 42.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 16.9N 46.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 17.6N 50.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 18.5N 54.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 21.1N 60.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 24.2N 66.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 40.2W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM

FORECASTER ROBERTS

Tropical Depression Florence

HURRTRAK RM/Pro 2012 Summary Report for Leon County, FL

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08/06/2012 1100 EDT, Adv. # 11