Answer key to HW5

Solutions:

14. a. f (200)

= 1 - f (-100) - f (0) - f (50) - f (100) - f (150)

= 1 - .95 = .05
This is the probability MRA will have a $200,000 profit.
b. P(Profit)

= f (50) + f (100) + f (150) + f (200)

= .30 + .25 + .10 + .05 = .70

c. P(at least 100)

= f (100) + f (150) + f (200)

= .25 + .10 +.05 = .40

22. a. E (x) = x f (x) = 300 (.20) + 400 (.30) + 500 (.35) + 600 (.15) = 445
The monthly order quantity should be 445 units.
b. Cost: 445 @ $50 =$22,250
Revenue: 300 @ $70= 21,000
$ 1,250 Loss

32. a. .90
b. P (at least 1) = f (1) + f (2)

5-1

Chapter 5
2! (.9)1 (.1)1
1! 1!

f (1) =

= 2 (.9) (.1) = .18

2! (.9)2 (.1)0
2! 0!

f (2) =

= 1 (.81) (1) = .81

P (at least 1) = .18 + .81 = .99

Alternatively
P (at least 1) = 1 - f (0)
f (0) =

0
2
2!
(.9) (.1) = .01
0! 2!

Therefore, P (at least 1) = 1 - .01 = .99

c. P (at least 1) = 1 - f (0)

f (0) =

3! (.9)0 (.1)3 = .001

0! 3!

Therefore, P (at least 1) = 1 - .001 = .999

d. Yes; P (at least 1) becomes very close to 1 with multiple systems and the
inability to detect an attack would be catastrophic.

34. a.

b.

n
f ( x) = ( p ) x (1 p ) n x
x
f (4) =

15!
(.28) 4 (1 .28)15 4
4!(15 4)!

f (4) =

15(14)(13)(12)
(.28) 4 (1 .28)11 = .2262
4(3)(2)(1)

P(x > 3) = 1 - f (0) - f (1) - f (2)

f (0) =

15!
(.28)0 (1 .28)15 = .0072
0!(15)!

f (1) =

15!
(.28)1 (1 .28)14 = .0423
1!(14)!

5-2

Discrete Probability Distributions

f (2) =

15!
(.28)2 (1 .28)13 = .1150
2!(13)!

P(x > 3) = 1 - .0072 - .0423 - .1150 = .8355

5-3