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13/09/2012

Most important questions relating to the preparation of the Eleventh Five-Year Plan
Gleaned report submitted earlier to you to thoughts of the forward-looking report on
the future of development in Syria until 2025. Paints this report a negative image for
the future development and offers 3 possible scenarios for the future, one pessimistic
and represents the challenges of development until the year 2025, with a second
scenario envisions depends on the services sector and knew the report forwardlooking as a scenario Liberal and third scenario offers a vision of the role of an
interventionist state to support development based on the productive sectors which
What adopted the report on the most important questions before and during the
preparation of the eleventh five-year plan as explained above.
The forward-looking report can serve as a gateway to manage the dialogue on the
eleventh five-year plan as it represents one of the following approaches can be
discussed:

discuss
the
strategic
framework
of
the
plan.
discuss the method of preparation of the plan and the strategic planning model
approach.
discuss the proposed programs without going into the methodological framework
and
the
administrative
model
used
in
their
preparation.

accountable
ministers
directly>
First
to
discuss
the
strategic
framework
of
the
plan:
Questions about the strategic framework of the eleventh plan could include new
authority for the plan, and the stream of thought upon which the (liberal or
development) and quality planning which must be pursuing a (indicative or
guideline), and can take these questions the following formulas:
What is the support the eleventh five-year plan compared with the Tenth Plan,
which was based on the decisions of the Tenth Regional Conference of the party?

Do
you
plan
was
rated
10?
What is the percentage of completion? What are the projects that have not been
implemented?
The
reason
for
this?
Is there a perception beyond the time frame of the 11th Five-Year Plan?
What is the assessment of the Ministers of the forward-looking report on Syria in
2025?
Why is there a report in a prominent place on the site's home Elsafjh State Planning
Commission?

What
is
the
sector
leader
for
growth?
Option should be left to the masters of Ministers to determine the answer, but
forward-looking
report
two
select
two
possibilities:
option Liberal: focused on the services sector productivity (transport, trade, storage,
finance insurance, hotels, restaurants) that represent the essence of the growth of the
Syrian economy with the restructuring of the composition of GDP consistent with the
historic nature of economic activity in Syria, which formed trade and transport pass
13/09/2012

texture
Statute.
developmental state option: This option has focused on physical production
(agriculture, industry, transport, construction, domestic trade) with an emphasis on the
need for the government to introduce significant reforms and real industrial public
sector
companies.
Supposed to resolve the trend by ministers and did not reach a specific proposal
assumes
tipping
the
second
option.
if weighting option developmental state must ask for support mechanisms and the
development
of
material
production?
Support mechanisms and the development of state option for development, according
to
the
report
forward
are:
A. Support the agricultural sector, taking into account the rationalization of support
and
incentive
linked
to
the
rules
of
production
and
growth
B. Application of the concept of growth triangles (concept appeared in Southeast Asia
during the nineties through the establishment of joint regional development zones).
The
advantages
of
this
approach:
solve the problems of duplication economic structures and Tnaatha between
branches of activity based on import substitution on the one hand and the maquila
sector
on
the
other.
development of intra-Arab trade and regional and minimize the negative
consequences of fluctuations in demand in the global markets.
improve the quality of products and the degree of competitiveness.
overcome the problem of financing the costly new technologies.
The disadvantage of this approach: big competition of free industrial zones eligible
(QIZ) to relate to free trade with the United States and which is supposed to overcome
cooperation with allies strong and economically, such as Russia, China or
India
or
Brazil.
Adoption of the principle of planning guideline: continue to adopt the principle of
indicative planning approach in the previous plan assumes that the option taken is the
solution liberal because it limits the ability of the state to intervene, while option
requires developmental state pursuing planning guideline because it allows
intervention largest state to set the tone for economic balances are beyond
coordinating concept of indicative planning, but the simplest of mandatory central
planning.
Second - to discuss the method of preparation of the plan and the strategic planning
model
approach:
This trend will discuss compliance with the principles of strategic planning
management methodology for the preparation of the plan, where questions are as
follows:
Have you been to involve all ministries and agencies and interested parties?
Was methodology is from top to bottom or vice versa?
If the assumption that the orientation is from top to bottom Is there a conviction
among the various programs that authorities entrusted with, and thus their
commitment?
What is the time frame during which the preparation of the current plan and what
are
the
coordination
meetings
held
in
this
regard?
Are there integration between different projects or is there duplication and lack of
coordination?
Is there a contradiction between the programs offered (eg: proceed with the
adoption of a strategic crop cotton cultivation and the national policy for water
13/09/2012

Are

13/09/2012

there

management)?
clear
time
frames
for
the
proposed
programs?
Are there performance standards for programs raised (Key P