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www.upi.

com UPIpoll Release

US Elections 2012

UPI/CVoter Release: 5

Issues of Overall Economic Crisis: 3


Embargo: September 14th

www.upi.com UPIpoll Release

US Elections 2012

ECONOMIC PESSIMISM RUNS HIGH


Confirmed voters trust Romney to grow the economy One in three likely voters say recovery will take 3 years

How would you rate the condition of the national economy these days? Is it very good , fairly good, fairly bad, or very bad?

Can't Say/No opinion Confirmed Voters Likely Voters Total 2% 2% 2%

Very Good

Fairly Good Fairly Bad

Very Bad

Total

3% 1% 3%

20% 19% 20%

42% 39% 42%

33% 39% 34%

100% 100% 100%

When do you expect the economy to improve in future?

Can't Say/No opinion Confirmed Voters Likely Voters Total 10% 15% 11%

Within next 6 Within 2 to 3 More than 3 Within a year Never months years years 4% 2% 4% 14% 10% 13% 39% 29% 37% 28% 34% 29% 4% 8% 5%

No impact on my fami- Total ly 1% 2% 1%

100%

100%

100%

www.upi.com UPIpoll Release

US Elections 2012

Who do you think will grow the economy more in the next four years?

Can't say Obama Confirmed Voters Likely Voters Total 16% 39% 20% 39% 37% 38%

Romney 46% 24% 42%

Total 100% 100% 100%

(Base: 1003 respondents; those who said they are sure or somewhat sure to vote; may or may not have decided which candidate to support. Data is weighted to known census profile)

www.upi.com UPIpoll Release

US Elections 2012

Analysis
President Obama trails his Republican challenger, Mitt Romney, by 38% to 42% among voters on the question which of the two would grow the economy more in the coming four years, according to an opinion poll held by UPI and C-Voter. Romney's advantage is wider by 46% to 39% among confirmed voters, although the trend is reversed in Obama's favor among likely voters by a margin of 37% to 24%. Economic pessimism is rampant across the U.S. with two in three voters saying they do not expect the economy to improve from its current sluggishness for at least the next two years. As many as 37% of all voters polled think that the economy would turn around within two-to-three years, whereas 29% say recovery would take three years or more. Of these, likely voters, who are typically considered to include more low-income people than confirmed voters, are more pessimistic of the two. As many as 34%, or one in three, likely voters think it would take three years or more to revive the economy, while only 28% of confirmed voters think it will take that long. Confirmed voters are more optimistic as 39% believe the economy could turn around in two-to-three years. But only 29% of likely voters see that happening. For three in four American citizens 76% the economy continues to be bad, with one in three (34%) saying it is very bad and 42% saying it is fairly bad. The hurt is greater among likely voters, 39% of who say the economy is very bad. An equal number of the likely voters say it is fairly bad. Surprisingly, roughly one in five American citizens say the economy is fairly good. And the number of those among likely voters who say that the economy is very good? You guessed it: one percent.

End.

www.upi.com UPIpoll Release

US Elections 2012

UPI Poll Methodology The figures are result of the question "Who will you vote for if the presidential election were held today? Would you say Yes, for sure or May be, but I am unsure at the moment or you are sure not to vote at all. The question was asked to all registered voters and analysed after screening only for the respondents who confirmed that they will vote or showed likeliness to vote in the coming elections. Those respondents who are confirmed to vote but undecided on which candidate to support are analysed as undecided. Each two-week rolling average is based on telephone interviews with approximately 3000 registered voters. Results from September 3rd through September 9th are based on seven day rolling averages with approximately 1400 registered voters each; Margin of error is 3 percentage points. The table totals sometimes might end up 99.9% or 100.1% due to rounding up of data by Computer.

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