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PhantichNganhDaukhi 020712 ABS
PhantichNganhDaukhi 020712 ABS
PhantichNganhDaukhi 020712 ABS
NGNH DU KH
Mc lc
I - GII THIU CHUNG V NGNH .......................................................................................................................... 2
1.
2.
3.
4.
b.
2.
3.
2.
3.
4.
PVD - Tng Cng ty C phn Khoan v Dch v Khoan Du kh (PV Drilling) ......................................... 11
2.
3.
4.
2.
3.
4.
5.
VII KT LUN.......................................................................................................................................................... 20
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2. c trng ngnh du kh
Du kh khng ch mang li ngun ngoi t to ln cho nhiu quc gia m cn l ngun nng lng quan
trng nht hin nay cho s pht trin kinh t. Chnh v vy m cc quc gia khng ngng tm kim, khai
thc, tranh chp v k c dng v lc gy ra cc cuc xung t ko di. in hnh nht trong thi gian gn
y l cuc chin tranh Lybia, v nhng cng thng gia Iran vi M v khi cc nc khu vc Chu u
ang khin gi du lin tc tng cao khin qu trnh phc hi sau khng hong v pht trin kinh t th gii
ni chung b nh hng nghim trng.
c im ni bt
-
http://www.vaec.gov.vn
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Nhu cu s dng cc sn phm t du m ngy cng tng, khng ch trong ngn hn m c trong di hn do
s bng n dn s, cc ngnh cng nghip tip tc pht trin, c bit l s bng n ca ngnh giao thng
do nhu cu i li ngy cng nhiu Ngoi ra, y cn l ngun nng lng cha th thay th ngay bng
ngun nng lng khc. Theo Vin phn tch An ninh Nng lng ton cu, nhu cu tiu th du ton cu
s tng khong 60% trong nm 2020 so vi hin nay. Theo T chc qun tr thng tin nng lng (Business
Monitori Intemational), nhu cu tiu th du lng ca th gii tng ln khong 107 triu thng/ngy trong
nm 2030, Vit Nam mc tiu th du s tng v t mc 460.000 thng/ngy vo nm 2014.
2. Kh nng cung cp
Ngnh du m ca Vit Nam ch mi i vo khai thc nn vn cha th p ng nhu cu s dng trong
nc. Hin nay, nc ta ch yu vn l khai thc xut khu du th, nhp khu du tinh phc v cho nhu
cu ni a. Mt s nh my lc du i vo hot ng nh nh my lc du Dung Qut, nh my lc du
Nghi Sn nhng mi ch cung cp c khong 30% nhu cu ni a.
http://nangluongvietnam.vn
http://www.pvn.vn
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C hi
-
Tip tc c s bo tr ca Nh nc nn
c hng nhiu u i.
Tim nng khai thc cn rt ln v c th tip
tc trong khong 60 nm ti.
Cha c ngun nng lng thay th: cc ngun
nng lng t mt tri, sc gi, sng bin
i hi u t cao trong khi hiu qu thp;
ngun nng lng ht nhn rt hiu qu nhng
li ang c s phn i kh quyt lit v hu qu
c hi ca cht thi phng x.
im Nhc
-
Thch thc
-
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848,830
84.8658
M
2009
2010
2011
2012
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
(Ngun: ABS)
Xu hng u t c Vit Nam v trn th gii vo cc c phiu ngnh nng lng ang ngy mt tng.
y cng l c hi c phiu ngnh du kh ni chung c c hi tng sc bt trong thi gian ti.
9 BP - Statistical review of world energy full report 2011
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EPS
BV
PVE
2704
PVS
LNST/
ROE
ROA
TSLD/
(%)
(%)
N NH
TTS
Vn
Vn
Doanh
LNST
% K
gp
CSH
thu Q1
Q1
Hoch
P/E
P/B
DT %
14890
4.2
0.8
8.3
22.5
8.9
1.49
693
250
312
124
9.5
13%
3919
20680
3.9
0.7
5.5
21.3
5.0
1.21
24831
2978
6159
5342
1.7
0%
PVC
2445
18052
6.4
0.9
5.2
14.9
6.1
1.99
1573
350
632
738
17.1
11%
PVD
5374
31301
6.3
1.1
11.9
18.5
6.6
0.84
18318
2105
6578
2360
378.4
35%
CNG
7692
19927
3.5
1.4
27.8
65.5
38.2
2.90
655
213
425
151
27.1
23%
PGD
6841
22759
4.8
1.4
8.1
33.4
19.3
1.83
1792
429
976
1028
98.3
76%
SFC
2494
16218
8.4
1.3
1.4
15.2
11.3
2.36
238
103
166
450
3.6
19%
HTC
4611
24888
3.1
0.6
2.9
19.5
7.9
1.75
313
53
131
199
5.2
28%
PGS
6037
19944
3.6
1.1
5.1
30.7
7.2
1.01
3436
380
758
1763
29.6
39%
PCG
92
11122
54.2
0.5
0.3
0.8
0.5
2.86
308
189
210
191
-3.9
-8%
PVG
1551
15477
8.3
0.8
1.0
10.3
2.8
1.24
1650
277
429
1373
9.7
35%
PGC
681
17043
14.5
0.6
1.8
4.1
2.0
1.29
1195
344
587
758
0.4
1%
MTG
166
12224
24.1
0.3
0.5
1.3
0.6
1.17
306
120
147
51
-0.5
-4%
GAS
3120
12391
12.1
3.1
10
26
13.9
1.86
52253
18950
25758
18447
2393.7
45%
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H thng phn phi kh thp p cho cc khu cng nghip thuc tnh B Ra - Vng Tu, ng Nai, Tp
HCM do PGD qun l vi cng sut gn 1 t m3 kh/nm v tip tc m rng n cc tnh min Ty
Nam b v khu vc Bc b.
H thng phn phi CNG cho khch hng cng nghip v phng tin giao thng vn ti ti khu vc
ng Nam b do PGS, CNG qun l vi cng sut gn 130 triu m3/nm. Cn h thng phn phi
CNG cho khu th do PCG m nhn v s bt u cung cp trong nm 2012, 2013.
H thng phn phi LPG cho cc cng ty kinh doanh LPG, cc khch hng cng nghip, thng mi,
h gia nh, khu th v phng tin giao thng vn ti do PV Gas Trading, PGS, PVG, VT Gas, PCG
qun l v vn hnh vi sn lng 1 triu tn/nm t ngun LPG trong nc sn xut v nhp khu t
Trung ng. p ng hot ng kinh doanh LPG ny, cc n v thnh vin ca GAS u t h
thng kho cha LPG trn a bn khp c nc nh kho ni Maple-1 45.000 tn, kho Th Vi 6.600 tn,
2 kho G Du 8.200 tn, kho ng Nai 1.000 tn, kho Cn Th 1.200 tn, 2 kho Dung Qut 3.500 tn,
kho H Tnh 1.800 tn, 3 kho Hi Phng 5.600 tn, kho Nng 1.500 tn (d kin hon thnh trong
nm 2013) v c bit l kho lnh ti Th Vi (d kin hon thnh trong nm 2012) vi sc cha 60.000
tn ln nht v hin i nht ti Vit Nam, hi iu kin cho php GAS c nhng gii php tng tr
LPG vi khi lng ln, lu di.
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Ngoi ra, sn lng kh khai thc khng ngng tng qua cc nm v gi bn kh kh cng tng ln theo lch
trnh. Gi bn trung bnh cho cc nh my in trong nm 2012 l 4,99USD/MMBTU v s tng 4%/nm
cho n nm 2015 v 2% trong nm 2016; gi bn trung
bnh cho cc nh my m trong nm 2012 l
3,65USD/MMBTU v s tng 2%/nm cho n nm
2015.
Hot ng kinh doanh
Vi h thng cc n v thnh vin hot ng khng kht
cc lnh vc trng yu ca Tng cng ty. GAS c kt qu
kinh doanh rt n tng k c trong giai on khng
hong kinh t va qua. Doanh thu tng trng cao trong
nm 2010, 2011 ln lt l 58% v 34%. Li nhun cng
tng mnh theo trong 2 nm ny ln lt l 49% v 30%.
Bin li nhun cng c duy tr quanh 10% qua cc
nm. Tuy vy, do GAS lin tc tng vn trong cc nm
trc khi ln sn nim yt nn cc h s sinh li ROE,
ROA v thu nhp trn mi c phiu EPS gim kh mnh.
Kh nng thanh ton ca GAS c m bo vng vng
qua cc nm vi c cu ngun vn hp l, an ton.
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VII KT LUN
Ngnh du kh Vit Nam cn kh non tr v ch mi bt u u mnh hot ng khai thc. Trong thi gian
qua, ngnh c nhng bc tin b vt bc trong cng tc thm d, khai thc v hot ng kinh doanh
gp phn ln cho ngn sch nh nc.
Vi tr lng du kh kh ln v kh nng khai thc cha tng xng, PetroVietnam tip tc c nhng k
hoch trin khai hot ng u t v khai thc du kh chng nhng trong nc m cn thc y ra nc
khc ngoi. Do vy, cc cng ty trong ngnh, c bit l cc cng ty nim yt trn sn chng khon s
cn tip tc c hng nhiu u i v ha hn thu v li nhun cao trong tng lai.
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KHUYN CO
Bo co phn tch cng ty nhm mc ch nh gi v a ra nhng khuyn ngh mang tnh tham kho,
nhm h tr khch hng.
Cc thng tin m Bo co s dng c thu thp v xem xt vi mc cn trng ti a c th v da trn
nhng ngun m ABS cho l ng tin cy. Tuy nhin, ABS khng chu trch nhim v chnh xc v y
ca cc thng tin trong Bo co ny. Cc kin, nhn nh, khuyn ngh ch th hin quan im ch
quan ca ngi vit ti thi im pht hnh, khng c xem l quan im ca ABS v c th thay i m
khng cn thng bo.
Bo co ny ch yu cung cp nhng thng tin, nhn nh, khuyn ngh mang tnh tng hp. Nh u t
cn t ra quyt nh da trn tnh hnh ti chnh, cc mc tiu u t c th v cc iu kin ring ca c
nhn.
ABS khng chu trch nhim v bt c thit hi no lin quan n vic khai thc v s dng cc thng tin
t Bo co ny.
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