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Kap 5 Primer Entrepreneur 09
Kap 5 Primer Entrepreneur 09
Prof.Dr.UlrichKaiser Institutefor Institute for Strategy and Business Economics BusinessEconomics Universityof Zurich
FallSemester2009
Whereweare:
Step1 Step2
DevelopingSuccessfulBusinessIdeas
2008PrenticeHall
Chapter5:IndustryandCompetitorAnalysis
TableofContents
I. II. III. IV. V. VI. IndustryAnalysis TheImportanceofIndustryVersusFirmSpecificFactors TheFiveCompetitiveForcesThatDetermineIndustryProfitability TheValueoftheFiveForcesModel IndustryTypesandtheOpportunitiesTheyOffer CompetitorAnalysis
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I.
1. 1 2. 3.
IndustryAnalysis
An industry is a group of firms producing a similar product or service service, such as music, fitness drinks, or electronic games. Industry analysis is business research that focuses on the potential of an industry. Why important? a. a Once it is determined that a new venture is feasible in regard to the industry and market in which it will compete, a more indepth analysis is needed to earn the insandouts of the industry the firm plans t enter. l to t This analysis helps a firm determine if the niche markets it identified during feasibility analysis are accessible and which ones represent g y y p the best point of entry for a new firm.
Definition
b.
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I.
IndustryAnalysis
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I.
IndustryAnalysis
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II.
TheImportanceofIndustryVersusFirm SpecificFactors
To illustrate the importance of the industry a firm chooses to enter, research has shown that both firmspecific and industryspecific factors contribute to a firms profitability: p y 1. 2. Firmlevel factors include a firms assets, products, culture, teamwork among its employees, reputation, and other resources. Industryspecific factors include the threat of new entrants, rivalry among existing firms, the bargaining power of suppliers, and other factors discussed in the chapter. In various studies, researchers have found that from eight to 30 percent of the variation in firm profitability is directly attributable to the industry in which a firm competes competes.
3.
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III.
1. 1 2. 3.
TheFiveCompetitiveForcesThat DetermineIndustryProfitability
The five competitive forces model is a framework for understanding the structure of an industry and was developed by Michael Porter. The framework is comprised of the forces that determine industry profitability. These forces the threat of substitutes, the entry of new competitors, rivalry among existing firms the bargaining power of suppliers and the firms, suppliers, bargaining power of buyers determine the average rate of return for the firms in an industry. Each of Porters f f h f five forces h an impact on the average rate of return f has h f for the firms in an industry by applying pressure on industry profitability. Wellmanaged companies try to position their firms in a way that avoids or diminishes these forces in an attempt to beat the average rate of return for the industry.
Universityof Zurich ISU InstituteforStrategyandBusinessEconomics UlrichKaiser AprimerinEntrepreneurship FallSemester2009 8
4.
III.
TheFiveCompetitiveForcesThat DetermineIndustryProfitability
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Supplier Power
Supplier concentration Importance of volume to supplier Differentiation of inputs Impact of inputs on cost or differentation Switching costs of firms in the industry Presence of substitute inputs Threat of forwart intergration Cost relative to total purchases in industry
Barriers to entry
Absolute cost advantages g Proprietary learning curve Access to inputs Government policy Economies of scale Capital requirements Brand identity Switching costs Access to distribution Expected retaliation Proprietary products
Threat of substitutes
- Switching costs - Buyer inclination to substitute - Price performance tradeoff of substitutes
Rivalry
Buyer Power
Bargaining leverage Buyer volume Buyer information Brand identity Price sensitivity Threat of backward intergration Product differentiation Buyer concentration vs. industry Substitutes available Buyers Buyers incentives
Degree of Rivalry
Exit barriers Industry concentration Fixed costs/Value added Industry growth Intermittent overcapacity Product differences Switching costs Brand identity Diversity of rivals Corporate stakes
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III.
a. b. b c.
TheFiveCompetitiveForcesThat DetermineIndustryProfitability
The price that consumers are willing to pay for a product depends, in part, on the availability of substitute products. For example there are few if any substitutes for prescription medicines which example, medicines, is one of the reasons the pharmaceutical industry is so profitable. In contrast, when close substitutes for a product do exist, industry profitability is suppressed because consumers will opt not to buy when the price is too high. The extent to which substitutes suppress the profitability of an industry depends on th propensity f b d d the it for buyers t substitute b t to b tit t between alternatives. lt ti This is why firms in an industry often offer their customers amenities to reduce the likelihood that they will switch to a substitute product, even in light of a price increase.
1. ThreatofSubstitutes
d. e.
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III.
a. b. b c. d.
TheFiveCompetitiveForcesThat DetermineIndustryProfitability
Ifthefirmsinanindustryarehighlyprofitable,theindustrybecomesamagnetto newentrants. Unlesssomethingisdonetostopthis,thecompetitionintheindustrywillincrease, Unless something is done to stop this the competition in the industry will increase andaverageindustryprofitabilitywilldecline. Firmsinanindustrytrytokeepthenumberofnewentrantslowbyerectingbarriers toentry. to entry Abarriertoentryisaconditionthatcreatesadisincentiveforanewfirmtoenteran industry.
2. ThreatofNewEntrants
Rockefeller example p
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III.
TheFiveCompetitiveForcesThat DetermineIndustryProfitability
BarriertoEntry Economiesofscale Explanation
Industriesthatarecharacterizedbylargeeconomiesofscale Industries that are characterized by large economies of scale aredifficultfornewfirmstoenter,unlesstheyarewillingto acceptacostdisadvantage. Industriessuchasthesoftdrinkindustrythatare characterizedbyfirmswithstrongbrandsaredifficulttobreak intowithoutspendingheavilyonadvertising. into without spending heavily on advertising. Theneedtoinvestlargeamountsofmoneytogainentranceto anindustryisanotherbarriertoentry.Forexample,itnow takesabouttwoyearsand$4milliontodevelopanelectronic game.Manynewfirmsdonothavethecapitaltocompeteat thislevel.
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2. ThreatofNewEntrants
Productdifferentiation
III.
TheFiveCompetitiveForcesThat DetermineIndustryProfitability
BarriertoEntry Costadvantages C d independentofsize Explanation
Entrenchedcompetitorsmayhavecostadvantagesnotrelated tosize.Forexample,theexistingcompetitorsinanindustry mayhavepurchasedpropertywhenitwasmuchless expensivethananewentrantwouldhavetopay. Distributionchannelsareoftenhardtocrack.Thisisparticularly trueincrowdedmarkets,suchastheconveniencestoremarket. Foranewsportsdrinktobeplacedontheshelf,ithasto displaceaproductthatisalreadythere. displace a product that is already there Inknowledgeintensiveindustries,suchasbiotechnologyand software,patents,trademarks,andcopyrightsformmajor software, patents, trademarks, and copyrights form major barrierstoentry.Otherindustries,suchasbroadcasting, requirethegrantingofalicensebyapublicauthority.
2. ThreatofNewEntrants
Accesstodistribution channels
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III.
TheFiveCompetitiveForcesThat DetermineIndustryProfitability
Itisdifficultforstartupstoexecutebarrierstoentrythatare expensive,suchaseconomiesofscale,becausemoneyisusuallytight. i h i f l b i ll ti ht Startupshavetorelyonnontraditionalbarrierstoentrytodiscourage newentrants,suchasassemblingaworldclassmanagementteamthat g g wouldbedifficultforanothercompanytoreplicate.
2. ThreatofNewEntrants
NontraditionalBarrierstoEntry: a. b.
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III.
TheFiveCompetitiveForcesThat DetermineIndustryProfitability
BarriertoEntry Strengthof managementteam Explanation
Ifastartupputstogetheraworldclassmanagementteam,it If a startup puts together a worldclass management team it maygivepotentialrivalspauseintakingonthestartupinits chosenindustry. Ifastartuppioneersanindustryoranewconceptwithinan existingindustry,thenamerecognitionthatthestartup establishesmaycreateaformidablebarriertoentry. y y Iftheemployeesofastartuparehighlymotivatedbythe uniquecultureofastartup,andanticipatelargefinancial rewardsthroughstockoptions,thisisacombinationthat cannotbereplicatedbylargerfirms.Thinkoftheemployeesof abiotechfirmstryingtofindacureforadisease.
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2. ThreatofNewEntrants
Firstmoveradvantage
III.
TheFiveCompetitiveForcesThat DetermineIndustryProfitability
BarriertoEntry Uniquebusiness U i b i model Explanation
Ifastartupisabletoconstructauniquebusinessmodeland If a startup is able to construct a unique business model and establishanetworkofrelationshipsthatmakesthebusiness modelwork,thissetofadvantagescreatesabarriertoentry. SomeInternetdomainnamesaresospotoninregardtoa specificproductorservicethattheygiveastartupa meaningfullegupintermsofecommerceopportunities.
2. ThreatofNewEntrants
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III.
a.
TheFiveCompetitiveForcesThat DetermineIndustryProfitability
Inmostindustries,themajordeterminantofindustryprofitabilityisthe levelofcompetitionamongthefirmsalreadycompetinginthe industry. industry Someindustriesarefiercelycompetitivetothepointwherepricesare pushedbelowthelevelofcosts.Whenthishappens,industrywide lossesoccur. Therearefourprimaryfactorsthatdeterminethenatureandintensity o oftherivalryamongexistingfirmsinanindustry: e a ya o ge s g s a dus y i. ii. iii. iv. NumberandBalanceofCompetitors; DegreeofDifferenceBetweenProducts; GrowthRateofanIndustry; LevelofFixedCosts.
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3. RivalryAmongExistingFirms
b.
c.
III.
TheFiveCompetitiveForcesThat DetermineIndustryProfitability
3. RivalryAmongExistingFirms
Factorsthatdeterminethenatureandintensityoftherivalryamongexisting firmsinanindustry
Numberand balanceof competitors
Themorecompetitorsthereare,themorelikelyitisthat oneormorewilltrytogaincustomersbycuttingitsprice. Pricecuttingoccursmoreoftenwhenallthecompetitors inanindustryareaboutthesamesizeandwhenthereis noclearmarketleader. Thedegreetowhichproductsdifferfromoneproduct The degree to which products differ from one product toanotheraffectsindustryrivalry.Forexample,the firmsincommodityindustries(suchaspaper p products)tendtocompeteonpricebecausethereis ) p p littledifferencebetweenonemanufacturersproducts andanothers.
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III.
TheFiveCompetitiveForcesThat DetermineIndustryProfitability
3. RivalryAmongExistingFirms
Factorsthatdeterminethenatureandintensityoftherivalryamongexisting firmsinanindustry
Thecompetitionamongfirmsinaslowgrowthindustryis strongerthanamongthoseinfastgrowthindustries.Slow growthindustryfirmsmustfightformarketshare,which maytemptthemtolowerpricestogainmarketshare.In t t th t l i t i k t h I fastgrowthindustries,thereareenoughcustomerstogo around,makingpricecuttinglesslikely. Firmsthathavehighfixedcostsmustsellahighervolume oftheirproducttoreachthebreakevenpointthanfirms withlowfixedcosts.Asaresult,firmswithhighfixedcosts with low fixed costs As a result firms with high fixed costs areanxioustofilltheircapacity,andthisanxietymaylead topricecutting.
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Growthrateofan industry
Leveloffixed costs
III.
a.
TheFiveCompetitiveForcesThat DetermineIndustryProfitability
Insomecases,supplierscansuppresstheprofitabilityoftheindustries towhichtheysellbyraisingpricesorreducingthequalityofthe componentstheyprovide. components they provide Ifasupplierreducesthequalityofthecomponentsitsupplies,the qualityofthefinishedproductwillsuffer,andthemanufacturerwill eventuallyhavetoloweritsprice. ll h l Ifthesuppliersarepowerfulrelativetothefirmsintheindustryto whichtheysell,industryprofitabilitycansuffer. c ey se , dus y p o ab y ca su e
4. BargainingPowerofSuppliers
b.
c.
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III.
TheFiveCompetitiveForcesThat DetermineIndustryProfitability
5. BargainingPowerofBuyers
Factorsthathaveanimpactontheabilityofsupplierstoexertpressureonbuyers
Supplier concentration
Switchingcosts
Switchingcostsarethefixedcoststhatbuyersencounter Switching costs are the fixed costs that buyers encounter whenswitchingorchangingfromonesuppliertoanother. Ifswitchingcostsarehigh,abuyerwillbelesslikelyto switchsuppliers.
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III.
TheFiveCompetitiveForcesThat DetermineIndustryProfitability
5. BargainingPowerofBuyers
Factorsthathaveanimpactontheabilityofsupplierstoexertpressureonbuyers
Supplierpowerisenhancediftherearenoattractive substitutesfortheproductorservicesthesupplieroffers. Forexample,thereislittlethecomputerindustrycando whenIntelorMicrosoftraisetheirprices,asthereare h I l Mi f i h i i h simplynopracticalsubstitutesfortheirproducts.
Attractivenessof substitutes
Threatofforward integration
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III.
a. b. b
TheFiveCompetitiveForcesThat DetermineIndustryProfitability
Buyerscansuppresstheprofitabilityoftheindustriesfromwhichthey purchasebydemandingpriceconcessionsorincreasesinquality. Forexample,theautomobileindustryisdominatedbyahandfulof For example the automobile industry is dominated by a handful of largeautomakersthatbuyproductsfromthousandsofsuppliersin differentindustries.Thisenablestheautomakerstosuppressthe profitabilityoftheindustriesfromwhichtheybuybydemandingprice f bl f h d f h h h b b d d reductions.
5. BargainingPowerofBuyers
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III.
TheFiveCompetitiveForcesThat DetermineIndustryProfitability
5. BargainingPowerofBuyers
Factorsthathaveanimpactontheabilityofsupplierstoexertpressureonbuyers
Ifthebuyersareconcentrated,meaningthatthereareonly afewlargebuyers,andtheybuyfromalargenumberof suppliers,theycanpressurethesupplierstolowercosts andthusaffecttheprofitabilityoftheindustriesfrom d h ff h fi bili f h i d i f whichtheybuy.
Buyergroup concentration
Buyerscosts
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III.
TheFiveCompetitiveForcesThat DetermineIndustryProfitability
5. BargainingPowerofBuyers
Factorsthathaveanimpactontheabilityofsupplierstoexertpressureonbuyers
Thedegreetowhichasuppliersproductdiffersfromits The degree to which a suppliers product differs from its competitorsaffectsthebuyersbargainingpower.For example,abuyerwhoispurchasingastandardproduct, likethecornsyrupthatgoesintosoftdrinks,canplayone y p g p y supplieragainstanotheruntilitgetsthebestcombination ofpriceandservice.
Thepowerofbuyersisenhancedifthereisacredible threatthatthebuyermightenterthesuppliersindustry.
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IV.
TheValueoftheFiveForcesModel
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IV.
1.
TheValueoftheFiveForcesModel
Industryattractiveness
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IV.
2.
TheValueoftheFiveForcesModel
Potentialsuccess
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V.
IndustryTypesandtheOpportunitiesThey Offer
VI.
1.
CompetitorAnalysis
Afterafirmhasgainedanunderstandingoftheindustryandmarketsin whichitplanstocompete,thenextstepistocompleteacompetitor analysis. l i Acompetitoranalysisisadetailedanalysisafirmscompetition.Ithelps afirmunderstandthepositionsofitsmajorcompetitorsandthe p j p opportunitiesthatareavailabletoobtainacompetitiveadvantageinone ormoreareas. Acompetitiveanalysisgridisatoolfororganizingtheinformationafirm A titi l i id i t l f i i th i f ti fi collectsaboutitsprimarycompetitors.
2.
3. 3
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VI.
a.
CompetitorAnalysis
IdentifyingtheCompetition
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VI.
b.
i. i ii. iii.
CompetitorAnalysis
SourcesofCompetitiveIntelligence
Tocompleteameaningfulcompetitiveanalysisgrid,afirmmustfirst To complete a meaningful competitive analysis grid a firm must first understandthestrategiesandbehaviorsofitscompetitors. Theinformationthatisgatheredbyafirmtolearnaboutits competitorsisreferredtoascompetitiveintelligence. Thefollowingareexamplesofwaysafirmcanethicallyobtain informationaboutitscompetitors: information about its competitors: (1) Attendconferencesandtradeshows;Fullbusinessplan (2) Read(study)industryrelatedbooks,magazines,andWebsites; (3) Talk to customers about why they bought your product rather Talktocustomersaboutwhytheyboughtyourproductrather thanyourcompetitors; (4) StudycompetitorsWebsites; (5) P h Purchasecompetitorsproductstostudytheirfeatures,benefits tit d t t t d th i f t b fit andshortcomings; (6) StudyWebsitesthatprovideinformationaboutcompanies.
Universityof Zurich ISU InstituteforStrategyandBusinessEconomics UlrichKaiser AprimerinEntrepreneurship FallSemester2009 33
VI.
c.
i. i ii.
CompetitorAnalysis
CompletingaCompetitiveAnalysisGrid
Atoolfororganizingtheinformationafirmcollectsaboutits A tool for organizing the information a firm collects about its competitors. Acompetitiveanalysisgridcanhelpafirmseehowitstacksup againstitscompetitors,provideideasformarketstopursue,and identifyitsprimarysourcesofcompetitiveadvantage.
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VI.
c.
CompetitorAnalysis
CompletingaCompetitiveAnalysisGrid
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