S ng k thu bao (SUB) ph thuc vo cc nhn t cho theo nh ngha bng di:

SUB

S ng k thu bao cho mi h thng cp (1000 khch hng/h thng cp

HOME :

S h gia nh m mi h thng cp i qua (1000 h/h thng)

INST

Ph lp t (-la/ln)

SVC

Phi dch v cho h thng cp ( la/thng)

TV

S knh truyn hnh m mi h thng cp c th cung cp (knh/h thng)

AGE

Thi gian h thng cp hat ng (nm)

AIR

S knh truyn hnh h gia nh thc t nhn c t h thng cp (knh)

Thu nhp bnh qun u ngi ( la / ngi)

Correlation matrix:

SUB
INST
HOME
AIR
AGE
SVC
TV
Y

SUB
1.00
0.13
0.90
0.29
0.48
0.37
0.38
0.11

INST
1.00
0.15
0.03
0.33
0.24
-0.08
0.18

M hnh A1:
Dependent Variable: SUB

HOME

1.00
0.48
0.40
0.42
0.42
0.16

AIR

1.00
0.35
0.44
0.63
0.63

AGE

1.00
0.14
0.32
0.50

SVC

1.00
0.41
0.32

TV

1.00
0.35

1.00

Included observations: 40
Variable

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.

INST
HOME
AIR
AGE
SVC
TV
Y
C

-0.526420
0.405549
-5.111142
1.193511
2.038732
0.756508
0.001655
-6.807726

0.476074
0.035003
1.518459
0.502651
2.126968
0.687811
0.003469
26.65981

-1.105751
11.58599
-3.366005
2.374434
0.958516
1.099877
0.477101
-0.255355

0.2771
0.0000
0.0020
0.0237
0.3450
0.2796
0.6365
0.8001

R-squared
Adjusted R-squared
S.E. of regression
Sum squared resid
Log likelihood
F-statistic
Prob(F-statistic)

M hnh A2:
Dependent Variable: SUB
Included observations: 40

0.887748
0.863193
12.40453
4923.914
-153.0171
36.15343
0.000000

Mean dependent var

S.D. dependent var
Akaike info criterion
Schwarz criterion
Hannan-Quinn criter.
Durbin-Watson stat

24.50850
33.53720
8.050857
8.388633
8.172986
2.182694

Variable

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.

HOME
AIR
AGE
C

0.411502
-3.461827
1.139739
12.86929

0.030963
1.037577
0.409436
6.410972

13.29027
-3.336451
2.783676
2.007384

0.0000
0.0020
0.0085
0.0523

R-squared
Adjusted R-squared
S.E. of regression
Sum squared resid
Log likelihood
F-statistic
Prob(F-statistic)

0.872436
0.861805
12.46731
5595.615
-155.5747
82.07009
0.000000

Mean dependent var

S.D. dependent var
Akaike info criterion
Schwarz criterion
Hannan-Quinn criter.
Durbin-Watson stat

24.50850
33.53720
7.978736
8.147624
8.039801
2.349991

M hnh A3:
Dependent Variable: SUB
Included observations: 40
White Heteroskedasticity-Consistent Standard Errors & Covariance
Variable

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.

HOME
AIR

0.411502
-3.461827

0.064396
1.735124

6.390209
-1.995147

0.0000
0.0536

AGE
C
R-squared
Adjusted R-squared
S.E. of regression
Sum squared resid
Log likelihood
F-statistic
Prob(F-statistic)

1.139739
12.86929
0.872436
0.861805
12.46731
5595.615
-155.5747
82.07009
0.000000

0.508794
7.962295

2.240080
1.616278

Mean dependent var

S.D. dependent var
Akaike info criterion
Schwarz criterion
Hannan-Quinn criter.
Durbin-Watson stat

0.0314
0.1148
24.50850
33.53720
7.978736
8.147624
8.039801
2.349991

M hnh A4:
Dependent Variable: SUB
Included observations: 40
White Heteroskedasticity-Consistent Standard Errors & Covariance
Variable

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.

HOME
AGE
C

0.370356
0.874041
-4.529509

0.070469
0.596867
4.631326

5.255576
1.464380
-0.978016

0.0000
0.1515
0.3344

R-squared
Adjusted R-squared
S.E. of regression
Sum squared resid
Log likelihood
F-statistic
Prob(F-statistic)

0.832990
0.823963
14.07114
7325.889
-160.9633
92.27189
0.000000

Mean dependent var

S.D. dependent var
Akaike info criterion
Schwarz criterion
Hannan-Quinn criter.
Durbin-Watson stat

24.50850
33.53720
8.198167
8.324833
8.243966
2.141843

M hnh B1:
Dependent Variable: LOG(SUB)
Included observations: 40
Variable

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.

LOG(INST)
LOG(HOME)
AIR
AGE
LOG(SVC)
TV
LOG(Y)
C

0.034592
0.927361
-0.093942
0.045967
-0.581152
0.032251
0.562922
-4.860199

0.180344
0.050089
0.037073
0.012429
0.399759
0.017972
0.843343
7.512676

0.191810
18.51431
-2.533964
3.698468
-1.453755
1.794550
0.667488
-0.646933

0.8491
0.0000
0.0164
0.0008
0.1558
0.0822
0.5092
0.5223

R-squared
Adjusted R-squared
S.E. of regression
Sum squared resid
Log likelihood
F-statistic
Prob(F-statistic)

0.949338
0.938256
0.318645
3.249109
-6.547570
85.66225
0.000000

Mean dependent var

S.D. dependent var
Akaike info criterion
Schwarz criterion
Hannan-Quinn criter.
Durbin-Watson stat

2.480569
1.282355
0.727378
1.065154
0.849508
1.916544

M hnh B2:
Dependent Variable: LOG(SUB)
Included observations: 40
White Heteroskedasticity-Consistent Standard Errors & Covariance
Variable

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.

LOG(HOME)
AIR
AGE
C

0.924813
-0.065502
0.053232
-0.675708

0.032070
0.023605
0.012232
0.216323

28.83700
-2.774902
4.351805
-3.123601

0.0000
0.0087
0.0001
0.0035

R-squared
Adjusted R-squared
S.E. of regression
Sum squared resid
Log likelihood
F-statistic
Prob(F-statistic)

0.941753
0.936899
0.322126
3.735539
-9.337794
194.0198
0.000000

Mean dependent var

S.D. dependent var
Akaike info criterion
Schwarz criterion
Hannan-Quinn criter.
Durbin-Watson stat

M hnh B3:
Dependent Variable: LOG(SUB)
Included observations: 40
White Heteroskedasticity-Consistent Standard Errors & Covariance

2.480569
1.282355
0.666890
0.835778
0.727954
1.760812

Variable

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.

LOG(HOME)
AGE
C

0.900345
0.045557
-0.945043

0.035786
0.016221
0.197632

25.15910
2.808577
-4.781829

0.0000
0.0079
0.0000

R-squared
Adjusted R-squared
S.E. of regression
Sum squared resid
Log likelihood
F-statistic
Prob(F-statistic)

0.930800
0.927060
0.346331
4.437983
-12.78395
248.8420
0.000000

Mean dependent var

S.D. dependent var
Akaike info criterion
Schwarz criterion
Hannan-Quinn criter.
Durbin-Watson stat

2.480569
1.282355
0.789198
0.915864
0.834996
1.509205

M hnh B4:
Dependent Variable: LOG(SUB)
Included observations: 40
White Heteroskedasticity-Consistent Standard Errors & Covariance
Variable

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.

LOG(HOME)
AIR
C

0.975802
-0.029105
-0.623609

0.060042
0.024651
0.228250

16.25191
-1.180683
-2.732129

0.0000
0.2453
0.0096

R-squared
Adjusted R-squared
S.E. of regression
Sum squared resid
Log likelihood
F-statistic
Prob(F-statistic)

0.899541
0.894111
0.417287
6.442743
-20.23904
165.6543
0.000000

Mean dependent var

S.D. dependent var
Akaike info criterion
Schwarz criterion
Hannan-Quinn criter.
Durbin-Watson stat

2.480569
1.282355
1.161952
1.288618
1.207750
1.801498

M hnh B5:
Dependent Variable: LOG(SUB)
Included observations: 40
Variable

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.

LOG(HOME)
LOG(AGE)
C

0.899345
0.195628
-0.906910

0.050711
0.060049
0.175505

17.73475
3.257817
-5.167442

0.0000
0.0024
0.0000

R-squared
Adjusted R-squared
S.E. of regression
Sum squared resid
Log likelihood
F-statistic

0.920107
0.915789
0.372129
5.123769
-15.65776
213.0598

Mean dependent var

S.D. dependent var
Akaike info criterion
Schwarz criterion
Hannan-Quinn criter.
Durbin-Watson stat

2.480569
1.282355
0.932888
1.059554
0.978686
1.620752

Prob(F-statistic)

0.000000

Kt qu kim nh ca m hnh A*
Heteroskedasticity Test: White
F-statistic
Obs*R-squared
Scaled explained SS

27.94750
35.73754
79.95696

Prob. F(9,30)
Prob. Chi-Square(9)
Prob. Chi-Square(9)

0.0000
0.0000
0.0000

Test Equation:
Dependent Variable: RESID^2
Included observations: 40
Variable

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.

C
HOME
HOME^2
HOME*AIR
HOME*AGE
AIR

-435.7003
2.217408
0.011373
-0.632253
0.246781
94.84815

247.6014
2.313306
0.006161
0.207604
0.171261
76.91032

-1.759684
0.958545
1.846026
-3.045475
1.440968
1.233231

0.0887
0.3454
0.0748
0.0048
0.1600
0.2271

AIR^2
AIR*AGE
AGE
AGE^2
R-squared
Adjusted R-squared
S.E. of regression
Sum squared resid
Log likelihood
F-statistic
Prob(F-statistic)

0.187389
-8.867666
14.92742
2.401635
0.893438
0.861470
123.9355
460800.2
-243.7943
27.94750
0.000000

6.252862
3.515439
18.69703
1.414796

0.029968
-2.522492
0.798384
1.697513

Mean dependent var

S.D. dependent var
Akaike info criterion
Schwarz criterion
Hannan-Quinn criter.
Durbin-Watson stat

0.9763
0.0172
0.4309
0.1000
139.8904
332.9843
12.68972
13.11194
12.84238
1.987003

Kt qu kim nh ca m hnh B*
Heteroskedasticity Test: White
F-statistic
Obs*R-squared
Scaled explained SS

2.271967
16.21299
16.41557

Test Equation:
Dependent Variable: RESID^2
Included observations: 40

Prob. F(9,30)
Prob. Chi-Square(9)
Prob. Chi-Square(9)

0.0445
0.0626
0.0587

Variable

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.

C
LOG(HOME)
(LOG(HOME))^2
(LOG(HOME))*AIR
(LOG(HOME))*AGE
AIR
AIR^2
AIR*AGE
AGE
AGE^2

0.605843
-0.041500
-0.006988
-0.006300
0.008394
-0.049588
-0.000736
0.009025
-0.043718
-0.002032

0.325180
0.111770
0.014608
0.011711
0.004752
0.062885
0.005678
0.003693
0.014083
0.001392

1.863101
-0.371301
-0.478359
-0.537952
1.766552
-0.788548
-0.129567
2.443568
-3.104292
-1.459982

0.0723
0.7130
0.6359
0.5946
0.0875
0.4366
0.8978
0.0206
0.0041
0.1547

R-squared
Adjusted R-squared
S.E. of regression
Sum squared resid
Log likelihood
F-statistic
Prob(F-statistic)

0.405325
0.226922
0.131484
0.518638
30.15104
2.271967
0.044467

Kt qu kim nh ca m hnh B*
Heteroskedasticity Test: White

Mean dependent var

S.D. dependent var
Akaike info criterion
Schwarz criterion
Hannan-Quinn criter.
Durbin-Watson stat

0.093388
0.149541
-1.007552
-0.585332
-0.854890
2.664669

F-statistic
Obs*R-squared
Scaled explained SS

5.706959
18.25211
19.15735

Prob. F(5,34)
Prob. Chi-Square(5)
Prob. Chi-Square(5)

0.0006
0.0026
0.0018

Test Equation:
Dependent Variable: RESID^2
Included observations: 40
White Heteroskedasticity-Consistent Standard Errors & Covariance
Variable

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.

C
LOG(HOME)
(LOG(HOME))^2
(LOG(HOME))*AGE
AGE
AGE^2

0.187967
0.044379
-0.016735
0.004873
-0.038511
0.001654

0.236126
0.094852
0.008392
0.004618
0.014289
0.000712

0.796046
0.467873
-1.994031
1.055234
-2.695211
2.321808

0.4315
0.6429
0.0542
0.2988
0.0109
0.0264

R-squared
Adjusted R-squared
S.E. of regression
Sum squared resid
Log likelihood
F-statistic

0.456303
0.376347
0.138989
0.656806
25.42737
5.706959

Mean dependent var

S.D. dependent var
Akaike info criterion
Schwarz criterion
Hannan-Quinn criter.
Durbin-Watson stat

0.110950
0.175998
-0.971369
-0.718037
-0.879772
2.293311

Prob(F-statistic)

0.000632

Kt qu kim nh m hnh A*:

Breusch-Godfrey Serial Correlation LM Test:
F-statistic
Obs*R-squared

0.352428
0.789647

Prob. F(2,35)
Prob. Chi-Square(2)

0.7054
0.6738

Test Equation:
Dependent Variable: RESID
Included observations: 40
Presample missing value lagged residuals set to zero.
Variable

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.

HOME
AGE
C
RESID(-1)
RESID(-2)

-0.002562
-0.010838
0.234005
-0.134154
0.030593

0.032775
0.473715
4.375259
0.171875
0.173979

-0.078181
-0.022880
0.053484
-0.780528
0.175844

0.9381
0.9819
0.9577
0.4403
0.8614

R-squared

0.019741

Mean dependent var

-2.93E-15

Adjusted R-squared
S.E. of regression
Sum squared resid
Log likelihood
F-statistic
Prob(F-statistic)

-0.092288
14.32407
7181.267
-160.5646
0.176214
0.949156

S.D. dependent var

Akaike info criterion
Schwarz criterion
Hannan-Quinn criter.
Durbin-Watson stat

13.70559
8.278229
8.489339
8.354559
1.877823

Kt qu kim nh m hnh B*:

Breusch-Godfrey Serial Correlation LM Test:
F-statistic
Obs*R-squared

1.027405
2.218130

Prob. F(2,35)
Prob. Chi-Square(2)

0.3685
0.3299

Test Equation:
Dependent Variable: RESID
Included observations: 40
Presample missing value lagged residuals set to zero.
Variable

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.

LOG(HOME)
AGE
C

-0.014113
0.001997
0.032492

0.047109
0.011030
0.166338

-0.299576
0.181015
0.195337

0.7663
0.8574
0.8463

RESID(-1)
RESID(-2)
R-squared
Adjusted R-squared
S.E. of regression
Sum squared resid
Log likelihood
F-statistic
Prob(F-statistic)

0.246493
-0.008757
0.055453
-0.052495
0.346075
4.191882
-11.64295
0.513702
0.726059

0.174346
0.176798

1.413813
-0.049532

Mean dependent var

S.D. dependent var
Akaike info criterion
Schwarz criterion
Hannan-Quinn criter.
Durbin-Watson stat

0.1663
0.9608
-3.33E-17
0.337334
0.832147
1.043257
0.908478
1.987253

Kt qu kim nh m hnh B*:

Heteroskedasticity Test: White
F-statistic
Obs*R-squared
Scaled explained SS

1.306070
6.444898
4.406539

Prob. F(5,34)
Prob. Chi-Square(5)
Prob. Chi-Square(5)

0.2846
0.2653
0.4925

Test Equation:
Dependent Variable: RESID^2
Included observations: 40
Variable

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.

C
LOG(HOME)
(LOG(HOME))^2
(LOG(HOME))*(LOG(AGE))
LOG(AGE)
(LOG(AGE))^2
R-squared
Adjusted R-squared
S.E. of regression
Sum squared resid
Log likelihood
F-statistic
Prob(F-statistic)

0.604517
-0.162958
-0.004677
0.073013
-0.093950
-0.040486
0.161122
0.037758
0.160873
0.879925
19.57842
1.306070
0.284586

0.242459
0.114295
0.014398
0.032544
0.057486
0.023662

2.493270
-1.425768
-0.324850
2.243514
-1.634319
-1.710958

Mean dependent var

S.D. dependent var
Akaike info criterion
Schwarz criterion
Hannan-Quinn criter.
Durbin-Watson stat

0.0177
0.1631
0.7473
0.0315
0.1114
0.0962
0.128094
0.163999
-0.678921
-0.425589
-0.587324
1.968483

Kt qu kim nh m hnh B*:

Breusch-Godfrey Serial Correlation LM Test:
F-statistic
Obs*R-squared

Test Equation:
Dependent Variable: RESID

0.808646
1.766698

Prob. F(2,35)
Prob. Chi-Square(2)

0.4536
0.4134

Included observations: 40
Presample missing value lagged residuals set to zero.
Variable

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.

LOG(HOME)
LOG(AGE)
C
RESID(-1)
RESID(-2)

-0.009715
0.013868
0.009783
0.170334
0.106572

0.052064
0.062406
0.182106
0.172596
0.177053

-0.186594
0.222223
0.053723
0.986897
0.601920

0.8531
0.8254
0.9575
0.3305
0.5511

R-squared
Adjusted R-squared
S.E. of regression
Sum squared resid
Log likelihood
F-statistic
Prob(F-statistic)

0.044167
-0.065071
0.374069
4.897465
-14.75431
0.404323
0.804217

Mean dependent var

S.D. dependent var
Akaike info criterion
Schwarz criterion
Hannan-Quinn criter.
Durbin-Watson stat

-3.05E-17
0.362462
0.987715
1.198825
1.064046
1.974484

1) Trong nhng m hnh trn: m hnh no xy ra hin tng a cng tuyn, phng sai thay i v tng
quan chui bc 1, bc 2. Trnh by lp lun ca bn. Nu thiu thng tin, vui lng cho bit thng tin b thiu l
g?
2) Trnh by chin lc xy dng nhm m hnh A v nhm m hnh B, quan h gia cc m hnh trong 2 nhm
ny.

3) Bn chn mt m hnh theo bn l tt nht (theo nhng tiu ch la chn m hnh), sau gii thch ngha
kinh t ca cc h s hi quy, R2, v kim nh s tn ti ca m hnh .