CNG

THNG K NG DNG V D BO TRONG QUN L XY DNG (Applied Statistics and Forecasting in Construction Management )

1. 2. 3. 4.

Tn mn hc M mn hc S tn ch Ging vin

: Thng k ng dng v d bo trong qun l xy dng : QLXD001 : 03 (02 L thuyt + 01 Thc hnh) : PGS.TS. Nguyn Thng, TS. Cao Ho Thi, PGS.TS. Lu Trng Vn -TS. L Hoi Long

5. nh gi MH:

TT 1 2 3

Phng php nh gi Kim tra gia hc k Tiu lun, thuyt trnh Thi cui hc k 10/10

S ln 1 1 1

Trng s (%) 30 20 50

Thang im nh gi

5. Muc tieu cua mon hoc nham trang b cho ngi hoc kien thc ly thuyet c ban ve viec lap cac mo hnh hoi qui, mo hnh d bao va mo hnh ra quyet nh, ong thi giup ngi hoc co the s dung cac phan mem thong ke va ra quyet nh chuyen dung e giai quyet cac van e thc tien. 6. M t tm tt mn hc: y l mt mn hc ng dng thc t trong cc hc vin trc tin s hc l thuyt sau s s dng cc phn mm chuyn dng phn tch nhng vn khc nhau trong lnh vc lp m hnh hi qui, m hnh d bo v m hnh ra quyt nh trong qun l. Phn chnh ca mn hc s c tp trung vo k thut hi qui v d bo cng nh cc k thut h tr ra quyt nh. Phn tch hi qui d liu cho v d bo cc chui thi gian l nhng k thut rt hu dng phn tch cc thng tin v d liu thc nghim. Ngoi ra ni dung ca mn hc cng gii thiu cc cng c h tr ra quyt nh trong qun l.

7. Ti liu tham kho chnh: (khong 3-5 ti liu)

[1] Bi ging ca cc ging vin pht trc tip trn lp hc. [2] W.J. DeCoursey, Statistics and Probability for Engineering Applications, 2003, Elsevier Science (USA). [3] David R. Anderson, Dennis J. Sweeney, Thomas A. Williams. Essentials of Statistics for Business and Economics, 2009, homson South-Western. [4] Ramu Ramanathan. Kinh T Lng Nhp Mn v p Dng, Harcourt College Publishers, 2001, n bn ln 5. (Bn Dch, Cao Ho Thi v Cng S)

8. N i dung chi ti t:
Chng 1 Ni dung Nhc li mt s ni dung c bn ca xc sut v Thng k Xc sut Cc tham s thng k Bin ngu nhin v phn phi xc sut Ly mu v phn phi mu Cc ng dng thc hnh trn Excel c lng cc tham s thng k c lng im c lng khong Cc ng dng thc hnh trn Excel v SPSS/Eview Kim nh gi thuyt thng k Nhng khi nim v vic kim nh gi thuyt thng k Cc bc kim nh gi thuyt thng k Kim nh gi thuyt v cc tham s thng k Kim nh gi thuyt v qui lut phn phi xc sut Kim nh gi thuyt v tnh c lp ca hai thuc tnh Cc ng dng thc hnh trn Excel v SPSS/Eview Phn tch tng quan v hi qui Cc khi nim chung Phn tch tng quan Phn tch hi qui Cc ng dng thc hnh trn Excel v SPSS/Eview Lp m hnh Cc gi thit v m hnh Thc hin hi qui Gii thch v Kim nh m hnh Cc ng dng thc hnh trn Excel v SPSS/Eview Phn tch Hi Qui a Bin Lp m hnh Cc gi thit v m hnh Thc hin hi qui Gii thch v Kim nh m hnh S tit 6 TLTK [1],[2], [3],[4]

[1],[2], [3],[4]

[1],[2], [3],[4]

[1],[2], [3],[4]

Phn tch Hi Qui n Bin

[1],[2], [3],[4]

[1],[2], [3],[4]

Bin nh tnh Cc ng dng thc hnh trn Excel v SPSS/Eview Cc vn trong Phn tch Hi Qui a Bin a cng tuyn Dng hm s Phng sai thay i Tng quan chui Cc ng dng thc hnh trn Excel v SPSS/Eview Gii thiu chung v d bo theo chui thi gian Khi nim chung Cc bc ca qu trnh d bo La chn phng php d bo Phng php gin n Phng php trung bnh trt Phng php lm trn hm m Phng php ARIMA Cc ng dng thc hnh trn Excel v SPSS/Eview

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[1],[2], [3],[4]