Professional Documents
Culture Documents
indd 1
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30 2554
No. 30 September - December 2011
49 6 30 6 10400
02-298-5628 02-298-5629
www.deqp.go.th, www.environnet.in.th
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,
:
:
.
63/123 5
10240
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Wasant Techawongtham
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Ministry of Natural Resources and Environment
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VA.indd 2
Partnership
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1/27/12 11:31 AM
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Editorial
?
1/27/12 11:31 AM
CONTENTS
- 2554
:
...
ACROSS THE SKY:
6
18
:
:
On AN unbeaten PATH:
What is Radioactive Waste?
10
14
: ?
A Different Perspective
Justice and Sustainability
The Anatomy of a Nuclear
Power Plant
:
?
42
VA.indd 4
18
30
37
42
45
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:
.
SPECIAL INTERVIEW:
51
56
:
GUEST WRITER:
Lessons from Fukushima
56
63
:
Little Mahingsa...Young
Researchers: Award of Pride
63
: vs
65
65
GREEN INTERSECTION:
75
69
75
DEPARTMENT ACTIVITIES
:
VIEWFINDERS: Taan Fai Gao
VA.indd 5
78
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...
.. 1979
The China Syndrome
( )
( )
12
(Nuclear Renaissance)
4
China Syndrome
30% 54
50% 2030
11 2554
A woman holds up a candle and an anti-nuclear sign during a vigil in
Bangalore, India, on 11 April 2011 to pay homage to the victims of the
earthquake that hit Japan and say no to nuclear energy. Greenpeace
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n March 1979 Hollywood released The China Syndrome, a movie about a television journalist (Jane
Fonda) and a freelance cameraman (Michael
Douglas) who happened upon an irregular incident while filming what was to be a light documentary about a nuclear power plant.
The movie title is a term that describes a series of
events that could happen when the loss of coolant in a
nuclear reactor leads to the severe meltdown of the core
components of the reactor, which then burn through
the containment vessel and the housing building, then
notionally through the crust and body of the Earth until
reaching China.
Only 12 days after the movie opened in theatre, the
Three Mile Island power plant in Pennsylvania in the
US experienced a partial meltdown, instantly turning
the movie into a global box office hit. While no casualties
resulted from that accident, it had caused serious concerns for people all over the world.
A mere seven years after Three Mile Island, another
nuclear accident shocked the world when the Chernobyl
nuclear plant suffered a serious meltdown and spread
radiation over wide areas of Europe. More than a hun-
dred people were said to have died shortly after the accident which continued to cause severe health effects to an
innumerable number of people.
The two incidents inflicted serious damage on the
nuclear power industry, causing nuclear power plant
projects all over the world to screech to a halt.
However, when the proverbial radioactive dust settled and peoples memory faded several years later, the
nuclear industry devised a public relations strategy to
convince the public that nuclear power was an energy
source that would drive the worlds economy. The industry expected a new era of nuclear power resurgence calling it the Nuclear Renaissance.
Interestingly, the industrys campaign has been
boosted by increased public awareness about global
warming, which made it possible for its proponents
to claim that nuclear power is clean energy because it
releases no carbon dioxide, an important greenhouse gas.
However, when a 9-magnitude earthquake and an
ensuing tsunami hit Japan, they also knocked out the
cooling system at the Fukushima Daichi power plants
which led to hydrogen explosion that disabled four of its
reactors, causing partial fuel meltdown and massive radiation leak symptoms similar to the China Syndrome.
The dream of a nuclear renaissance virtually evaporated
overnight.
After that devastating incident, all countries that had
nuclear power plants or planned to build one immediately stepped on the brake. They either ordered safety
assessment be done on the existing plants or reviews of
construction plans.
In Japan which got 30% of its power supply from 54
nuclear plants, then prime minister Naoto Kan told the
press one month after the disaster that Japans nuclear
policy, which envisages more than 50% of its total electricity supply coming from nuclear power by 2030, must
be reviewed from scratch and that renewable energy
would be a key pillar of the countrys energy policy.
Thailands plan to build five nuclear plants in the next
20 years was put on hold for three years by the government under the Democrat Party-led coalition at the time.
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel
stated that the country was now unlikely to pursue civil
nuclear energy. However, Russia, Britain, France and
Poland have said they will leave their nuclear energy policies largely unchanged.
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1
2522 28
President Jimmy Carter visits Three Mile Island on April 1, 1979,
following the accident on March 28, 1979. Wikipedia
5
3
440 31 15%
60 15
60%
94%
40% 20,000
23
22.6%
7
8 17
.. 2022
4
1969
250,000
VA.indd 8
10%
20% 35% 2020 50%
2030
80% 2050
28
()
1/27/12 11:31 AM
--
2554
2554
2
2531 1
3 5-10
The Enrico Fermi II nuclear plant near Detroit, Michigan, was opened in
January 1988. Fermi I melted down back in the 60s, and almost took
out southern Michigan and northern Ohio. Fermi III is planned to be
built in about 5-10 years. Wikipedia
Trying to put on a brave face in light of what happened, the World Nuclear Association, an industry
group, said 440 nuclear reactors operate in 31 countries,
producing about 15 percent of the worlds electricity and
that more than 60 plants were being built in 15 countries, notably Russia, China and South Korea.
In the meantime, more fascinating events took
place across Europe that could give any nuclear industry executive a nightmare. Large numbers of citizens in
Germany, Italy and Switzerland made it clear that they
did not want nuclear power as part of their future. The
development has the potential to become a global trend.
In Italy, a referendum was held to allow voters to
decide whether they wanted the government to pursue
nuclear power. More than 60% of voters turned out at
the polls and 94% of them said no, which by law meant
that the nuclear era in Italy has come to an end.
Meanwhile, in Switzerland which has depended on
nuclear power for 40% of its electricity supply, more
than 20,000 people demonstrated in May to oppose
nuclear power. It was one of the largest demonstrations the country has ever seen. Shortly afterward the
Swiss government made a commitment to close down all
nuclear power plants within the next 23 years and not to
build any new one.
But what caused a buzz throughout the world happened in Germany which depends on nuclear for 22.6%
of its power supply. Immediately after the Fukushima
disaster, the government ordered seven old reactors to
close. With one other plant which was down for maintenance and ordered not to start operation again, Germany effectively closed down eight of its 17 plants.
Then in May, the German government put a final
nail on the coffin for nuclear power in the country when it
announced that Germany would be nuclear-free by 2022.
The announcement sent a shock wave across the globe.
Not only is it the fourth largest industrialized economy,
it was where nuclear power was invented and one of the
earliest countries to use nuclear power since 1969.
This development came right after more than
September
September -- December
December 2011
2011
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10
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on an unbeaten path
:
September - December 2011
3
5
Nuclear Waste:
An Unsolvable
Problem Even in
Nuclear Power
Pioneer Germany
Vorawan Wannalak
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11
(Geologic Disposal)
ASSE II
ASSE II
ASSE II .. 2449
750
.. 2503
.. 2510
ASSE II .. 2521
125,000
1,300
10 .. 2531
Radon
Helmholtz
ASSE II
..2551
ASSE II
40
ASSE II
ASSE II
on an unbeaten path
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12
- 2554
Radon
750
(Reinhard Gerndt)
ASSE II
ASSE II
2
30
ASSE II Landesamt
fr Bergbau, Energie und Geologie (LBEG) State Office
for Mining, Energy and Geology
ASSE II
(Annette Parlitz)
()
ASSE II .. 2552
ASSE II
80
VA.indd 12
ASSE II
, , ,
,
30
40
ASSE II
11 (..2565)
3
! n
ASSE II :
www.endlager-asse.de/EN/1_Home/home_node.html
ASSE II: www.asse2.de/index.html
1/27/12 11:31 AM
--
2554
2554
form of solid, liquid and gas at the depth of 750 m and
required a huge amount of expense.
Reinhard Gerndt, for 40 years the core leader of
opponents to the disposal of nuclear waste at ASSE II,
recalled that the authorities originally issued a technical
report proposing the closure of the salt mine and turned
it into a permanent nuclear waste storage. But the discovery of water seeping into the mine indicated that the
data in the report was inaccurate, sparking currents of
opposition among the residents.
The protest made the news headlines, drawing the
attention of the general public to this problem. Pressure
movements grew to such an extent that the German
government had to assign a new agency to take charge
of the matter to placate the opposition. But villagers in
nearby communities had been affected by the depreciation of their properties and the risk of radioactive decay
contaminating water sources, especially if the authorities tried to extract nuclear substances by diluting the salt
in the mine with water. In a worst case scenario, there
might be contamination within two years. But the residents expect contamination to occur certainly within the
next 30 years.
Currently the management and care of the ASSE II
comes under an agency called Landesamt fur Bergbau
und Geologie (LBEG) or State Office for Mining, Energy
and Geology, which has been mandated by the German
government to solve the problem of water seeping into
the salt mine.
The short-term solution to the problem is to pour
concrete into the cracks in the salt rock in order to stop
top layers of salt from sinking further. However, nobody
knows for how long this short-term solution will be able
to keep the problem at bay. The agency is studying the
possibility of transporting nuclear waste out of ASSE II
before they are confronted with the problem of the salt
mine sinking.
Annette Paritz, an official from the radioactivity protection department under the Environment Ministry who
has been working on the problem of ASSE II since 2009,
said once the decision is made to move nuclear waste
somewhere else, the agency will have to face the big problem of how to manage safely the existing nuclear waste.
A more acute question is to where would the waste
moved because there exists not a single disposal site that
can store nuclear waste safely and permanently. Even
now, there is no way of speculating for how many years it
will take to solve the problems of water seeping into the
mine, and the removal of nuclear waste from ASSE II.
At present an estimated 80 million euros a year is
needed to implement the immediate solution. However,
to solve the problems in the long term by removing the
entire lot of nuclear waste from ASSE II safety would
require a huge budget, in terms of research, equipment,
manpower, and the transportation of waste. The burden
of these expenses inevitably lies on the shoulders of the
German government and people.
13
September
September -- December
December 2011
2011
on an unbeaten path
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14
- 2554
1.
2.
What is
Radioactive
Waste?
VA.indd 14
750
The salt mine at the depth of 750 meters.
3.
Classification of radioactive waste
1. High-level waste includes fission products
generated in the reactor core, radioactive waste in the
solid and liquid forms derived from the conditioning
of nuclear fuel, and other waste of equally high level
of radioactivity.
2. Intermediate-level waste is generated by
activities involving radioactive materials which sometimes require shielding, such as scrap metal and sediment resulted from treatment of liquid radioactive
waste, ion exchangers, and spent radiation sources.
3. Low-level waste is generated by activities
relating to radioactive materials in hospital or industry,
such as gloves, garments, and equipment made from
paper which are slightly radioactive.
All types of radioactive materials have different
half-lives, ranging from a split second to millions of
years.
Radioactive waste from nuclear
reactors
A nuclear reactor initiates a sustained nuclear
chain reaction. Nuclear reaction, known as fission reaction, is caused by neutron striking the nucleus of ura-
1/27/12 11:31 AM
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-235 -235
()
-235
(Critical Mass)
15
-235
3-5% -235 90%
(Control Rod)
-235
on an unbeaten path
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16
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(Spent Fuel)
(Neutron
Activation)
1 3
1,000 30
10
5-7
(High-level Waste)
1,000 100-600
3
1. (Dilute and Disperse)
2. (Concentrate and
Contain)
3.
(Delay and Decay)
VA.indd 16
Volume
10 cubic
Radiation
95%
70 cubic
metres
200 cubic
metres
4%
1%
Storage
Time required
for complete
radioactivity
decay
With shielding
and cooling
system
With shielding
>10,000 years
With or without
shielding
300 years
300 years
1/27/12 11:31 AM
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1,000 MW 1
HLW 10 ..
95%
>10,000
ILW 70 ..
4%
300
LLW 200 ..
1%
300
(Radioactive Iodine)
I-131 8
8
(Radioactive Caesium: Cs)
Cs-137
30
200 1%
a risk of mutation into thyroid cancer. Children are at
greater risk because they are in a developmental stage
and any harm to their thyroid affects their growth.
Radioactive Caesium (Cs) in the form of
Cs-137 has proved to be a headache for Japan at the
moment. Given its long half-life of 30 years, Cs-137
needs 200 years to diminish to 1% of the original volume. Twenty-five years after the Chernobyl nuclear
accident in 1986, Cs-137 contamination is still evident
in the environment not just in the surrounding areas
but also in many parts of Europe thousands of miles
away. In Germany, for example, hunted wild boars
were found with higher than legally acceptable level of
Cs-137 contamination and must be disposed of, and
the German government was forced to compensate the
hunters. In England, some sheep farms still have to be
inspected for Cs-137 to prevent contaminated meat
from being sold.
Cs-137 is a threat to the food chain. Because it possesses similar chemical property as common potassium,
17
..2529 25 -137
-137
-137
-137
-137
(Radioactive Cobalt)
Co-60
5
-60
. .. 2543
-60
18
-60
18 3
1 2 5 n
once consumed, the human body would mistake it as
potassium and absorb and store it in bodily tissues and
bone marrow, causing cell abnormality or cancer. A
high dose or long exposure could cause genetic mutation and lead to deformities in newborns.
Radioactive Cobalt (Co) is another by-product
of nuclear reaction. Taking the form of Co-60 it has
a half-life of 5 years and can release beta and gamma
rays, similar to radioactive iodine.
Co-60 made headlines worldwide in 2000 when
a radiation leak was reported in Samut Prakan province. A decommissioned medical radiotherapy source
was sold to a junkyard and dismantled for scrap metal.
A Co-60 source of the size of a flashlight battery was
inadvertently left in the junkyard for 18 days before
being retrieved by the Office of Atoms for Peace. No
radiation contamination was detected in the environment, but the incident led to three deaths, one abortion
as advised by doctor, two disabilities and five radiationexposed patients. n
on an unbeaten path
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9.0
17
5
(.) 5
10
(IAEA)
3
8 (
IAEA )
IAEA
2551
39% 10% 11% 8% () 35%
VA.indd 18
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Energy Crisis: Is
Nuclear
the Solution?
From Chernobyl to Fukushima
Maenwad Kunjara Na Ayuttaya
The Thai capital Bangkok, a city that never sleeps, not only consumes more electricity than any other province in the country but more than that
consumed by the north, northeastern and southern regions combined. The 2008 statistics show that 39% of the total power supply goes to Bangkok
while 10% to the North, 11% to the Northeast and 8% to the South. The Central Plains (not including Bangkok), meanwhile, consumes 35%.
Picture from Wikipedia
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20
- 2554
. 2553-2573
(PDP 2010)
2573
11
24
39 20
6
1,000 (MW)
1 .. 2563 2
.. 2564
3 ..
2563 .. 2566
20
?
(.)
15-20
70%
.
2563-2564
2,000 MW 2563
1 316 MW, 325 MW,
730 MW, (Small Power
Producer: SPP) 168 MW 2564
2,000 MW
25%
2553
3.34 7.67
VA.indd 20
72.45
. 2554
(/) ()
117.4
2.46
26.9
2.88
55.2
2.56
122.5
0.67
50.5
6.16
15.5
11.62
70
2-10
60-85
5-6
80-125
10-13
40-70
3-3.5
100
.
(.)
1/27/12 11:32 AM
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21
() 25
The area around the Chernobyl nuclear power plant (in the background) in Ukraine remains deserted, 25 years after the worlds worst nuclear accident.
Construction
Electricity
Cost
Production Cost
(million baht/MW)
(baht/unit)
Nuclear
117.4
2.46
Natural gas
26.9
2.88
Imported coal
55.2
2.56
Large-scale hydropower
122.5
0.67
Fuel oil
50.5
6.16
Diesel
15.5
11.62
Small-scale hydropower
70
2-10
Wind power
60-85
5-6
Solar power
80-125
10-13
Biomass
40-70
3-3.5
: ?
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22
- 2554
A hydrogen explosion at the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant.
.
.
17
20-22 2549
2
. .
.
4
1 2551 - 2553
2 2554 - 2557
(Go Nuclear)
3 2557 - 2563
4 2563
1 -
(Potential Sites) 17
5 1. .
. 2. . . 3.
. . 4. . . 5.
. .
2550
(.)
VA.indd 22
1.
(Nuclear Power Infrastructure Establishment Plan:
NPIEP)
2.
(.) (Nuclear Program Development Office)
3.
(Nuclear Power Infrastructure Preparation Committee)
4. (Roadmap)
3 (2551 2553) 1,345
. 5
(Site
Selection)
(Thermal Power Plant)
19
.
(capital cost)
1/27/12 11:32 AM
- 2554
The main argument against renewable energy is
that solar energy is unavailable all day long while strong
wind is only seasonal. In addition, the cost of technologies for other energy sources, including coal, is high and,
because Thailand cannot produce the technologies on
its own, the cost is likely to be even higher. Even coal
which is competitive to nuclear in terms of cost emits
greenhouse gases and other pollutants, causing severe
environmental problems.
Such disadvantages cannot be said about nuclear
power, so the argument goes. Despite its high construction costs, output is consistent and stable because the
plants can be operated around the clock, and the energy
is clean. No other renewable power sources can totally
replace conventional fuels or nuclear energy. This is
because the output of alternative energy is not as stable
or consistent as oil and nuclear power which are base
power sources.
Without stability and consistency of production that
nuclear power provides, an energy crisis is a possibility,
and electricity prices will rise considerably.
Chanatip Tippayakul, nuclear engineer at the Thailand Institute of Nuclear Technology, a public organization, said Thailand has been conducting a feasibility
study of nuclear power plants, including the technical
and safety aspects, and in the process of selecting the
appropriate technology and construction contractor for
such power plants.
The choice of reactor will be determined by technical consideration, such as the size and capacity of power
plants, and operation capacity. The cost of power generation will also be taken into consideration. The final
decision will be based on the publics acceptance and the
plans consistency with the countrys energy policy.
Although nuclear power plants entails high construction costs due to the need to include more safety
equipment and stricter waste controls, the costs of fuel,
and reactor operation and maintenance are lower. This
makes the average generation cost over the life-time of
a nuclear power plant lower than that of other types of
power plants, Chanatip said.
During a seminar on
Nuclear Power Generation
attended by industrialists
from 17 countries during
20-22 July 2006, an EGAT
representative revealed
that feasibility studies
have been completed on
two targeted sites.
They are the cape
of Laem Thaen in
Pathieu District of
Chumphon Prov.
Dr Chanatip Tippayakul
7
.. 2521
Three Mile Island Nuclear Power Plant in Pennsylvania in the US
suffered a partial core meltdown less than seven months after it began
operation in September 1978.
: ?
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23
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24
- 2554
2553
/
Greenpeace volunteers participate in an anti-nuclear activity in Thong Ching Beach of Nakhon Si Thammarat province, 610 km south of Bangkok.
Thong Ching is one of the proposed sites for the construction of nuclear power plants. The sea here is known for its vast population of pink dolphins
(Indo-Pacific hump-backed dolphins or Sousa chinensis). Athit Perawongmetha/Greenpeace
..
(.)
70% 1
3
IAEA 19
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
VA.indd 24
..
30
2509
. . 600 MW
30%
LNG (Liquid Natural
Gas)
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.
16.
17.
18.
19.
1/27/12 11:32 AM
- 2554
In Chanatips view, all five sites fit the key selection
criteria in the initial study. They meet benchmarks on
safety, environmental impacts, and economic suitability, that is, the sites do not sit on fault lines and are geographically appropriate without any risk of earthquakes,
volcanoes, or floods from rivers or the sea. Moreover, the
sites have no record of severe weather conditions, nor
are they densely populated. They are easily accessible
and located near large water sources for cooling purposes
similar to thermal power plants in general.
Upon government approval for the construction of
nuclear power plants, work can take off. However, there
must be studies and preparation work in compliance
with a list of 19 items specified in the standards of the
International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA).
Chanathip insisted that Thailand stands to gain
from nuclear power plants in several respects , including
energy stability and climate change mitigation, because
the plants will emit no greenhouse gases and produce
high electricity output from small quantity of fuel which
yields a relatively small amount of waste. Notably, the
nuclear energy cycle can be developed further to derive
additional benefits.
However, he admitted that the initial capital cost
for nuclear power plants is higher than for other energy
installations. This is due to the need to take great care
about plant design, materials and equipment, and systems for the management and storage of nuclear waste
to ensure maximum safety both during normal operation
and emergency situation.
Nuclear power is an option. The question is
whether the public can accept that nuclear power is a
good option when the country faces an energy crisis. We
need to consider the different sources of energy, whether
alternative sources are adequate and affordable. The
most challenging issue with regard to nuclear power is
the public acceptance.
It is high time for the Thai people to take part in
making
this decision, said Dr. Chanathip, adding that if Thais
can overcome their fear,
nuclear technology is
very safe compared
with other industries.
..
Assoc Prof
Pricha
Karasuddhi
: ?
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26
- 2554
2,400 MW
.. 2521 30
16
..
3
IAEA:
3
19
..
IAEA
3
1.
()
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
1
IAEA 8
1.
2.
3.
/
4.
VA.indd 26
Global Nuclear
Safety Regime
5.
6.
IAEA
7. (Material
Balance Area) (Locations Outside
Facilities)
MBA
IAEA
8. (.)
:
IAEA
8 2554
1/27/12 11:32 AM
- 2554
Whether or not Thailand will go forward with
nuclear energy depends on the governments policy. Is
Thailand ready for nuclear power? We have conducted
preliminary studies over the past three years. The power
plants that we will build will have new technology that is
much safer than the older technology which has caused
problems in Japan. We must trust that Thailand can
operate it. After all, all nuclear plants are subject to the
worlds standard set by the IAEA, not to any standard set
by any one country, he said.
The study and preparation for the project has been
ongoing for three years. But now it has been interrupted.
The IAEA has not approved Thailands report of 19 preparatory activities because the government has yet to give
plant construction a go-ahead which is the main problem. The government should put nuclear power plants
on the national agenda, not only as part of the energy
: ?
VA.indd 27
27
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28
- 2554
73%
20
40%
30
2563 2,000 MW
30%
100%
100%
VA.indd 28
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- 2554
29
:
2010 (PDP 2010)
360,000
Million kWh
320,000
280,000
240,000
200,000
160,000
7%
5%
7%
5%
6%
5%
7%
6%
8%
6%
13%
6%
13%
6%
14%
6%
3%
6%
6%
6%
14%
15%
16%
6%
6%
17%
6%
6%
8%
11%
6%
6%
17%
17%
18%
10%
6%
10%
6%
80,000
40,000
0
66%
64% 64%
64%
62% 59%
8%
11%
9%
11%
10%
10%
11%
12%
11%
10%
10%
9%
9%
9%
58%
54%
11%
10%
11%
12%
8%
8%
8%
7%
Renewable Energy
18%
19%
19%
39%
39%
30%
20% 21%
47%
46%
45%
43%
44%
13% 13%
15% 14%
13%
17%
16%
19%
6%
5%
4%
4%
4%
7%
6%
Heavy Oil
Power Import
Natural Gas
3%
2%
Imported Coal
Lignite
Hydro
: ?
VA.indd 29
6%
49% 48%
7%
6%
2553 2554 2555 2556 2557 2558 2559 2560 2561 2562 2563 2564 2565 2566 2567 2568 2569 2570 2571 2572 2573
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Nuclear
59% 59%
6%
11%
18% 18%
120,000
68%
12%
11%
1/27/12 11:32 AM
30
- 2554
A Different Perspective
... Security, Clean, Cheap
70
3
(baseload plants)
,
,
2.5
2550
VA.indd 30
A Shaky Line
of Reasoning?
1/27/12 11:32 AM
- 2554
2010
2010
(MEE Net) 10
.. 2541 2542
2551 2554
(Installed Capacity)
.. 2554 15% 3,738
(MW) 28
20
830 MW/
2010
15 20
5
[](
)
31
. ()
.
.. 2006
Decharut Sukkumnoed
in areas targeted for the construction of nuclear power
plants.
The opponents question the forecast of future
demands for electricity cited in the the governments
Power Development Plan 2010 (PDP) which they see
as a questionable attempt to justify the need for nuclear
power plants in Thailand.
For the past 10 years, Thailand has faced problems
in predicting electricity demands because the forecast has
not corresponded with real circumstances in society, says
Witoon Permpongsachaoren, director of the Mekong
Energy and Ecology Network (MEE Net). Among factors
in the discrepancy is the decrease of maximum usage of
electricity during the countrys financial crash in 1998
and 1999 and the falling demands in 2008 and 2011.
For the past 20 years, he says, the maximum usage
of electricity in Thailand has not been greater than 830
megawatts (MW) a year on average. The excessive power
reserves subsequently have caused people to bear huge
financial burdens worth several billions of baht.
Even this year, he adds, electricity generating capacity, known as installed capacity, is more than the requirement of 15% in reserve by 3,738 MW), or the equivalent
of electricity produced by 28 Pak Moon dams.
Witoon also has his doubts about the the states
VA.indd 31
1/27/12 11:32 AM
32
VA.indd 32
- 2554
. US Congressional Budget
Office
.. 2551 75
3
0.94 /MW (
33 /MW) 3.0 /MW (105
/MW)
Keystone Center
.. 2007
8.311.1 / ( 2.93.9 /)
12-17 / (4.2-6.0 /
)
96.2 (3.4
) 38
2553
/
More than a hundred people representing communities opposed
to nuclear power together with crew from the Greenpeace flagship
Rainbow Warrior place windsocks to form the shape of a pink dolphin,
next to a banner reading Unplug a nuclear future, in Thong Ching
Beach, Nakhon Si Thammarat province in September 2010.
Athit Perawongmetha/Greenpeace
1/27/12 11:32 AM
- 2554
33
.. 2008
75 .. 1966-1986 12
1980
2006
2 .. 2007 3 .. 2008
.
2010
IPP (Independent Power Producers) .
2010
15
20
1.2
20%
50% 25% 25%
10%
VA.indd 33
1/27/12 11:32 AM
34
- 2554
3
.
1,000
150,000
.. 1990
30
government remove plans to have more Independent
Power Producers, or to build more coal-fired power
plants and nuclear power plants. He reasons that the
country does not need such a large amount of electricity. The maximum demands for electricity have so far
decreased while the national electricity reserves are still
above the 15% requirement.
In 20 years, he adds, renewable energy is expected
to be cheaper than nuclear energy. Therefore the government should support more uses of renewable energy,
especially wind and sun. With these energy sources,
Thailand has a potential to produce up to 12,000 MW
of electricity without any need to rely on nuclear power
plants.
Thailand can also secure its power supply by promoting electricity conservation among people more seriously, he says. Currently the industry sector is the largest
consumption group accounting for half of the national
electricity usage while commercial buildings and households consume 25% each. If all sectors can reduce consumption by 10%, which is still less than the 20% target
set by the government, there will be no need to build
nuclear power plants.
Besides, there are many small private electricity producers wanting to sell several thousand megawatts of
electricity to Egat, making it hard to imagine Thailand
will face electricity shortage.
Dont worry that we will not have enough electric-
VA.indd 34
(enrichment)
ity for our future growth, Decharut says. What we
should do is to conserve electricity and use more renewable energy.
Santi Chokechaichamnankij, of the Alternative
Energy for Sustainability, echoes Decharuts comment
on the dim future of nuclear power plants. He says since
western countries allowed for free competition of electricity production in 1990, nuclear power plants operating under such market conditions have struggled unsuccessfully. Consequently, there have been no new plants
in western Europe, says Santi. In the US, he has not
heard news of nuclear power plant construction for the
past 30 years.
Many European countries look at social and economic dimensions when they are considering the merits of nuclear power plants. In Denmark, Santi says, a
nuclear power plant is viewed as an option that causes
social injustice between people who take benefits from its
electricity and those who have to bear risks due to living
near the plant. The Austrian government decided not to
build one after a public referendum rejected this technology. In other countries such as Germany, plans to close
and remove nuclear power plants have been included in
election campaigns and legislation processes.
In Santis view, the nuclear power plant industry is
on the downhill. New orders for nuclear reactors have
greatly decreased; nuclear technology firms are struggling for survival and their production lines are approach-
1/27/12 11:32 AM
- 2554
35
. . -
Small squid fishing boats at rest in an inlet of Ban Bang Chak in Pathiu
district of Chumphon province are equipped with energy-saving light
bulbs which are essential for drawing squids. Local fisher folks are
years ahead of their city counterparts in their awareness of energy
efficiency which leads directly to revenue saving.
40 50
16%
39%
279
16
278
80%
VA.indd 35
1/27/12 11:32 AM
36
- 2554
2010
70 1,000
25
4,000
9
VA.indd 36
being told to sacrifice their ways of living, environment and local resources, he says. But for whose
interests?
Santi does not believe nuclear power plants will
be the answer to Thailands national electricity security. The Energy Ministrys and Egats claim that this
country needs nuclear power plants because of the
decreasing reserves of natural gas is made without
well-rounded assessment. He wonders what the government will do if a 1,000-MW nuclear power plant
stops working one day. How many other power plants
will be needed to replace the troubled one?
In terms of safety, Santi reminds the government of the tragedy of the Chernobyl plant accident
in Ukraine 25 years ago. The number of deaths and
injuries are reported at 4,000 people, but an unofficial
survey indicates there may be up to 900,000 people
facing long-term impacts of nuclear pollution from
the plant. These people have been forgotten and no
one has taken responsibility to help them, Santi says.
The meltdown of nuclear reactors after the tsunami attacked Fukushima Prefecture in Japan early
this year may be even worse than the Chernobyl accident, Santi adds.
Nuclear accidents have continued to happen,
but the news about them has been rarely reported
in Thailand, he says. If such accidents occur here,
who can bear the responsibility? n
1/27/12 11:32 AM
- 2554
37
2
5
?
625 -2,500
5
1,000
140-150
IAEA
Justice and
Sustainability
What Communities
Ask for
. .
VA.indd 37
1/27/12 11:32 AM
38
- 2554
()
. .
. .
10
1 .
11 .
4-5 1,000
240 6
Besides, can they believe in the authorities suggestion that under normal circumstances, the operation of
a nuclear power plant will not release into the environment radioactive materials that exceed the amount permitted by the IAEA, and hence will pose no danger to
the community, the environment, fishery, or agriculture?
These communities seem to have been given only positive information about the proposed nuclear power plant
but provided no data on other effects that such an installation may bring.
And there are many more questions.
But topmost in everyones minds are these: in the
event of an accident similar to that in Japan, how will the
authorities in Thailand manage, and what will happen to
local communities?
Individuals representing communities living less than
10 kilometers apart Paknam Lamae, Lamae District,
Chumporn Province, and Khanthuli, Tha Chana District,
Surat Thani Province voiced concern for the changes
they expect the proposed plant to bring to agriculture,
fishery, and a potentially strong coastal tourism business.
Samnao Kotchadej, a fisherman from Mu 1, Tam-
3
. . 50
300
Villagers spend free time looking for undulated surf clams (Paphia
undulate) on Khanthuli Beach which connects three tambons or
subdistricts in Thachana district of Surat Thani province and includes
a 50-rai fertile mangrove forest. The sea here is a major fishing area for
hundreds of families with over 300 boats.
VA.indd 38
1/27/12 11:32 AM
- 2554
39
()
.
Chamnan Kongsaeng (right) is steering his boat during a routine
inspection of the giant clam conservation area in the sea off Pathiu
district of Chumphon province.
1-2
3-5
10
. . .
(
1,643 )
30
( )
VA.indd 39
1/27/12 11:32 AM
40
VA.indd 40
- 2554
10
Chondarong Thongsong
1- 2
2010 ( .. 25532573)
(GRP: Gross Regional Product) 2552
362,428 8.5
ecology, a main component of Thailands food prosperity, are only part of the natural resource and economic
profile of this area. According to the Bank of Thailand,
the southern regions Gross Regional Product (GRP) in
2009 was worth 362,428 million baht or 8.5% of the
Gross Domestic Product. Although the main products in
this region are rubber and oil palm, fishery accounts for
29.9% of its GRP.
Vivek Amatavet, coordinator of the Rak Lamae
Network, says the coastal area linking Chumphon and
Surat Thani is 412 kilometers long with 42 districts situated on the coast.
Southerners are quite alarmed by the possibility of
a power plant being installed in this area. We are content
with the way we live. Chumphons 200,000 rai of coastal
area is priceless with its coral reef, sea grass and many
tourist attractions. We have rubber and palm oil generating 1,700 million baht in annual income. Wouldnt you
want to protect this way of life? he said.
To whom should we make sacrifices? Electricity
generation is a monopoly. The authorities are not telling
the truth about FT (fuel tariff charge). The PDP forecasts (of power use) were never accurate. We dont trust
the monitoring system. Today, Chumphon can produce
surplus electricity for our own consumption. The entire
southern region needs 1,880 megawatts, so for whom is
the nuclear power plant, us or the investors?
Chantachote Pusilp, recognized by Khanthuli villagers as a local scholar, points to the adverse impacts
on agriculture. He said vapor emissions from the power
1/27/12 11:32 AM
- 2554
29.9 GRP
Vivek Amatavet
412 42
2
1,700
1,880 MW
41
Chantachote Pusilp
( )
3,000
2
14 5
Oil palm, rubber, crabs, squids, undulated surf clams, fish all these have given the people of Khanthuli a consistent and stable income.
in Thailand could not instill much confidence. The construction of dams, altogether covering over two million
rai, as the national symbol of development, has rooted
out more than 20,000 families. Even now most of them
still live in hardships. We have seen many clear examples. Thailand needs development in many other aspects
without going so far as to build nuclear power plants,
Chantachote said.
Today, opposition to nuclear power plants has
grown even more intense, especially from people living
in the 14 areas surveyed and the five locations that have
been selected as potential project sites.
These people have raised questions about injustices
in the distribution of resources. They pointed in particular to the differences in electricity demands. While
VA.indd 41
1/27/12 11:32 AM
42
- 2554
20%
63% 17%
(Fission Reaction)
(Chain Reaction)
The Anatomy of a
Nuclear Power Plant
The basic principle behind a nuclear reactor is simple: the heat
produced by a controlled nuclear fission chain reaction is used
to create steam pressure that drives a power-generating turbine.
But the technology required to implement this principle efficiently and safely is enormously complex. The chain reaction, once
achieved, will be sustained until the fuel is exhausted, and the fission
reaction must be maintained at the correct rate and quickly adjusted
or stopped when necessary. Water temperature and pressure must be
carefully controlled. Elaborate, redundant cooling systems are needed
to guard against the possibility that the nuclear fuel will overheat and
start to melt.
Different reactor designs approach these requirements in different ways, each with its advantages and disadvantages.
VA.indd 42
1/27/12 11:32 AM
- 2554
(light water)
(heavy water)
1. (Pressurized Water
Reactors)
VA.indd 43
43
CANDU
(Canada Deuterium Uranium Reactor)
electricity. In event of an accident, nuclear power plants need water to
remove the decay heat produced by the reactor core and also to cool the
equipment and buildings used to provide the cores heat removal.
Two modes of cooling are used to remove the waste heat from
electrical generation: once-through cooling and closed-cycle cooling.
In the once-through cooling system, water from the nearby lake,
river or ocean flows through thousands of metal tubes inside the condenser. Steam flowing through the condenser outside the tubes gets
cooled down and converted back into water. The condensed water is
re-used by the plant to make more steam. The water exits the condenser
tubes warmed up to 16.7C (30F) higher than the temperature of that
water body from where it came.
In the closed-cycle cooling system, cooling works in the same
fashion as the once-through cooling system, except instead of water
exiting the condenser tubes flowing to the original water body, it flows to
a cooling tower. Air moving upward past the water spraying downward
inside the cooling tower cools the water. The water collected in the cooling tower basin is pumped back to the condenser for re-use.
An open cone-shaped cooling tower often indicates a nuclear
power plant employing this type of cooling system. While it is a closed
system, a certain volume of water is lost as water vapor that is carried
away by the air leaving the cooling tower. Water from the nearby lake,
river, or ocean is needed to make-up for the loss.
As mentioned, nuclear power plants need huge volumes of water
for cooling. It has been estimated that for a typical 1,000 megawatt (MW)
nuclear power reactor, if the differential temperature passing through
the condenser is 16.7 C, it will need approximately 1,803,750 liters
(476,500 gallons) of water per minute. If the temperature rise is limited
to 11C (20F), the cooling water need rises to 2,705,600 liters (714,750
gallons) per minute.
The differential temperature of water discharged into natural water
sources is specified in the rules and laws governing the operation of
nuclear power plants, which may be different according to the condition
of individual water body. This is to prevent excessive damage to the
ecosystem and fauna and flora of the water source.
Nuclear power plants need more water than other types of power
plants. Without good management, the abundance of water source could
be put in danger as large numbers of young aquatic beings are pumped
into the condenser together with the cooling water.
1/27/12 11:32 AM
44
- 2554
(once-through cooling)
30 ( 16.7 )
(closed-cycle cooling)
1,000
16.7C 1,803,750
11C
2,705,600
If cost were the only factor in the decision, nearly all nuclear power
plants would feature once-through cooling systems because pumping
vast amounts of water through the condenser is usually the cheapest
option. Closed-cycle cooling systems are used when the nearby water
source lacks sufficient water volume to allow the large flow rate needed
for once-through cooling or when environmental limits on thermal pollution dictate that waste heat be rejected to the air and not just to the
body of water.
While the closed-cycle system uses less make-up water than the
once-through system, the volume of water used is not negligible. Thats
because water is needed to compensate for the water vapor leaving the
cooling towers with the cooling air flow. Water must also be discharged
from closed-cycle cooling systems in order to control the chemistry of
the recycled water and to limit the build-up of sediment and other debris
in the cooling tower basins. At the Susquehanna nuclear plant in the
USs State of Pennsylvania, its two reactors need about 155 million liters
of water to make up for the vapor loss and the discharge to the river to
reduce chemicals and sediments accumulating in the cooling system.
In addition to using water as coolant, nuclear power plants also
take water from the nearby lakes, rivers, and oceans to cool other
equipment, such as the chillers for air conditioning units, lubricating
oil coolers for the main turbine, after-coolers for air compressors, and
heat exchangers for closed-loop cooling systems. This so-called service water system never stops operating even when the reactor is shut
down for refueling or maintenance. After cooling these components, the
heated water is returned to the nearby source.
VA.indd 44
(Susquehanna)
155
10 (16 .)
50 (80 .)
n
Site Requirement for Nuclear Power
The American Nuclear Society states in one of its brochures that
compared to other energy options, nuclear power plants require far less
land area. For a 1000-MW plant, a nuclear power plant requires only 1-4
sq km while a solar park requires 20-50 sq km, a wind farm 50-150 sq
km, and biomass 4,000-6,000 sq km.
However, the siting of a nuclear power plant normally take into
consideration a wide area that is sparsely populated to prevent massive impact from radiation exposure in case of accident. This necessity is clearly demonstrated when the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant
suffered debilitating damage in March 2011. The Japanese government
was forced to declare an area within the 20km radius of the plant an
emergency zone and order all inhabitants evacuated. Later there were
calls for the government to expand the zone to 30km radius as radiation
was discovered in area far away from the damaged plant.
The US Department of Homeland Security says in a report that
local and state governments, federal agencies, and the electric utilities
have emergency response plans in the event of a nuclear power plant
incident. The plans define two emergency planning zones. One zone
covers an area within a 10-mile radius of the plant, where it is possible
that people could be harmed by direct radiation exposure. The second
zone covers a broader area, usually up to a 50-mile radius from the
plant, where radioactive materials could contaminate water supplies,
food crops, and livestock. n
1/27/12 11:32 AM
- 2554
45
: ?
(PDP: Power
Development Plan) 15
(.)
49% 21%
25%
5% 2550
VA.indd 45
1/27/12 11:32 AM
46
- 2554
2
, ,
2007 2 (.. 2551-2564)
24 2552
..2554 14
. . .
41
.. 2559-2564
2,000 (MW)
1 12 .. 2553
(.)
.. 2553-2573 ( 2010)
. 23 2553
VA.indd 46
calls for new power plants to be built some time during the years 2016-2021, including nuclear power
plants to generate 2,000 MW of electricity.
However, a year later, on March 12, 2010, the
National Energy Policy Committee approved yet
another plan to secure electricity for 2010-2030
(called PDP 2010). This plan was submitted to the
cabinet for approval on March 23, 2010. The difference between this and its predecessor lies in the extension of the time span from 15 to 20 years. In addition,
the committee suggested a review of the risks from
exploration for natural gas along the western shoreline that might require an increase in the contingency
power reserve from 15% to 20%.
In short, the PDP 2010 (for 2010-2030) requires
the following:
1/27/12 11:32 AM
- 2554
15 20
15%
20
1. (Combined Cycle) 20
15,870 MW
2. 13 10,000 MW
3. (Small Power Producer: SPP)
(Co-Generation)
6,844 MW
4. (Very Small
Power Producer: VSPP)
5,242 MW
5. 11,669 MW
6. 5 5,000
MW .. 2563
2007 2010
20
20
5
( 2007) 2
.. 2573
52,890 MW
30,845 MW 20 ( 22,045 MW ..
2552)
.. 2535-2549
568 MW/ .
.. 2550-2564
1,942 MW (Gross
Domestic Product: GDP)
2007 . 2550
.. 2551 23,957 MW
1,371 MW
() 4,400 MW
.. 2551
22,568 MW 18 MW
24
47
VA.indd 47
1/27/12 11:32 AM
48
- 2554
2553
23,900.21 MW 2010 .
24,568 MW 668 MW
1 (700 MW)
(Installed Capacity)
31,516.61 MW 32%
15% (
-)
(MEE Net)
2007
.. 2551 23,957 MW
22,568 MW 1,389 MW
..
2564 46,125
M W
2,833
MW
15%
VA.indd 48
1/27/12 11:32 AM
- 2554
31 2545 - 1,000
About 1,000 villagers from Ban Krut and Bo Nok of Prachuap Khiri
Khan province march from the Royal Plaza to the Government House
to protest against the coal-fired power plant construction project during
the administration of Thaksin Shinawatra in July 2002.
3,257 MW
2 2,000 MW
10
35-40
(Fuel
adjustment tariff: Ft)
(Incentive)
(Overcapitalization/Overinvestment)
.
49
VA.indd 49
1/27/12 11:32 AM
50
- 2554
(Return on
Invested Capital: ROIC) .. 2546
... .
.
24 2549
.
.
4-10%
.. 2535 .. 2540
3
(.. 2554)
2010 20
66,167 MW
31,349 MW
He pointed out that according to the PDP 2010,
Thailand must develop the capacity to generate
66,167 MW in the next 20 years. That figure is more
than double the current production capacity of 31,349
MW, requiring the country to mobilize resources to
generate another 34,818 MW or an average increase
of 1,740 MW per year.
Based on the actual power usage during the past
20 years, the forecasts have been grossly exaggerated,
Vitoon said. The demand for electricity during the
period had grown at an average rate of only 830 MW
per year, or about half of the forecasted figure.
Vitoon called for a new forecasting method. A
linear calculation, he said, would forecast a demand
increase of 16,600 MW over the next 20 years, with
the peak to be reached in 2030 at 39,092 MW. After
adding the 15% contingency to the total capacity, the
final figure would be 44,955 MW an increase of
13,606 MW or a mere 40% of the PDP 2010 forecasted increase.
If electricity demand in the next 20 years is calculated in this manner, he said, there is absolutely no
VA.indd 50
34,818 MW
1,740 MW
20
830 MW
20 16,600
MW 2573
39,092 MW 15%
44,955 MW 13,606 MW
40% 2010
20
20
12,000 MW
1,600 MW
( 5) 83
1
70%
15-30%
100 //
n
need to build more coal-fired or nuclear power plants
or new dams.
The Thai government currently has plans to
improve the efficiency of energy usage in the country
over the next 20 years with a target of saving at least
12,000 MW. If it is successful, then only an additional
1,600 MW needs to be found, and this can easily be
done by securing renewable energy and renovating old
power plants, Vitoon noted.
The government must implement measures to
increase the efficiency of electricity usage. For example, if the whole country switches to using T5 energysaving light bulbs, the economies gained from over 83
million bulbs would be equivalent to the capacity of
a whole nuclear power plant. More efficient usage
should be encouraged in particular in the commercial
and industrial sectors that consume almost 70% of the
electricity energy and have the capacity to save 15-30%
of energy.. And if new high-rise buildings observe the
standard energy usage threshold of under 100 units of
electricity per square meter per year, the entire nuclear
power plant plan can be scrapped, Vitoon said. n
1/27/12 11:32 AM
Special Interview
- 2554
51
n ?
?
( )
Assoc Prof
Motoki Akitsu
Motoki Akitsu is an associate professor at the Graduate School
of Agriculture of Kyoto University in Japan. His main interest is the
relations between place and livelihood in rural communities which
has taken him not only to rural areas in Japan but also in Korea,
Tanzania, Hungary and Thailand.
He has been concerned about the deteriorating agricultural and
fishing communities in mountainous areas, isolated islands and
peninsulas, whose traditional way of life has been
sustained by personal and communal bonds
in family and local community but which
is declining as a result of aging and
depopulation.
VA.indd 51
1/27/12 11:32 AM
52
- 2554
17,000 50
?
?
n
?
? ?
( )
( )
Soramame
24 7
/Panos/
Children and a teacher play card game inside the building of day nursing
school Soramame in Fukushima city. Since the nuclear accident, the
children can only play inside the school building to avoid radiation
exposure. The number of students has decreased from 24 to 7 as most
of them have since evacuated to other prefectures.
Noriko Hayashi/Panos/Greenpeace
30
n
?
n ?
VA.indd 52
1/27/12 11:32 AM
- 2554
53
Vendors sell locally caught fish at a market near Kuji port, Ibaraki
prefecture. Fishing communities along Japans east coast, already
struggling to recover from the tragic March 11 earthquake and
Tsunami, are now faced with further potential risks to their health
and livelihoods from marine contamination from the crisis-stricken
Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant. Greenpeace is working with local
fishing communities, to collect samples of marine life along the coast
to record possible contamination. Noriko Hayashi/Greenpeace
: .
VA.indd 53
1/27/12 11:32 AM
54
- 2554
...
Rianne Teule
60 . 50-60
/
Greenpeace radiation expert Rianne Teule checks crops for
contamination in a garden at Fukushima City, 60 km from the
stricken Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant. The vegetables showed
radiation levels 50-60 times more then the limits of food.
Christian Aslund/Greenpeace
n ?
n ?
?
VA.indd 54
2,000
31 2554
60 .
More than 2,000 Japanese and anti-nuclear activists from around
the world march on July 31 through the city of Fukushima, 60 km
from the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant to demand safety
review of remaining nuclear plants and an end to new builds.
Amarit Suwannagate
40-50
n
1/27/12 11:32 AM
- 2554
And there are pressures from bureaucrats and business communities. Governmental bureaucrats dont
want to accept rapid change and the economic power,
the big companies, they dont want to end nuclear power
development.
n What is the relationship between businesses
and the government on nuclear power? How do
they support each other? Does the government
regulate businesses effectively?
If the government doesnt have support from the
economic sector, it cant survive. So this new prime minister (Yoshihiko Noda) tries to take care of the economic
sector because the relationship between the former
prime minister (Naoto Kan) and business communities
had been sour.
About nuclear power, the cozy relations between the
economic power and the bureaucracy are remarkable, so
that the government cant regulate the electric companies in a resolute manner.
Anyway, the three-way relationship between the political and economic sectors and the bureaucracy was one
of the reasons why Prime Minister Kan fell out of power.
n Whats the greatest impact of the Fukushima
nuclear accident on the Japanese society?
I mentioned that Japanese dont like rapid change.
We think we have to change slowly, learning from the
disaster. People who live near the accident site including Tokyo are affected deeply. Most of those people get
along, being anxious about food and impact on young
children who are expected to suffer the most damage
from radioactive contamination. But people who live far
away like me could not imagine the reality of what happened. They cannot realize how much destruction the
area has suffered. Only those people who have friends or
relatives in the disaster area are relatively well informed
of the extent of the disaster.
So the impact on the people depends on how far or
how close they live from the accident area and what connection they have with it. Theres a big gap.
People are generally against nuclear power plants
but those who live far away from them do not have strong
feeling against them.
n The accident, the worst since Chernobyl, must
have huge impact psychologically and socially
on Japanese people.
I think both. When we cant trust nuclear power to
be safe, even if the technology is used for peaceful purposes, why not stop nuclear power? I think most people
think we should stop.
We have lost our trust of the government and scientists because right after the accident they failed to fully
inform the public of the real situation. They had the
information but they kept it from us. We severely criticize
such kind of paternalism prevailing in the bureaucracy
and the scientific community.
: .
VA.indd 55
55
1/27/12 11:32 AM
GUEST WRITER
from
Lessons
Fukushima
25
Santi Chokechaichamnankij
9.0 11 2554
Tsunami waves caused by a magnitude-9 earthquake sweep across the north and east coasts of Japan on March 11, 2011.
VA.indd 56
1/27/12 11:32 AM
- 2554
The damaged
Fukushima Dai-ichi Nuclear Power Plant after a series of explosions.
5
1 /
31 2554 Fukushima City
60
2,000
20 ,
,
20
20 30
1 / 20 /
7 (
1,600 ) 10-100 /
0.6 / (
)
57
VA.indd 57
1/27/12 11:32 AM
58
VA.indd 58
- 2554
1.5
3
30
20
20
1 ( 3
)
20
10
23
3 20
1/27/12 11:32 AM
- 2554
2-3
2
2
4
According to Kazuoki Ohno, an agricultural news
reporter who has closely monitored the situation, farmers in Fukushima were under tremendous stress, and
there have been reports of two suicides by farmers
affected by this catastrophe. Many villagers claimed
that that there were in fact more suicides, saying these
other suicides did not make the news because they did
not leave any suicide note.
Agricultural products from many areas such as
rice, vegetables and beef have been contaminated,
and their sales were banned. Fishery in Fukushima
and nearby provinces has also been seriously affected.
Radiation leaked from the power plant has ended up in
the ocean more than on land since the seasonal wind
is blowing seaward. In addition, over 11,500 tons of
contaminated coolant from the four damaged reactors
has been released into the ocean to make room to store
water with higher levels of radiation.
The case of contaminated beef reveals a complex
web of problems related to contamination of the food
chain. The kind of beef that is popular in Japan comes
from the native cows fed with hay according to the traditional Japanese way, which has created the business
of supplying hay as cow feed. When paddy fields are
contaminated, the control of hay distribution is difficult, and contaminated hay has been sent to many
places, which has resulted in widespread beef contami-
59
11,500
31 2554
VA.indd 59
1/27/12 11:32 AM
60
- 2554
(3 )
400
170 .
30
10
20-30
300
VA.indd 60
20 2-3
2-3
2-3
ment, hoping that the residents would make their own
judgment whether to take it to protect their thyroid.
Hideyuki Ban of the Citizens Nuclear Information Center said that information provided by the government was reliable but incomplete and not quite upto-date. This is the same in every country with nuclear
power plants. The people only have access to partial
information about nuclear, so they have to try to monitor the situation by themselves.
The governments information about foods that
were exposed to radiation was reliable, but by the
time the public was informed, the people had already
consumed those foods for some time. As for radiation
contamination,
the
gover nment
only announced the
numbers that
were over safety levels, but it did
not advise the public on how
to avoid the danger
of
exposure, Ban said.
Meanwhile,
evacuation
of people from danger areas
is influenced by
many factors,
Oka Ayako
1/27/12 11:32 AM
- 2554
20
20
(nuclear liability)
such as weather conditions, wind direction, etc. Some
areas outside the 20km radius around the plant may
actually be as dangerous as those closer to the plant.
As it turned out, the evacuation was extremely chaotic;
some unaffected residents were evacuated while others
in less dangerous areas were moved to more dangerous
areas.
What happened in Japan shows that, in a nuclear
power plant accident, even fully-equipped countries
still struggle with mitigation of the impact and it is
impossible to prevent widespread and severe damage
with long-lasting consequences.
The scale of the damage resulting from the Fukushima accident is evidently beyond the capacity of
TEPCO to take responsibility for. In legal terms, every
nuclear power plant project must carry nuclear liability
insurance. However, it is clear that the level of liability
insured is inadequate for a disaster of this scale. As a
consequence, the government must step in to shoulder
the responsibility.
In the Fukushima case, TEPCO is in the grip of
near bankruptcy. In addition, it is responsible for taking care of the six crippled reactors which requires several million yens. Initially, there was a split in opinions
within the government. One side suggested the government allow TEPCO to go bankrupt and subsequently
take over responsibilities. The other side, however, sug-
61
6
2
n
gested the government keep the company afloat, fearing that not doing so would create havoc in the Japanese economy. In the end, the government chose the
second option.
Thus far, there have been no estimates of the scale
of damage in monetary terms of agriculture and fishery. Then there is the impact on the peoples health
which will become more apparent in the future. The
question is how will Japan tackle these issues? n
VA.indd 61
1/27/12 11:32 AM
62
- 2554
BWR
(Boiling Water Reactor) 6
11 2554 4-6
1-3
1-3
1
1 2
8 4
1
1 12
3 14
2 15 ( 2
)
1-3
4
1.
2. 2,000
3,000
3.
4.
(suppression pool)
5.
n
VA.indd 62
1/27/12 11:32 AM
LITTLE Mahingsa
Award
of Pride
- 2554
Nuchanard Kraisuwansan
The journey that the young Mahingsa researchers take is not always a path of roses. It is an
obstacle course packed with unpredictable weather conditions and challenges as well as natural
disasters in some areas, but these young naturalists never give up. They turn crises into opportunities that drive them to overcome those obstacles
to reach their destination: being able to protect
the natural resources and the environment in their
communities.
Their journey that might take three, six or even
12 months has been, all in all, a memorable one in
which the young researchers play and learn together, developing life skills in the outdoor classroom
while searching for their fading historical roots,
local wisdom and culture and exploring the wonders
of their local natural environment. The reward from
these journeys for the little Mahingsa are the pride
of being able to take part in conservation activities and appreciation of the precious environment
which can lead to lifelong conservation efforts.
63
VA.indd 63
1/27/12 11:32 AM
64
- 2554
The young Mahinsa members smile with pride as they pose for a
group photo with their counselors and officials from the Department of
Environmental Quality Promotion after being presented with certificates
for their achievement.
2553
Young Mahingsa researchers pose for a photo at the end of the
ceremony to present them certificates of achievement for 2010.
VA.indd 64
19-20
... n
From one generation to another, this program has welcomed more than 2,000 Mahingsa
researchers and 200 counselors. Together they
take a journey with their eyes sparkling with a
sense of determination and dedication for common
good, without expecting anything in return. This is
the most wonderful aspect of this educational program deserving the support of Thai society.
During September 19-20, the Department
of Environmental Quality Promotion hosted a ceremony to present this award of pride to inspire
young Mahingsa researchers to continue their
work in nature conservation. There were activities
to promote learning and other skills among young
people as well as roundtable discussions for youth
representatives and counselors who shared their
valuable experience which could develop into further implementation and collaboration.
The door to the big wide world is open to all
of us. Dare yourself to step out and experience
the beauty of nature. Come join us the Little
Mahingsa researchers. n
1/27/12 11:32 AM
VOICEs of community
- 2554
65
Two young fishermen take their haul from the sea off Surat Thanis coast for sale at the market, unaware of a plan to build a nuclear power plant in
nearby area which could affect their livelihood.
vs :
14
. . .
5
5
5
VA.indd 65
Nuclear Power
vs Community:
The Two Irreconcilable Paths
Maenwad Kunjara Na Ayuttaya
1/27/12 11:32 AM
66
- 2554
1,000
50,000
Sodsai Sangsok,
left, holds a banner
protesting nuclear
power during a
demonstration
in the city of
Fukushima, Japan,
recently.
VA.indd 66
3
---
1/27/12 11:32 AM
- 2554
.. 2511-2514
36
1,966.5
40
2,299
900
150
1,000
Another location earmarked as a nuclear power
plant site is the northeastern province of Ubon Ratchathani. It was chosen reportedly because of its proximity
to a large water source from the Sirindhorn Dam and
the relative lack of resistance from the locals.
Sodsai Sangsok, the coordinator of the Thai
People against Nuclear Power Network in Ubon Ratchathani, is concerned about the negative impacts of
the nuclear power plant, citing past experience with
the construction of the Sirindhorn Dam during 19681971. The dam has a storage capacity 1,966.5 million
cubic meters of water, capable of producing 36 MW
of electricity.
Forty years after the construction, the problems of
the displaced villagers from their farmlands have not
been entirely resolved. To these days, there are still people demonstrating at the dam site to demand compensations even after the government have compensated
2,299 families under the Assembly of the Poor banner.
A problem currently faced by the Sirindhorn Dam
is that its stored water during the dry season normally
dips to about 900 million cubic meters, less than half
its capacity. The low volume of water is not enough
for the Royal Irrigation Department to irrigate the
second rice crops in the irrigated area that need over
150 million cubic meters. Every year, the RID ends
up having to stop distributing water right after the rice
was planted to prevent the water in the reservoir from
reaching the critically low level.
Sodsai warned that if the nuclear power plant was
built, there would not be enough water from the dam
67
to cool its reactor. That would mean the government
will have to look for other sources of water, inevitably
deciding on building more dams or diverting water
from the Mekong River.
Sodsai believes that the 1,000-MW nuclear power
plant planned for Ubon Ratchathani will lead to problems having to do with compensation and impacts to
the local way of life and the environment. She expects
the nuclear plant will cause even more severe impacts
than the dam as the Fukushima nuclear plant disaster
in Japan has attested.
She was concerned that the water in the dam
would be contaminated with radioactive materials,
which would greatly affect the farmers whose livelihood depends on rice farming, vegetable growing, fishery and livestock farming.
We must understand that radioactive materials
can spread far and wide through the air, soil, forest
and the food chain. Everything can be affected. The
locals livelihood here depends on harvesting natural
resources. If the environment and natural resources
are contaminated, their lives will be affected too.
Sodsai also warned that people living around the
power plant risk getting cancer and other diseases as a
result of prolonged exposure to radiation. In addition,
she was afraid that the power plant construction would
cause conflict among members of the communities,
and that many farmers could lose their paddy fields
and even lose the market because consumers might be
reluctant to buy produces from areas at risk of radioactive contamination.
VOICES OF COMMUNITY
VA.indd 67
1/27/12 11:32 AM
68
- 2554
An demonstration against coal-fired and nuclear power plants by
villagers of Lamae district of Chumphon province.
30 8,600
The villagers living around the Sirindhorn Dam
had already sacrificed their farmland, livelihood and
resources, not to mention their communities and families having fallen apart due to the dam construction.
Why should the nuclear power plant construction be
allowed to add to their suffering when most power users
are in Bangkok or industrial estates.
Sodsai added that a civic group called the Study
Group for Fair and Sustainable Energy had visited Ban
Hua Saphan, the village which has been earmarked
as the construction site for the nuclear power plant, to
disseminate information. Earlier, the Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand (EGAT) claimed it had
organized 30 forums to hear the villagers views and
that most of the 8,600 participants had agreed with
the power plant construction. However, the villagers
told the civic group that they were never informed of
the construction plan. All the power authority did was
distributing eye-glasses to the villagers and initiating a
number of community development projects. That
was all they did.
Sodsai claimed that the Ministry of Energy and
EGAT provided only one-sided information about
nuclear power, saying there is a need for Thailand to
have nuclear power plant and that it has no impact
whatsoever. Meanwhile, the villagers did not know or
have never been informed about the nuclear power
plant construction or related large-scale development
projects in their area or in the neighboring countries.
VA.indd 68
. n
Dr Chavalit Wittayanond, an aquatic life expert at
Rajabhaj University at Nakhon Ratchasima, pointed
out that while the diversity of aquatic life in the reservoir of the Sirindhorn Dam is not great, the heated
water released from the power plant, if it was built,
would affect the survival and growth rate of the fish
eggs and other aquatic life.
However, his main concern is the impact from
radioactive materials.
How can you guarantee that the coolant from the
power plant will not be contaminated with radioactive
materials, particularly when the quality standard and
workmanship of the Thai contractors are highly questionable? Even in one of the worlds most advanced
nations like Japan, when disaster struck, the leak of
radioactive materials was at a dangerous level. If the
water from the Mekong River is diverted to the Sirindhorn Dam for the power plant, it will greatly upset the
ecosystem in the region. But since I have not seen the
technology or the specifications, it is difficult for me to
say one way or another.
But if the money to be spent on a nuclear power
plant is used instead to support the development of
alternative energy sources, such as solar cell, biomass,
waste or other renewable energy, to produce electricity, we might well achieve better economic justice and
adversely affect the environment to a much less degree,
Dr Chavalit said. n
1/27/12 11:32 AM
GREEN INTERSECTION
- 2554
69
The Invisible
Costs and Risks
of Nuclear
Power
Decharut Sukkumnoed
VA.indd 69
1/27/12 11:32 AM
70
- 2554
.. 2550
(
.. 2550
2.08 /)
? (
)
70-80
VA.indd 70
To many, nuclear
energy looks to be a
relatively clean and
logical choice in an
era of increasing
resource scarcity.
Yet the record
requires us to ask
painful questions:
have we correctly
calculated its risks
and costs?
U.N. Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon (ABC
News, 2011. Nuclear Dilemma: Adequate
Insurance Too Expensive)
1/27/12 11:32 AM
- 2554
investment cost
3,000 - 6,000
.. 2546 MIT
71
2,000
6.7 /
2.00 /
MIT .. 2551
2,000 4,000
()
8.4
2.50 / (Du, Y. and J.E. Parsons.
2009. Update on the Cost of Nuclear Power, Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
MIT
Still under construction, the Olkiluoto nuclear power plant in Finland was
supposed to have started operation in 2009. The project suffers from cost
overruns, a typical problem of other nuclear power plant projects.
Cost Overruns
A main problem in terms of economics for the
nuclear industry is the question of design, which must
be particular to each individual plant, rather than a standard plan. This raises the costs of design and construction, and runs into problems of approval and management of the safety of each nuclear power plant, causing
a major delay in the plant construction, and unforeseen
costs that will follow.
The Olikuluoto-3 project in Finland is a case
in point. It was the first nuclear power plant in Western Europe after the disaster at the Chernobyl power
plant. At the time this was considered the flagship in the
nuclear industry, with electricity distribution expected to
kick into the system in May 2009. But the construction
turned out to be the opposite. After four years work,
beginning in 2005, construction was found to proceed
later than planned by 3.5 years, with construction costs
rising from 3 billion euros to 5 billion euros, or by 55%.
This meant that the costs had risen to US$4,000 per
KW. That raised debate in Finland as to who would be
responsible for these cost overruns.
Thats why Professor Stephen Thomas, an energy
policy expert at the University of Greenwich Business
Olkiluoto
.. 2552
Green Intersection
VA.indd 71
1/27/12 11:32 AM
72
- 2554
Olikiluoto-3
.. 2552
4 (
.. 2548)
3
3 5
55 4,400
(Stephen Thomas)
Olikiluoto-3
(John W. Rowe)
(
-)
)
(
-)
(
- ) ( BusinessWeek, Nuclears
Tangled Economics, 26 2551)
School, concluded Olkiluoto has become an example
of all that can go wrong in economic terms with new
reactors.
For this reason John W. Rowe, chairman of the
Nuclear Energy Institute, said the US badly needs new
nuclear plants to deal with the climate issue. But they are
very expensive, very high-risk projects.
Builders of the power plants, utility executives say,
are unwilling to commit to fixed prices set (meaning the
price agreed and advertised writer) and fixed schedules (which
means they dont want to commit to the time frame for finishing
the construction work writer). (Thailand BusinessWeek, 26
June 2008, Nuclears Tangled Economics)
Costs of Decommission
Another issue that is widely debated is the costs of
decommissioning a nuclear power plant. By decommissioning we mean the removal of a plant and the insurance that the grounds on which it stands holds a safe level
of radioactivity after its usefulness has expired. In general, an old nuclear power plant is operative for 30 years.
The newer ones can be at work for 45-60 years.
The problem is the costs are very high for decommissioning a nuclear power plant to a level that is safe.
VA.indd 72
30 45-60
70
480 ( 20,000 )
20
-137
-60
19 70,000
50
325
9,400
200-500
1,000 5
For example, the decommissioning of the Brennilis EL-4
power plant in France, with a capacity of 70 megawatts,
cost as much as 480 million euros (or almost 20 billion
baht). That was 20 times the costs estimated. Even so
decommissioning of this plant was beset with contamination of nearby water sources by plutonium, cesium-137
and cobalt-60.
In England, the authority charged with the decommissioning of nuclear power plants estimated that
removal and withdrawal of 19 plants might cost as much
as 70,000 million pounds. And the authority believed it
would meet with cost overruns. Therefore the authority
decided to stagger the removals, expecting to take more
than 50 years until all the plants are decommissioned.
In the US, electricity authorities estimated that the
costs of decommissioning nuclear plants should amount
to US$325 million, or about 9.4 billion baht, per nuclear
reactor.
Europe also estimates that decommissioning would
cost on average US$200-500 per KW.
All these pointers mean that if Thailand is to build
five nuclear power plants, each with a capacity to produce 1,000 MW, the country will have to prepare decommissioning costs of US$200-500 million or 6-15 billion
1/27/12 11:32 AM
- 2554
200-500 / ( 6,000-15,000 /
) 5 30,000-75,000
(
)
.. 2529
baht per plant. In other words, decommissioning of all
five would cost 30 to 75 billion baht.
The truth is the US and Europe have collected fees
from each nuclear power plant to make up a fund for
the decommissioning of the plants. But of late, the US
Nuclear Regulatory Commission found that the money
going into the fund is too low, inadequate for paying the
costs of decommissioning in reality. Europe found a similar problem.
Costs of Insurance against Disasters
The fiasco at Fukushima-Daiichi in Japan did not
only show the risk of using nuclear power. It showed
another flaw: the insurance system in place did not cover
the damages in reality. Thats because the plants did not
take out a policy on pubic disaster insurance. This leaves
the burden of compensation and rehabilitation (which
cannot yet be estimated) on the shoulders of Japanese
taxpayers.
In fact, this kind of incident has happened before
and still persists, that is nuclear power plants take out
policies that are far below the costs of damages that
might ensue. This is in order to reduce annual insurance
fees paid by the nuclear power plant.
For example, the accident at the Chernobyl power
plant in Ukraine in 1990 caused damages to peoples
health and the countrys economy to the tune of 7.6
trillion euros. This is a reference case for damages that
may occur due to other nuclear disasters. But at present
73
7.6
2,500 ( 100,000 )
0.03
4,700 ( 190,000
/)
7.6 (
)
35,000 1.5
12 0.008
/ 22 /
100,000 3.2
/ ( 145 )
nuclear power plants in Germany have been required
to take out insurance policies of only 2.5 billion euros
(amounting to 100 trillion baht) or 0.03% of the damages that may be incurred.
According to calculations by Dr Olaf Hohmeyer,
a professor of energy economics at the University of
Flensburg, Germany, for every trillion euros caused in
damage a nuclear power plant has to pay 4.7 billion
euros per year in insurance policy (or close to 50 billion
baht a year).
Therefore, if damages amounting to 7.6 trillion
euros are to be covered (taking the Chernobyl disaster as
a yardstick), each nuclear power plant has to pay insurance premiums amounting to 35 billion euros (or 1.5 trillion baht).
Hence, the saying: nuclear power plants will be feasible economically if they dont have to pay insurance
premium that cover all damages.
In reality, German nuclear power plants pay only
12 million euros or only 0.008 euro cents/electrical unit
compared to the electricity charge of 22 euro cents/electrical unit.
But if you want to insure the power plant up to 100
billion euros you will have to pay a premium of 3.2 euros
per unit of electricity, or 145 times more. Paying insurance commensurately would thus mean nuclear power is
a very expensive option.
Thats why several governments have to subsidise
nuclear power plants by letting these plants pay insur-
Green Intersection
VA.indd 73
1/27/12 11:32 AM
74
- 2554
(
)
375
12,600
3
58
91
228
1,000
1,800
4
ance lower than in reality. The governments or the countries electricity authorities would bear the remainder of
the liabilities.
For example, the US stipulates by law that each
nuclear power plant must pay insurance amounting to
$375 million. In addition, utility authorities have to be
ready to pay damages amounting to $12.6 billion in the
event of an accident. In other words, each nuclear power
plant has to shoulder only one third of damages that
might arise.
France, which has as many as 58 nuclear power
plants, requires each to have insurance coverage amounting to 91 million euros. The government pays an additional 228 million euros in coverage.
Switzerland has raised the insurance coverage for
each nuclear power plant from 1 billion francs to 1.8 billion francs, while state agencies estimate that damages
from the disaster at Chernobyl should be as high as 4
trillion francs.
From the difference between the costs of damages
that may occur in reality and the damages insured by
nuclear power plants, it is clear that nuclear power plants
survive by transferring the risks of public disasters to the
general public.
Not being able to adequately assess the costs of a
nuclear power plant project in the four important areas
is not the only problem. Options and the costs of nuclear
waste management is another major problem. It is clear
then why Ban Ki-moon posed the very important question of whether all the costs and risks have been thor-
VA.indd 74
n
.
tonklagroup@yahoo.com
1/27/12 11:32 AM
- 2554
75
Activities
of the Department
2526
()
Discussing biodiversity at the Sirindhorn International Environmental Park are, from left, Mr Patawi, Mr Smith, Director-General Pornthip, and Ms
Savitree.
VA.indd 75
1/27/12 11:32 AM
76
VA.indd 76
- 2554
15,882
70 184 241
2537
2 4,016.57
1/27/12 11:32 AM
- 2554
2,530.88
3 189.68
136.61 362.73
. 2550-2551
103 11
15 11
118
3
7 2554
77
lication of the handbooks. Joining her were Patawi Suksawat, deputy manager of the Dissemination and Training Division from the Sirindhorn International Environmental Park, and Smith Sutibutr, representing the
writers of the handbooks, with Savitree Srisuk, director
of the Environmental Studies Unit, moderating the talk.
The discussion was followed by a field visit along
the nature trail in the mangrove forest in the Sirindhorn
International Environmental Park to allow participants
to try out the handbooks.
It is hoped that the handbook set can be a testimony
to the success of the ecosystem rehabilitation of forest
and mangrove that are closely connected. The body of
knowledge and the invaluable biodiversity in the Huai
Sai Royal Development Study Center and the Sirindhorn International Environmental Park can serve as a
prototype for nature study for future replication. n
VA.indd 77
1/27/12 11:32 AM
78
- 2554
VIEWFINDER
t-w-m-c (www.stockarch.com)
A burnt tree in the Yosemite National Park, United States. Photo: t-w-m-c (www.stockarch.com)
VA.indd 78
1/27/12 11:32 AM
- 2554
79
. 2010
VA.indd 79
1/27/12 11:32 AM
VA.indd 80
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