:

1
. ,
.
. ,
P A , P B :
1) P A B P A P B P A B

2) P A P A 1

. :
1. A B P A P B .
2. A B A A B .
3. A B A B A A B B .
4. B A A B .
5.
12 .
6. P A P B P B P A 1 .
7. P A
P A B

1
1
, P A B .
4
3

8. P A 2 ,
P 2 5 3 , ,

1
.
2

9. P A P A , P A 2 P .
10.

, .
1
3

1
2

11. 0,1, 2 P 0 2 P 2 , P 1 .
12.

A B , P A

1
3
3
P B , P A B .
4
11
11
(A:5+B:8+:12=25)

.1

2
. ,
65%,
15%
95%.
:
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.

.
.
.
.
.

. , P A 0,3 P B 0, 4 ,
0, 4 P A B 0, 7 .
(A:15+B:10=25)

3
. 0,1, 2,3 .
. x 2 2 x 0
.
. , ,
, N A N B . P A , P B , P A B

4 x 3 3x 2 6 x 5 0 , P A B

(A:10+B:15=25)

.2

4
1
2

2
3

1, 2,3, 4,5 P 1 P 2 P 3
P 3 P 4 2 P 5 .
A. .
B. f x 2 x 3 1
2 f x

3k k 2 B k / f 2 k 2 5k 7 .
A k / lim x 2
x2

I. .
II. P A , P B , P A B P A B .
III. .
25

!!

.3

. .
. 1). ,
N A B N A N B N A B ()

N A B N A N B N A B

N A B N A N N A

P AUB P A P B P A B

2)

A A P A A P P A P A P A A 1
P A P A 1

A A P A A 0

. 1- 2- 3-

4-

5-

6-

7-

8-

9-

10-

11-

12-

. ={ }, P A 65%
={ }, P B 15% P B 85%
A B , P A B 95%

1. P A B P A P B P A B 65% 85% 95% 150% 95% 55%

2. P A B P A P A B 65% 55% 10%
3. P B A P B P A B 85% 55% 30%
4. P A B B A P A B P B A 10% 30% 40%

5. P A B 1 P A B 100% 95% 5%

. , 1) 0, 4 P A B 2) P A B 0, 7 .
1)

B A B P B P A B 0, 4 P A B .

.4

2)

P A B 0, 7 P A P B P A B 0, 7 0,3 0, 4 P A B 0, 7

0, 7 P A B 0, 7 P A B 0

. ={ x 2 2 x 0
}. .
0 4 4 0 1 ,
=2,3. ={2,3}, P A
3
4

N A 2
50% .
N 4
2
3

. 4 x 3 3x 2 6 x 5 0 x1 , x2 , x3

5
6
2
3

N A B N A N B P A B P A P B P A B ,
3
5
P A , P B . .
4
6
3 5 2 1
P A B 1 P A B 1 P A P B P A B 1 .
4 6 3 12

P 1 P 2 P 3 P 4 P 5 1 ..
. P 1

4
8
6 2
2
1
, P 2
, P 3
, P 4 , P 5
27
27
27 9
9
9

. i) ={1,2} ={2,3}

ii)

P A

4
14
2
23
, P B
, P A B , P A B
9
27
3
27

.5