Tali rafia 6 strings

1. Empirical probability X = success Y = failure

Outcomes: Trail 1 = success Trail 2 = failure Trail 3 = failure Trail 4 = success Trail 5 = failure Trail 6 = failure

Probability x = number of success / total outcomes = 2/6 Probability y = no. of failure / total outcomes = 4/6

2. Theoretical probablitiy There are 6 strings at both ends, any 2 ends strings are randomly choose and tied together. That means there are 15 (6C2) possible ways to connect them. First imagine the ends at top are all tied. For example:

a b c string d e fwith a, b, c, d, e and f. Label each

The top string are tied such that (a,b), (c,d) and (e,f). Then the 15 options that bottom strings tied are: ab,cd,ef ab,ce,df ab,cf,de ac,bd,ef ac,be,df ac,bf,de ad,bc,ef ad,be,cf ad,bf,ce ae,bc,df ae,bd,cf ae,bf,cd af,bc,de af,bd,ce af,be,cd (1 loop) (1 loop) (2 loops) (1 loop) (1 loop) (1 loop) (1 loop) (2 loops) (1 loop) (1 loop) (2 loops) (2 loops) (2 loops) (2 loops) (3 loops)

We can lose 7 of these which have ab, cd, or ef, leaving 8 out of 15. Probability to form 1 loop = 8/15 Probability to form 2 loop = 6/15 Probability to form 3 loop = 1/15