Year

Sales
PDI
PCE
Profits
2000.1
623000
1211
1890
120
2000.2
632220
1321
1888
122
2003.3
654000
1245
1892
124
2000.4
678900
1499
1990
134
2001.1
679020
1450
1976
135
2001.2
640040
1789
1938
130
2001.3
675420
1900
2002
134
2001.4
680200
1929
2003
136
2002.1
692020
1920
2404
140
2002.2
720920
1991
2203
142
2002.3
750280
1999
2244
143
2002.4
790450
1998
2220
146
2003.1
778950
2020
2348
140
2003.2
730330
2040
2203
142
2003.3
789220
2920
2230
150
2003.4
793260
2020
2380
151
2004.1
801230
2202
2450
152
2004.2
800200
2900
2500
151
2004.3
879300
2980
2480
157
2004.4
840200
2399
2940
153
2005.1
853770
2399
2399
154
2005.2
830330
2934
2933
152
2005.3
845660
2999
2939
155
2005.4
903030
3300
3020
160
2006.1
933330
3233
3222
161
2006.2
912340
3111
3152
159
2006.3
920020
3102
3425
158
2006.4
978020
3210
3122
180
2007.1
920030
3290
3456
122
2007.2
913450
3322
3245
101
2007.3
900230
3201
3212
100
2007.4
920100
3220
3156
111
2008.1
892300
3321
3177
109
2008.2
875040
3392
3461
108
2008.3
867000
3240
3456
107
2008.4
849000
3220
3224
106
2009.1
859340
3333
3112
99
2009.2
860400
3500
3442
101
2009.3
850300
3400
3329
97
2009.4
889030
3488
3520
92
2010.1
887630
3393
3402
93
2010.2
890200
3499
3155
95
2010.3
888990
3493
3429
96
2010.4
920200
3493
3420
102

Year

Sales
2000.1 NA
2000.2
2003.3
2000.4
2001.1
2001.2
2001.3
2001.4
2002.1
2002.2
2002.3
2002.4
2003.1
2003.2
2003.3
2003.4
2004.1
2004.2
2004.3
2004.4
2005.1
2005.2
2005.3
2005.4
2006.1
2006.2
2006.3
2006.4
2007.1
2007.2
2007.3
2007.4
2008.1
2008.2
2008.3
2008.4
2009.1
2009.2
2009.3
2009.4
2010.1
2010.2
2010.3
2010.4
2011.1

PDI

PCE

N/A
9220
21780
24900
120
-38980
35380
4780
11820
28900
29360
40170
-11500
-48620
58890
4040
7970
-1030
79100
-39100
13570
-23440
15330
57370
30300
-20990
7680
58000
-57990
-6580
-13220
19870
-27800
-17260
-8040
-18000
10340
1060
-10100
38730
-1400
2570
-1210
31210
-17366.23479

Profs

N/A
110.00000
-76.00000
254.00000
-49.00000
339.00000
111.00000
29.00000
-9.00000
71.00000
8.00000
-1.00000
22.00000
20.00000
880.00000
-900.00000
182.00000
698.00000
80.00000
-581.00000
0.00000
535.00000
65.00000
301.00000
-67.00000
-122.00000
-9.00000
108.00000
80.00000
32.00000
-121.00000
19.00000
101.00000
71.00000
-152.00000
-20.00000
113.00000
167.00000
-100.00000
88.00000
-95.00000
106.00000
-6.00000
0.00000
0.342058

N/A
-2.0000
4.0000
98.0000
-14.0000
-38.0000
64.0000
1.0000
401.0000
-201.0000
41.0000
-24.0000
128.0000
-145.0000
27.0000
150.0000
70.0000
50.0000
-20.0000
460.0000
-541.0000
534.0000
6.0000
81.0000
202.0000
-70.0000
273.0000
-303.0000
334.0000
-211.0000
-33.0000
-56.0000
21.0000
284.0000
-5.0000
-232.0000
-112.0000
330.0000
-113.0000
191.0000
-118.0000
-247.0000
274.0000
-9.0000
-153.648291

2.0000
2.0000
10.0000
1.0000
-5.0000
4.0000
2.0000
4.0000
2.0000
1.0000
3.0000
-6.0000
2.0000
8.0000
1.0000
1.0000
-1.0000
6.0000
-4.0000
1.0000
-2.0000
3.0000
5.0000
1.0000
-2.0000
-1.0000
22.0000
-58.0000
-21.0000
-1.0000
11.0000
-2.0000
-1.0000
-1.0000
-1.0000
-7.0000
2.0000
-4.0000
-5.0000
1.0000
2.0000
1.0000
6.0000
53.117374

Firstdiff pce

Firstdiff pdi
Firstdiff profs
Firstdiff sales

ar(1)
ar(2)
ar(7)
ar(8)
ar(9)
ar(10)
c
ar(1)
c
ar(1)
c
ar(1)
c

1.455763
-1.065949
-0.034027
-0.464449
-0.462778
-0.382793
1.455763
-0.476646
0.342058
-0.442884
0.060129
-0.558241
56.46682

Regression 2 variables
Firstdiff pdi
Firstdiff profs

d(firstdiff pdi)
d(firstdiff profs)

Forecast sales

-268771.4538

Average:

-143068.8443

25.43722
1752.076

423.3283