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The impact of capital structure on value depends upon the effect of debt on:
WACC
Feedback
to FCF
t 1
FCFt t (1 WACC )
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No taxes
The value of a firm is independent of its capital structure. Value depends solely on the level and risk of the firms cash flow VU = value of unlevered firm (no debt) VL = value of levered firm (has debt) and VL = VU = EBIT capitalized at WACC, since with zero growth reinvestment is zero; rsu and rsL are the returns to the stock of an unlevered and levered firm, respectively
EBIT V WACC
EBIT V rsU
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The cost of equity of a levered firm is equal to the cost of equity of an unlevered firm plus a risk premium which depends on the degree of financial leverage. Reductions in capital costs as a result of using more lower cost debt (rd) are exactly offset by increases in the cost of levered equity (rsL) due to added financial risk.
The WACC is equal to the unlevered cost of equity (rsU) over any range of debt levels, where rsU depends on the firms business risk.
Business
Investors Indifferent
Investors desiring a specific level of leverage can create it by borrowing in their own portfolio MM Conclusion: Capital structure can be viewed as irrelevant under very restrictive assumptions.
rsL
From Proposition 1
(2)
rsL
rsU ( S D) rd D S
D S
MM Proposition 2: No taxes
The value of an unlevered firm is equal to EBIT (1-T) capitalized at the cost of equity
VU EBIT (1 T ) rsU
The value of a levered firm is equal to the value of an unlevered firm of the same risk class, plus the value of the interest tax savings capitalized at the cost of debt
VL VU rd TD VU TD rd
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The cost of equity of a levered firm is equal to the cost of equity of an unlevered firm plus a risk premium which depends on both the degree of leverage and the corporate tax rate.
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rsL increases with leverage at a slower rate when corporate taxes are considered. The WACC continues to decline as new debt is added.
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rs
rsU
VU Debt
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Trade-off Theory
MM theory ignores financial distress costs, which increase as more leverage is used: Higher debt costs, including negotiation and monitoring by creditors (MM assume constant cost) Feedback to Free Cash Flow
Rejection of high risk but +NPV investments (underinvestment) Lost customers, suppliers, and employees Loan covenants, which constrain growth Investment in Capital (NOA) increases as lose trade credit Fire sales of assets to raise cash
Contradicts assumption of MM that capital structure doesnt effect operating cash flows
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Trade-off theory suggests optimal capital structure is reached at point where marginal distress costs exceed the marginal tax benefit from adding debt in the MM model.
Since these costs are only significant at high levels of debt, WACC could be relatively unaffected for many capital structures
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Trade-off theory suggests these types of firms will use more debt
Strong cash flow Low variability in cash flow Low growth opportunities (predictable funds needs and less risk of jeopardizing growth investments) Large size (safety and lower growth) Marketable collateral (less service or R&D intensive) Product not subject to ongoing maintenance/warranties, observable quality Profitable enough to benefit from tax shelter
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Problem is most significant in large firms with diffuse stockholders where management ownership is low
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The use of financial leverage: Bonds free cash flow for firms generating more cash than required to fund +NPV opportunities, reducing perk consumption and value-destroying growth. Increases free cash flow by forcing efficiencies: failure risk gets managers attention Substitute for other strategies: outside board members, stock ownership, large outside blockholders, takeover threat
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Signaling Theory
MM assumed that investors and managers have the same information. Where significant information asymmetries exist, stockholders assume: Company issues new stock when it is overvalued Bonds are issued when stock is undervalued Stock issues indicate lower expected FCF, unwilling to commit to increased debt service Leverage-decreasing events signal overvalued stock, and vice versa, supported by empirical data
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Firms will choose the following sequence of funding sources to maintain financial flexibility and avoid negative signals Retained earnings Maintain borrowing Excess cash capacity Debt issuance Stock issuance Evidence: profitable firms use less debt (surprise) because they can build more equity internally. Contradicts Trade-off theory which suggests high debt due to low default risk and need for tax shelters.
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Effect on sustainable growth: willingness to increase debt allows for higher growth rate now. Debt ratios of other firms in the industry.
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