) (

1

.
.
) (Iranian Seas Wave Modeling, ISWM
)(DHI

. 1992 2002
. SW Mike 21
.
) (set-up )(
.
EVA
.

2

.
21 Mike C-MAP

DHI 1:50000
1:150000 .
22 ECMWF

ERA40

) 1/125( ) Operational 0/5(

10 ) (U10 ,V10 ) (MSL pressure

) (land-sea mask 6 1992 2003 ECMWF

) (European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting ) ERA40 2/5

( 10 ) (U10 ,V10 1957 2001
6 .
23
ECMWF

.
24

) 1998/4 2000/3 ( ) 1995/2 1996/12 1999/3 1999/12
( ) 2002/11 2003/10 ( .
.
25 ECMWF

18
ECMWF ERA40 Operational 1992
2003 ) ERA40 2/5( 1957 2001
6 .
26

Topex/Posseidon 2000 1992 QuickSCAT

1999 0/25 .
27

.

3

Operational ECMWF


) 1/25 1/5 2000 1/3
( .
18 5 15 .
12 Cyclone Wind

Generation Mike 21 18
.

4
SW .
.
.

5

. .
SW 21 ) (set-up
.
51 )( )(

. 7717 4331 .


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52
300

.
53
25 . 0/55
1/1 .
16 22/5
.

6 )(

. .

61
4 5
1 .

1995/3/15 00:00

1995/4/10 21:00

*B

1995/5/5 00:00

1995/5/11 21:00

1995/11/15 00:00

1995/11/19 21:00

*D

2002/12/31 00:00

2002/12/10 21:00

1998/6/5 00:00

1998/6/5 21:00

)(

*F

1999/1/20 00:00

1999/2/7 21:00

*G

1999/6/19 00:00

1999/7/18 21:00

1999/8/1 00:00

1999/8/24 21:00

2000/2/16 00:00

2000/3/6 21:00

.
62
) (White Capping .

:
9 1 0/8
9 Nikuradse ) (dfs2
9 C dis Delta dis ) (dfs2

63
A 2
.
.
Buoy: Hs
][m
]Model: Sign. Wave Height [m

)Calibration A (Bushehr

2.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5

00:00
04-10

00:00
04-05

00:00
03-31

00:00
03-26

00:00
04-10

00:00
04-05

00:00
03-31

00:00
03-26

00:00
04-10

00:00
04-05

00:00
03-31

00:00
03-21

00:00
1995-03-16

0.0

Buoy: Tz
][sec
]Model: Wave Period, T02 [sec

6.0

4.0

2.0

00:00
03-21

00:00
1995-03-16

0.0

Buoy: MWD
][deg
]Model: Mean Wave Direction [deg

300

200

100

00:00
03-26

00:00
03-21

2 A

00:00
1995-03-16

7


.
.

. ) (Bias
) (RMSE ) (CC ) (SI ) (STEYX . 3
D
.
Buoy: Hs
][m
]Model: Sign. Wave Height [m

)Verification D (Asaluye

2.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5

00:00
12-30

00:00
12-25

00:00
2002-12-15

00:00
12-20

0.0

2.5

Bias = 0.02 m
RMSE = 0.20 m
CC = 0.86
SI = 0.33
STEYX=0.18 m
N.P.= 167

)Model Hs (m

1.5

0.5

0
2.5

1
1.5
) Buoy Hs (m

0.5

3 ) (D

2 .

 2
)(

)(

0/5

0/5

-0/06

-0/04

0/07

0/10

0/22

0/24

0/35

0/38

0/86

0/71

0/85

0/83

0/39

0/25

0/40

0/30

0/21

0/21

0/29

0/28

.
80 .

8
.
.

. 11
50 20 5 100
. EVA Mike 21
. 100 TGUM 4 .

.

3.
5
3

4.5

4.0

2 1.5

degree

3.0

3.5

4 .5
4

5.5

4.5

2.5

4.5

5.0

3.5 4.5

)TGUM/ML - Hs(m
Above 5
4.5 - 5
4 - 4.5
3.5 - 4
3 - 3.5
2.5 - 3
2 - 2.5
1.5 - 2
1 - 1.5
Below 1

5 4.5
3.

4 .5

3.5

6.0

2.0

2.5

1.0

2.0
degree

3.0

24 15' N
0.0
0.0
1.0

5
3
5.5

5
4.
4

4.5

4
3.5

3.0
degree

2.0

1.0
0.5

3.5

2.5

4.5

3 2.5

1.5

degree

2.0

3 .5

4.5

4.5
2

5.0

4.0

4.
5

24 0' N
0.0
0.0
1.0
3

5.5

2.5

4.

2.5

3 .5

5
2.

3.0

)TGUM/ML - Hs(m
Above 5
4.5 - 5
4 - 4.5
3.5 - 4
3 - 3.5
2.5 - 3
2 - 2.5
1.5 - 2
1 - 1.5
Below 1

3.5

4 100 TGUM/ ML

 9
T02 T01 ) (Wind Waves
) (Swell 0/125
) Iran Wave Atlas (IWA .