Professional Documents
Culture Documents
January, 2013
Index
I. II. Executive Summary Industry Overview
Financial Sector in India Structure of the Financial Sector in India The Organized Sector Important Milestones of the Industry Who Regulates the Financial Sector?
III.
Index
Mobile Banking : A Technological Revolution Key Challenges The Banking Outlook: 2013 & 2014 How and where will Foreign Investors make money? Banking Industry : A Positive Surprise The Industry in 2012 : Rising Profitability Snapshot of Credit Deployment by the Banks Soar Spot in the Banking Industry Loan Restructuring : Survival or Edge Global Rankings Global vs. Indian Banking Industry Key Trends Industry Snapshot Valuation Snapshot of Major Listed Players Bankex vs. Sensex
IV.
Index
V. Regulatory Framework
Macro Economic Factors that Drive Banks Monetary Policy Transmission Mechanism How Banks are Regulated in the System Current Policy Rates Major Banking Regulations & their Effects Changing Industry Dynamics New Banking Amendment Bill Regulatory Newsflash
M&A Deals Private Equity Deals Efficient Players of the Race Overview of Operations in India Top Foreign Banks vs. Indian Banks Growing Fortunes of Major Foreign Banks Foreign Banks : Fresh off the Boat Still a Long Road Ahead
VI.
Index
VIII. Listed Private Banks in India Common Stock Comparison Listed Players IX. Listed Public Banks in India Common Stock Comparison Listed Players
Financial Sector
Overview
Despite increasing risks both in domestic and global macroeconomic conditions, the financial system of India remains robust. However, the
- RBI
Industry Overview
Source: Mckinsey & Co., Leveraging the financial services sector as a growth engine for transformation, April 2012
The Indian system that ranks slightly below the median in World Economic Forum rankings has virtually re-booted since the still ongoing liberalization schemes started in 1991 The sector makes money available to various by parts of the economy such as agriculture, industry, infrastructure, services sector,etc. and helps them to grow. It also helps in transformation of the economy from an agrarian society to a service/manufacturing driven society The four pillars of a financial system laws, technology, creditors rights and corporate governance have all undergone and are still undergoing major transformations in India. Financial access and inclusion remain key challenges despite serious efforts and experimentation
10
Financial Sector
Financial services Banking Sector
NBFCs (Non Banking financial Companies) Capital Markets Forex Markets Asset Management Insurance MFIs (Micro finance Institutions)
The sector has important effects not only on the domestic economy but also on the global economy, thus it usually is the most heavily regulated sector by government
11
NBFCsretail, 5%
Foreign Banks, 4%
Source: RBI
12
Foundation Phase / 1948-1968 Government adopted the system of planned economic development Complex Interest rates Establishment of Banking Regulation Act, 1949 1985-1990/ Consolidation
1968-1984/Expansion Phase
14 banks in 1969 and 6 banks in 1980 were nationalized termed as First Banking Revolution Rapid branch expansion Retail lending to risk prone areas at concessional interest rates
Lack of professionalism and transparency in the functioning of public sector Series of policy initiatives taken with the objectives of consolidation of banks
The Economic liberalization of 1990 was initiated to ensure an efficient, competitive and mature financial market RBI gave licenses to new private sector banks as a part of its liberalization process Various guidelines (e.g. Basel rules, FEMA, FERA,LAF) were introduced Banking Laws( Amendment) Bill, 2011 passed
The Indian Financial system has expanded and acquired greater depth after the reforms initiated in early 1990s
13
Ministry of Finance (MoF) Controls and assists the financial sector of India Every year the finance minister announces the budget Also acts as a policy maker and regulates the financial sector
1GOI:
Regulator of the securities market in India Protects the interest of investors in securities Also regulates the development of the securities market
An Agency of the GoI1, based in Hyderabad It works on the guidelines of the IRDA2 Act, 1999 Safeguards the interest of the common man
14
Industry Overview
15
Indian banks have mobilized around 80% of funding from deposits, thus their ability to win market share profitably is key to stock returns
In todays scenario, Current and saving accounts (CASA) are the banks lifeline for profitable growth, but during FY2012 high interest rate choked them of such deposits, slowing expansion to a five-year low of 7% 2 Credit growth of the Scheduled Commercial Banks (SCBs) slowed down to 18.10%1 on FY2012, which was 22.90%1 in FY2011 on account of the slowdown of the general economy. It is expected that the credit growth in FY2013 will be in the range of 16-18%2 as there is increasing demand for working capital loans and refinancing of forex loans by Indian corporates The growth of total deposits of the (SCBs) stood at 14.92%1 on FY2012, Vs 18.31%1 in FY2011. The deposit growth is expected to moderate to 14-17%2 over FY 2013-15 with stable Net Interest Margins (NIM). NIM of SCBs in FY2012 was 2.90%1 on average In the present competitive scenario, Private banks are targeting the faster growing retail loans and also improving the growth rate in fee income by increasing transaction fees, where as Public Sector Banks are targeting to push for higher recoveries and upgrades in Non Performing Loans (NPL) and also improving their deposits mix by reducing the share of bulk deposits 16
Source: 1 Report on Trend and Progress of Banking in India 2011-12 2CLSA Research
17
18
Note: The figures in brackets represent number of respective banks as on 31 st March 2012 Source: RBI
Deposit Products
Deposits Saving Accounts Current Accounts Fixed / Recurring Corporate Salary A/C
Retail Banking
Wholesale Banking
Product Segment
Equities Derivatives Capital Market Debt Securities Foreign Exchange
Other Financing
Cash Management Statutory Reserve Financial Decisions Asset Liability Management
Treasury Banking
19
Source: CLSA
Source: 1Report on Trend and Progress of Banking in India 2011-12 2 International referred Research Journal, January 2012
20
Infrastructure Spending
250 200 +15% 158 180 231 204 138
($ Billion)
150 100 50 67 80
89
102
117
Infrastructure development, simplified FDI and Spending as globalization in Indian Companies are key drivers of % of GDP wholesale banking
Source: , 2011 Research 3Empowering SMEs for global Competitiveness
2Mckinsey 1 BANCON
8
5.2
9
6.4
10
7.2
11
7.5
12
8.4
13
9.0
14
9.0
15
16
17
21
22
Competitive Rivalry
NBFCs, Mutu al funds, Govern ment Securities and t-bills increasing rapidly
Large no. of banks Low switching costs High fixed costs High exit barriers
Banks have to meet many regulatory criteria, made by the RBI (fairly complex in India)
Provides homogenous kinds of services, so there is high chance that customers switch their banks
Political Factors
Economic Factors
- Monetary Policy - Regulatory Framework - Budget & Budget Measures - Changes in interest rates
- More savings - More Capital Formation - Increase in production of goods and Services - Banking Channels
Social Factors
Technological Factors
- Increase in population - Changes in lifestyle - Easy way of lending money - Exploring banking facilities in rural areas
- Internet Banking - IT Services & Mobile Banking - Credit Cards - Improvement in efficiency
24
Banks need to adjust their interest rates accordingly, which may or may not favor them
Banks are forced to lend as per the guidelines of RBI, that includes credit growth in all sectors
Dr. Duvvuri Subbarao, RBI Governor
Budgetary Measures announced by the government at the beginning of every financial year also lay down guidelines to banks to lend or accept deposits The government can also increase credit in particular sectors such as increase in farm credit, increase in infrastructure credit etc.(priority lending)
P. Chidambaram, Finance Minister of India
Sometimes the government gives debt waivers to certain sections of the society that need to be adhered to by banks as well
25
The growing population of India is a great opportunity for Indian banks as a lot of people in the country want to open a bank account and develop good savings habits
Changing lifestyle of the Indian urban population who wants easy ways of financing to their desires
27
28
Technology Innovation
29
Opportunities in Banking
Survival of
the fittestgood for the opportunist and bad for the rest, choice is yours
30
The total mortgages in the books of banks have grown from 1.5% to more than 10% of the total bank advances/loans in the last period of 10 years. The total ratio of outstanding mortgages, including the Housing Finance Companies to the GDP is 10%1 As per BCGs research, if by 2020, this ratio were to reach 20%, a number similar to that of China, then the mortgage industry can be expected to grow at an average rate of over 20% during the next decade. The outstanding mortgages are expected to cross Rs. 40 lakh crores by 2020
Singapore
Germany USA UK Demark
32
39 81 88 104
150
Going forward, wealth is expected to get further concentrated in the hands of a few. The top band of income distribution is expected to grow most rapidly over the next decade. By 2020, the top 5% house-holds, predominantly residing in the metros and Tier I cities, will account for 30% of the total disposable income. Wealth management services will be an integral part of the product portfolio for both private as well as public sector banks.
Source: 1Emkay
2BCG
31
India has a very low penetration rate of branches and ATMs as compared to some of the other developed and developing nations The number of ATMs has doubled in the last three years, reaching 99,218 ATMs in June 2012. The industry is expected to continue this growth and reach 200,0001 ATMs by 2016. As such, most of the new ATMs, 50-65 % will be deployed in tier 2 and 3 cities, while tier 1 cities will grow at around 20%
The Internet is widely used by all banking segments around the world to purchase financial services products By 2015, it has been estimated that the mobile banking transaction volume worldwide will reach US$500 billion. It is estimated mobile banking transactions in India will exceed 34 crores in 2015, resulting in cost savings of ~Rs 1,100 crore2
Source:
1 2
Mobile Remittances
Payment of Bills
32
Half of the debt finance for infrastructure today comes from banks In order to sustain Indias economic growth, the Planning Commission therefore envisages that $1 trillion (about 10% of GDP) will be spent on infrastructure during the 12th plan from 2012 to 2017
As per a survey conducted by FICCI, large customers are more satisfied as compared to the medium and small sized ones. Due to higher risk and lower ticket size, SMEs typically get less attention Banks are yet to create innovative models to serve SMEs with sufficient and timely credit at the right price
33
34
These ATMs use the finger print of the card holder or eye retina scan as a PIN for verification purpose Banks are more focused to put these ATMs in rural areas because biometrics makes it possible for the low literacy population to use banks
M-pesa is a mobile-phone based money transfer and micro financing service, which allows users with a national ID to use their money easily with a mobile Vodafone is expected to launch M-pesa in India, in association with ICICI & HDFC bank
Plastic money, cash cards, credit/debit cards and polymer notes will boom as the e-commerce space boom in India and people get used to the idea of carrying less cash Many cards have a micro chip embedded in them which makes it a transit card also
This technology will have a deep impact on the lives of professionals who believe in the life-on-the-go approach A user can have access to his/her bank accounts at a nominal cost and at a fast speed from anywhere in the world
35
36
Key Challenges
Introduction of BaselIII Norms Indian Banks will have to bring in an additional capital of Rs. 5 Lakhs Crore to meet the Basel III norms. The government on its part has to infuse Rs. 90,000 crore into the state-run banks to maintain majority shareholding under Basel III Basel III norms will be implemented in a phased manner starting from January 2013 (now pushed to April) 2013, to be implemented to the fullest by March 2018
Intensifying Competition
High competition due to a large number of players in the banking industry and other players such as NBFCs (less regulation)
Such competition in the industry has decreased the market share of the existing banks
Economic slow down and aggressive lending by the banks has turned loans into non- performing assets This has impacted the profitability of the banks as they are required to have higher provisioning amounts For commencing a banking business in India, a banking license from the RBI has to be acquired which has served as a associated protocol and formalities The last licenses issued were to Kotak Mahindra Bank and Yes Bank in 2003 and 2004 respectively (as Kotak Mahindra Bank was earlier a NBFC) Banks have to incur substantial employee costs as the attrition of the employees in this sector is very high
37
Increasing NPA
Licensing Requirement
M & M Finance
Reliance Cap Sundaram Finance
12,558.90
11,785.46 5,690.18
M Cap (Rs. in Crs.)1 Rs. 9,207.49 8,066.43 6,014.43 3,632.61 3,155.08 2,293.68 649.62 567.01
Entry of New banks, with the issuance of banking licenses has sparked the hope for M&A
In order to scale up operations rapidly, smaller private banks with larger distribution networks might be the possible targets of the new banks The potential targets may be Federal Bank, Karur Bank, Dhanalaxmi Bank, Lakshmi38 Vilas Bank2
capital as on 31st December, 2012 per news articles and DCA research
Sensex Sensation
On 18th Dec 2012, the BSE benchmark closed 111 points higher on continued buying of banking stocks after the Banking laws (Amendment) Bill was cleared by the Lok Sabha
The BSE Bankex index had outperformed the market over the past one month till 18 December 2012, surging 9.99% compared with the Sensex's 5.76% rise
FIIs bought shares worth a net Rs 922.37 crore on the same day, as per provisional data from the stock39 exchanges (BSE,NSE)
Refer Slide no 63
40
137,600 24% 229,800 39% 5,000 1% 93,900 16% Rs. 583,600 100% Rs. 277,100 47% 80,100 14% 41,900 7% 155,100 27% 119,900 21% 92,900 16% 93,700 16% Rs. 583,600 100%
Rs. 6,038,000 100% Rs. 1,677,900 100% Rs. 5,002,000 83% 384,400 1,214,000 3,403,600 461,800 218,600 355,600 6% 20% 56% 8% 4% 6% Rs. 1,174,600 70% 165,900 272,900 735,800 258,400 85,500 159,300 10% 16% 44% 15% 5% 9%
5% of the assets are held as cash and bank balances with the RBI, 27% are held in investment securities, 61% in the form of loans, resulting in a Loan/Deposit ratio of 79%
As the table above shows, the SCBs as on 31st March 2012, had total assets of Rs 8,299,500 Crores, the bulk of these (~73%) were held by the public sector banks which are dominated by the State Bank of India and its associated State Banks. The Private sector banks accounted for ~20% and the foreign banks for ~7% One of the Key features of the Indian banking sector is the high proportion of government securities held as investments. This stems from the SLR1 under which banks are required to keep holdings of high quality liquid assets (notably Indian government bonds are ~21% of their deposits in India). In addition to this, CRR2 requires them to keep 4.00% of their deposits in cash with the RBI
Source: Report on Trend and Progress of Banking in India, RBI 1 Statutory Liquidity Ratio 2 Cash Reserve Ratio
41
42
20%
4,297,487.50 3,496,720.00
5,074,579.30
Performance of the Indian banking sector during 2011-12 was influenced by the slowdown in the domestic economy. Consequently, balance sheet expansion of banks was lower than the previous year and profitability indicators like RoA and NIM dipped
NIM
Cost-to-income ratio (%) 3.50 3.00 2.50 2.00 1.50 1.00 0.50 2.90% 2.30% 2.17% 2.91% 2.90% 22.00
Cost-to-Income Ratio
21.00
20.00 19.00 18.00 17.00
21.00% 19.50%
20.00 %
21.50% 18.50%
NIM (%)
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12
43
Source: Report on Trends and Progress of Banking in India 2011-12
17.91% 18.69%
5.17% 4.79% Finance 175,600 221,800 Personal* 685,400 768,300
16.10% 16.73%
The bulk share of the credit portfolio is concentrated in the Industry sector i.e. ~ 31.40 % of the total non-food credit. A moderate rise of credit share (from 29.8% in 2011 to 31.40% in 2012) has been noticed
The share of Personal Loans is 17.91% of gross bank credit in 2012. A slight decrease has been noticed in the share of credit in 2012 as compared to 2011(18.69% of credit share) due to the sluggish growth of the domestic economy The share of credit to Financial sectors like NBFCs increased to 5.17% in 2012 as against 4.79% in 2011 The credit demand from the corporate sector was primarily driven by working capital requirements rather than by incremental capital expenditure and infrastructure Investments. Several projects became unviable due to increasing interest rates and rising commodity prices which reduced the demand for incremental loans
Source: 1Report on Trends and Progress of Banking in India 2011-12 * Personal includes credit card, education, housing and advances against fixed deposits ** Other Includes trade, hospitality, computer software and other services
44
Source: RBI
As per Crisil, the rating agency, the restructured loan portfolio is expected to touch Rs. 3.25 lakh crore by 2013 accounting for 3.5% of the banking sectors total advances as on March 2013, up from 2.9% as on December 2011. Banks had restructured ~Rs.1.9 lakh crore of loans till September 2012
The Indian banking system has a total exposure of ~ Rs. 40,000 crores to the ailing aviation sector. SBI alone has an exposure of Rs.5,000 crores to the aviation industry. According to an RBI report, nearly three-fourth of the top Banks loans to the aviation sector are either impaired or restructured. Loans to Kingfisher Airlines and Air India became buzzwords last year When the economy is not faring well, banks cannot have a healthy balance sheet. Banks do the restructuring of loans to help a company sail through the tough times on the assumption that the efforts will succeed. It is not always practical to anticipate whether the company can survive or not K.R Kamath Managing Director Punjab National Bank
The nature of restructuring in 2011-12 and 201213 is qualitatively different from that in 2008-09 and 200910. The loans restructured in the earlier phase were smaller and represented the small and medium enterprise (SME) accounts, where as in the current phase the loans being restructured are large corporate exposures Ram Raj Pai President Crisil
46
Global Rankings
Indian banks are doing better than their emerging Asian counterparts, with 10 of them among Asias top 30 value creator banks in the past decade. In the next 10 years, banking revenues in India are likely to climb further from $56 billion in 2010 to $250 billion by 2020, contributing to more than 12% of Asias total banking revenue growth1
Consequently, 4 or 5 Indian banks could potentially enter the global top 20 by market capitalization by 2020
According to a report by the Boston Consulting Group (BCG) India, prepared in association with Indian Banks Association, India would be the worlds third largest in asset size by 2025 Indian Banking will be the worlds 3rd largest by 2025
48
1
Country Turkey Indonesia Malaysia China India Singapore Australia Canada South Korea Spain Russia Thailand France USA Germany
Country Indonesia Germany France Canada USA Russia Thailand Australia Malaysia India South Korea Spain Turkey China Singapore
Country Indonesia Malaysia Canada Russia Thailand India China Australia Turkey Singapore South Korea USA Spain France Germany
Country Russia Indonesia Turkey USA China Spain South Korea India Singapore Thailand Malaysia Germany Australia Canada France
Indian Banks Profitability leans towards the higher end of the spectrum while its cost -toincome ratio leans towards the lower end. In addition Bad debts charged to P&L remain moderate and valuation is sound
Source: Report By BCG -Big Five Stars In Productivity, August 2011
49
Reasons
High Interest rates and pressure on corporate cash flows Deregulation of Interest rates on saving deposits Mismatch in maturity of assets and liabilities
Impact on Banks
Effect felt by all banks Similar private banks gain share, albeit at higher cost Most banks except HDFC Bank and ICICI ICICI, Axis and SBI All Public banks, Axis and Yes
Slowdown in investment linked credit demand Decline in yields on government and corporate bonds
50
3. 4.
51
Industry Snapshot
(Rs. In Crores)
Total Banking Business in India
Deposits
6,000,000 5,000,000 Deposits 4,000,000 3,000,000 2,000,000 1,000,000 2011 2012 Advances 4,500,000 4,000,000 3,500,000 3,000,000 2,500,000 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,000,000 500,000 2011 2012
Advances
Public
4,372,448.70 5,002,013.40
Private
1,002,758.80 1,174,587.40
Foreign
240,666.80 277,063.40
Public
Private
Foreign
3,304,432.90
3,878,312.50
797,544.00
966,418.20
195,510.60
229,848.60
Return on Assets
3.93% Return on Assets 2.00% 1.80% 1.60% 1.40% 1.20% 1.00% 0.80% 0.60% 0.40% 0.20% 0.00% 2011 2012 1.75% 1.76% 1.53% 1.43% 0.96% 0.88%
3.86%
2.77% 2.76% 3.10% 3.07%
52
In 2013 valuations will be driven by easing of the interest rate cycle and better asset quality outlook While broad concerns about Basel III and dynamic provisions should continue to hover, we believe that attractive valuations and likely better recoveries and treasury gains can allay most concerns
53
Source: Bloomberg Finance, Deutshe Bank, Price as on Dec 20,2012
About Bankex Bankex is a cap-weighted free float index that tracks the performance of the 14 leading banking sector stocks listed on the BSE India Exchange. The base date is January 1st 2002
54
Source: Bloomberg,CLSA Research , Jan 2013
55
INR/USD
50.95 45.14
51.15
54.54
8%
6% 4% 2% 0%
56
Source : RBI & Economy survey 2011-12
Inflation Expectation
Decrease in consumption
Reduction in Investment
Reduction in demand
Lower Inflation
57
Regulatory Bodies
Some call it
intervention, some
find it regulation, but to cut the
58
Banking
Non-Banking
Scheduled Banks
Public
Private
Cooperative Banks
Housing Finance
NonBanking Finance
Development Finance
Insurance
Foreign
`
Insurance Regulatory and Development Authority Security Exchange Board of India 59
-Regulatory bodies
Current Rates1
Policy Rates Bank Rates Repo Rate Reverse Repo Rate MSF Rate Reserves Rates CRR SLR 9.00% 7.75% 6.75% 9.00% 4.00% 23.00% 9.75% 10.50% 8.50%-9.00%
Repo Rate
Reverse Repo
CRR
SLR
MSF
Although the critical rates have reduced since the global economic crisis of 2008, the RBI is still maintaining a tight monetary policy in order to curb inflation and attain stability along with superior economic growth
60
Marginal Standing Facility (MSF) Rate is the rate at which banks can borrow overnight from RBI. This was introduced in the monetary policy of RBI for the year 2011-12.
1 Source:
As per the RBI website and news in Economic Times as on 29 th Jan 2013
-------------------------------These reforms will require Indian banks to raise around Rs.6,00,000 crores by 2020, for which the Fin Min has advised banks to push into mergers and consolidations
Government Initiatives-----------------------------------------Reduction in CRR, SLR and deregulation of interest rates Introduction of capital to risk weighted assets ratio and fixed prudential norms will bring reduction in non performing assets and increase capital position of banks
-------------------------------These strategic changes will leave more loanable funds with banks and help them widen their credit network
Foreign Direct Investment-------------------------------------Plugging in foreign investors money directly into the Indian financial market FDI limit for a foreign banks is 74% of the total paid-up capital of the bank
-------------------------------
Other Reforms-----------------------------------------------------Banking diversification and introduction of new generation banks Operational autonomy, say a bank satisfies the CAR then it gets freedom in opening branches, upgrading counters, liberal lending options etc
-------------------------------
FDI will bring better risk management capability, sound technology and higher growth prospects
These reforms will give banks greater strength to fight competition and help them stand out in the market
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Other Reforms
62
Raise the ceiling of Voting Rights : From 1% to 10% for shareholders of Public Banks From 10% to 26 % for shareholders of Private Banks Levy Penal interest on banks that do not maintain minimum amount of CRAR
Allow Public banks to : Hold more than Rs.3,000 crores of authorized capital Issue two additional instruments (rights issue and bonus shares)
Establish Depositor Education and Awareness Fund which will take over deposit accounts that have not been claimed for 10 years 63
Regulatory Newsflash
RBI cut Repo rate, CRR by 25 basis points The RBI cut its key repo rate by 25 basis points to 7.75% on 29th January 2013, and also unexpectedly reduced the CRR by 25 basis points to 4.00% RBI harmonises the definition of Infrastructure lending The RBI had planned to align the definition of the infrastructure-sector for banks (as indicated in October 2012 Monetary Policy). As a result, a few new sectors have been included in this domain. These include: Urban Public Transport, Fertilizers (capital expenditure only), 3-star+hotels in small towns, Cold-chains and other Agri-produce businesses RBIs gold loan regulation for NBFC In October 2012 as part of its Monetary Policy, the government had asked banks not to finance purchase of gold for speculative or trading purposes, except for genuine working capital requirements, in order to control the sharp rise in the price of gold RBI establishes supervisory college for SBI and ICICI Bank In order to cope with the supervisory issues revolving around SBI and ICICI Bank, the RBI has established a supervisory college for these banks. This was decided as these two banks have immense exposure to the overseas operations Government to recapitalize Public Sector Banks The government has approved the first tranche of Rs.12,000 Crores fund infusion in Public Sector Banks to enhance their capital base
64
Banking Sector
Recent Deals (M&A)
Announced Date Target Acquirer
December 2011 April 2011 November 2010 August 2010 July 2010 February 2008
Tamilnad Mercantile Bank Ltd. Enam Securities Direct Pvt. Ltd. Bank of Rajasthan Ltd.
Standard Chartered Bank India Axis Bank Ltd. ICICI bank Ltd.
4.64 NA 100
NA 439.79 658.65
4.50
100
294.00
2200.00
66
Source: VCCEdge, DCA Research
Banking Sector
Recent Deals (PE)
Announced Date Investor Investee
Stake (%) NA
Aditya Birla PE, Norwest venture capital partners and Fearing Capital Olympus Capital Holdings Asia
March 2012
February 2011 February 2011
ChrysCapital V LLC
General Atlantic Pvt. Ltd. Beacon India Private Equity Fund, Housing Development Finance Corp. Ltd., Norwest Venture Partners, India Evolving Fund , Samara Capital Partners,Cartica Capital LLC, Gaja Capital Fund Arcstone Capital LLC
NA
163.00
March 2010
5.00
9.30
67
Source: VCCEdge, DCA Research
Though there have been mistakes (both Citi and HSBC bank had ill-advised forays into consumer finance) in their home country, the Indian arms of these firms are among their 69 best businesses
70
Citibank, with Rs.90,270 crore in assets, is the largest foreign bank in India, overtaking StanChart (Rs.82,894 crore). Citibanks assets have risen from Rs.70,996 crore mainly because of an increase in investments from Rs.30,399 crore in 2010-11 to Rs.43,167 crore in 2011-12 In terms of advances alone, StanChart, with Rs.55,570 crore worth of advances, is still the largest foreign bank in India ahead of Citibank, which had a loan book of Rs.47,103 crore in 2011-12 71
The Indian arms of three major Banks are among their best businesses and they punch much above their weight, with only 0.3% of the Indian Banking Industrys branches and perhaps 5% all loans, but a meaty 11% profits
All cater mainly to investors, businesses and wealthy consumers in cities; they have combined pre-tax profits of $2.2 billion
72
Source : Article in The Livemint news pblication
It is just not Credit Suisse that has, of late, seen merit in launching commercial banking in India. As many as 10 foreign banks from countries as diverse as Australia, China, South Africa, South Korea, Switzerland and Russia have entered India in the last three years Foreign banks are also looking to tap into the opportunities arising from greater trade flows. Take the case of the Toronto-based Bank of Nova Scotia, which has five branches in the country today. Its India CEO Sanjeev Mittal says trade between India and Canada is set to triple to $15 billion (Rs 82,500 crore) in three years Foreign banks are also preparing for the Internationalization of Indian business, as Indian companies go global they need banking support and it is not possible to be present all over the world The Indian banking sector is well regulated and offers considerable access to foreign banks," says Kalpana Morparia India CEO of J.P. Morgan
73
We are bullish on the government further relaxing its norms to facilitate the entry and growth of foreign banks in India which will improve the quality of service, provide more comprehensive and better priced services as well as pave the way for consolidation in the Industry "If the Indian economy grows at five per cent, the financial services sector will typically grow three times faster, at about 15 per cent- Sanjiv Bhasin, the India CEO at the Singapore-based DBS Bank
74
Its better to
know all the players in the field before they snatch your piece of the cake
75
OBC Federal Allahabad UBI Yes Canara Indusind Bank of India Axis Bank of Baroda Punjab National Kotak Mahindra SBI ICICI HDFC
76
Banking Industry
77
Banks HDFC Bank ICICI Bank Axis Bank Kotak Mahindra Indusind Bank Yes Bank Federal Bank
Banks HDFC Bank ICICI Bank Axis Bank Kotak Mahindra Indusind Bank Yes Bank Federal Bank Average Median Minimum Maximum
Market Cap Rs. 148,479.97 121,903.85 48,495.64 48,158.89 16,612.07 13,610.56 7,624.44
P/E (x) FY12 28.74x 18.86 11.43 26.28 20.70 13.93 9.82 18.54x 18.86 9.82 28.74
B/V or Shareholder's equity FY12 Rs. 29,924.40 60,405.24 22,808.50 12,901.00 4,742.00 4,676.60 5,706.33
P/BV (x) FY12 4.96x 2.02 2.13 3.73 3.50 2.91 1.34 2.94x 2.91 1.34 4.96 FY 13E 4.23x 1.83 1.77 3.24 2.18 1.87 1.18 2.33x 1.87 1.18 4.23
Net income FY12 Rs. 5,167.09 6,465.30 4,242.20 1,832.23 802.60 977.10 776.80 FY 13E Rs. 6,737.70 7,835.50 4,613.60 2,010.20 1,031.50 1,211.40 826.40
ROA (%) FY12 1.68% 1.47% 1.61% 2.21% 1.55% 1.47% 1.39% 1.63% 1.55% 1.39% 2.21% FY 13E 1.81% 1.55% 1.49% 2.02% 1.59% 1.46% 1.26% 1.60% 1.55% 1.26% 2.02%
FY 13E 22.04x 15.56 10.51 23.96 16.10 11.24 9.23 15.52x 15.56 9.23 23.96
FY 13E 20.72% 12.34% 18.38% 14.49% 16.68% 20.24% 13.60% 16.64% 16.68% 12.34% 20.72%
Note: Market data as on 31st September 2012 and B/V or shareholders equity and Net Income figures are based on 31 st March 2012 (Financial Year closing) Source: Company Financial Statements as on 31st March 2012 and Research Reports
78
Listed Players
79
HDFC Bank
Company Profile
Company Information Headquarters: Year of Incorporation: Base interest rate: No. of branches: No. of ATMs: Mumbai, India 1977 10% Over 2,500 Over 10,300 Business Overview HDFC Bank Ltd was established as a part of the liberalization of the Indian Banking Industry HDFC Bank merged with Times Bank Limited (a private sector bank promoted by Bennett, Coleman & Co. / Times Group), becoming one of the first banks in the New Generation Private Sector Banks to have gone through a such merger HDFC Bank trades at book value of 4.5 times and is probably the most expensive bank in comparison to global giants such as Bank of America and French lender BNP Paribas1 To my mind, the winning strategy for banks in India is Basic Banking Model what is otherwise known as boring banking
Market Data (30-Sep-2012) Market Cap (Rs in Crs.): 2012 P/BV : 148,479.97 4.96x
705.5/458.25
Key Management
Chairman:
Vice chairman: Executive Director: Managing Director:
Mr. Deepak Parekh Mr. Keshub Mahindra Mr. V. Srinivasa Rangan Mr. Renu Sud Karnad
14th
80
Note: 52 week High / Low is taken as on January 2013 Source: 1 News in Economic times dated 1st August 2012
HDFC Bank
Financial Summary (Rs. In Crores)
Statement of Profit and Loss Particulars 2009 Interest Income Rs. 16,314.02 % Growth Interest Expense 8,903.37 % Growth Net Interest Income 7,410.65 % Growth Non Interest Income 3,439.74 % Growth Non-Interest Expense 5,649.27 Net Income 2,248.99 % Growth % Margin 11.39% Balance Sheet Loans % Growth Deposits % Growth Equity % Growth Investments % Growth Ratios NIM % Cost to Income Return on Assets % Return on Equity % Loan Deposit Ratio Capital Adequacy Ratio 2010 Rs. 16,232.74 -0.50% 7,797.60 -12.42% 8,435.14 13.82% 4,212.84 22.48% 6,080.83 3,003.65 33.56% 14.69% 2011 Rs. 20,043.33 23.47% 9,425.15 20.87% 10,618.18 25.88% 4,585.05 8.84% 7,310.91 3,992.49 32.92% 16.21% 2012 Rs. 27,605.56 37.73% 15,106.12 60.27% 12,499.44 17.72% 5,452.39 18.92% 8,803.48 5,247.02 31.42% 15.87% CAGR 19.16% 2013(6M) Rs. 16,532.07 9,316.33 19.04% 16.60% 7,215.74 2,874.61 4,938.10 2,977.37 15.34%
32.63%
Rs. 99,027.37 Rs. 126,162.74 Rs. 160,831.42 Rs. 198,837.53 26.16% Rs. 231,648.61 27.40% 27.48% 23.63% 142,644.80 167,297.78 208,287.21 246,539.58 20.01% 274,130.04 17.28% 24.50% 18.37% 15,094.53 21,618.81 25,586.05 30,210.75 26.02% 33,345.00 43.22% 18.35% 18.08% 58,715.15 58,508.28 -0.35% 70,276.67 20.11% 96,795.11 37.73% 91,733.77
81
HDFC Bank
Financial Summary (Rs. In Crores)
Deposits Deposit & Loan Loans
300,000 250,000 Deposits & Loans 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 2009 142,645 99,027 2010 167,298 126,163 17.28% 27.40% 2011 208,287 160,831 24.50% 27.48% 2012 246,540 198,838 18.37% 23.63%
NII
NIM
P A T , R O E & R O A
0.40%
0.30% 0.20% 0.10% 2009 99,027 2010 2011 2012 0.00%
1,000
PAT ROE (%) 2009 2,249 16.89% 1.42% 2010 3,004 16.80% 3.00% 2011 3,992 16.50% 1.61% 2012 5,247 18.40% 1.61%
Loans
NIM
ROA(%)
0.63%
0.31%
0.19%
0.18%
82
ICICI Bank
Company Profile
Company Information Headquarters: Year of Incorporation: Base interest rate: No. of branches: No. of ATMs: Vadodra, India 1994 9.75% Over 2,880 Over 10,000 Business Overview ICICI Bank (Industrial Credit and Investment Corporation of India) was originally promoted in 1994 by ICICI Ltd., an Indian financial institution ICICI acquired Bank of Rajasthan through a share swap in a non-cash deal that valued the bank of Rajasthan at about Rs.3,000 crores on 2010. This merger added over 450 branches of ICICI to the network The bank is currently in talks with Vodafone to bring a concept of e- money into play The strategy of focusing on profitability, growth and risk management for fiscal 2012 resulted in better than the expected results
121,903.85
2.02x 1,192/762
Ms. Chanda Kocchar Mr. N.S. Kannan Mr. K. Ramkumar Mr. Rajiv Sabharwal
83
ICICI Bank
Financial Summary (Rs. in Crores)
Statement of Profit and Loss Particulars 2009 Interest Income Rs. 36,250.71 % Growth Interest Expense 26,487.25 % Growth Net Interest Income 9,763.45 % Growth Non Interest Income 27,902.37 % Growth Non-Interest Expense 28,185.79 Net Income 3,379.42 % Growth % Margin 5.27% Balance Sheet Loans % Growth Deposits % Growth Equity % Growth Investments % Growth Ratios NIM % Cost to Income Return on Assets % Return on Equity % Loan Deposit Ratio Capital Adequacy Ratio 2010 Rs. 30,153.71 -16.82% 20,729.19 -21.74% 9,424.52 -3.47% 29,446.07 5.53% 27,733.24 4,843.41 43.32% 8.13% 2011 Rs. 30,081.40 -0.24% 19,342.57 -6.69% 10,738.84 13.95% 31,513.30 7.02% 31,302.45 6,318.19 30.45% 10.26% 2012 Rs. 37,994.86 26.31% 25,013.24 29.32% 12,981.61 20.88% 28,663.42 -9.04% 29,552.05 7,937.63 25.63% 11.91% CAGR 1.58% 2013(6M) Rs. 19,571.98 13,007.81 9.96% 0.90% 6,564.17 3,922.89 4,344.43 3,771.16 16.05%
32.93%
84
ICICI Bank
Financial Summary (Rs. in Crores)
Deposits & Loans
350,000 300,000 250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% -5% -10% -15% -20% Deposits & Loans 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 NII NIM
Y-OY
2009
2010
2011
2012
261,856 241,572 259,106 281,950 266,130 225,778 256,019 292,125 -7.75% 7.26% 8.82% -15.16% 13.39% 14.10%
2.50%
% of NPL to Loans 2.00% 1.50% 1.00% 0.50% 0.00%
PAT
0.70%
1.00%
1.24%
1.40%
1.96%
1.87%
0.94%
0.62%
NIM
NII
85
Axis Bank
Company Profile
Company Information Headquarters: Year of Incorporation: Base interest rate: Ahmedabad, India 1994 10% Business Overview Axis Bank (Formerly UTI Bank), was promoted Jointly by The Administrator of the Specified Undertaking of the Unit trust of India (UTI-I), LIC, General Insurance Corporation Ltd. and four other Public Sector Unit Insurance companies It acquired Enam Securities Investment Banking Business for Rs. 2,067 Crore giving 3.3 Crore shares of Axis to Enams Shareholders in 2010 The loan growth of Axis bank is largely driven by drawdown of existing loans and demand for working capital I want to make Axis Bank Indias JPMorgan
86
Note: 52 week High / Low is taken as on 14th January 2013
No. of branches:
No. of ATMs:
Over 1,600
Over 10,000
Market Data (30-Sep-2012) Market Cap (Rs in Crs.): 2012 P/BV : 48,495.64 2.13x
1,396.50/893.10
Key Management
Chairman: MD & CEO: Director Director:
Mr. Adarsh Kishore Ms. Shikha Sharma Mr. Rama Bijapurkar Mr. S. B. Mathur
Axis Bank
Financial Summary (Rs. in Crores)
Statement of Profit and Loss Particulars 2009 Interest Income Rs. 10,829.11 % Growth Interest Expense 7,148.92 % Growth Net Interest Income 3,680.19 % Growth Non Interest Income 2,915.93 % Growth Non-Interest Expense 2,873.80 Net Income 1,812.93 % Growth % Margin 13.19% Balance Sheet Loans % Growth Deposits % Growth Equity % Growth Investments % Growth 2010 Rs. 11,639.10 7.48% 6,632.60 -7.22% 5,006.50 36.04% 3,964.20 35.95% 3,762.50 2,478.10 36.69% 15.88% 2011 Rs. 15,154.86 30.21% 8,588.61 29.49% 6,566.25 31.15% 4,671.45 17.84% 4,865.24 3,339.91 34.78% 16.85% 2012 Rs. 21,994.90 45.13% 13,969.18 62.65% 8,025.72 22.23% 5,487.19 17.46% 6,098.63 4,219.78 26.34% 15.35% CAGR 26.64% 2013(6M) Rs. 13,170.09 8,663.30 29.68% 23.46% 4,506.79 2,928.57 3,293.44 2,277.06 14.14%
32.53%
Rs. 81,556.77 Rs. 104,341.00 Rs. 142,407.83 Rs. 169,759.54 27.68% Rs. 172,131.57 27.94% 36.48% 19.21% 117,357.66 141,278.70 189,166.43 219,987.68 23.30% 235,619.09 20.38% 33.90% 16.29% 10,195.71 15,989.20 18,894.61 22,681.71 30.54% 30,096.04 56.82% 18.17% 20.04% 39,431.80 51,451.60 30.48% 71,743.30 39.44% 92,877.17 29.46% 99,690.94
Ratios NIM % Cost to Income Return on Assets % Return on Equity % Loan Deposit Ratio Capital Adequacy Ratio
87
Axis Bank
Financial Summary (Rs. in Crores)
Deposits & Loans
250,000 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0%
NII& NIM
9,000 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 NII NIM 3.00% 2.95% 2.90% 2.85% 2.80% 2.75% 2.70% 2.65% 2.60% 2.55% 2.50%
200,000
150,000 100,000 50,000 -
Y-o-Y
NII
NIM
% of NPL to Loans
PAT
2010
2011
2012
88
48,158.89
3.73x 677/456.10
Joint Managing Director: Mr. C Jayram Joint Managing Director: Mr. Dipak Gupta
Note: 52 week High / Low is taken as on 14th January 2013
89
Rs. 53,143.61 33.18% Rs. 61,254.81 28.86% 36,460.73 38.17% 43,864.52 33.49% 12,901.05 25.53% 13,942.72 17.68% 31,658.43 33,058.02 21.53%
90
Deposits
Loans Deposits (y-o-y) Loans (y-o-y)
Y-OY
20,000
2009
2010
2011
2012
22,498
29,724
57.85% 32.12%
41,242
25.18% 38.75%
53,144
33.49% 28.86%
2,374
5.80%
2,828
5.80%
3,507
5.20%
3,928
4.80%
PAT
Loans
NIM
30,000
NII
91
Indusind Bank
Company Profile
Company Information Headquarters: Year of Incorporation: Base interest rate: No. of branches: Mumbai, India 1994 10.75% Over 440 Business Overview Indusind Bank caters to the needs of both consumer and corporate customers. It has a robust technology platform supporting multi-channel delivery capabilities. The Bank was incorporated by Mr. Srichand Hinduja of the Hinduja group
No. of ATMs:
Over 750
Market Data (30-Sep-2012) Market Cap (Rs in Crs.): 2012 P/BV : 52 week High / Low : Key Management
Chairman: Managing Director: Managing Director:
Mr. R. Seshasayee Mr. Romesh Sobti
The bank acquired Deutsche Banks credit card business in April 2011, and marked its presence in the high yield segment. The bank also plans to foray in the used commercial vehicle financing and loans against property business
IndusInd Bank has 441 branches, and 796 ATMs spread across 303 geographic locations across the country as on September 30, 2012
92
Indusind Bank
Financial Summary (Rs. in Crores)
Statement of Profit and Loss Particulars Interest Income % Growth Interest Expense % Growth Net Interest Income % Growth Non Interest Income % Growth Non-Interest Expense Net Income % Growth % Margin Balance Sheet Loans % Growth Deposits % Growth Equity % Growth Investments % Growth 2009 Rs. 2,309.47 1,850.44 459.03 456.25 547.03 148.34 5.36% 2010 Rs. 2,706.99 17.21% 1,820.58 -1.61% 886.42 93.11% 553.48 21.31% 736.00 350.31 136.15% 10.74% 2011 Rs. 3,589.36 32.60% 2,212.86 21.55% 1,376.49 55.29% 713.66 28.94% 1,008.48 577.33 64.81% 13.42% 2012 Rs. 5,359.19 49.31% 3,654.95 65.17% 1,704.24 23.81% 1,011.78 41.77% 1,343.00 802.61 39.02% 12.60% CAGR 2013(6M) 32.39% Rs. 3,359.97 2,366.14 54.84% 30.41% 993.83 629.27 809.25 480.51 12.05%
75.56%
Rs. 35,063.95 30.52% 34.01% 42,361.55 24.20% 23.27% 4,741.71 41.76% 17.07% 14,571.95 7.54%
Ratios NIM % Cost to Income Return on Assets % Return on Equity % Loan Deposit Ratio Capital Adequacy Ratio
93
Indusind Bank
Financial Summary (Rs. in Crores)
Deposits & Loans
45,000 40,000 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 NII NIM
Y-OY
40,000 ROE & ROA 35,000 30,000 Loans 25,000 20,000 15,000
PAT
NIM
1.20% 1.00% 0.80% 0.60% 0.40% 0.20%
NII
10,000
Loans % net NPL to Loans
0.00%
94
% of NPL to Loans
YES Bank
Company Profile
Company Information Headquarters: Year of Incorporation: Base interest rate: No. of branches: No. of ATMs: Mumbai, India 2004 10.50% Over 380 Over 650 Business Overview YES bank is the youngest Greenfield and the only license awarded by the RBI in the last 16 years The bank was started by Mr. Ashok Kapur,/ Dr. Rana Kapoor (55%), the Dutch financial services firm Rabobank (20%) and private equity players (25%) The bank was ranked as India's fastest growing bank at the Bloomberg-UTV Financial Leadership Awards 2011 2.91x 516.80/273.80
Market Data (30-Sep-2012) Market Cap (Rs in Crs.): 2012 P/BV : 52 week High / Low : Key Management
MD & CEO:
Dr. Rana Kapoor
13,610.56
The bank announced its entry into the credit card segment under a tie-up with American express in December 2012, to offer credit cards for the high value customer segment
The India story may have slowed down, but banking continues to be grossly underpenetrated
Independent Director: Mr. Arun K Mago Independent Director: Ms. Radha Singh
Note: 52 week High / Low is taken as on 14th January 2013
95
YES Bank
Financial Summary (Rs. in Crores)
Statement of Profit and Loss Particulars 2009 Interest Income Rs. 2,001.43 % Growth Interest Expense 1,492.14 % Growth Net Interest Income 509.30 % Growth Non Interest Income 436.90 % Growth Non-Interest Expense 418.55 Net Income 303.84 % Growth % Margin 12.46% Balance Sheet Loans % Growth Deposits % Growth Equity % Growth Investments % Growth Ratios NIM % Cost to Income Return on Assets % Return on Equity % Loan Deposit Ratio Capital Adequacy Ratio 2010 Rs. 2,369.71 18.40% 1,581.76 6.01% 787.95 54.71% 575.53 31.73% 500.15 477.74 57.23% 16.22% 2011 Rs. 4,041.75 70.56% 2,794.82 76.69% 1,246.93 58.25% 623.27 8.29% 679.81 727.14 52.20% 15.59% 2012 Rs. 6,307.36 56.06% 4,691.72 67.87% 1,615.64 29.57% 857.12 37.52% 932.53 977.00 34.36% 13.64% CAGR 46.61% 2013(6M) Rs. 3,872.71 2,876.36 46.93% 25.19% 996.35 564.86 616.86 596.22 13.44%
47.60%
Rs. 37,988.64 45.22% Rs. 42,019.25 10.55% 49,151.71 44.86% 52,290.81 6.99% 4,676.64 42.26% 5,313.49 23.26% 28,641.61 31,754.98 50.74%
96
YES Bank
Financial Summary (Rs. in Crores)
Deposits & Loans
60,000 50,000 Deposits & Loans 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 NII NIM
40,000
30,000 20,000 10,000 2009 16,169 12,403 2010 26,799 22,193 65.74% 78.93% 2011 45,939 34,364 71.42% 54.84% 2012 49,152 37,989 6.99% 10.55%
Y-OY
NII
2009
509 2.45%
2010
788 2.29%
2011
1,247 2.30%
2012
1,616 2.52%
400
200 PAT ROE (%) ROA(%)
0.05%
0.00%
NIM
97
Market Data (30-Sep-2012) Market Cap (Rs in Crs.): 2012 P/BV : 52 week High / Low : Key Management
MD & CEO: Director: Director:
Mr. Shyam Srinivasan
Mr. P C John
Mr. Suresh Kumar
98
Rs. 37,945.85 19.22% Rs. 36,299.18 18.74% 48,934.73 14.98% 49,518.07 13.83% 5,592.29 9.24% 6,111.79 11.45% 17,102.02 18.70% 18,550.22
99
10,000
Deposits Loans Deposits (y-o-y) Loans (y-o-y) 2009 32,192 22,392 2010 36,049 26,950 11.98% 20.36% 2011 42,988 31,958 19.25% 18.58% 2012 48,935 37,946 13.83% 18.74%
5% 0%
Y-OY
10%
NIM
PAT
2009
2010
2011
2012
472
11.50% 1.32%
440
9.86% 1.07%
556
11.54% 1.17%
754
14.21% 1.35%
% of NPL to Loans
0.60%
NIM
100
Banking Industry
Rs. 150,173.12 Rs. 106,230.01 Rs. 116,869.50 32,830.26 28,480.83 19,099.95 17,810.14 11,432.15 8,799.52 7,327.88
P/E (x)
Rs. 15,343.10 Rs. 16,488.50 5,007.00 4,884.20 3,282.70 2,677.50 1,787.20 1,141.60 1,867.00 4,344.90 4,667.60 3,312.90 2,797.80 2,157.40 1,481.70 1,513.00
ROA (%) FY12 0.88% 1.24% 1.17% 0.92% 0.73% 0.72% 0.67% 1.12% 0.93% 0.90% 0.67% 1.24% FY 13E 0.86% 0.90% 0.95% 0.84% 0.67% 0.77% 0.78% 0.79% 0.82% 0.82% 0.67% 0.95%
S.No Banks 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 State Bank of India Bank Of Baroda Punjab National Bank Canara Bank Bank of India Union Bank of India Oriental Bank of Commerce Allahbad Bank Average Median Minimum Maximum
FY12 9.79x 6.56 5.83 5.82 6.65 6.40 7.71 3.92 6.58x 6.48 3.92 9.79
FY 13E 9.11x 7.56 6.10 5.77 6.37 5.30 5.94 4.84 6.37x 6.02 4.84 9.11
FY 13E 1.28x 1.06 0.90 0.75 0.77 0.71 0.67 0.63 0.85x 0.76 0.63 1.28
FY 13E 14.78% 14.86% 15.74% 13.79% 12.66% 14.06% 11.84% 13.41% 13.89% 13.93% 11.84% 15.74%
102
Note: Market data as on 31st September 2012 and B/V or shareholders equity and Net Income figures are based on 31 st March 2012 (Financial Year closing) Source: Company Financial Statements as on 31st March 2012 and Research Reports
Listed Players
SBI has launched various cost-effective channels, such as SBI Tiny Card (biometrically enabled card), Kiosk banking (internet enabled kiosk/computer with biometric validation) and cell phone messaging channel
The bank also has more than 170 branches in ~30 foreign countries, including multiple locations in the US, Canada, and Nigeria The objective of the lending rate cut is to improve demand for assets which in our view could have a positive cascading effect on related industries
1.41x 2,551.70/1,748.40
Key Management
MD & CEO: Managing Director: Managing Director: Managing Director:
Mr. Pratip Chaudhari Mr. Hemant G. Contractor Mr. Diwakar Gupta Mr. A. Krishna Kumar
104
Retail
Other Services
Includes investment portfolio and trading in foreign exchange contracts and derivative contracts
Comprises of lending activities of Corporate Accounts Group, Mid Corporate Accounts Group and Stressed Assets Management Group
Comprises of branches in National Banking Group, which includes personal banking activities, including lending activities to corporate customers
NRI Services ATM Services Demat Services E-Pay/E Rail Broking Services
105
11.88%
Rs. 750,362.39 Rs. 869,501.64 Rs. 1,006,401.55 Rs. 1,163,670.21 15.75% 15.88% 15.74% 15.63% 1,011,988.33 1,116,464.57 1,255,562.48 1,414,689.40 11.81% 10.32% 12.46% 12.67% 72,390.39 83,135.58 83,471.25 106,230.01 13.64% 14.84% 0.40% 27.27% 372,231.45 412,749.26 10.89% 419,066.45 1.53% 460,949.14 9.99%
106
NII
Y-OY
NIM
1.85% 1.80% 1.75%
1,010,000 810,000
1.70%
1.65% 1.60% 1.55%
2009 750,362 1.79% 2010 869,502 1.72% 2011 1,006,402 1.63% 2012 1,163,670 1.82%
1.50%
107
% of NPL to Loans
PAT
Loans
Bank of Baroda
Company Profile
Company Information Headquarters: Year of Incorporation: Base interest rate: No. of branches: No. of ATMs: Baroda, India 1908 10.50% Over 4,000 Over 1,800 Business Overview Bank of Baroda is a 103 year old Stateowned Bank with a good mix of modern & contemporary personality, offering banking products and services to large industrial, SME, retail & agricultural customers across the country
32,830.26
1.19x 899/605.55
The Bank has developed an Integrated Global Treasury Solution in its major territories such as the UK, UAE, Bahamas Bahrain, Honkong, Singapore, Belgium, USA and India to reduce the cost of operations and improve funds management The Indian banking industry has always been resilient in facing challenges
- Mr. M. D. Mallya
108
Bank of Baroda
Financial Summary (Rs. in Crores)
Statement of Profit and Loss Particulars 2009 Interest Income Rs. 15,547.56 % Growth Interest Expense 10,167.35 % Growth Net Interest Income 5,380.21 % Growth Non Interest Income 2,909.02 % Growth Non-Interest Expense 3,712.36 Net Income 2,384.08 % Growth % Margin 12.92% Balance Sheet Loans % Growth Deposits % Growth Equity % Growth Investments % Growth Ratios NIM % Cost to Income Return on Assets % Return on Equity % Loan Deposit Ratio Capital Adequacy Ratio 2010 Rs. 17,234.82 10.85% 11,023.34 8.42% 6,211.48 15.45% 2,965.30 1.93% 3,938.96 3,179.30 33.36% 15.74% 2011 Rs. 22,513.31 30.63% 13,349.60 21.10% 9,163.71 47.53% 3,287.10 10.85% 4,815.87 4,433.71 39.46% 17.18% 2012 Rs. 30,488.49 35.42% 19,724.34 47.75% 10,764.15 17.46% 4,100.42 24.74% 5,402.42 5,248.57 18.38% 15.17% CAGR 2013(6M) 25.17% Rs. 17,280.16 11,619.79 26.01% 12.12% 5,660.37 1,599.11 2,623.72 2,440.25 12.93%
30.09%
Rs. 292,077.14 26.13% 292,180.92 25.85% . 392,615.95 25.93% 408,149.50 26.00% 28,516.30 28.87% 29,793.89 30.65% 86,697.00 16.91% 101,430.13
109
Bank of Baroda
Financial Summary (Rs. in Crores)
Deposits & Loans
450,000 400,000 350,000 300,000 250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 Deposits Loans Deposits (y-o-y) Loans (y-o-y)
Y-OY
8,000
NII 6,000 4,000
2,000
NII NIM 2009 5,380 2.56% 2010 6,211 2.44% 2011 9,164 2.81% 2012 10,764 2.68%
0.60%
% of NPL to Loans
0.50%
NIM
110
No. of ATMs:
Over 6,000
Market Data ( 30-Sep-2012) Market Cap (Rs in Crs.): 2012 P/BV : 28,480.83 1.02x
PNB Prerna and PNB Pragati are two corporate social responsibility initiatives undertaken by the bank
The status of the banking sector in 2013 will depend on how the economy behaves over the next one year
Mr. K. R. Kamath
111
16.44%
Rs. 158,453.42 Rs. 191,110.85 20.61% 210,659.17 251,457.66 19.37% 15,560.22 18,702.74 20.20% 65,391.68 79,253.88 21.20%
Rs. 301,346.52 23.90% 21.63% 384,408.22 22.20% 21.56% 29,203.84 23.35% 29.14% 125,746.34 29.75%
112
2009
2010
2011
2012
Y-OY
2.70%
210,659
158,453
251,458
191,111 19.37%
316,232
247,747 25.76%
384,408
301,347 21.56%
20.61%
29.64%
21.63%
210,000
Loans 160,000 110,000 60,000 10,000
1,000
PAT
0%
0.00%
ROE (%)
ROA(%)
% of NPL to Loans
NIM
NII
113
Canara Bank
Company Profile
Company Information Headquarters: Year of Incorporation: Base interest rate: No. of branches: No. of ATMs: Bangalore, India 1906 10.50% Over 3,600 Over 3,100 Business Overview Over the years, Canara Bank has been scaling up its market position to emerge as a major 'Financial Conglomerate' with as many as nine subsidiaries/sponsored institutions/joint ventures in India and abroad Besides commercial banking, the Bank has also carved a distinctive mark in various corporate social responsibilities areas, namely, serving national priorities, promoting rural development and enhancing rural self-employment through several training institutes It is the first bank to introduce Centralized Solution for Service Units (CSSU), developed in-house adopting the latest technology in the IT Industry
114
19,099.95
0.84x 566.00/306.25
Key Management
Chairman & Managing Director: Executive Director: Executive Director:
Mr. R. K . Dubey Ms Archana S. Bhargava Mr. Ashok Kumar Gupta
Canara Bank
Financial Summary (Rs. in Crores)
Statement of Profit and Loss Particulars 2009 Interest Income Rs. 17,128.56 % Growth Interest Expense 12,417.96 % Growth Net Interest Income 4,710.60 % Growth Non Interest Income 2,352.96 % Growth Non-Interest Expense 3,212.06 Net Income 2,042.00 % Growth % Margin 10.48% Balance Sheet Loans % Growth Deposits % Growth Equity % Growth Investments % Growth Ratios NIM % Cost to Income Return on Assets % Return on Equity % Loan Deposit Ratio Capital Adequacy Ratio 2010 Rs. 18,755.84 9.50% 13,080.80 5.34% 5,675.04 20.47% 2,932.05 24.61% 3,651.42 2,999.71 48.85% 13.83% 2011 Rs. 23,000.89 22.63% 15,238.92 16.50% 7,761.97 36.77% 2,833.26 -3.37% 4,550.30 4,034.18 36.70% 15.62% 2012 CAGR 2013(6M) Rs. 30,815.64 21.62% Rs. 17,068.40 33.98% 23,159.47 13,268.06 51.98% 7,656.17 17.57% 3,800.34 -1.36% 3,104.51 9.68% 1,300.68 9.57% 4,760.02 2,425.16 3,341.69 17.84% 1,436.00 -16.29% 9.85% 7.82%
Rs. 138,360.53 Rs. 169,463.86 Rs. 211,448.51 Rs. 232,728.74 18.93% 22.48% 24.77% 10.06% 186,756.47 234,517.78 293,257.91 326,894.04 20.52% 25.57% 25.05% 11.47% 12,581.11 15,022.38 20,402.16 23,043.40 22.35% 19.40% 35.81% 12.95% 58,425.40 71,120.48 21.73% 86,499.41 21.62% 106,496.62 23.12%
115
Canara Bank
Financial Summary (Rs. in Crores)
Deposits & Loans
350,000 300,000 250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 30% 25% 20% Y-OY 15% 10% 5% 2009 186,756 138,361 2010 234,518 169,464 25.57% 22.48% 2011 293,258 211,449 25.05% 24.77% 2012 326,894 232,729 11.47% 10.06% NIM 0% NII 9,000 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 3.00% 2.50% 2.00% 1.50% 1.00% 0.50% 2009 4,711 2010 5,675 2.21% 2011 7,762 2.42% 2012 7,656 2.14% 0.00% NIM
1.60%
1.40%
1.20% 1.00% 0.80% 0.60% 0.40% 0.20% 0.00%
0%
% of NPL to Loans
PAT
116
Bank of India
Company Profile
Company Information Headquarters: Year of Incorporation: Base interest rate: No. of branches: No. of ATMs: Mumbai, India 1906 10.50% Over 4,000 Over 3,000 Business Overview Bank of India was founded on 7th September, 1906 by a group of eminent businessmen from Mumbai. The Bank was under private ownership and control till July 1969, after which it was nationalized along with 13 other banks The Bank has a sizable presence abroad, with a network of 29 branches (including five representative office) at key banking and financial centres such as London, New York, Paris, Tokyo, Hong-Kong and Singapore. International business accounts for around 17.82% of the Bank's total business
Market Data (30-Sep-2012) Market Cap (Rs in Crs.): 2012 P/BV : 52 week High / Low : Key Management
Chairman & MD: Executive Director: Executive Director: Executive Director:
Mr. V. R. Iyer Mr. N. Seshadri Mr. M. S. Raghvan Mr. B. B. Sharma
The bank is always looking forward to being more consumer centric and reaching out especially in the rural belts of the country
117
Bank of India
Financial Summary (Rs. in Crores)
Statement of Profit and Loss Particulars 2009 Interest Income Rs. 16,416.51 % Growth Interest Expense 10,880.09 % Growth Net Interest Income 5,536.42 % Growth Non Interest Income 3,151.00 % Growth Net Income 3,087.54 % Growth % Margin 15.78% Balance Sheet Loans % Growth Deposits % Growth Equity % Growth Investments % Growth 2010 Rs. 17,996.25 9.62% 12,163.27 11.79% 5,832.98 5.36% 2,600.66 -17.47% 1,787.15 -42.12% 8.68% 2011 Rs. 21,858.43 21.46% 13,980.93 14.94% 7,877.50 35.05% 2,641.83 1.58% 2,542.42 42.26% 10.38% 2012 CAGR Rs. 28,610.95 20.34% 30.89% 20,216.30 44.60% 8,394.65 14.88% 6.56% 3,319.24 1.75% 25.64% 2,724.85 -4.08% 7.18% 8.53% 2013(6M) Rs. 15,714.63 11,475.12 4,239.51 1,734.95 1,189.30 6.82%
Rs. 249,733.44 20.33% 16.86% 319,412.53 18.87% 6.63% 21,414.00 16.18% 21.42% 88,056.87 1.59%
Ratios NIM % Cost to Income Return on Assets % Return on Equity % Loan Deposit Ratio Capital Adequacy Ratio
118
Bank of India
Financial Summary (Rs. in Crores)
Deposits & Loans
350,000 300,000 250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0%
Y-OY
1.60% 1.40% 1.00% 0.80% 0.60% 0.40% 0.20% 0.00% % of NPL to Loans 1.20%
PAT
ROE (%)
ROA(%)
NIM
NII
119
No. of ATMs:
Over 2,500
Market Data (30-Sep-2012) Market Cap (Rs in Crs.): 2012 P/BV : 52 week High / Low : Key Management
Chairman & MD:
Mr. D Sarkar Mr. Suresh Kumar Jain Mr. S. S. Mundra Mr. B. M. Sharma
It distributes Life Insurance products under a corporate agency tie-up with Star Union Dia-ichi (SUD) Life Insurance Co. Ltd.
In order to enter the Mutual Fund Product space in a meaningful way, Union Bank of India has tied up with KBC, Belgium to set up a joint venture for Mutual Fund Products -- Union KBC Asset Management Company Ltd The restructuring of loans will continue and it may be the only way forward for reviving some troubled units. However, Corporates should 120 not take undue advantage of the mechanism - Mr. D Sarkar
Executive Director:
Executive Director: Executive Director:
Rs. 177,882.09 22.60% 17.81% 222,776.52 17.11% 10.07% 14,667.69 18.83% 14.40% 63,103.81 7.11%
121
20%
Y-OY 15%
10%
5%
0%
NII
1,000
500 PAT
10%
5%
2009
1,727 21.46% 1.21%
2010
2,075 21.65% 1.17%
2011
2,205 18.84% 1.02%
2012
1,760 12.66% 0.70%
0%
Loans
2009
96,534 0.34%
2010
2011
2012
ROE (%)
ROA(%)
122
Market Data (30-Sep-2012) Market Cap (Rs in Crs.): 2012 P/BV : 52 week High / Low : Key Management
Chairman & MD:
Executive Director: Executive Director:
Mr. S. L. Bansal Mr. V. Kannan Mr. Bhupinder Nayyar Ms. S. C. Sinha
The Bank has been constantly undertaking new initiatives in Information Technology with an increased focus on customer service and setting up of alternate new delivery channels
The bank has also introduced the OBCmpay, a mobile banking portal and OBC e-shoppe for purchasing products online It has put in place the required IT Infrastructure for implementation of the "Speed clearing" project of the RBI
Executive Director:
123
Note: 52 week High / Low is taken as on 14th January 2013
Rs. 68,500.38 Rs. 83,489.31 Rs. 95,908.23 Rs. 111,977.72 17.80% Rs. 117,821.35 21.88% 14.87% 16.76% 98,368.85 120,257.59 139,054.26 155,694.29 16.54% 164,174.49 22.25% 15.63% 11.97% 7,403.45 8,237.95 11,097.15 11,942.50 17.28% 11,928.31 11.27% 34.71% 7.62% 28,488.95 35,785.32 25.61% 49,545.41 38.45% 52,101.33 5.16% 55,298.77
124
0.50%
2009 1,997 1.92% 2010 2,907 2.28% 2011 4,178 2.70% 2012 4,216 2.44% 0.00%
% of NPL to Loans
2.00%
PAT
125
Allahabad Bank
Company Profile
Company Information Headquarters: Year of Incorporation: Base interest rate: No. of branches: Kolkata, India 1865 10.50% Over 2,500 Business Overview
The Oldest Joint Stock Bank of the Country, Allahabad Bank was founded on April 24, 1865 by a group of Europeans at Allahabad
The bank instituted AllBank Finance Ltd., a wholly owned subsidiary for Merchant Banking in 1951 In 2006, the bank transcended beyond the national boundary, opening Representative office at Shenzhen, China, following that in 2007, it opened its first overseas branch in Hong-kong It has signed a Memorandum of Understanding with the Chamber of Indian Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises (CIMSME) to shore up its 126 priority sector lending
No. of ATMs:
Over 1,800
Key Management
Chairman & MD: Executive Director: Executive Director: Nominee Director:
Ms. S. A. Panse Mr. T. R. Chawla Mr. Arun Tiwary Mr. Shashank Saksena(GOI)
Allahabad Bank
Financial Summary (Rs. in Crores)
Statement of Profit and Loss Particulars 2009 Interest Income Rs. 7,364.81 % Growth Interest Expense 5,205.87 % Growth Net Interest Income 2,158.94 % Growth Non Interest Income 1,163.70 % Growth Net Income 790.47 % Growth % Margin 9.27% Balance Sheet Loans % Growth Deposits % Growth Equity % Growth Investments % Growth Ratios NIM % Cost to Income Return on Assets % Return on Equity % Loan Deposit Ratio Capital Adequacy Ratio 2010 Rs. 8,377.18 13.75% 5,718.16 9.84% 2,659.02 23.16% 1,567.71 34.72% 1,228.46 55.41% 12.35% 2011 Rs. 11,024.62 31.60% 6,992.85 22.29% 4,031.77 51.63% 1,375.14 -12.28% 1,440.51 17.26% 11.62% 2012 CAGR Rs. 15,527.67 28.23% 40.85% 10,359.97 48.15% 5,167.70 33.77% 28.17% 1,305.16 3.90% -5.09% 1,864.34 33.11% 29.42% 11.08% 2013(6M) Rs. 8,738.67 6,258.50 2,480.17 611.69 906.14 9.69%
Rs. 111,145.94 23.64% Rs. 110,847.37 18.71% 159,583.87 23.38% 161,957.03 21.00% 10,718.86 21.09% 11,261.31 22.89% 54,524.21 57,959.69 25.37%
127
Allahabad Bank
Financial Summary (Rs. in Crores)
Deposits & Loans
180,000 160,000 140,000 120,000 100,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 6,000 5,000 Y-OY 4,000 NII 3,000 2,000 1,000 NII NIM 2009 2,158 2.30% 2010 2,659 2.26% 2011 4,031 2.78% 2012 5,167 2.96%
2009 58,802
2010 71,608
2011
2012
Deposits
Loans
Deposits (y-o-y) Loans (y-o-y)
NIM
1.20%
% of NPL to Loans 1.00% 0.80% 0.60% 0.40% 0.20% 0.00%
PAT
128
Capital Raising
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Restructuring
We advise on business restructurings to help achieve financial, strategic and operational efficiency
Organizational Transformation
We work with companies to put systems, processes and people in place to help take advantage of both organic and inorganic synergies
Turnarounds
We work closely with companies to help devise and implement a turnaround strategy by plugging the deficiencies of management, technology, capital or partnerships
130
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