Analele Universitii Constantin Brncui din Trgu Jiu, Seria Economie, Nr.

3/2011

ANALIZA CIRCULAIEI TURISTICE N ROMNIA N PERIOADA 1999-2009 Aniela BLCESCU, Lect.univ.dr. UniversitateaConstantin Brncui din Trgu Jiu, aniela@utgjiu.ro Marian ZAHARIA, Prof. univ.dr., Universitatea Petrol-Gaze din Ploiesti

THE ANALYSIS OF TOURIST TRAFFIC IN ROMANIA IN THE PERIOD 1999-2009 Aniela BLCESCU, Lecturer Ph.D. Constantin Brncui University of Trgu Jiu, aniela@utgjiu.ro Marian ZAHARIA, Prof. PhD, Petroleum-Gas University of Ploiesti
in Romania". Tourism demand is represented in all the persons who exhibit a willingness to travel regularly and temporarily outside its own residence for reasons other than the provision of remunerated activities at the place of destination. Tourist consumption is an expression of the solvent demand for tourist services, which is located in the tourist offer, equivalent in time and space. Tourist consumption consists of expenditure incurred by the core application for purchasing of tourist services and goods related to tourist motivation. Trends in tourist traffic is determined by a number of factors, some essential, others with a smaller and less significant. Thus, in analysing the connections we use the nonparametric correlation models. The main variables analysed were: arrivals of tourists in the spaces of tourist accommodation in Romania, the overnights tourists in touristic structures in our country, the ability to stay up and running

Abstract: In the Rezumat: n literatura de specialitateliterature many numeroi cercettori au creat diverse modele care s researchers have explice ct mai bine deciziile de cumprare i care s created various models conduc la o previzionare ct mai exact a explaining the best comportamentului consumatorului. n acest articol purchase decisions ne-am propus s analizm din punct de vedere and which would lead statistic evolu ia circula iei turistice i a capacitii to a more accurate de cazare n funciune din Romnia n perioada 1999- preview of how 2009. consumer behavior. In Cuvinte cheie: circulaie turistic , comportament this article we plan to analyze the statistical de consum, servicii turistice trends in tourist traffic and accommodation capacity in operation 1.Introducere in Romania from 1999 Analiza circulaiei turistice este esenialto 2009. pentru elaborarea unor politici eficiente de atragere a clienilor n acest domeniu. Keywords: tourist n cadrul acestui articol am realizat o analiz cantitativ a cererii i consumului turistic din movement, consumer Romnia n perioada 1999 -2009 avnd la baz behavior, tourism informaiile furnizate de Institutul Naional de services Statistic, prin intermediul Anuarului Statistic al Romniei i publicaiilor Turismul n Romnia. 1. Introduction Cererea turistica este reprezentat din ansamblul persoanelor care i manifest dorina de a Analysis of se deplasa periodic i temporar n afara resedintei traffic is proprii, pentru alte motive dect prestarea unor tourist essential for the activitati remunerate la locul de destinatie. of Consumul turistic este o expresie a cererii development solvabile a populatiei pentru serviciile turistice, care effective policies to si gaseste echivalent n oferta turistic, n timp i attract customers in spaiu. Consumul turistic este format din cheltuielile this area. efectuate de purttorii cererii turistice pentru Within this achiziionarea unor servicii i bunuri legate dearticle we conducted a motivaia turistica. quantitative analysis of Evolu ia circulaiei turistice este determinattourism demand and de o serie de factori, unii eseniali, alii cu o influen consumption in mai redus i mai puin semnificativ. Astfel, n Romania in the period analiza conexiunilor vom utiliza modele de corelaie 1999-2009 based on neparametric. the information Principalele variabile analizate au fost: provided by the sosirile de turiti n spaiile de cazare turistic din National Institute of Romnia, nnoptrile turitilor n structurile de primirestatistics, through the turistic din ara noastr, capacitatea de cazare n Statistical Yearbook of Romania and funciune. publications "tourism

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Analele Universitii Constantin Brncui din Trgu Jiu, Seria Economie, Nr. 3/2011

turist ice

Anali 2 za .

indicatorilor

circulai ei

2.

Analysis of tourist traffic indicators In the table no. 1 we surprised the number

n tabelul nr. 1 am surprins evoluia numrului de turiti

of tourists in evolution

An i Year s

Evoluia numrului de turiti n Romnia n perioada 1999 2009 The evolution of the number of tourists in Romania in the period 1999 2009 Tabelul nr. 1 /Table No. 1 Indicatori absolui Indicatori relativi Absolute indicators Relative indicators Numr turiti Indicatorii dinamicii( (I Modificri absolute ( t) %) Ritmul dinamicii (R) Number of Absolute changes tourists yt
1/ 1 /

Dynamics of indicators It/1 It/t-1

The pace of growth Rt/1 Rt/t-1

19 99 20 00 20 01 20 02 20 03 20 04 20 05 20 06 20 07 20 08 20 09

5726985

4920129

-806856

-806856

85.91

85.91

-14.09

-14.09

4874777

-852208

-45352

85.12

99.08

-14.88

-0.92

4847496

-879489

-27281

84.64

99.44

-15.36

-0.56

5056693

-670292

209197

88.30

104.32

-11.70

4.32

8478311

2751326

3421618

148.04

167.67

48.04

67.67

7779327

2052342

-698984

135.84

91.76

35.84

-8.24

6423934

696949

-1355393

112.17

82.58

12.17

-17.42

9208588

3481603

2784654

160.79

143.35

60.79

43.35

9772205

4045220

563617

170.63

106.12

70.63

6.12

11288518

5561533

1516313

197.11

115.52

97.11

15.52

Din tabelul 1, se poate constata faptul

c numrul turitilor pe parcursul perioadei

1999 - 2009, se ncadreaz pe un trend ascendent. Valoarea minim de 4847496 turiti este nregistrat n In table 1, you 2002, iar valoarea maxim fiind nregistrat spre sfritulmay find that the perioadei, n anul 2009 de 11288518 turiti. n anul 2009number of tourists se nregistreaz o cretere fa de anul 2008 a numrului during the period 1999de turiti cu 1516313. 2009, coming on an Indicatorii relativi prezint n primii ani ai uptrend. The minimum perioadei analizate scderi i respectiv creteri succesivevalue of 4847496 n urmtorii ani. travelers recorded in n medie, pe toat perioada analizat (1999-2002, and the 2009) numrul total de turiti a nregistrat o medie anual maximum value being de 7125178 turiti/an, cu o cretere medie cu 556153 recorded towards the turiti, respectiv cu o tendin de cretere n medie cu end of the period, in 1,02% a numrului de turiti n fiecare an. 2009 of 11288518 tourists. In 2009 an 3. Analiza capacitii de cazare n funciune increase compared to 2008 the number of tourists with 1516313. Capacitatea de cazare n funciune, element Relative esenial n derularea procesului de cazare, este un indicators presented in indicator cu profunde implicaii n stabilirea eficienei the early years of the activitii turistice. period considered the successive decreases and increases in the coming years. On average throughout the period

under review (19992009) the total number of tourists has experienced an annual average of 7125178 tourists per year, with an increase in average with 556153 tourists, respectively a growth trend in average by 1.02% of the number of tourists every year. 3. Accommodation capacity analysis in operation Accommodatio n capacity in operation, the essential element in the process of accommodation is an indicator with profound implications in setting efficiency.

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Analele Universitii Constantin Brncui din Trgu Jiu, Seria Economie, Nr. 3/2011 The evolution accommodation into service requires a of the capacity of Evoluia capacitii de cazare n funciune, graphical accommodation, from n perioada 1999 2009 este prezentat n tabelul 2. representation of 1999-2009 is shown in Studierea evoluiei capacitii de cazare n statistical data, as well table 2. funciune presupune o reprezentare grafic a datelor as a dynamic analysis. Study of the statistice, precum i o analiz n dinamic a evolution of the acesteia. capacity of C ap ac ita te a 5036 mii locuri Dup cum sezile n poate observa din tabelul2009. 3, n anul 1999 capacitatea de cazare nn cazul funciune n Romnia eracapacit de de 51275 mii locuri zile. ii cazare n Dup un uor declinfunciun nregistrat n perioadae se 2000 2002 (50197 miipoate locuri zile n anul 2000,utiliza n respectiv 50752 miicondiii bune locuri zile n anul 2002), 2 (R =0.9 capacitatea de cazare n0) un funciune a crescutmodel continuu ajungnd laliniar: 59188 mii locuri zile n y anul 2008, respectiv de cazare n period 1999 cazare 512 501 funciune n 2009 (mii locuri zile) 75 97 perioada 1999 Touristic capacity Tabelul nr. 2Table no. 2 2009 (thou places-days) Touristic accommodation Sursa: Anuarele statistice; INS capacity in the Capacitatea de = I As can be seen the from table 3, in 1999, then 1 accommodation capacity incase of 0 operation in Romania wasaccomm 5 51275 thou places-days.odation 2 After a slightly declinecapacity x recorded in the period 2000in to 2002 (50197 thouoperatio + places-days in the yearn can be 2000, i.e. 50752 thouused in 4 places-days in 2002),good 8 accommodation capacity inconditio 1 operation continuouslyns (R2 = 0 increased reaching 591880.90) a 9 thou places-days in 2008,linear i.e. 5036 thou places-daysmodel: y in = 1 0 5 2 x + 4 8 1 0 9
518 82 507 52

51 32

l 1 Evoluia capacitii de cazare Gn funciune din raficu Romnia, n

perioada 1999 2009 Graph 1 Evolution of

accom modat ion

capaci ion in Romania, during ty in the period 1999 2009 operat

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Analele Universitii Constantin Brncui din Trgu Jiu, Seria Economie, Nr. 3/2011 4. Analysis of indices of net use of accommodation the evolution of 4. Analiza evoluiei indicilor de utilizare capacity in operation indices of net use of net a capacitii de cazare n funciune during the analysis accommodation Evolu ia indicilor de utilizare net a period is presented in capacitii de cazare n funciune n perioada capacity in operation table no. 3. analizat, este prezentat n tabelul nr.3. Evolution of
I n d i c i i d e u t i l i z a r e n e t a c a p a c i t i i d e c a z a r e t u r istic n func iune (%) Indic es of net usin g the touri stic acco mmo datio n capa city in oper ation (%)

Tabelul nr. 3/ Table no. 3

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 34.5 35.2 34.9 34.0 34,6 34,3 33,4 33,6 36.0 Sursa: Anuarul Statistic al Romniei, Ediia 2010 nn lor n In thestays n structurile de perioada establishments of touristic opt primire turistic din I 1999 reception of Romania the ri Romnia indicele de indices of net using then the 2009 utilizare net a capacitiilor exprimat touristic accommodationtable no. de cazare turistic n n mii decapacity in operation was4 shows funciune a avut n during the period underthe zilen tabelul perioada analizat (1999 turiti review (1999-2009) withevolutio -2009) un nivel mediu denr. 4 este an average of 34%, then of the 34%, cel mai nalt nivelprezenta highest level of thetotal al acestuia nregistrndu-t recording in 2007. number evoluia se n anul 2007. numrul 5. Analysis of the of overnigh ui total 5. Analiza evolution of the total t stays in al evoluiei number of overnight the nnoptri numrului total al

2008 35.0

2009 28,4

period 1999 2009 expresse d in thousand s of daytourists.

Evoluia numrului total al nnoptrilor n perioada 1999 2009 The evolution of the total number of overnight stays in the period 1999 2009 Tabelul nr. 4/ Table no. 4 199 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 9 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Numrul nnoptrilor (mii turiti-zile) Number of overnight stays (thou tourists-days)

176 70

176 47

181 22

172 77

178 45

185 01

183 73

189 92

205 93

207 26

173 25

Sursa: Anuarul nre Statistic al gistr Romniei, Ediia eaz 2010 n anul Valoare 200 a minim a2. nnoptrilor sen

anii cele mai ridicatefa 200 valori, iar n anulde 7 i2009 seanul 200 nregistreaz o200 8 sevaloare a8. nre nnoptrilor cu gistr 3401 de mii zile eaz turiti mai sczut

night stays arewith he recorded in 2002.thou miniIn 2007 and 2008san mu recorded theds m highest values,of valu and in 2009 theytour e ofrecorded a valueists over of overnight stays340 evolution of the total

1 days low er than in 200 8.

voluia numrului total al nnoptrilor n structurile de

pri mi re tur

number stays isti Romnia n of overnight po in touristic of Romania in c perioada 1999 lin period 1999-2009 by di 2009 prin om n trend ial

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Analele Universitii Constantin Brncui din Trgu Jiu, Seria Economie, Nr. 3/2011 6. index use net of tourist Conclusions accommodation 6. Concluzii capacity in use was The number during the period Numrul turitilor n structurile de primire of tourists at touristic under review (1999turistic din Romnia n perioada analizat prezint 2009) with an average o tendin general de cretere, atingnd n anulin Romania over the period considered of 34%. 2009 valoarea maxim de 11288518 turiti . Capacitatea de cazare n funciune ashows a general trend crescut continuu ajungnd la 59188 mii locuri zileof growth in 2009, 7. n anul 2008, respectiv 5036 mii locuri zile n 2009. reaching a maximum Bibliography n structurile de primire turistic dinamount of 11288518 Romnia indicele de utilizare net a capacitii detourists. [1]. Statistical Accommodat cazare turistic n funciune a avut n perioada Yearbook of ion capacity in analizat (1999 -2009) un nivel mediu de 34%. operation continuously Romania, increased reaching 2010 [2]. 59188 thou placeswww.insse.ro. days in 2008, i.e. 5036 7. Bibliografie thou places-days in [1]. Anuarul Statistic al Romniei, 2010 2009. In the [2]. www.insse.ro touristic Romania

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