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2012 KBW Conference Presentation
2012 KBW Conference Presentation
This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, which reflect our current views with respect to, among other things, our operations and financial performance. In some cases, you can identify these forwardlooking statements by the use of words such as outlook, believes, expects, potential, continues, may, will, should, seeks, approximately, predicts, intends, plans, estimates, anticipates or the negative version of these words or other comparable words. All statements other than statements of historical fact included in this presentation are forward-looking statements and are based on various underlying assumptions and expectations and are subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties and assumptions, and may include projections of our future financial performance based on our growth strategies and anticipated trends in our business. Such forward-looking statements are subject to various risks and uncertainties. Accordingly, there are or will be important factors that could cause actual outcomes or results to differ materially from those indicated in these statements. We believe these factors include, but are not limited to, those described under Risk Factors discussed in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2011 and subsequent Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q and current reports filed under Form 8-K. These factors should not be construed as exhaustive and should be read in conjunction with the other cautionary statements that are included in this discussion. In addition, new risks and uncertainties emerge from time to time, and it is not possible for us to predict all risks and uncertainties, nor can we assess the impact of all factors on our business or the extent to which any factor, or combination of factors, may cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statements. Accordingly, you should not rely upon forward-looking statements as a prediction of actual results and we do not assume any responsibility for the accuracy or completeness of any of these forward-looking statements. We undertake no obligation to publicly update or review any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future developments or otherwise.
Overview of Evercore
Strategic Objective: Create the premier global independent investment banking advisory firm delivering superior returns to investors
Advisory
Ranked among the top 3 independent M&A advisors globally in each of the past 3 years(1)
Institutional Equities
Serving more than half of the top 50 institutional money managers and top 50 hedge funds in the U.S.
Wealth Management
Managing $4.5 billion(2) of assets for high net worth individuals and family offices
Investment Management
Completed three investments in boutique institutional investment managers and one private equity manager
(1) (2)
Based on announced transaction volume Includes $645 million in assets under management through the acquisition of Mt. Eden Investment Advisors
Investment highlights
Fastest growing global investment banking advisory firm Consistently advising on leading transactions
Investment Banking
Market environment
Secular trends for M&A remain positive M&A recovery slowed in the second half of 2011 and early in 2012 Volatile markets impact pace of recovery
1980 2012 global announced M&A deal volume ($ in billions)
7 years
8 years 5 years
$4,200 $3,900 $3,600 $3,300 $3,000 $2,700 $2,400 $2,100 $1,800 $1,500 $1,200 $900 $600 $300 $0 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12*
($ in billions)
$1,000
882
$800
664
789 647 509 441 446 540 682 707 673 605
551 560 491
610
$600
501 487
540
$400
$200
$0 Q1 08 Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q1 09 Q2 09 Q3 09 Q4 09 Q1 10 Q2 10 Q3 10 Q4 10 Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12
($ in billions)
324 281 228 227 239 182 152 125 265 220 234 175 222
$200
324
348
284
$300 237 237 181 136 138 111 $100 106 147 169 206 192 199 142 153 200 172 99
158
$100
$0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 08 08 08 08 09 09 09 09 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 11 12 12 12
$0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 08 08 08 08 09 09 09 09 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 11 12 12 12
$400
$400
$300
$200
186 129 141 93 71 87 155 107 112 125 156 140 130 104 119 132
$200
$100 36
77 49 19 34 23 24 20
34
76 40 43 44 32 37 33 29 48 14
$0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 08 08 08 08 09 09 09 09 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 11 12 12 12
Source: Thomson Reuters as of 10/4/2012
$0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 08 08 08 08 09 09 09 09 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 11 12 12 12
$4,846.9 3,664.5 3,577.9 3,423.5 2,917.8 2,437.1 2,369.7 1,398.7 1,324.1 1,238.1 1,008.4
YTD 2012 1 Goldman Sachs 2 JP Morgan 3 Credit Suisse 4 Morgan Stanley 5 Barclays 6 Citi 7 Deutsche Bank 8 Evercore Partners 9 Bank of America Merrill Lynch 10 Lazard 11 UBS YTD 2012 1 Goldman Sachs 2 Morgan Stanley 3 JP Morgan 4 Deutsche Bank 5 Credit Suisse 6 Citi 7 Bank of America Merrill Lynch 8 Barclays 9 UBS 10 Lazard 11 Rothschild 13 Evercore Partners
1
$205.9 163.0 153.9 127.8 123.7 115.6 111.5 103.3 96.2 71.6 53.5
U.S.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 14
$9,071.4 7,671.1 7,054.6 6,497.3 6,263.7 5,190.3 4,414.7 3,954.7 3,163.8 3,127.1 2,735.7 1,189.4
8
$569.6 417.9 383.4 358.5 357.2 351.7 295.1 275.2 197.6 191.7 162.4 122.3
Global
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
$1,008.4 415.7 366.5 301.9 289.9 211.3 202.9 186.5 164.3 95.7
1
YTD 2012 1 Evercore Partners 2 Centerview 3 Greenhill 4 Perella Weinberg 5 Moelis 6 Tudor Pickering 7 Houlihan Lokey 8 Qatalyst 9 Blackstone 10 LionTree YTD 2012 1 Evercore Partners 2 Centerview 3 Greenhill 4 Lambert 5 Moelis 6 Perella Weinberg 7 Houlihan Lokey 8 Tudor Pickering 9 Blackstone 10 Ondra
$103.3 50.6 34.7 26.0 20.4 19.4 12.9 7.6 7.0 6.6
1
U.S.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
$1,189.4 783.2 533.3 524.7 465.0 289.4 263.0 234.2 231.3 200.5
$122.3 83.7 48.1 33.3 32.9 31.4 21.6 19.7 14.2 13.0
Global
2010
Advised
2011
Advised
2012
Advised
2009
2010
2011
2012
2012
2012
2012
10
159%
2008 - 2012
17%
(4%)
(16%) (18%) (19%) (23%) (26%) (26%) (29%) (32%) (35%) (57%)
EVR
GHL
LAZ
CS
DB
PJC
BX
MS
GS
BACML
JPM
UBS
Source: Company reports and SEC filings; 2012 annualized based on 9M 2012
11
($ in millions)
Market share has grown at 27% CAGR from 2001 to the first nine months of 2012
4.5%
4.3%
450
400 350
300
2.6%
2.5%
250 200
150 1.3%
100
0.5% 0.0%
50 -
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
9M 12
Market Share
Source: Company reports and SEC filings Total fee pool includes all advisory revenues from Bank of America (includes Merrill Lynch), Blackstone, Citigroup, Credit Suisse, Deutsche Bank, Evercore, Greenhill, Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan (includes Bear Sterns pre-acquisition), Lazard, Morgan Stanley, Piper Jaffray and UBS
12
($ in millions)
Evercore is gaining advisory fees at a faster pace relative to the global independent advisory firms and separating itself from other publicly traded boutique advisory firms
Advisory Revenues
EVR 2012 vs. 2008: 159% LAZ 2012 vs. 2008: (4%)
1
$1,121
$990
$992
$986
$1,000 $1,000
$992
$907
$800
$600
$462 $406 $400 $287 $200 $178 n/a $0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 $291
$218 $216
$303 $252
$255
GHL Source: Company Filings; 1. 2012 annualized based on 9M 2012 2. Rothschild revenue for 2010 and 2011 is based on publicly available information for Paris Orleans, the primary holding company for the Rothschild Group; converted using an exchange rate of $1.286: 1.0 (rate as of 9/30/2012). Prior year amounts are not publicly reported; however such amounts are reported to be comparable. Rothschilds fiscal year ends on March 31 EVR
LAZ
ROTH
13
$16.0
50
46 41
40
$12.0
9.0 8.9 7.9
7.2
34 30
8.0 7.8 7.1
28 21
$8.0
7.6
6.9
8.1
20
$4.0
10
$0.0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Global 2011 LTM to Q3 2012
2010
2011
YTD 2012
U.S.
Mexico
(1) Pro Forma revenue per SMD including Lexicon; Lexicon revenues presented for fiscal years ending in March 31 of each year (2) Uses beginning of period SMD count; includes 6 SMDs for Mexico for 2006 2009, and 7 SMDs in 2010 and 2011; includes 8 Lexicon SMDs for 2006 2009, 9 SMDs in 2010 and 7 SMDs in 2011
14
Annually
contributes $2.40 $5.60 in per share value(2)
Alignment of interests
Targeting 55% compensation ratio excluding new senior managing directors Disciplined cost management 15 20% non-compensation ratio, over time
(1) Based on average revenue per newly hired SMD in the U.S. by recruiting year (2) Assumes marginal EPS ranging from $0.15 - $0.35 and multiple of 16x
15
Focus on delivering distinctive value and service while increasing and optimizing revenue per client
Top quartile in votes from eleven leading long-only and hedge fund clients Revenue generated from the top 30 clients for the first nine months of the year increased by 32% year-over-year
16
Since formation, 37 transactions underwritten across seven industries, helping to raise approximately $26 billion for issuers
Mexico Completed a follow-on offering raising $690 million for leading public REIT in
Mexico
17
Investment Management
ABS 44%
Wealth Management
Private Equity
Trilantic ~10.0%
19
1. Includes $645 million in assets under management through the acquisition of Mt. Eden Investment Advisors
20
Investment Management
Business is a profit contributor, with assets primarily tied to equity markets
Assets under management ($ in billions)
$18
$16.1 $16.9
$17.3
$16.2
$16
$14
$14.8
$21
$13.2 $13.0 $12.9 $11.8 $11.6
$18 $15
$12 $10
$13.7
$12
$8
$9.3
$9.7 $8.4
$9
$6 $4
$2
$2.0 $3.8 $4.2
$6
$3.5
$5.5
$2.9 $2.3
$3 $0
21
Financials
$90
$427
$60
$63 $51
$300
$212
$45
$41
$193
$30
$22
$15
$16 $8 $4
04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 9M 9M 11 12
$0
03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11
9M 9M 11 12
03
(1) Net revenues and net income reflect Adjusted Pro Forma figures. A reconciliation to the equivalent GAAP figures is available in the Investor Relations sections at www.evercore.com
23
Financial performance
We remain focused on controlling non-compensation costs as we invest in the growth of our business The YTD 2012 non-compensation ratio of 22% reflects acquisition-related facilities costs
Non-compensation expense ratio(1)
30%
25%
24%
21%
$200
20% 19%
22%
$150 $143 $126 $132 $131 $100 $99
20% 15%
18%
17%
$100
(1) Figures are on an Adjusted Pro Forma basis. A reconciliation to the equivalent GAAP figures is available in the Investor Relations sections at www.evercore.com (2) Headcount is based on an average of heads for the period and excludes depreciation and amortization costs, and acquisition and transition costs of $2.4 million, $2.3 million, $2.3 million, $11.1 million and $14.0 million for the year ended 2007, 2008, 2009, 2010 and 2011 and $10.0 million and $9.7 million for 9M 2011 and 9M 2012 respectively
24
Compensation ratio
Committed to a goal of a compensation ratio at 55%, but pace of achieving goal must be balanced against investments for future growth
Compensation ratio(1) LTM compensation ratio(1)
100%
100%
80%
71% 72% 60%
80%
75% 76%
71%
60%
58% 58%
59% 59%
62%
63%
61%
60%
61% 61% 60% 60% 59% 60% 60% 60% 59% 60%
40%
40%
20%
20%
0%
0%
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 09 09 09 09 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 11 12 12 12
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 09 09 09 09 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 11 12 12 12
(1) A reconciliation to the equivalent GAAP figures is available in the Investor Relations sections at www.evercore.com
25
$ 56.8
(2)
Dividends paid
28.9 75.2
(1) Adjusted Pro Forma Net income as of 9/30/2012 (2) Includes dividends to Class A shareholders and equivalent amounts distributed to holders of LP units.
26