Design: Pham ai Vng

Lp: 10TC116
AS =A0+[Cm(1-Tm)+ Im-Mm]Y+Imr.r P
m.H

Trng H Lac Hng

Tng cu: AD=C+I=C+I+G+X-M=

H

=> Ao=Co+Io+Go-Cm.To+Xo-Mo. Tng cung: AS=Y= (rr + e )(1 C ) + C = P Chi tiu t inh(S0)S0+C0=0 Tiu dung t inh(C0)Sm+Cm=1 Tiu dung h gia inh: C=C0+Cm.Yd=(C0-Cm.T0)+Cm(1-Tm)Y Khuynh hng tiu dung bin(Cm;MPC)= Tit kim: S=Yd-C=Y-T-C=So+Sm.Yd Khuynh hng tit kim bin(Sm;MPS)= u t: I=Io+Im.Yd = De + IN Khuynh hng u t bin(Sm;MPI)=
I , Yd tng 1 n vi=>I tng Im n vi Y S , Yd tng 1 n vi=>S tng Sm n vi Yd C ,Yd tng 1 n vi=>S tng Sm n vi Yd

Xut khu rong(Can cn thng mai) NX=X-M Chi tiu chinh phu: G=Cg+Ig Thu: Tx=Ti+Td=Tx0+Tm.Y Thu gian thu: Ti Thu trc thu: Td Thu rong: T=Tx-Tr=(Tx0-Tr0)+Tm.Y Thu bin: Tm=
Tx Y

Gia tri gia tng: VA u t rong: IN Cung tin t: SM=k.H Cu tin t: LM=L1+L2=Lo+Lmr.r+Lm.Y=
L1 Lm = Y Y

Lo=Lo1+Lo2 Lmr=
Lm r

Ti gia hi oai: e Lai sut(r)=Tin lai(i)-Lam phat( ) S nhn cua tng cu: k=

Y 1 1 = = AD 1 Cm Im 1 Cm (1 Tm ) Im+ Mm

Tin mt ngoai ngn hang: CM Tin gi khng ki han(sec): DM Lng tin d tr trong Ngn Hang: RM S nhn cua tin: m=kM= H = H = C + ( rr + er )(1 C ) = c + d >1
M M 1 c +1

c=

Cm >0 Dm Rm <1 d= Dm

Khi lng tin manh: H=CM+DM .Vn: K. Chi s lam phat theo GDP: Id

Design: Pham ai Vng

Lp: 10TC116

Trng H Lac Hng

Khi lng tin danh nghia: M =CM+DM. Tin thu: R. Ti l cn bng sc mua: PPP m 1 C1 (Co Co.Io + Go + Io) 1 C1 m.H +( )Y = 1Y. ( ) => dc Tin lai: i= I1 I1 m 2 .P m 2 I1 Li nhun trc thu:Pr, . San lng tim nng:Yp. Tit kim chinh phu:Sg=T-Cg Yt Yt 1 100% Tc tng trng KT: g= (g<0 nn KT suy thoai) Yt 1 Pt Pt 1 100% Ti l lam phat: If = Pt 1 San lng thu nhp Quc Gia: Y = C+I= Yd+T= C+S+T= Co+C1(Y-Io)Co+Io+Io.i =kA0+kImr.r= Thu nhp kha dung: Yd=Y-Ti-Td+Tr =Y-T+Tr =Y-T =C+S =Y-De-Ti- Tit kim khu vc nc ngoai: Sf =M-X. Chi chuyn nhng: Tr. S nhn tiu dung: kc =
Y . C
Co + Io Io So Co Cm.To + Io + Go + Xo Mo = = 1 Cm Im Sm Im 1 Cm(1 Tm) Im+ Mm

np + khng chia

+Tr-Td

S nhn u t: kI=

Y . I

S nhn thu: kTx =

Y Tx

.P * (P_gia thc;P*_gia danh nghia) P H .m = Y .L(i ) AD= G; Y=k. AD; Y=Y= Y. Cung tin thc=Cu tin thc P M = Y.L(i) P H .m AD = AS =m1.Y+m2.i P

Lai sut thc: rr. Lai sut danh nghia: er. Ti gia thc: =

Y thp hn Yp 2%=>U tng 1% so vi Un(ti l tht nghip t nhin). Ti l tht nghip thc t: U=Un+
Yp Y 100 . Yp 20

Y tng nhanh hn Yp 2,5%=>U giam 1% : Ut=Uo-0,4(g-p) g, p :tc tng cua Y, Yp * Tc tng trng KT la ti l phn trm gia tng hang nm cua san lng QG thc hay cua san namnay namtruoc lng(thu nhp) binh qun u ngi = namtruoc 100%
1t Tc tng trng binh qun hang nm: g1t = Y 1100%
1

Yt

* ng gii han kha nng san xut la tp hp cac phi hp ti a s lng cac loai san phm ma nn KT co th at c khi s dung toan b cac ngun lc cua nn KT. * San lng tim nng(Yp) la san lng ma nn KT at c tng ng vi ti l tht nghip t nhin(Un) va ti l lam phat va phai ma nn KT co th chp nhn c. * Chi tiu theo chi phi yu t=Chi tiu theo gia thi trng-Thu gian thu. * Chi tiu thc: t= Chi tiu danh nghia <Chia>Chi s gia Chi tiu c dung so sanh tc tng trng KT qua cac nm Chi s gia la chi tiu phan anh ti l thay i gia ca 1 nm nao o so vi nm gc. Chi tiu QG= Chi tiu quc ni + Thu nhp yu t rong t nc ngoai. * Gia tri gia tng la san lng gia tng trong gia tri cua hang hoa do kt qua cua qua trinh san xut bng tng gia tri hang hoa, dich vu.

Design: Pham ai Vng

Lp: 10TC116

Trng H Lac Hng

* Khu hao(De): u t thay th, bu p hao mon tai san c inh = Tng u t - u t rng. * u t rong(IN) nhm m rng quy m va tng kha nng san xut( ca hang tn kho) * Tng chi tiu la thc o toan b gia tri hang hoa va dich vu c san xut ra ban trong sut mt nm. Y=C+I+G+X-M * Tin thu(R) do s dung tai san hu hinh. Tin lng (w) do s dung ngun lao ng. Tin lai (i) do vic s dung vn. Li nhun ( hay Pr) do vic quan li. Tng thu nhp (Y) =R+w+i+ +Ti+De * Tng san phm quc ni (GDP) la gia tri bng tin cua toan b san phm cui cung c san xut ra trn lanh th cua 1 nc tinh trong khoang thi gian nht inh. GDP bao gm san phm cui cung, san xut ra nm hin hanh, co th ban nm sau. + Tinh theo gia tri gia tng, theo chi ph sn xut: GDP= VA = ( Gia tri san lng- Gia tri san phm trung gian) + Tinh theo chi tiu, theo phng php lung sn phm cui cng: GDP=C+I+G+X-M + Tinh theo thu nhp: GDP=R+w+i+ +Ti+De * Tng san phm quc dn (GNP)la chi tiu phan anh gia tri bng tin cua toan b san phm cui cung do cng dn mt nc san xut ra trong khoang thi gian nht inh. GNP =GDP-NFFI(Theo gi th trng)=GDP+NIA (NIA= CD Vit Nam nc ngoai CD nc ngoai Vit Nam). Theo gi sn xut: GNPfc=GNP-Ti. GNPThc= Chisogia 100 . T l lm pht: If =
GNP Chisogianamsau Chisogianamtruoc 100% Chisogianamtruoc

+ Thu nhp yu t rong t nc ngoai (NFFI) =IFFI( Thu nhp yu t chuyn vao)- OFEI( Thu nhp yu t chuyn ra) => Chi tiu thc=Chi tiu danh nghia/chi s gia=Gia . Lng * San phm quc ni rong(NDP) =GDP-De * San phm quc dn rong (NNP) =GNP-De * Thu nhp quc dn (NI)= NNPfc=NNPmp-Ti; (fc_ chi phi yu t, mp_gia thi trng) * Thu nhp ca nhn(PI)= NI - np+khng chia+Tr * Thu nhp kha dung(DI)=PI-Tca nhn. Tng ro ri= Tng bm vao S+T+M=I+G+X hay (S-I)+(T-G)+(M-X)=0 Tng tit kim = Tng u t S+Sg+Sf=I+Ig * Xut khu la lng hang hoa va dich vu c san xut trong nc va c ban ra nc ngoai=Const. * Nhp khu la lng hang hoa, dich vu c san xut nc ngoai va c tiu thu trong nc.
AD . S dung cng cu chi ngn sach: G = AD Cm S dung hn hp thu va chi ngn sach: -Cm T + G = AD * San lng quc gia: Y = k .X = k .M . Cai thin can cn thng mai: M = MmY = Mm(k .X ) = (k .Mm) X .

+ Tai khoa s dung cng cu thu: T =

* Tin la phng tin c tha nhn chung thanh toan cho vic giao hang hoc thanh toan n nn.
Mo do khach hang ki gi lng cung tin tng thm: M = Mo. Lng tin ban u
1 . d

* Gi tin: giao dich, d phong: L1 =Lo1+Lm.Y. u c: L2=Lo2+Lmr.r.

Design: Pham ai Vng

Lp: 10TC116

Trng H Lac Hng

I Y ; I = AD ; r = r ; Im k

* inh lng cho chinh sach tin t: Y =Yd-Y=> AD =

M = Lr r m .

* ng IS la tp hp cac t hp khac nhau gia lai sut( r) va san lng(Y ) ma t o thi trng hang hoa cn bng. La ng dc xung, AD=AS hay Y= AD Y=Ao+[Cm(1-Tm)+Im-Mm]Y+Imr.r=k.Ao+k.Imr.r * ng LM la tp hp cac t hp khac nhau gia lai sut va san lng ma tai o thi trng tin t cn bng vi mc cung tin t thc khng i. La ng dc ln. LM=Lo+Lm.Y+Lmr.r. SM=LM => M =Lo+Lm.Y+Lmr.r => Pt LM: r =
M Lo Lm R Y LR LM M

* Thi trng tin t cn bng: IS: AS=AD Va LM: SM=LM * M rng tin t: Y => r * Tng cu AD: IS:Y =k(Ao+Imr.r) Va LM: LM=
W * Tng cung: + Tin lng thc wr = P
M P

+ Ham cu v lao ng LD = ao+a1wr b1 + Ham san xut Y= bo+ LD * Mc gia chung la mc gia trung binh cua tt ca hang hoa va dich vu trong nn KT. * Lam phat la tinh trang mc gia chung cua nn KT tng ln trong 1 khoang thi gian nht inh. * Giam phat la tinh trang mc gia chung giam lin tuc trong 1 khoang thi gian nht inh. * Giam lam phat mc gia chung tng ln nhng tc tng thp hn so vi thi ki trc. * Chi s gia la chi s phan anh s thay i cua gia ca hang hoa va dich vu cua mt nm nao o so vi nm trc o hoc nm gc. qit . pit t t * Chi s gia hang tiu dung: CPI i = t 0 100% ( qi la khi lng i nm t, pi la gia i nm t) qi . pi * Lam phat va phai( lam phat 1 con s) P chm, di 10% mt nm, ng tin n inh. * Lam phat phi gia (2,3 con s) P 20% - 200% mt nm, ng tin mt gia. * Siu lam phat( 4 con s) P ln hon 1000% mt nm, dng tin mt gia nghim trong. * Lai sut thc = Lai sut danh nghia Ty l lam phat + Lam phat do cung: P chung tng; san lng (Y) QG giam; ti l tht nghip tng. + Lam phat do cu : P chung tng; Y QG giam; ti l tht nghip giam. * Thuyt s lng v tin t: M .V=P.Y (V_ tc lu thng tin t) * Lc lng lao ng la nhng ngi co tui lao ng co kha nng lao ng ang tim nic hay co ng ki tim vic. * Tht nghip la nhng ngi trong tui lao ng co kha nng lao ng ang tim vic lam hay co ng ki tim vic lam. Ti l tht nghip= (S ngi tht nghip/Lc lng lao ng)100% (Tht nghip tam thi, c cu, chu ki)(t nguyn, khng t nguyn) Theo L Okun: Ti l tht nghip tng 1% => San lng giam 2%. * Thi trng ngoai hi la thi trng QT ma o ng tin cua QG nay co th i ly ng tin cua QG khac.

Design: Pham ai Vng

Lp: 10TC116

Trng H Lac Hng

* Ti gia hi oai(e) la mc gia ma tai o 2 ng tin chuyn i cho nhau. * Ti gia hi oai danh nghia la ti s phan anh lng ni t thu c khi i 1 n vi ngoai t hoc lng ngoai t thu c khi i mt n vi ni t. Lng thu c = Lng ngoai t X e Cu ngoai t: Nhp khu hang hoa, dich vu, vn va cac khoan chuyn nhng t nc ngoai Cung ngoai t: Xut khu hang hoa, dich vu, vn va cac khoan chuyn nhng cua nc ngoai vao trong nc. * Ti gia hi oai cn bng la mc ti gia ma o lng cung va lng cu ngoai t trn thi trng ngoai hi bng nhau. : cung ngoai t tng, cu ngoai t giam. e e : cung ngoai t giam, cu ngoai t tng. * Ti gia hi oai tha ni la ti gia c t do bin ong at mc cn bng cua thi trng ngoai hi. * Ti gia hi oai c inh la ti gia CP ng y duy tri kha nng chuyn i ng tin nc ngoai. * Ti gia tha ni co quan li la s kt hp 2 yu t trn. * Ti gia hi oai thc( er) la ti gia phan anh tng quan gia ca hang hoa cua 2 nc c tinh theo 1 trong 2 loai tin cua hai nc o. er = Gia ca hang nc ngoai tinh bng ni t / Gia hang trong nc tinh bng ni t = P = 0 e (Po, (P)_ Gia X san xut nc ngoai tinh bng ngoai t,( tinh bng ni t) P * Can cn thanh toan( BOP): cac khoan ghi chep tt ca cac giao dich cua dn c va chinh phu 1 nc vi cac nc khac trong 1 thi ki nht inh. + Tai khoan vang lai: CA= X-M + Tai khoan vn: K= Vn vao Vn ra = Ko+Km.r + Can cn thanh toan: BOP = X-M-K (=0 cn bng, <0 thm hut, >0 thng d) * ng BP: (X-M) +K=0, la tp hp nhng phi hp gia san xut va san lng ma o can cn thanh toan cn bng. Y=
Xo Mo + Ko Km + r Mm Mm

+ Pha gia tin t: Y<Yp; er cao, Y tng. + Nng gia tin t: Y>Yp; er thp, Y giam. BT: Cho san lng tim nng Yp, CP cn thay i cung tin bao nhiu san lng at mc tim r Dm Y nng. M = r . , Y = Yp-Y. Im k * Tim IS, LM: Tinh thu nhp kha dung: Yd=Y=T, Thu nhp h gia inh: C=> Thu nhp Y=C+I+G+XM, Rut Y ra c phng trinh IS + Ta co: SM=H.KM, Ma SM=LM, Rut r ra c pt LM.