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Proposed Method For Calculating Weibull Parameters
Proposed Method For Calculating Weibull Parameters
raw measured speed data rather than the binned frequency data. Because of binning, there is necessarily some loss of information. The Weibull parameters can be estimated from speed data using the maximum likelihood method (Seguro 2000) as follows:
N k N U ln U ln ( U j ) ( ) ( ) j j j =1 j =1 k= N k N (U j ) j =1
(5)
1 c= N
(U )
j =1 j
(6)
where Uj is the speed in timestep j and N is the total number of nonzero wind speed data points. ln is, of course, the natural log. (Care must be taken to include only the nonzero data points in the calculation since natural log of zero is not defined). Equation (5) must be solved iteratively for k (with k = 2 a reasonable starting point), and then equation (6) can be solved for c. Calculation of other parameters To calculate average speed, standard deviation and power density, measured time data is again better than binned data. Average speed is simply the average of all measured speeds, while standard deviation is given by:
U =
2 1 N U j U ) ( N 1 j =1
U
j =1
3 j
Wind Power Cumulative frequency distribution For calculating this, first convert the hourly average wind speeds into hourly power densities, using Pj = 1 3 U j 2
Then, create bins of power, bin the data, and calculate relative frequency of occurrence as well as cumulative frequency just as for speeds. Any suitable bin size, e.g. 25 W/m2, can be used.