Bi 1.

Cho i lng ngu nhin lin tc X c hm mt xc sut nh

sau:

0
khi x [ 0;4]

f ( x) = 3
a ( x + 2 x + 1) khi x [ 0;4]
a) Tm h s a
b) Tnh P(1 < X < 3)
c) Quan st i lng ngu nhin X 10 ln. Tm xc sut trong 10
ln quan st, c 4 ln X nhn gi tr trong khong (1;3)

d) Tnh E(X), D(X)

a) p dng tnh cht hm mt , ta c
1=

f ( x) dx = a ( x 3 + 2 x + 1) dx = 84 a a =

1
84

b) p dng nh ngha ca hm mt , ta c:
3
3 1
5
P(1 < X < 3) = f ( x) dx =
x3 + 2 x + 1 dx =
14
1
1 84
c) Gi A l bin c X nhn gi tr trong khong (1;3)

5
9
q = 1 p = Coi 10 ln quan st i
14
14

p = P ( A) = P( X (1;3) ) = P (1 < X < 3) =

lng ngu nhin X nh l dy 10 php th Becnuli, trong trong mi

ln th, bin c A xy ra vi xc sut p =

5
.
14

Gi Bk l bin c trong 10 ln quan st i lng ngu nhin X , c 4 ln

X nhn gi tr trong khong (1;3)
Tnh P( B4 ) = C104 . p 4 . q10 4
379016

d) Tnh E ( X ) = x. f ( x) dx = x.

10!
5 9
. .
4!(10 4)! 14 14

=0,24114264040

1
958
. ( x3 + 2 x + 1) dx =
84
315
2

1
65036
958
D ( X ) = x f ( x) dx ( E ( X )) = x . . ( x 3 + 2 x + 1) dx
=
84
99225
315

0
2

Bi 2.Bit trng lng cc bao go trong kho l i lng ngu nhin c

phn b chun vi lch chun bng 0,8(kg). Cn th mt s bao go
trong kho, ta thu c bng s liu sau:
Trng lng (48,5;49) (49;49,5)
Bao go (kg)
S bao
5
12

(49,5;50)

(50;50,5)

(50,5;51)

19

10

a) Vi tin cy 90%, cho mt c lng khong v trng lng cc

bao go trong kho.
b) Bit trng lng bao go theo quy nh l 50(kg). C kin cho rng
cc bao go b ng thiu. Vi mc ngha 2%, c th tr li ra sao
cho nghi ng ny.
Gi X l trng lng bao go trong kho. X c phn b chun N ( a;2 )
xi
48,75
49,25
49,75
50,25
50,75
ni
5
12
19
10
6
n = 52

x =49,75

a) tin cy = 0,9

1+
= 0,95 z0 = 1,644853627
2
lch chun = 0,8
( z0 ) =

Vi mu c th trn, vi tin cy 90%, c lng khong cho trng lng

trung bnh ca cc bao go trong kho s l:

z0 ; x +
z0 = ( 49,56751987406827;49,93248012593173)
x
n
n

b) a0 = 50

Tnh gi tr quan st ca tiu chun kim nh

zqs =

x a0
n = -2,2534695471649933

Kim nh:
H : a = 50

K : a < 50

Mc ngha = 0,02

( z0 ) = 1 = 0,98 z0 = 2,053748911

Min bc b gi thuyt W = { z R : z < z0 = 2,053748911}

zqs < z0 zqs W

Vi mu c th trn, vi mc ngha 2%, nghi ng trn l c c s.

Bi 3. Bit chiu di ca mt loi sn phm do nh my A l i lng
ngu nhin c phn b chun. o th chiu di ca mt s sn phm ta thu
c bng s liu nh sau:
Chiu di
(30;32) (32;34)
(34;36)
(36;38)
(38;40)
Sn phm (cm)
S sn phm
4
10
13
11
6

a) Vi tin cy 92%, cho mt c lng khong v chiu di ca sn

phm
b) Vi tin cy 94%, cho mt c lng khong v phng sai ca
chiu di sn phm
c) Bit chiu di theo quy nh ca sn phm l 35. Vi mc ngha
3%, kim nh kin cho rng chiu di ca sn phm nh my vt
qu quy nh
Gi X l chiu di ca sn phm. X c phn b chun
xi
31
33
35
37
ni
4
10
13
11

N ( a;2 )

39
6

n = 44

775
22
2659
2
s =
484
a) tin cy = 92%
x=

t0 = t1n1 = t043, 08 = 1,793054252

Vi mu c th trn, vi tin cy 92%, c lng khong cho chiu di

sn phm l:
s
s

t0 ; x +
t0 = ( 34,5863647308915; 35,86818072365395)
x
n 1
n 1

b) tin cy = 0,94
1
2(
; n 1) = 2 ( 0,03;43) = 62,05049525
2
1+
2(
; n 1) = 2 ( 0,97;43) = 27,32186597
2

Vi mu c th trn, vi mc tin cy 94%, c lng khong cho

phng sai ca chiu di sn phm l:

n s2
n s2

= ( 3.8956542047466214;
;
2 1
2 1 +

2 ; n 1 2 ; n 1

a0 = 35

Gi tr quan st tqs =

x a0
n 1 = 0,635835926998803
s

Kim nh:
H : a = 35

K : a > 35

Mc ngha = 0,03

t0 = t2n1 = t043,06 = 1,931729572

8,84739252409387 ) c)

Min bc b gi thuyt W = {t R : t > t0 = 1,931729572 }

tqs < t0 tqs W

Vi mu c th trn, vi mc ngha 3%, kin trn l khng ng.