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09.11.30 Presentacion Porter Delfines
09.11.30 Presentacion Porter Delfines
09.11.30 Presentacion Porter Delfines
Professor Michael E. Porter Harvard Business School Lima, Peru November 30, 2009
This presentation draws on ideas from Professor Porters books and articles, in particular, Competitive Strategy (The Free Press, 1980); Competitive Advantage (The Free Press, 1985); What is Strategy? (Harvard Business Review, Nov/Dec 1996); Strategy and the Internet (Harvard Business Review, March 2001); and a forthcoming book. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any meanselectronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwisewithout the permission of Michael E. Porter. Additional information may be found at the website of the Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness, www.isc.hbs.edu. Version: November 27, 2009
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20091130 Peru.ppt
Prosperity Performance
PPP-adjusted GDP per Capita, 2008 ($USD) $30,000
New Zealand
$25,000
Bahrain
Czech Republic
Estonia
$20,000
Libya
$15,000
Mexico
$10,000
Lebanon Belize
Algeria
Ecuador
Colombia
Peru
China Georgia
Tunisia
$5,000
Guyana Egypt Jordan Paraguay El Salvador Bolivia Honduras Philippines Nicaragua Pakistan Guatemala
$0 4% 6% 8% 10% Growth of Real GDP per Capita (PPP-adjusted), CAGR, 2004 to 2008 2 20091130 Peru.ppt Source: EIU (2009), authors calculations 0% 2% 12% 14%
Unemployment Performance
Unemployment Rate, 2008
Selected Countries
Dominican Republic (15.5%) Croatia Algeria Jordan Albania Colombia Turkey South Africa (22.9%) Tunisia
14%
Improving
Deteriorating
Iran Saudi Arabia
12%
10%
8%
6%
4%
Peru Syria Indonesia Egypt Brazil Argentina Uruguay Slovakia Hungary Chile Portugal Bolivia Greece Venezuela Ecuador Philippines Pakistan India Kazakhstan Slovenia Russia El Salvador Bulgaria Lithuania Ireland Israel T&T Estonia Panama Nicaragua Czech Rep. Paraguay Latvia Sri Lanka Costa Rica Vietnam Romania Mexico Cyprus Honduras Malaysia Korea Ukraine
Latin American countries Other countries Thailand
2%
0% -6%
-5%
-4%
-3%
-2%
-1%
0%
1%
2%
Poverty Rates
% of Population Under the Poverty Line
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0% 1997
20091130 Peru.ppt
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
4
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
Source: Informacion Socio Demografica, from El Instituto Nacional de Estadistica e Informatica (INEI), 2009
Copyright 2009 Professor Michael E. Porter
Export Performance
Exports of Goods and Services (% of GDP), 2008
100% 90% 80% 70% 60%
Cambodia Latin American Countries Other countries Ireland Estonia Belarus Malta Czech Republic Thailand Panama Malaysia (103.5%) Slovakia Libya Hungary Vietnam Saudi Arabia Paraguay Lithuania Tunisia Algeria Chile Macedonia Egypt
Selected Countries
Syria Romania Indonesia Sri Lanka El Salvador Iran Greece Argentina Guatemala Albania Colombia Turkey Brazil Pakistan Ethiopia
Bolivia China Morocco South Africa Ecuador Portugal Nicaragua Georgia Mexico Lebanon Peru India
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
0.80% 0.70% 0.60% 0.50% 0.40% 0.30% 0.20% 0.10% 0.00% 1997
20091130 Peru.ppt
1998
1999
2000
2001
6
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
80%
Latin American countries Other countries Tunisia Hungary Trinidad & Tobago
Estonia Jordan (46.5%, 81.8%) Lebanon (6.7%) Panama (48.2%) Cyprus Bulgaria (69%)
70%
Chile
60%
50%
Bolivia
40%
Venezuela South Africa Slovenia
Portugal Morocco
Cambodia Macedonia
Georgia
30%
Malaysia Thailand Honduras Latvia Egypt Poland Israel Lithuania Argentina Colombia Romania Mexico Ecuador Costa Rica El Salvador Brazil Russia
Bosnia
20%
Peru
10%
Ukraine Guatemala Paraguay Dominican Republic Turkey Malaysia Saudi Arabia China Pakistan Indonesia Sri Lanka Libya India Iran
UAE
Uruguay
0% 0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
Innovative Capacity
Innovation Output of Selected Countries
Average U.S. patents per 1 million population, 2004-2008
3.5
Czech Republic
3.0
Croatia
2.5
2.0
1.5
Portugal Russia
1.0
Argentina
Venezuela
Mexico
0.5
Peru
Philippines Ecuador Ukraine
India
China
Colombia
Turkey
0.0 -30%
20091130 Peru.ppt
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
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20%
30%
40%
Implementation of sound macroeconomic policies has allowed Peru to weather the current global crisis
Perus economy has been one of the most resilient in Latin America
BUT Prosperity remains low and large segments of the population lack access to basic needs High unemployment and inequality persist Peru is overly dependent on commodity exports with limited potential to drive job growth and economic diversification
Returning to 8 to 9% growth is possible only if Peru can substantially improve competitiveness Peru will need an ambitious economic and social strategy, building on the countrys unique competitive advantages
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Copyright 2009 Professor Michael E. Porter
20091130 Peru.ppt
What is Competitiveness?
Competitiveness depends on the productivity with which a nation uses its human, capital, and natural resources.
Productivity sets the sustainable standard of living (wages, returns on capital, returns on natural resources) It is not what industries a nation competes in that matters for prosperity, but how productively it competes in those industries Productivity in a national economy arises from a combination of domestic and foreign firms The productivity of local or domestic industries is fundamental to competitiveness, not just that of export industries
Only competitive businesses can create wealth and jobs Nations compete to offer the most productive environment for business The public and private sectors play different but interrelated roles in creating a productive economy
20091130 Peru.ppt
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Selected Countries
Austria Australia Kuwait Greece Saudi Arabia Germany Switzerland Japan Spain Singapore Oman Israel Malta Slovenia Korea Hungary Czech Republic Slovakia
$70,000
$60,000
$50,000
UAE
$40,000
$30,000
$20,000
$10,000
Estonia Poland Turkey Malaysia Mexico Latvia Chile Russia Argentina Macedonia Romania Iran Belarus South Africa Bulgaria Azerbaijan Albania Kazakhstan Peru Brazil Peru (Avg. growth 2001to 2008) Egypt Armenia Ukraine Jordan Thailand Georgia Serbia Syria Indonesia Philippines India Pakistan Vietnam Cambodia
Bosnia China
$0 -3%
0%
3%
6%
9%
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Determinants of Competitiveness
Microeconomic Competitiveness
Quality of the National Business Environment State of Cluster Development Sophistication of Company Operations and Strategy
Macroeconomic Competitiveness
Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions Macroeconomic Policies
Natural Endowments
Macroeconomic competitiveness creates the potential for high productivity, but is not sufficient Productivity ultimately depends on improving the microeconomic capability of the economy and the sophistication of local competition
20091130 Peru.ppt
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Determinants of Competitiveness
Microeconomic Competitiveness
Quality of the National Business Environment State of Cluster Development Sophistication of Company Operations and Strategy
Macroeconomic Competitiveness
Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions Macroeconomic Policies
Macroeconomic Policy
Natural Endowments
Fiscal policy: public spending aligned with revenues over time Monetary policy: low levels of inflation Macroeconomic management: avoiding structural imbalances and cyclical overheating
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Determinants of Competitiveness
Macroeconomic Competitiveness
Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions Macroeconomic Policies
Human Development: basic education and health care Rule of Law: property rights and due process Political Institutions: stable and effective political and governmental processes and organizations
Natural Endowments
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Determinants of Competitiveness
Microeconomic Competitiveness
Quality of the National Business Environment State of Cluster Development Sophistication of Company Operations and Strategy
Macroeconomic Competitiveness
Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions Macroeconomic Policies
Natural Endowments
The internal company skills, capabilities, and management practices needed to attain the highest level of productivity and innovation possible
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Determinants of Competitiveness
Microeconomic Competitiveness
Quality of the National Business Environment State of Cluster Development Sophistication of Company Operations and Strategy
Macroeconomic Competitiveness
Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions Macroeconomic Policies
The external business environment conditions that allow companies to reach high levels of productivity and innovation
Natural Endowments
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Determinants of Competitiveness
Microeconomic Competitiveness
Quality of the National Business Environment State of Cluster Development Sophistication of Company Operations and Strategy
A critical mass of firms in particular fields, together with specialized skills, infrastructure, and supporting institutions, to support high productivity through efficiencies and synergies
20091130 Peru.ppt
Natural Endowments
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Economic Development
Social Development
There is a strong connection between economic and social development Improving competitiveness and decreasing poverty requires improving the economic and social context simultaneously
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Note: Rank versus 133 countries; overall, Peru ranks 71st in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 75th in 2009 Global Competitiveness Source: Country Competitiveness Model (CCM), Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness, Harvard University (2009)
20091130 Peru.ppt
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1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
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However
Perus macroeconomic position remains overly dependent on commodities and commodity prices
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However
Perus macroeconomic position remains overly dependent on commodities and commodity prices
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Israel
Namibia
Tunisia
Peru
Panama Egypt Malawi
High corruption
91 Uzbekistan
Venezuela
-20
-15
-10
-5
10
15
20
Note: Ranks only countries available in both years (91 countries total) Source: Global Corruption Report, 2008
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However
Perus macroeconomic position remains overly dependent on commodities and commodity prices
Unstable political processes and institutions Government institutions are inefficient and held in low esteem by the public
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26
Human resources Capital availability Physical infrastructure Supporting Supporting Administrative infrastructure (e.g. Industries registration, permitting, transparency) Industries Scientific and technological infrastructure Availability of suppliers, related industries, Efficient utilization of natural and supporting institutions endowments
e.g. incentives for capital investment, intellectual property Demanding and sophisticated local protection, corporate governance customers and needs standards e.g., Strict quality, safety, and environmental standards Related and Related and Consumer protection laws
Many things matter for competitiveness Successful economic development is a process of successive upgrading, in which the business environment improves to enable increasingly sophisticated ways of competing
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WEAKNESSES
Physical Infrastructure Low quality of air, transport and port infrastructure Inadequate electricity supply Workforce Development and Training Poor quality of the higher education system Low skill level of the labor force Limited availability of scientists and engineers Competitive Context Low intensity of local competition Difficulty in business formation Burdensome government regulations Rigidity of employment Weak intellectual property protection High informality in the economy Innovation Infrastructure Limited technological capacity Weak university-industry research collaboration Low patenting rates
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Copyright 2009 Professor Michael E. Porter
20091130 Peru.ppt
Peru, 2009
Favorable Unfavorable
120
100
80
Perus per capita GDP rank: 72
60
40
20
0
Ease of Doing Business Getting Credit Protecting Registering Investors Property Paying Taxes Trading Across Borders Closing a Employing Starting a Business Workers Business Enforcing Contracts Dealing with Licenses
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20091130 Peru.ppt
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Local Local retail, retail, health health care, care, and and other other services services Local Local Transportation Transportation
Food Food Suppliers Suppliers Restaurants Restaurants Property Property Services Services Hotels Hotels
Souvenirs, Souvenirs, Duty Duty Free Free Banks, Banks, Foreign Foreign Exchange Exchange
Sources: HBS student team research (2003) - Peter Tynan, Chai McConnell, Alexandra West, Jean Hayden
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Sources: Student team research by Kusi Hornberger, Nick Ndiritu, Lalo Ponce-Brito, Melesse Tashu, and Tijan Watt, Microeconomics of Competitiveness Course, 2007
20091130 Peru.ppt
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Source: Michael E. Porter and rjan Slvell, The Australian Wine Cluster Supplement, Harvard Business School Case Study, 2002
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Furniture Building Fixtures, Equipment & Services Lightning & Electrical Equipment Power Generation Heavy Construction Services Forest Products Construction Materials
Aerospace Vehicles & Information Defense Tech. Analytical Instruments Medical Devices
Financial Services
Communications Equipment
Tobacco Mining & Metal Automotive Aerospace Manufacturing Engines Sporting & Recreation Goods
Copyright 2009 Professor Michael E. Porter
Apparel
Footwear
Note: Clusters with overlapping borders or identical shading have at least 20% overlap 34 20091130 Peru.ppt (by number of industries) in both directions.
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1.2%
Metal, Mining and Manufacturing
1.0%
0.8%
0.6%
Agriculture
Fishing
0.4%
Perus Average World Export Share: 0.20%
Apparel Hospitality and Tourism Oil & Gas Publishing and Printing Construction Materials
0.2%
0.0% -0.4%
-0.2%
0.0%
0.2%
0.4%
0.6%
0.15%
Oil and Gas Construction Materials Furniture
Textiles
0.10%
Financial Services
Plastics
0.05%
Business Services Heavy Machinery Motor Driven Products Forest Products Building Fixtures and Equipment Footwear Biopharmaceuticals Power and Power Generation Equipment Communications Equipment Sport Prefabricated Enclosures and Structures Production Technology
0.00% -0.06%
-0.04%
-0.02%
0.00%
0.02%
0.04%
0.06%
0.08%
0.10%
2.0%
Building Fixtures and Equipment Plastics
1.5%
Analytical Instruments Malaysias Average World Export Share: 1.24% Oil & Gas
Construction Materials
Processed Foods Publishing and Printing Chemical Products Prefabricated Enclosures and Structures Communication Services Production Technology Medical Devices
1.0%
Apparel Power and Power Generation Equipment Fishing & Fish Products Jewelry, Precious Metals and Collectibles Metal, Mining and Manufacturing
0.5%
Forest Products Business Services (-2.36%) Aerospace Vehicles and Defense Marine Equipment
Textiles Sport
Peru, 2007
Hospitality & Tourism
Furniture Building Fixtures, Equipment & Services Lightning & Electrical Equipment Power Generation Construction Materials Heavy Construction Services Forest Products
Distribution Services
Financial Services
Analytical Education & Instruments Knowledge Medical Creation Devices Communications Publishing Equipment & Printing Biopharmaceuticals Chemical Products Oil & Gas
Heavy Machinery
Plastics
Footwear
Marine Equipment
Note: Clusters with overlapping borders have at least 20% overlap (by number of industries) in both directions.
20091130 Peru.ppt Copyright 2009 Professor Michael E. Porter
Malaysia, 2007
Hospitality & Tourism
Furniture Building Fixtures, Equipment & Services Lightning & Electrical Equipment Power Generation Construction Materials Heavy Construction Services Forest Products
Distribution Services
Financial Services
Analytical Education & Instruments Knowledge Medical Creation Devices Communications Publishing Equipment & Printing Biopharmaceuticals Chemical Products Oil & Gas
Heavy Machinery
Plastics
Footwear
Marine Equipment
Note: Clusters with overlapping borders have at least 20% overlap (by number of industries) in both directions.
20091130 Peru.ppt Copyright 2009 Professor Michael E. Porter
Perus clusters are based heavily on natural endowments, with limited further upgrading
Perus clusters are shallow, with weak supplier bases and supporting institutions The limited cluster development efforts underway in Peru suffer from poor coordination between the private and public sectors
Clusters are so far an unexploited dimension of economic policy at the national and regional levels
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20091130 Peru.ppt
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Apply a cluster based approach to economic diversification Leverage clusters to attract FDI and facilitate integration with the global economy Use cluster initiatives to engage the private sector in more effective collaboration with government at the national and regional levels
Cluster development is an effective approach to promote private sector-led growth Create Institutions for Collaboration (e.g., trade associations) to organize cluster participants
20091130 Peru.ppt
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Nation Nation
20091130 Peru.ppt
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20091130 Peru.ppt
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Bati BatiMarmara Marmara Apparel Apparel Textiles Textiles Chemicals Chemicals Construction ConstructionMaterials Materials
Bati BatiKaradeniz Karadeniz Tobacco Tobacco Apparel Apparel Metal MetalMining Miningand andManufacturing Manufacturing Forest Products Forest Products
Orta OrtaAnadolu Anadolu Furniture Furniture Textiles Textiles Agricultural AgriculturalProducts Products Metal MetalMining Miningand andManufacturing Manufacturing
Dogu DoguKaradeniz Karadeniz Food FoodProcessing Processing Distribution DistributionServices Services Furniture Furniture Forest ForestProducts Products
Dogu DoguMarmara Marmara Textiles Textiles Automotive Automotive Apparel Apparel Furniture Furniture
Kuzeydogu KuzeydoguAnadolu Anadolu Agricultural AgriculturalProducts Products Footwear Footwear Distribution DistributionServices Services Hospitality Hospitalityand andTourism Tourism
Ege Ege Tobacco Tobacco Textiles Textiles Construction ConstructionMaterials Materials Apparel Apparel
Guneydogu GuneydoguAnadolu Anadolu Textiles Textiles Tobacco Tobacco Oil Oiland andGas Gas Food FoodProcessing Processing Bati BatiAnadolu Anadolu Furniture Furniture Construction ConstructionMaterials Materials Distribution DistributionServices Services Aerospace Aerospace Akdenziz Akdenziz Textiles Textiles Hospitality Hospitalityand andTourism Tourism Apparel Apparel Distribution DistributionServices Services Ortadogu OrtadoguAnadolu Anadolu Textiles Textiles Agricultural AgriculturalProducts Products Apparel Apparel Distribution DistributionServices Services
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Decentralization of economic policy is especially important in larger countries to foster regional specialization, internal competition, and greater government accountability
20091130 Peru.ppt
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Prosperity Performance
Perus Regions
GDP per Capita, 2008 (1994 New Peruvian Soles)
16,000
Moquegua
14,000 12,000
Lima
10,000
Areguipa
8,000 6,000
Tacna
4,000
Huancavelica Cajamarca Huanuco
Ucayali Loreto
Piura
Puno
2,000 0 0% 1% 2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
10%
50
51
Perus Regions
Action Priorities Continue decentralization of responsibilities and resources to sub-national governments Improve the capacity of local governments to plan, design and implement development polices Improve national-regional collaboration to implement regional programs Adopt specific steps to reduce corruption at the regional level Improve physical connections among regions to support economic and social integration Promote greater linkages between resource clusters and regional economies Address the underlying causes of inequality between the highland, coastal and Amazon regions
Strengthen human development in the poorer highland regions
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Nation Nation
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55
Coordinating macroeconomic policies Coordinating programs to improve security and public safety
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57
Policy Improvement
Economic Strategy
There are a huge number of policy areas that matter No country can or should try to make progress in all areas simultaneously
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59
Implications
Upgrade Ground, Air and Port Transportation Infrastructure to Connect Peruvian Regions with Neighbors and the World Foster Cluster Development Around Resource Strengths Reduce and Eliminate Corruption Create New, More Stable Effective Political Institutions Implement Next Stage Regulatory Reforms to Improve the Business Environment Improve the Quality of Education and Workforce Training
20091130 Peru.ppt
Upgrade Perus competitive assets to achieve high rates of sustainable economic growth while improving welfare of the poor 60
Reduce Poverty
Increase Competitiveness
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The The central central government government drives drives economic economic development development through through policy policy decisions, decisions, spending spending and and incentives incentives
Economic Economic development development is is a a collaborative collaborative process process involving involving government government at at multiple multiple levels, levels, companies, companies, educational educational and and research research institutions, institutions, and and private private sector sector organizations organizations
Competitiveness must be a bottom-up process in which many individuals, companies, and institutions take responsibility and act
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The National Council on Competitiveness was created in 2002, a positive step, but it has had limited impact There are few competitiveness initiatives at the regional level to mobilize strategic thinking and drive action The private sector has limited engagement in competitiveness development
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Create Regional Competitiveness Councils to drive consensus on state plans and monitor implementation
Involve representatives from the private, public and academic sectors as well as federal government participation
The private sector must assume a catalytic role in economic strategy formulation and implementation
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Economic Objectives
Social Objectives
There is an inevitable link between business and society A healthy business depends on a healthy community to create demand for its products and provide a supportive business environment A healthy society depends on competitive companies that can create jobs, support high wages, build wealth, buy local goods, and pay taxes
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Environmental Impact
Company Productivity
Gender Equity
Energy Use
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Find the points of convergence between economic and social objectives, not assumed tradeoffs or the need for redistribution These points of convergence are growing Achieving shared value requires new thinking, new technologies, and new approaches to management Shared value opportunities are even greater in developing countries Shared value thinking applies equally to NGOs and governments
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