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New Product Sales Forecast

Widget Model II
December 31, 2009
Base Annual Sales

Probability

$50,000
Worst Case
10.00%

Most Likely
50.00%

Best Case
40.00%

Total
100%

Year 2
0.00%
5.00%
6.00%

Year 3
2.00%
5.00%
7.00%

Year 4
3.00%
5.00%
8.00%

Year 5
3.00%
6.00%
8.00%

Growth Rates
Worst Case
Most Likely
Best Case

Forecasted Sales
Most
Best
Likely
Case
$5,250
$5,300
$4,813
$4,858
$4,375
$4,417
$4,375
$4,417
$3,500
$3,533
$2,844
$2,871
$2,406
$2,429
$2,625
$2,650
$2,625
$2,650
$4,375
$4,417
$6,563
$6,625
$8,750
$8,833
$52,500
$53,000

Year 6
3.00%
6.00%
8.00%

Seasonality
Factor
1.20
1.10
1.00
1.00
0.80
0.65
0.55
0.60
0.60
1.00
1.50
2.00
12.00

Worst
Case
$5,000
$4,583
$4,167
$4,167
$3,333
$2,708
$2,292
$2,500
$2,500
$4,167
$6,250
$8,333
$50,000

Weighted
Average
$5,245
$4,808
$4,371
$4,371
$3,497
$2,841
$2,404
$2,623
$2,623
$4,371
$6,556
$8,742
$52,450

1.20
1.10
1.00
1.00
0.80
0.65
0.55
0.60
0.60
1.00
1.50
2.00
12.00

$5,100
$4,675
$4,250
$4,250
$3,400
$2,763
$2,338
$2,550
$2,550
$4,250
$6,375
$8,500
$51,000

$5,513
$5,053
$4,594
$4,594
$3,675
$2,986
$2,527
$2,756
$2,756
$4,594
$6,891
$9,188
$55,125

$5,671
$5,198
$4,726
$4,726
$3,781
$3,072
$2,599
$2,836
$2,836
$4,726
$7,089
$9,452
$56,710

$5,535
$5,073
$4,612
$4,612
$3,690
$2,998
$2,537
$2,767
$2,767
$4,612
$6,918
$9,224
$55,347

Year
2001

Month
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Total

2002

Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Total

2003

Total Year Forecast

$52,530

$57,881

$61,247

$58,692

2004

Total Year Forecast

$54,106

$61,354

$66,147

$62,546

2005

Total Year Forecast

$55,729

$65,035

$71,438

$66,666

Copyright, 2010, Jaxworks, All Rights Reserved.