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( 2007)

1
3 :
Ut-Ut-1= -0,4(gYt-3%)
t-t-1=-(Ut-5%)
gYt=gmt-t
( Okun)
Ut
gYt. Phillips
t ,
gYt
gmt. Ut=Ut-1=5%,
gmt=13% t=10%.
, t,
13% 0% .
)
t t+1.
)
.
)
;
2
1%,
, ;
3
100
10%. 8%.

;
; ;
.

( 2008, 1)
1

.
p=20+0,5q.
100 /

.
40% .

, , ;
;
2
) 10 /

... 90%
. ...
Kaldor;
) ;
3


AFC ;
( Lindahl )

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