Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Project Yacht
Presentation to the Board of Directors
Strictly Confidential | February 2, 2008
Goldman Stanley
Confidential Draft
Table Of Contents
Executive Summary
Yacht Valuation
11
Process Recommendations
18
Appendix
20
Goldman Stanley
Executive Summary
Goldman Stanley
Executive Summary
$31.00 / share values Yacht well above its average price over the past year; offer
price is also significantly higher than per-share prices implied by valuation
Given Yachts competitive position, market dynamics, and capital structure, another
party is unlikely to step forward with a superior offer
The combination of Monterrey and Yacht would create a strong #2 player in the
search advertising market and would facilitate a more effective online strategy for the
combined entity
Attractiveness of offer and next steps depend on Yachts 3-year plan and
managements confidence in ability to hit projections
Goldman Stanley
Yacht Valuation
Goldman Stanley
Valuation Summary
Recent comparable transactions show higher implied per-share prices due to recently
hot market and flurry of activity in mid-2007
Comparable public companies, public company premiums, and discounted cash flow
analysis all show $31/share in the uppermost quartile of the valuation range
Yachts significant equity investments in other entities have been taken into account
in this valuation, but potential value from net operating losses has been excluded
Valuation and all implied share prices are based on Yachts base case (in-line with
Wall Street estimates) financial projections
Goldman Stanley
Yacht Valuation
($ in Millions Except Per Share Data)
Monterrey Offer
Precedent Transactions
TTM TEV / Revenue:
25th to Median
Median to 75th
75th to Max
$10.00
Goldman Stanley
$20.00
$30.00
$40.00
$50.00
$60.00
$70.00
$80.00
Capitalization
Equity Enterprise
Revenue
EBITDA
EPS
Value
Value
TTM
12/31/2008 12/31/2009
TTM
12/31/2008 12/31/2009
TTM
12/31/2008 12/31/2009
$ 174,565 $ 159,287 $ 11,660 $ 17,212 $ 23,583 $ 6,921 $ 10,118 $ 13,567 $ 13.68 $ 21.16 $ 26.93
34,925
29,889
7,672
8,674
9,978
2,908
3,135
3,646
1.30
1.65
1.94
31,964
30,151
14,835
19,258
23,102
1,095
1,407
1,783
1.48
1.86
2.40
14,408
13,009
6,373
6,817
7,463
817
890
1,048
1.73
1.61
1.97
Maximum
75th Percentile
Median
25th Percentile
Minimum
Yacht
$ 25,473 $ 18,509 $
1,927 $
Valuation Statistics
Company Name
Google Inc.
eBay Inc.
Amazon.com, Inc.
IAC/InterActiveCorp
Capitalization
Equity Enterprise
Value
Value
$ 174,565 $ 159,287
34,925
29,889
31,964
30,151
14,408
13,009
Maximum
75th Percentile
Median
25th Percentile
Minimum
$ 174,565 $ 159,287
69,835
62,435
$ 33,444 $ 30,020
27,575
25,669
14,408
13,009
13.7 x
6.3 x
3.0 x
2.0 x
2.0 x
9.3 x
4.9 x
2.7 x
1.8 x
1.6 x
6.8 x
3.9 x
2.4 x
1.6 x
1.3 x
27.5 x
24.1 x
19.5 x
14.5 x
10.3 x
21.4 x
17.2 x
15.2 x
13.3 x
9.5 x
16.9 x
13.5 x
12.1 x
10.9 x
8.2 x
50.0 x
42.6 x
34.7 x
27.1 x
20.3 x
39.9 x
33.7 x
28.8 x
23.4 x
15.9 x
30.9 x
27.1 x
23.1 x
18.7 x
13.6 x
Yacht
$ 25,473 $ 18,509
3.6 x
3.2 x
2.8 x
9.6 x
9.1 x
8.4 x
22.1 x
22.2 x
21.9 x
5,113 $
5,801 $
6,500 $
Enterprise Value /
Revenue
TTM
12/31/2008 12/31/2009
13.7 x
9.3 x
6.8 x
3.9 x
3.4 x
3.0 x
2.0 x
1.6 x
1.3 x
2.0 x
1.9 x
1.7 x
Goldman Stanley
2,045 $
2,194 $
Enterprise Value /
EBITDA
TTM
12/31/2008 12/31/2009
23.0 x
15.7 x
11.7 x
10.3 x
9.5 x
8.2 x
27.5 x
21.4 x
16.9 x
15.9 x
14.6 x
12.4 x
13.68 $
4.72
1.61 $
1.44
1.30
21.16 $
6.69
1.76 $
1.64
1.61
26.93
8.53
2.19
1.96
1.94
0.86 $
0.86 $
0.87
P / E Multiple
TTM
12/31/2008 12/31/2009
40.1 x
25.9 x
20.4 x
20.3 x
15.9 x
13.6 x
50.0 x
39.9 x
30.9 x
29.4 x
31.6 x
25.8 x
Acquirer Name
Monterrey
Google
Publicis
Yacht
Investor Group
NBC Universal
WPP Group
Target Name
aQuantive
DoubleClick
Digitas
Right Media (Remaining 80%)
Vertrue
iVillage
24/7 Real Media
Maximum
75th Percentile
Median
25th Percentile
Minimum
Acquisition
Equity Enterprise
TTM
Date
Value
Value
Revenue
5/18/2007 $ 6,356 $ 6,041 $
493
4/13/2007
3,100
3,100
232
12/21/2006
1,285
1,137
713
4/29/2007
850
850
N/A
3/22/2007
641
730
697
3/6/2006
660
604
91
5/17/2007
669
603
215
$
$
Goldman Stanley
6,356 $
2,192
850 $
664
641
6,041 $
2,119
850 $
667
603
Operating Metrics
Forward
Year 1
TTM
Revenue
EBITDA
$
610 $
128
297
72
743
64
70
N/A
680
93
109
17
269
21
713 $
646
362 $
219
91
743 $
645
297 $
189
70
Forward
Year 1
EBITDA
$
154
98
63
18
102
26
27
128 $
87
68 $
32
17
154
100
63
26
18
12.1 x
10.2 x
5.5 x
1.9 x
1.1 x
47.0 x
41.0 x
31.8 x
20.5 x
7.9 x
48.6 x
35.4 x
23.4 x
20.2 x
7.1 x
Less: Taxes
321
347
351
380
398
Plus: Depreciation
Plus: Amortization
Plus: Stock-Based Compensation
365
247
630
477
139
711
602
106
795
742
60
882
897
34
960
(130)
696
(67)
780
(88)
866
(82)
965
$
$
Terminal
Growth Rate
15.0%
$ 14.30
$ 14.93
$ 15.70
$ 16.66
$ 17.90
$ 19.56
16.0%
$ 13.56
$ 14.07
$ 14.68
$ 15.43
$ 16.36
$ 17.56
13%
Terminal Growth
Rate:
7%
Model Uses Base
Case Financial
Projections
Mid-Year Convention
Used For PV Of Cash
(80) Flows
1,054
Goldman Stanley
Discount Rate:
17.0%
$ 12.93
$ 13.35
$ 13.84
$ 14.43
$ 15.16
$ 16.07
10
Goldman Stanley
11
Financial Assumptions:
Projected Closing Date: 6/30/2009
50% Cash / 50% Stock Transaction
$31.00 / Share (63% Premium to Current Share Price)
4.4% Foregone Interest Rate on Cash; $32.20 Monterrey Share Price
Purchase Price Allocation & Balance Sheet Assumptions:
10% Yacht PP&E Write-Up
20% Allocated to Intangibles
50% Deferred Revenue Write-Down
Operational Assumptions:
10% Revenue Synergies (~$500 Million in Monterrey FY 2010E / FY 2011E)
10% Expense Synergies (~$400 Million in Monterrey FY 2010E / FY 2011E)
30% Book Tax Rate Assumed
Goldman Stanley
12
$44,282
$16,472
$18,262
$13,870
$1.32
$51,122
$18,524
$20,101
$15,315
$1.55
$60,141
$24,163
$25,360
$18,763
$1.98
$67,702
$26,127
$27,779
$20,456
$2.19
$73,825
$28,087
$30,336
$22,208
$2.43
$78,993
$30,053
$32,958
$24,051
$2.63
Monterreys Fiscal
$82,942 Years
$31,556
$35,184
$25,640
$2.80
Projections Based On
Seller Income Statement ($MM) - Summary - Yacht - Based on Buyer Fiscal Years
Consensus Wall Street
Historical
Projected
FY 2006 FY 2007 FY 2008E FY 2009E FY 2010E FY 2011E FY 2012E Estimates & Goldman
Stanley Model
Revenue:
Operating Income:
Pre-Tax Income:
Pro-Forma Net Income:
Pro-Forma EPS:
Goldman Stanley
$4,836
$818
$974
$1,147
$0.80
$5,457
$749
$869
$1,182
$0.84
$6,150
$835
$915
$1,215
$0.86
$6,859
$872
$946
$1,241
$0.88
$7,630
$913
$994
$1,297
$0.92
$8,414
$972
$1,064
$1,367
$0.97
13
$80,684
$469
$81,153
Goldman Stanley
$2,324
$86,623
$537
$87,160
$2,985
$91,356
$608
$91,964
$3,720
($944)
($985) ($1,028)
$0
$0
$0
($1,482) ($1,482) ($1,482)
$0
$0
$0
($23)
($23)
($23)
($218)
$0
$0
$29,325 $32,257 $34,597
$8,797
$148
9,142
666
9,808
$9,677
$148
9,142
666
9,808
$10,379
$148
9,142
666
9,808
14
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
(1.6%)
35.00
34.00
33.00
32.00
31.00
30.00
29.00
28.00
27.00
26.00
30.0%
(4.6%)
(4.2%)
(3.9%)
(3.5%)
(3.1%)
(2.7%)
(2.3%)
(2.0%)
(1.6%)
(1.3%)
35.0%
(4.2%)
(3.8%)
(3.5%)
(3.1%)
(2.7%)
(2.3%)
(2.0%)
(1.7%)
(1.3%)
(1.0%)
65.0%
(1.6%)
(1.3%)
(1.0%)
(0.7%)
(0.4%)
(0.1%)
0.2%
0.5%
0.8%
1.1%
Monterrey Needs To
Pay 70%+ In Cash For
70.0%
(1.1%) Transaction To Be
(0.8%) Accretive At $31/Share
(0.6%)
(0.3%)
0.0%
0.3%
0.6%
0.9%
1.1%
1.4%
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
(1.6%)
35.00
34.00
33.00
32.00
31.00
30.00
29.00
28.00
27.00
26.00
0.0%
(4.0%)
(3.7%)
(3.4%)
(3.0%)
(2.7%)
(2.3%)
(2.0%)
(1.7%)
(1.4%)
(1.1%)
2.0%
(3.8%)
(3.5%)
(3.1%)
(2.8%)
(2.5%)
(2.1%)
(1.8%)
(1.5%)
(1.2%)
(0.9%)
Goldman Stanley
14.0%
(2.5%)
(2.2%)
(1.8%)
(1.5%)
(1.1%)
(0.8%)
(0.5%)
(0.1%)
0.2%
0.5%
16.0%
(2.3%)
(1.9%)
(1.6%)
(1.3%)
(0.9%)
(0.6%)
(0.2%)
0.1%
0.4%
0.7%
15
Search Advertising:
Display Advertising:
Revenue Per Search (RPS) - Yacht:
% Increase from Buyer:
New Revenue Per Search (RPS):
Search Revenue Synergies:
Revenue Per Pageview - Yacht:
% Increase from Buyer:
New Revenue Per Pageview:
Combined Years
FY 2010E FY 2011E FY 2012E
$1,706
$1,971
$2,236
$2,993
$3,409
$3,848
$0.016
10.0%
$0.018
$0.017
10.0%
$0.019
$0.018
10.0%
$0.020
$170
$197
$223
$299
$341
$384
$469
80.0%
$94
$537
79.7%
$109
$608
79.5%
$125
Goldman Stanley
Even A 10%
Improvement To
Yachts Revenue Per
Search And Revenue
Per Pageview Would
Yield ~$500MM In
Synergies
16
Combined Years
FY 2010E FY 2011E FY 2012E
5,047
5,615
6,192
4,249
4,727
5,212
$427,763 $432,040 $434,152
$202,749 $205,565 $207,389
10.0%
10.0%
10.0%
10.0%
10.0%
10.0%
4,543
3,824
5,054
4,254
5,573
4,691
$216
$86
$243
$97
$269
$108
Cost Synergies from Building Consolidation and Rental Savings (Buyer & Seller):
Combined Years
FY 2010E FY 2011E FY 2012E
$202
$174
$150
$117
$99
$85
$319
$273
$235
10.0%
10.0%
10.0%
$32
$334
$27
$367
$23
$400
Goldman Stanley
17
Process Recommendations
Goldman Stanley
18
Key Recommendations
Likelihood of receiving a competitive 100% acquisition offer is low, but more creative
transaction scenarios are possible
Should negotiations with Monterrey fail or if no other parties express interest in Yacht,
other possibilities include selling certain assets or outsourcing operations to other
strategic partners
Goldman Stanley
19
Appendix
Goldman Stanley
20
Historical
Projected
FY 2006 FY 2007 FY 2008E FY 2009E FY 2010E FY 2011E FY 2012E
$977
$1,181
$1,384
$1,597
$1,815
$2,126
$2,346
$1,730
$2,052
$2,415
$2,791
$3,195
$3,624
$4,071
$728
$625
$656
$683
$703
$724
$746
$798
$881
$934
$981
$1,020
$1,050
$1,071
$326
$374
$412
$449
$485
$519
$550
$3,696
$4,560
$5,113
$5,801
$6,500
$7,217
$8,043
$8,784
N/A
23.4%
12.1%
13.5%
12.1%
11.0%
11.4%
9.2%
FY 2005
Search Advertising:
Display Advertising:
Affiliate Site Revenue:
Premium Fees:
Other Revenue:
Total Net Revenue (Ex-TAC):
Net Revenue Growth %:
Historical
Projected
FY 2005 FY 2006 FY 2007 FY 2008E FY 2009E FY 2010E FY 2011E FY 2012E
$534
$810
$982
$1,122
$1,284
$1,457
$1,642
$1,814
$570
$833
$1,084
$1,265
$1,443
$1,630
$1,830
$2,013
$1,034
$1,322
$1,610
$1,785
$2,031
$2,289
$2,564
$2,813
$341
$529
$633
$708
$809
$915
$1,029
$1,133
$2,479
$3,494
$4,310
$4,880
$5,566
$6,290
$7,065
$7,774
67.1%
76.6%
84.3%
84.1%
85.6%
87.2%
87.8%
88.5%
Goldman Stanley
21
Historical
Projected
FY 2006 FY 2007 FY 2008E FY 2009E FY 2010E FY 2011E FY 2012E
Revenue (Ex-TAC):
Cost of Revenue (Ex-TAC):
Gross Profit:
Operating Expenses:
Product Development:
Sales & Marketing:
General & Administrative:
Amortization of Intangibles:
Total Operating Expenses:
$4,560
$810
$3,750
$5,113
$982
$4,131
$5,801
$1,122
$4,679
$6,500
$1,284
$5,216
$7,217
$1,457
$5,761
$8,043
$1,642
$6,401
$8,784
$1,814
$6,970
$833
$1,322
$529
$125
$2,809
$1,084
$1,610
$633
$107
$3,435
$1,265
$1,785
$708
$118
$3,876
$1,443
$2,031
$809
$66
$4,348
$1,630
$2,289
$915
$51
$4,884
$1,830
$2,564
$1,029
$29
$5,451
$2,013
$2,813
$1,133
$16
$5,976
Operating Income:
Interest / Investment Income:
Net Investment Gains / Losses & Other:
Pre-Tax Income:
Income Tax Provision:
Effective Income Tax Rate:
Earnings in Equity Interests:
Minority Interest Earnings:
Net Income (GAAP):
Weighted Avg. Diluted Shares Outstanding:
Diluted EPS (GAAP):
$941
$143
$14
$1,098
($458)
41.7%
$112
($1)
$751
1,458
$0.52
$695
$130
$24
$849
($337)
39.7%
$151
($3)
$660
1,405
$0.47
$803
$87
$0
$890
($356)
40.0%
$151
($3)
$682
1,405
$0.48
$867
$73
$0
$940
($376)
40.0%
$151
($3)
$712
1,405
$0.51
$876
$76
$0
$952
($381)
40.0%
$151
($3)
$719
1,405
$0.51
$950
$84
$0
$1,035
($414)
40.0%
$151
($3)
$769
1,405
$0.55
$994
$98
$0
$1,093
($437)
40.0%
$151
($3)
$803
1,405
$0.57
Pro-Forma Reconciliation:
Amortization of Intangibles:
Stock-Based Compensation:
Pro-Forma Pre-Tax Income:
Effective Tax Rate:
Equity & Minority Interest Earnings:
$238
$425
$1,761
41.7%
$111
$250
$572
$1,672
39.7%
$148
$247
$630
$1,766
40.0%
$148
$139
$711
$1,790
40.0%
$148
$106
$795
$1,853
40.0%
$148
$60
$882
$1,977
40.0%
$148
$34
$960
$2,086
40.0%
$148
$1,138
$0.78
$1,156
$0.82
$1,208
$0.86
$1,222
$0.87
$1,260
$0.90
$1,334
$0.95
$1,400
$1.00
Stock-Based Compensation:
Depreciation:
Amortization:
EBITDA:
EBIT:
$425
$302
$238
$1,906
$1,366
$572
$409
$250
$1,927
$1,268
$630
$365
$247
$2,045
$1,433
$711
$477
$139
$2,194
$1,578
$795
$602
$106
$2,380
$1,671
$882
$742
$60
$2,634
$1,833
$960
$897
$34
$2,885
$1,954
Goldman Stanley
22
2,267,000.0
106.9
$21,206.7
33%
$6,998.2
20%
$5,598.6
$2,239.4
$3,359.1
HKD 100,800.0
7.8
$12,923.1
28%
$3,618.5
20%
$2,894.8
$1,157.9
$1,736.9
$1,047.0
10%
$104.7
20%
$83.8
$33.5
$50.3
$5,362.3
Goldman Stanley
$1,440.3
25%
$360.1
$360.1
$144.0
$216.0
23
4.31%
7.00%
0.00%
1.27
1.39
1.27 $
750 $
Equity
Value
25,473
Tax Rate
Levered
Beta
40%
1.29
13.35%
14.04%
WACC = Cost of Equity * % Equity + Cost of Debt * % Debt * (1 - Tax Rate) + Cost of Preferred Stock * % Preferred Stock
WACC
Goldman Stanley
12.96%
24
$ 19.05
1,337.2
$ 25,473
$750
$0
$12
$2,363
$5,362
$ 18,509
Transaction Metrics:
Consideration Per Share:
Diluted Shares Outstanding:
Implied Diluted Equity Value:
Plus: Total Debt
Plus: Preferred Stock
Plus: Minority Interest
Less: Cash & Cash-Equivalents
Less: Equity Investments
Total Enterprise Value:
$ 31.00
1,383.3
$ 42,882
$0
$0
$12
$2,363
$5,362
$ 35,168
Implied
Multiple
$ 5,113
$ 5,801
$ 6,500
3.6 x
3.2 x
2.8 x
$ 1,927
$ 2,045
$ 2,194
9.6 x
9.1 x
8.4 x
$
$
$
Goldman Stanley
0.86
0.86
0.87
22.1 x
22.2 x
21.9 x
Public
Comps
Trans.
Comps
6.9 x
6.1 x
5.4 x
3.0 x
2.7 x
2.4 x
4.7 x
5.5 x
N/A
18.2 x
17.2 x
16.0 x
19.5 x
15.2 x
12.1 x
31.8 x
23.4 x
N/A
36.0 x
36.1 x
35.7 x
34.7 x
28.8 x
23.1 x
N/A
N/A
N/A
25