2012

. ,

.


,
.

.

.
(plagiarism)
.
,
.

.

.

: )

,
, )
,
, )
) ,

.

)
:
1.

2.

3.

4.

,
, .

1.

.

:






:

, .
,
, , , ,
.

 , :
University of Piraeus
Department of Economics
Master Program in
Economic and Business Strategy


:
Master Thesis submitted to the Department of Economics of the University of Piraeus in partial
fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Arts in Economic and Business Strategy

Piraeus, Greece, .
.
,
.

2.

,
, .

, ,
.
.
.

, ,

 , ,
.
.
.

.
,
.
.

, ,
. ,
, ,
.
,
,
, . , , .

,
.

.
:
, Keywords Abstract.

.


, ,
.

.

,
, ,
.

. , ,

,
.

.

,
.

.

.


.


,
.

.


.

.
,
.

3.

,
.
.

(center)
, .. 1, ,
.

,
. ,
2 : 2.1, 2.2, 2.3 ....

.
.
,
,
.
.

.

,
.
.

,
, .. 2.3.1
2.3.2 1 2 3 .

.

,
,
,
(Bold Italics).

.

4.

.
:

, ,

, , ,

, ,
,
.
, 1, 2 ...
.

,
: ,
, ...,
, ..

 ..1, ..2 ... ,

.

.

, ) , ) )
.


.
, :
, . . , . . (2008),
, , .
Box, E. P. G., and Jenkins, M. G. (1976), Time Series Analysis forecasting and
control, Holden-Day, San Francisco.
Granger, C. W. J. and Newbold, P. (1986), Forecasting Economic Time Series,
Second Edition, Academic Press, Inc., San Diego.
Fuller, W. A. (1996), Introduction to Statistical Time Series, Second Edition, John
Wiley & Sons, Inc., New York.
Salvator, D. (1996), Managerial Economics in a Global Economy, 3rd edition,
McGraw-Hill: New York.
, :
Agiakloglou, C. and Newbold, P. (1992). Empirical Evidence on Dickey-Fuller-type
tests.Journal of Time Series Analysis, 13, 471-483.
Agiakloglou, C. and Karkalakos, S. (2009), A Spatial and Economic Analysis for
Telecommunications: Evidence from the European Union, Journal of Applied
Economics, XII, 11-32.
De Gooijer J. G. and Hyndman R. J. (2006), 25 years of time series forecasting,
International Journal of Forecasting, 22, 443-473.
Hassier, U., Rotrigues, P. and Rubia, A. (2009), Testing for general fractional
integration in the main domain, Econometric Theory, 25, 1793-1828.
Tong, H. (2001), A personal journey through time series in Biometrika, Biometrika,
88, 195-218.

10

)

:
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
,
,
.

Times New Roman Greek. 12 pt,
,
16 pt, 14 pt.

11

 4 (210mm x 297 mm)

: 3 ,
2,5 .
(justified).

,
(tab), 0,5
.
.
1.5 .

,
,
.

.
( i, ii, iii, iv,
v, vi ...) .
, ,
.
, , .
.

. ,
, ,
, .

12

 ,
, ,
1, 2, 3 ...,
.

. ,
1.5,
2.3.
(center),
, , ,
.
, ..
4.3

[ ]
: http://www.naftemporiki.gr/

, ,
,
10 pt.

, , : : () ,
.

, ,
. ,
13


, .. 4.3, .
,
.

, .

, 4.3
2000 - 2010.
....
.
.

. ,
1.2,
3.4.


. ,
[ ]
: http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/portal/page/portal/eurostat/home/

3.4


,
. , 3.4
2000 2010. ....

14


, .
, .
.
.

.
, ..
(3.2).
,
, ..
= + +

(3.2)

. (3.2) . . . .

.

.

, ,

. : )
, , Granger (1987),

15

 ...., )
, ...

( , John (2010), Miller (2006) Billar
(1999)) )
.
. : .....
McDonney (2005)
.. ,


.
,

, .. Granger and Engle, (1985),


(italics) et. al.,
et alii and the others, .

.

(footnote).

.

.1

16

 .
, .

, ,
.
,
(bullets). 0.5

.

.

,
: (Regression Analysis)
..... ,
,
. .
,
, .
, , . :
... Autoregressive Moving Average
ARMA Models.


, .

17


(italics), , a priori, ceteris
paribus ..

)

.
,

.

.
,
,


.


,
,
-CD.

)

:

18

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
.

19

 (18 pt)
(18 pt)

(16 pt)

(16 pt)

[ ] (18 pt)

[ ] (16 pt)

(10 pt)

, 2012 (12 pt)

20

UNIVERSITY OF PIRAEUS (18 pt)

DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMICS (18 pt)

MASTER PROGRAM IN
ECONOMIC AND BUSINESS STRATEGY (16 pt)

[MASTER THESIS TITLE] (18 pt)

By
[Authors Name] (16 pt)

Master Thesis submitted to the Department of Economics of the University of Piraeus in partial
fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Arts in Economic and Business Strategy (10
pt)

Piraeus, Greece, December 2012 (12 pt)

21

[ ] (12 pt)

22

(Italics)

 (14 pt)
[ ] (12 pt)

23

[ ] (16 pt)

: [ ]
(12 pt)

(14 pt)

[ ] (12 pt)

[ ]
ix (12 pt)

24

[ ] (16 pt)

Keywords: [
] (12 pt)

Abstract (14 pt)

[ ] (12 pt)

[ ]
xi (12 pt)

25

 (16 pt)
(14 pt)

ix

Abstract

xi

xiii

xv

1: (16 pt)
1.1 (14 pt)

1.2

1.3

1.4

13

1.5

19

1.6

25

[ ]
2 (16 pt)
(16 pt)
2.1 (14 pt)

31

2.2

32

2.2.1

34

2.2.2

28

2.3

43

2.4

52

2.5

59

2.6

60
xiii (12 pt)

26

 3:
3.1

61

3.2

62

3.3.1

63

3.3.2

66

3.4

70

3.5

78

4:

4.1

79

4.2

82

4.3

87

4.4

91

4.5

98

4.6

106

(16 pt)

107

(16 pt)

111

xiv (12 pt)

27

 (16 pt)
[ ] [ ]

[]

3.1 (12 pt)

71

4.1

99

[ ]
xv (12 pt)

28

 (16 pt)

[ ] [ ]

[]

1.2

20

1.3 OPEC ($/ )

29

xvii (12 pt)

29

 1 (16 pt)
(16 pt)

1.1 (14 pt)

. ,
, , ,
. ,
.

, ,

.

, , , ,

, , , , ..
.

.
.

,

.
.

..............

1.5

30

 (16 pt)

(14 pt)

, . . , . . (2004).
, , .
, . ., , . -, , . . , . .
(2001). : , ,
.
, . . (2000). , , , .

(14 pt)

Bollerslev, T., Chou, R. Y., and Kronker, K. F. (1992). ARCH modeling in finance,
Journal of Econometrics, 52, 5-59.
Box, E. P. G., and Jenkins, M. G. (1970).Time Series Analysis forecasting and
control, Holden-Day, San Francisco.

(14 pt)
http://www.naftemporiki.gr/

31