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2.

79 Consider the events:


M: a person is a male;
S: a person has a secondary education;
C: a person has a college degree.
(a) P(M | S) = 28/78 = 14/39;
(b) P(C | M) = 95/112.
2.105 Consider the events:
A: no expiration date,
B1: John is the inspector, P(B1) = 0.20 and P(A | B1) = 0.005,
B2: Tom is the inspector, P(B2) = 0.60 and P(A | B2) = 0.010,
B3: Jeff is the inspector, P(B3) = 0.15 and P(A | B3) = 0.011,
B4: Pat is the inspector, P(B4) = 0.05 and P(A | B4) = 0.005,
P(B1 | A) = (0.005)(0.20)
(0.005)(0.20)+(0.010)(0.60)+(0.011)(0.15)+(0.005)(0.05) = 0.1124.
2.107 (a) P(A B C) = P(C | A B)P(B | A)P(A) = (0.20)(0.75)(0.3) = 0.045.
(b) P(B C) = P(A B C) + P(A B C) = P(C | A B)P(B | A)P(A) +
P(C | AB)P(B | A)P(A) = (0.80)(10.75)(0.3)+(0.90)(10.20)(10.3) =
0.564.
(c) Use similar argument as in (a) and (b), P(C) = P(AB C)+P(AB C)+
P(A B C) + P(A B C) = 0.045 + 0.060 + 0.021 + 0.504 = 0.630.
(d) P(A | B C) = P(A B C)/P(B C) = (0.06)(0.564) = 0.1064.

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