M: a person is a male; S: a person has a secondary education; C: a person has a college degree. (a) P(M | S) = 28/78 = 14/39; (b) P(C | M) = 95/112. 2.105 Consider the events: A: no expiration date, B1: John is the inspector, P(B1) = 0.20 and P(A | B1) = 0.005, B2: Tom is the inspector, P(B2) = 0.60 and P(A | B2) = 0.010, B3: Jeff is the inspector, P(B3) = 0.15 and P(A | B3) = 0.011, B4: Pat is the inspector, P(B4) = 0.05 and P(A | B4) = 0.005, P(B1 | A) = (0.005)(0.20) (0.005)(0.20)+(0.010)(0.60)+(0.011)(0.15)+(0.005)(0.05) = 0.1124. 2.107 (a) P(A B C) = P(C | A B)P(B | A)P(A) = (0.20)(0.75)(0.3) = 0.045. (b) P(B C) = P(A B C) + P(A B C) = P(C | A B)P(B | A)P(A) + P(C | AB)P(B | A)P(A) = (0.80)(10.75)(0.3)+(0.90)(10.20)(10.3) = 0.564. (c) Use similar argument as in (a) and (b), P(C) = P(AB C)+P(AB C)+ P(A B C) + P(A B C) = 0.045 + 0.060 + 0.021 + 0.504 = 0.630. (d) P(A | B C) = P(A B C)/P(B C) = (0.06)(0.564) = 0.1064.