Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Disclaimer
The following presentation is being made only to, and is only directed at, persons to whom such presentation may lawfully
be communicated (’relevant persons’). Any person who is not a relevant person should not act or rely on this presentation
or any of its contents. Information in the following presentation relating to the price at which relevant investments have
been bought or sold in the past or the yield on such investments cannot be relied upon as a guide to the future
performance of such investments. This presentation does not constitute an offering of securities or otherwise constitute an
invitation or inducement to any person to underwrite, subscribe for or otherwise acquire securities in any company within
the
h Telenor
l Group. The
h release,
l publication
bl or d
distribution
b off this
h presentation in certain jurisdictions
d may b
be restricted
d b
by
law, and therefore persons in such jurisdictions into which this presentation is released, published or distributed should
inform themselves about, and observe, such restrictions.
This presentation contains statements regarding the future in connection with Telenor’s growth initiatives, profit figures,
outlook, strategies and objectives. In particular, the section ‘Outlook for 2009’ contains forward-looking statements
regarding the Telenor Group’s expectations. All statements regarding the future are subject to inherent risks and
uncertainties, and many factors can lead to actual profits and developments deviating substantially from what has been
expressed or implied in such statements.
As a consequence of previous conflicts between Telenor and Alfa Group, Telenor has been unable to consolidate Kyivstar’s
financial results since 29 December 2006.
On 16 December 2008 the Kyivstar’s shareholders met at two Extraordinary General Meetings of Shareholders (EGMS) to
bring the charter in compliance with Ukrainian law. Furthermore the EGMSs elected a new company Board, appointed the
Auditing
d Commission and d elected
l d Ernst & Young as the
h company’s’ externall auditor.
d
As part of an agreement entered into with Altimo on 4 October 2009, the parties will contribute their respective
shareholdings in Kyivstar and VimpelCom in exchange for shares in a new company, VimpelCom Ltd, The proceedings
between the parties have now been halted or withdrawn without prejudice, pending closing of the transaction. At the time
of closing of the transaction the current arbitration case and all other pending disputes between the parties will be
withdrawn.
1
10/28/2009
Q3 2009
A solid quarter
27 265 26 530
10 050 10 055
4 785
4 001
Q3 08 Q3 09
2
10/28/2009
Q3 2009 – Nordic
Closing in on the NOK 10 bn cash flow target
Revenues (NOKm)/EBITDA%
broadband - 4%
+ 9%
• 9% mobile revenue growth in Norway
• Efficiency measures according to plan 36 % 39 % 38 % 39 %
2 370 2 336
1 872 1 961
0% - 3%
25 % 25 %
24 % 27 %
Q3 08 Q3 09 Q3 08 Q3 09
Sweden Denmark
Organic revenue growth YoY
Q3 2009 - CEE
A challenging environment
Revenues (NOKm)/EBITDA%
3 839
• Subscription base stabilised in
Kyivstar driven by youth campaigns
- 13% 2 200
• Improved margin in Pannon despite 1 656 - 8%
revenue decline 62 %
1 444
55 %
43 % 46 %
• Stable ARPU in local currency in
Serbia
Q3 08 Q3 09 Q3 08 Q3 09
• Capex aligned to market development Kyivstar Pannon
- 13%
236 225
47 % 42 %
50 %
49 %
Q3 08 Q3 09 Q3 08 Q3 09
Telenor Serbia Promonte
Organic revenue growth YoY
3
10/28/2009
Q3 2009 - Asia
Positive trends continued in Bangladesh and Pakistan
Revenues (NOKm)/EBITDA%
Q3 08 Q3 09 Q3 08 Q3 09
Q3 2009
On track towards launch in India in Q4
424
-80 -149
Q2 09 Q3 09
4
10/28/2009
Q3 2009
Solid platform moving forward
• Proven ability
y to adjust
j to changing
g g business environment
• Implementing measures to strengthen operational performance
• Creating a leading emerging markets player by
combining assets in Kyivstar and VimpelCom
• On track for launch in India
Trond Westlie
Executive Vice President and CFO
5
10/28/2009
Q3 2009
Organic revenue decline stabilising
10 050 10 055
9 830
29 403
9 362 9 332
9 270
27 058 27 265 26 956 26 923
26 530
37 % 38 %
7% 35 % 33 % 34 % 35 %
3% 3%
0% -1 %
-3 %
Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q1 09 Q2 09 Q3 09 Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q1 09 Q2 09 Q3 09
Q3 2009
Changes in revenues and EBITDA
Revenues EBITDA
Reported Organic Reported Organic
Mobile Norway 8.8% 8.6% 15.9% 15.8%
Fixed Norway -1.9% -3.7% 0.7% 0.7%
Sweden -1.4% -0.1% 10.9% 13.0%
Denmark 4.8% -3.4% 3.4% -4.9%
Kyivstar -42.7% -13.0% -48.7% -22.4%
Pannon -12.8% -7.9% -7.0% -1.7%
Serbia -11.8% -1.9% -20.2% -11.6%
Promonte -4.9% -12.7% -8.2% -15.9%
DTAC 9.8% -3.5% 13.3% -1.4%
DiGi 9.3% 1.3% 8.9% 1.1%
Pakistan 19.4% 15.9% 157.9% 145.1%
Grameenphone 24.1% 10.5% 45.1% 28.8%
Broadcast 7.2% 6.0% 5.5% 5.3%
Telenor Group -2.7% -0.7% 0.0% 5.8%
6
10/28/2009
Q3 2009
10% capex/sales India not included
Licence fees
Other capex
485
6 754
1550
- 300 - 196
- 288
4 836 4 785
1572
4 001
3 291 4 785
22 % 3 249 4 001
18 % 18 %
15 %
12 % 12 %
14
Q3 2009
Maintaining solid cash flow
Quarterly operating cash flow (NOKm) 4 quarters rolling op. cash flow (NOKm)
21 191
20 408
19 630
17 811
16 908
6 083
6 049 5 979 15 081
5 270
4 526
3 076
Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q1 09 Q2 09 Q3 09 Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q1 09 Q2 09 Q3 09
Operating cash flow including Kyivstar and excluding licences and spectrum
Operating cash flow defined as EBITDA before other items - capex
15
7
10/28/2009
Q3 2009
Nordic improvement offsetting CEE softness
9 322 9 051
8 850 8 696
8 434 8 592 8 281
8 290
7 981 8 040 7 905
7 279
4 410
3 341 3 283
2 366
2 087
867
Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q1 09 Q2 09 Q3 09 Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q1 09 Q2 09 Q3 09 Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q1 09 Q2 09 Q3 09
Operating cash flow including Kyivstar and excluding licences and spectrum
Operating cash flow defined as EBITDA before other items - capex
16
Q3 2009
Reported income statement
NOKm Q3 09 Q3 08
Revenues 24 336 23 433 Includes pension effect in EDB of
+570 NOKm
EBITDA before other items 8 842 7 684
EDB: -176 NOKm
Other items (322) (235)
Denmark: -47 NOKm
EBITDA 8 520 7 449
Impairments losses (332) (6) Mainly impairment losses in EDB
17
8
10/28/2009
Q3 2009
Net interest-bearing debt of NOK 28.6 bn
Net debt (NOK bn) and net debt/EBITDA* Change in net debt (NOK bn)
45.5
41.6
Net debt 30 June 2009 35.3
39.9
39.3
EBITDA (8.5)
35.7 35.3
Net interest paid 0.9
28.6 Income taxes paid 0.6
Capex paid 2.9
1.5
1.4
1.3 1.3 Dividend paid to minorities 0.4
1.2
1.1 Currency effects (1.9)
0.9
Accruals and other (1.1)
Net change (6.7)
Net debt 30 Sept 2009 28.6
Q1 08 Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q1 09 Q2 09 Q3 09
18
Q3 2009
Outlook for 2009
Group*
p incl India excl India
Organic revenues: In line with 2008 In line with 2008
India
Organic revenues: Marginal
*) Outlook on Group figures incl. Kyivstar, assuming Group structure and exchange rates as of
30 September 2009. EBITDA before other items. Capex excl. new licences and spectrum.
19
9
10/28/2009
Q3 2009
Mobile Norway
Revenues (NOKm) and EBITDA%
3 536
3 208 3 249 3 300 3 219 3 356
+ 9%
+ 16%
345
227 252
185 174 168
Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q1 09 Q2 09 Q3 09
10
10/28/2009
Q3 2009
Fixed Norway
Revenues (NOKm) and EBITDA%
3 800
3 656 3 620 3 681 3 639
3 552
- 4%
• Fixed voice and DSL trends continued
from previous quarters 39 %
36 % 38 % 34 % 36 % 36 %
• Stable EBITDA due to reduced
operation & maintenance costs Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q1 09 Q2 09 Q3 09
+ 1%
561 538
454 478 458 393
Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q1 09 Q2 09 Q3 09
Q3 2009
Telenor Sweden
Revenues (NOKm) and EBITDA%
Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q1 09 Q2 09 Q3 09
11
10/28/2009
Q3 2009
Telenor Denmark
Revenues (NOKm) and EBITDA%
- 3%
• 53k nett mobile
bil subscriber
b ib growth
th
• Mobile revenues increased by 1% in 25 % 25 % 25 %
22 % 23 % 23 %
local currency
• Continued PSTN decline and price Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q1 09 Q2 09 Q3 09
pressure on DSL
EBITDA and capex (NOKm)
• Workforce reduction of 114 employees
EBITDA CAPEX
in August
516 492
475 466 453
416 429
337 - 5%
266 272 275
234
Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q1 09 Q2 09 Q3 09
Q3 2009
Kyivstar – Ukraine
Revenues (NOKm) and EBITDA%
3 839
3 553
3 349
• 62k net subscriber growth and 93k
internet modems activated 2 348 2 419
2 200
Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q1 09 Q2 09 Q3 09
25
12
10/28/2009
Q3 2009
Pannon – Hungary
Revenues (NOKm) and EBITDA%
1 656 1 641
1 482 1 444
1 322 1 374
- 2%
203
160 130 116
91 96
Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q1 09 Q209 Q3 09
Q3 2009
Telenor Serbia
Revenues (NOKm) and EBITDA%
861
• 31k net subscriber increase 773
834
759
720 745
211 - 12%
92 75 74
66 58
Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q1 09 Q2 09 Q3 09
13
10/28/2009
Q3 2009
Promonte - Montenegro
Revenues (NOKm) and EBITDA%
236 225
• 67k net subscriber gain fuelled by 187 188 186
166
tourist season - 13%
119
110
78 72 79
68
- 16%
24 20 13 6 10 9
Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q1 09 Q2 09 Q3 09
Q3 2009
DTAC – Thailand
Revenues (NOKm) and EBITDA%
1251
913 937 890 909
400 802
617
512 - 1%
414
262 283 201
Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q1 09 Q209 Q3 09
14
10/28/2009
Q3 2009
DiGi – Malaysia
Revenues (NOKm) and EBITDA%
Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q1 09 Q2 09 Q3 09
Q3 2009
Grameenphone – Bangladesh
Revenues (NOKm) and EBITDA%
Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q1 09 Q2 09 Q3 09
15
10/28/2009
Q3 2009
Telenor Pakistan
Revenues (NOKm) and EBITDA%
1 249
966
+ 145%
341
206 208 225 232 260 182 254199
99
Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q1 09 Q209 Q3 09
Q3 2009
Broadcast
Revenues (NOKm) and EBITDA%
EBITDA
CAPEX
Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q1 09 Q2 09 Q3 09
16
10/28/2009
Mobile operations
ARPU development (USD)
Mobile Norway Mobile Denmark Mobile Sweden
Q208 Q308 Q408 Q109 Q209 Q309 Q208 Q308 Q408 Q109 Q209 Q309 Q208 Q308 Q408 Q109 Q209 Q309
22,3 22,6
21,0 21,4
5,7 5,7 24,4 20,3 20,2
5,3 23,4 22,9
50
5,0 51
5,1 21 4
21,4 21 8
21,8
4,7 20,5
Q208 Q308 Q408 Q109 Q209 Q309 Q208 Q308 Q408 Q109 Q209 Q309 Q208 Q308 Q408 Q109 Q209 Q309
35
FX as of 30.09.2009
17
10/28/2009
Mobile operations
ARPU development (USD)
Telenor Serbia Telenor Pakistan DiGi
14,7 14,7
14,1 13,6 13,7 17,0 17,0 16,7 16,1
12,7 15,7 16,0
2,9
2,7
27 2,6
26 2,7
27
2,6 2,5
Q208 Q308 Q408 Q109 Q209 Q309 Q208 Q308 Q408 Q109 Q209 Q309 Q208 Q308 Q408 Q109 Q209 Q309
DTAC Grameenphone
9,5
9,1
8,4 8,3 8,1 8,1
3,9
37
3,7 36
3,6 37
3,7 37
3,7
3,5
Q208 Q308 Q408 Q109 Q209 Q309 Q208 Q308 Q408 Q109 Q209 Q309
36
FX as of 30.09.2009
Mobile operations
MoU/APPM development MoU APPM (USD)
Q208 Q308 Q408 Q109 Q209 Q309 Q208 Q308 Q408 Q109 Q209 Q309 Q208 Q308 Q408 Q109 Q209 Q309
0,03 0,03 0,03 0,03 0,03 0,03 0,17 0,18 0,16 0,15 0,15 0,17
0,14 0,13 0,13
0,13 0,14 0,13
Q208 Q308 Q408 Q109 Q209 Q309 Q208 Q308 Q408 Q109 Q209 Q309 Q208 Q308 Q408 Q109 Q209 Q309
37
FX as of 30.09.2009
18
10/28/2009
Mobile operations
MoU/APPM development MoU APPM (USD)
0,15 0,16
0,13 0,13
0,11 0,12
0,08 0,08 0,08
0,02 0,02 0,02 0,08 0,07 0,07
0,02 0,02 0,02
Q208 Q308 Q408 Q109 Q209 Q309 Q208 Q308 Q408 Q109 Q209 Q309 Q208 Q308 Q408 Q109 Q209 Q309
DTAC Grameenphone
Q208 Q308 Q408 Q109 Q209 Q309 Q208 Q308 Q408 Q109 Q209 Q309
38
FX as of 30.09.2009
Mobile operations
ARPU development (local currency)
Mobile Norway (NOK) Mobile Denmark (DKK) Mobile Sweden (SEK)
Q208 Q308 Q408 Q109 Q209 Q309 Q208 Q308 Q408 Q109 Q209 Q309 Q208 Q308 Q408 Q108 Q209 Q309
47 47
44 4493
42 42 4297 4217
39 3938 4013 15 15 15
3770 14 14 14
Q208 Q308 Q408 Q109 Q209 Q309 Q208 Q308 Q408 Q109 Q209 Q309 Q208 Q308 Q408 Q109 Q209 Q309
39
19
10/28/2009
Mobile operations
ARPU development (local currency)
Telenor Serbia (RSD) Telenor Pakistan (PKR) DiGi (MYR)
59 59 58
939 939 242 56 55
897 228 54
867 875 225
811 214 215 212
Q208 Q308 Q408 Q109 Q209 Q309 Q208 Q308 Q408 Q109 Q209 Q309 Q208 Q308 Q408 Q109 Q209 Q309
318 268
303 257 255 253
282 250
279 270 270 239
Q208 Q308 Q408 Q109 Q209 Q309 Q208 Q308 Q408 Q109 Q209 Q309
40
Mobile operations
MoU/APPM development MoU APPM (local currency)
Q208 Q308 Q408 Q109 Q209 Q309 Q208 Q308 Q408 Q109 Q209 Q309 Q208 Q308 Q408 Q109 Q209 Q309
Q208 Q308 Q408 Q109 Q209 Q309 Q208 Q308 Q408 Q109 Q209 Q309 Q208 Q308 Q408 Q109 Q209 Q309
41
20
10/28/2009
Mobile operations
MoU/APPM development MoU APPM (local currency)
DTAC Grameenphone
332 327
333 319 319
317 301 303
308 303 291 291
Q208 Q308 Q408 Q109 Q209 Q309 Q208 Q308 Q408 Q109 Q209 Q309
42
Q3 2009
Special items impacting reported EBITDA
NOKm Q3 09 Q3 08
“Cl
“Clean EBITDA” 8 253 7 634 Q3 06
Change in pension plan in EDB
Special items incl. in opex +570 -50
Q309:
EBITDA before other items 8 839 7 684
EDB: -176 NOKm
Telenor Denmark: -47 NOKm
Other items -322 -233 Fixed Norway: -29 NOKm
Broadcast: -28 NOKm
Misc: - 42 NOKm
Reported EBITDA 8 517 7 451
Q308:
Sweden: -103 NOKm
Fixed Norway: -102
102 NOKm
Misc: -30 NOKm
43
21
10/28/2009
Q3 2009
Net debt in partly owned subsidiaries
44
100% figures
Q3 2009
Debt maturity profile
Subsidiaries
T l
Telenor ASA
0.2
1.9
45
22