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354.7
44.6
22.2
168.6
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2,039.9 1,468.1
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538.0
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645.0
63.2
37.7
136.5
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2006 Q4
2007 Q1 2007Q2
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2,115.5
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55.6
24.66%
271.4
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58.9
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2008 Q1
341.0
4.03%
247.2
3.26%
25.3
13.96%
89.4
35.66%
28.6
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2,188.5
3.45%
1,388.2
4.40%
217.6
29.06%
551.2
2.45%
136.0
-0.37%

1,365.3
0.72%

586.2
7.76%

3,042.9
8.46%

405.5
245.3
854.3
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13.46% 23.78%
124.1
58.0
245.5
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31.5
22.9
54.5
111.41% 193.59% 27.34%
26.1
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1.90% 66.05%

3,070.9 3,258.9 1,845.5 309.7

88.4
785.7
2,027.6 357.2
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800.4
5.62%
6.12%
9.87%
15.34% 6.00%
1.87%
1,932.9 2,011.1 2,160.5 1,217.6
205.5
38.6
501.6 1,388.8
231.6
40.8
484.7
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7.43%
14.06% 12.70%
5.70%
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2,907.4

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8,451.2

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8,921.0
5.56%
5,543.8 5,850.1
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V, 1, 2009

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20

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 V, 1, 2009

Algieri, B. and Kanellopoulou, S. (2009)

Determinants of demand for exports of tourism:
an Unobserved Component Model, Tourism
and Hospitality Research, 9(1):9-19.

Deaton, A. and Muellbauer, J. (1980) An Almost

Ideal Demand System, American Economic
Review, 70: 31226.

Gonzalez, P., and Moral, P. (1995) An Analysis of

the International Tourism Demand in Spain,
International Journal of Forecasting, 11(2): 233
251.

T


&
(ITE)
Eurostat
OECD
IMF
UNWTO

Li, G., Song, H. and Witt, S.F. (2005) Recent

Developments in Econometric Modelling and
Forecasting, Advances in Tourism Research
Series, Pergamon, Elsevier Science Ltd.
Li, G., Song, H. and Witt, S.F. (2000) Tourism
Demand, Modelling and Forecasting, Journal of
Travel Research, 44(2): 82-99.
OHagan, J. W., and M. J. Harrison (1984) Market
Shares of US Tourism Expenditure in Europe: An
Econometric Analysis, Applied Economics, 16:
919-31.
Papatheodorou A. (1999) The Demand for
International Tourism in the Mediterranean
Region , Applied Economics, 31: 619630.
Syriopoulos, T. C. and Sinclair,M. T. (1993) An
Econometric Study of Tourism Demand: the
AIDS Model of US and European Tourism in
Mediterranean Countries, Applied Economics,
25: 154152.

, . (2008)
: ,
Eurobank Research, & ,
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 V, 1, 2009

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