Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Resources
MCAA Brief
1
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This is just an average year. It is not
as good as last year and better than
next....
2
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Federal Budget Historical Trends
In the past 40 years, mandatory spending has grown…
1965 1975 1985
Discretionary M andatory Interest Discretio n ary M an d ato ry In terest Discretionary M andatory Interest
Discretionary M andatory Interest Discretio n ary M an d ato ry In terest Discretio n ary M an d ato ry In terest
Troubled Asset
Relief Program
Medicaid TARP
Medicare 7% 7% Other Mandatory
12% 19%
Social Security
19%
DoD
19%
Non-Defense
Discretionary
17%
4
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DoD Budget
Defense
$513B in FY2009*
Agencies /
Defense-Wide
17% Army
$85.5B 27%
$139.2B
Air Force
28%
$141.2B DoN
28%
$147.4B
Navy 73%
Indirect
4%
7
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The Spending Trend is Not Sustainable
50%
30%
Stimulus Package Interest
20%
id
All other spending (including Medica
other mandatory spending)
10% Medicare
Social Security
0%
1965 1971 1977 1983 1989 1995 2001 2007 2013 2019 2025 2031 2037 2043 2049
8
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Federal Spending
T re n d s in F e d e ra l S p e n d in g
(Percent of Federal Budget)
100%
90% De f e n s e
Dis c r e t io n a r y
80%
Percentage of the Federal Budget
70% No n - De f e n s e
Stimulus Package
Dis c r e t io n a r y
60%
Ne t In t e r e s t
50%
Projection
40%
30%
M an d ato r y
20%
10%
0%
73
79
81
87
95
01
11
69
71
75
77
83
85
89
91
93
97
99
03
05
07
09
13
15
17
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
Fis ca l Y e a r 9
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Defense Funding Trends
De fense Budge t Trends
800
(T Y $ in B)
Bas e OCO
Projection
700 667 664
654
625 639
602 601 611
592 50
600 130 50 50
187 141 50
537 50
506 164
500
444 443 116
103
TY $ in B
400 69 66
342
319
14
300 17 575 589
534 542 551 561
513
480
421 438
200 375 377 403
302 328
100
0
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Fis cal Ye ar
FY09 does not include the DoD portion of the American Reinvestment & Recovery Act ($7B)
10
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Federal Surplus/Deficit
Federal Surplus/Deficit
(Percentage of GDP)
69
71
73
75
77
79
81
83
85
87
89
91
93
95
97
99
01
03
05
07
09
11
13
15
17
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
3%
OM B Projections
2% CBO
1% Actual
0%
-1%
Surplus/Deficit as a % of GDP
-2%
-3%
-4%
-5%
-6%
-7% Federal Surplus/Deficit
(TY $ in B)
$400
-8% $200
$0
-9% -$200
-11%
-$800
-$1,000
-2.4%
-12% -$1,200 TY $ in B
-$1,400
-13% -$1,600
-$1,800
-14% -$2,000
11
1
95
97
99
09
11
13
79
85
87
89
91
93
01
03
05
07
15
17
19
8
8
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
v6 UNCLASSIFIED
Conventional wisdom always makes
straight-line projections and they are
always wrong.
~ Charles Krauthammer
12
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Strategic Landscape
13
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Fiscal Landscape
The Secretary’s vision is clear.
The “writing is on the wall”.
Fiscal Challenges. Hard choices have to be identified;
tough decisions will be made.
Grand visions underwritten by blank checks are not
sustainable.
Top lines will be more pressurized.
The Marine Corps will make the tough decisions that will result in a
lean, agile and adaptable fighting force that is expeditionary and better
able to address ever-evolving hybrid threats in complex environments.
14
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CMC Guidance
-MC Vision and Strategy 2025
15
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CMC Priorities
16
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…and a Miracle happens 17
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